Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026

Time: 16:00

Final 1-2

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

45%

26%

29%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Israel: Liga Leumit

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa’s recent slump - two straight defeats followed by a win and a draw - has left the market wary, yet the model still favours a home win at 45%. The expected total of 3.1 goals suggests a lively match, but the most likely total is 2 goals, with a 23% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 11.7% probability. Home side Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa averages 1.81 goals scored and 1.38 conceded against similar opponents, while Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, on the road, averages only 0.73 scored and 1.4 conceded. The suggested picks highlight a strong edge on low-scoring outcomes: the model rates “Away under 2.5 HT goals” at 99.0%, “Away under 2.5 2H goals” at 98.6%, “Under 7.5” at 98.6%, “Under 6.5” at 96.1% with a 2% edge, “Away under 1.5 HT goals” at 96.0% with a 7% edge, “Away under 3.5 goals” at 95.1% with a 3% edge, “Away under 1.5 2H goals” at 92.7% with a 9% edge, and “Home under 2.5 HT goals” at 91.1%. The probabilities for the match outcome are 45% home win, 26% draw, and 29% away win.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Maccabi Ahi Nazareth snatched a 1-2 win, extending their recent form win after a 2-1 victory. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 45% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the away triumph. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.6%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.6%, Under 6.5 hit at 96.1%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 95.1%, Away under 1.5 2H goals hit at 92.7%, and Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 91.1%. Only Away under 1.5 HT goals missed at 96.0%. The model’s predictions largely held, despite the favourite’s failure.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa win✗ Miss

45.5%

Avg Implied 48.3% · @ 1.89

Edge

-2.8%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

1.92

Dafabet

1.91

William Hil

1.91

Betano

1.90

Superbet

1.90

Draw✗ Miss

25.5%

Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.46

Edge

-0.8%

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

3.60

Dafabet

3.55

Superbet

3.50

10Bet

3.50

Pinnacle

3.47

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win✓ Hit

29.0%

Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.58

Edge

+3.6%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

3.65

Superbet

3.60

Bet365

3.60

William Hil

3.60

Betano

3.60

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.8

Avg scored

2.2

Avg conceded

1.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.83	1.40	1.81	1.38	1.86	1.43
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (30)	1.83	1.40	1.81	1.38	1.86	1.43
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	33% (+6pp vs league)

This opponent (Maccabi Ahi Nazareth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.7

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

1.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.03	1.53	1.33	1.67	0.73	1.40
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (30)	1.03	1.53	1.33	1.67	0.73	1.40
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	37% (+9pp vs league)

This opponent (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

82.7%

@ 1.20+6.4%

Under 1.5

17.3%

@ 3.86-6.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.22

Bet365

1.22

10Bet

1.22

Betfair

1.20

Superbet

1.19

Under

Betfair

4.33

Bet365

4.00

Marathonbet

3.88

1xBet

3.88

10Bet

3.85

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

60.0%

@ 1.69+5.4%

Under 2.5

40.0%

@ 2.04-5.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.73

Pinnacle

1.71

Superbet

1.71

10Bet

1.70

Marathonbet

1.69

Under

Betfair

2.10

Pinnacle

2.09

Bet365

2.08

10Bet

2.05

1xBet

2.02

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

37.6%

@ 2.68+3.3%

Under 3.5

62.4%

@ 1.40-3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.88

10Bet

2.75

Pinnacle

2.72

Superbet

2.67

Marathonbet

2.62

Under

Bet365

1.44

Pinnacle

1.41

Betfair

1.40

10Bet

1.40

Betano

1.40

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

62.4%

@ 1.61+5.4%

37.6%

@ 2.14-5.4%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

1.67

Superbet

1.65

Betfair

1.62

William Hil

1.62

10Bet

1.60

Betfair

2.20

William Hil

2.20

1xBet

2.17

Marathonbet

2.13

Bet365

2.10

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

11.7%@ 6.20+4.9%

2-1

9.3%@ 7.58+3.7%

1-2 ✓

7.2%@ 10.67+3.3%

2-0

6.8%@ 8.97+2.1%

1-0

6.8%@ 7.68+1.3%

2-2

6.3%@ 11.08+2.5%

0-0

5.5%@ 11.58+1.9%

3-1

5.4%@ 12.38+2.0%

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa goals ↓

	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.5%	5.0%	4.2%	1.9%	0.6%
1	6.8%	12%	7.2%	3.3%	1.1%
2	6.8%	9.3%	6.3%	2.9%	1.0%
3	4.0%	5.4%	3.7%	1.7%	0.6%
4	1.7%	2.4%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa goals (down), columns = Maccabi Ahi Nazareth goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Maccabi Herzliya

1.68

Ashdod

1.64

Maccabi Bnei Raina

1.58

Bnei Yehuda

1.54

Hapoel Kfar Shalem

1.51

Kiryat Yam SC

1.46

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

1.38

Hapoel Kfar Saba

1.35

Hapoel Ra'anana

1.35

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

1.34

Maccabi Kiryat Gat

1.34

Hapoel Rishon LeZion

1.32

Hapoel Afula

1.22

Kafr Qasim

1.11

Ironi Modi'in

1.08

Hapoel Acre

1.08

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa is 0.04 points better than Maccabi Ahi Nazareth in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Hapoel Kfar Shalem

1.81

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

1.78

Ashdod

1.66

Maccabi Bnei Raina

1.60

Maccabi Herzliya

1.49

Hapoel Kfar Saba

1.41

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

1.36

Maccabi Kiryat Gat

1.36

Hapoel Rishon LeZion

1.35

Kiryat Yam SC

1.30

Bnei Yehuda

1.24

Kafr Qasim

1.14

Hapoel Ra'anana

1.14

Hapoel Acre

1.08

Hapoel Afula

1.05

Ironi Modi'in

1.00

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa is 0.43 goals better than Maccabi Ahi Nazareth in terms of goals scored per game (1.78 vs 1.36).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Ashdod

1.11

Maccabi Bnei Raina

1.16

Kiryat Yam SC

1.16

Bnei Yehuda

1.19

Maccabi Herzliya

1.19

Hapoel Ra'anana

1.19

Ironi Modi'in

1.27

Hapoel Acre

1.30

Kafr Qasim

1.32

Hapoel Kfar Saba

1.35

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

1.36

Maccabi Kiryat Gat

1.36

Hapoel Rishon LeZion

1.46

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

1.57

Hapoel Afula

1.57

Hapoel Kfar Shalem

1.70

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa is 0.21 goals worse than Maccabi Ahi Nazareth in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.36).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa or Draw✗ Miss

71.0%

Avg Implied 75.0% · @ 1.22

Edge

-4.0%

45%

26%

29%

covers Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa + Draw

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.25

Betano

1.25

Superbet

1.23

Betfair

1.22

Bet365

1.22

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa or Maccabi Ahi Nazareth✓ Hit

74.5%

Avg Implied 73.9% · @ 1.24

Edge

+0.6%

45%

26%

29%

covers Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa + Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.30

Betano

1.26

Superbet

1.25

Bet365

1.25

10Bet

1.22

Draw or Maccabi Ahi Nazareth✓ Hit

54.5%

Avg Implied 51.1% · @ 1.80

Edge

+3.4%

45%

26%

29%

covers Draw + Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.85

10Bet

1.85

Betfair

1.83

William Hil

1.80

Bet365

1.80

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

82.5%

@ 1.15+2.8%

Under

17.5%

@ 4.49-2.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.17

Superbet

1.14

10Bet

1.14

1xBet

1.13

Under

1xBet

4.65

10Bet

4.50

Bet365

4.50

Superbet

4.30

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

52.0%

@ 1.80+0.5%

Under

48.0%

@ 1.91-0.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.82

Betano

1.82

Bet365

1.80

10Bet

1.80

Superbet

1.80

Under

Pinnacle

1.98

1xBet

1.97

Bet365

1.91

Superbet

1.90

Betano

1.90

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

25.4%

@ 3.41-1.4%

Under

74.6%

@ 1.25+1.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

3.50

Bet365

3.50

Superbet

3.35

1xBet

3.30

Under

Bet365

1.28

1xBet

1.27

Superbet

1.24

Marathonbet

1.22

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

10.0%

@ 7.25-2.8%

Under

90.0%

@ 1.06+2.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.50

Bet365

7.00

Under

Bet365

1.08

1xBet

1.04

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

74.4%

@ 1.37+7.4%

Under

25.6%

@ 2.78-7.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.37

Superbet

1.36

10Bet

1.35

Under

1xBet

2.85

10Bet

2.80

Bet365

2.75

Superbet

2.72

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

39.5%

@ 2.70+5.3%

Under

60.5%

@ 1.40-5.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.77

Bet365

2.75

Superbet

2.70

Marathonbet

2.68

Betano

2.67

Under

Pinnacle

1.42

1xBet

1.42

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.40

Marathonbet

1.39

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

15.7%

@ 6.53+1.7%

Under

84.3%

@ 1.07-1.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.00

Marathonbet

6.60

Bet365

6.50

Superbet

6.00

Under

Bet365

1.10

1xBet

1.06

Superbet

1.06

Marathonbet

1.05

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

4.9%

@ 12.00-2.8%

Under

95.1%

@ 1.01+2.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

12.00

Under

Bet365

1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa, so a minus line means Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa give that many goals of a start and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth receive them. At -1, Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa)Actual: Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa -2

10.9%

@ 6.83-2.3%

Draw -2

14.1%

@ 5.53-2.2%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth +2

75.0%

@ 1.27+4.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

7.00

Marathonbet

6.65

Draw

Marathonbet

5.55

Bet365

5.50

Away

Bet365

1.30

Marathonbet

1.25

Handicap -1 (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa)Actual: Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa -1

25.0%

@ 3.35-1.6%

Draw -1

20.5%

@ 3.69-3.6%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth +1

54.5%

@ 1.80+5.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

3.50

10Bet

3.30

Betfair

3.30

Marathonbet

3.28

Draw

Bet365

3.75

Betfair

3.75

Marathonbet

3.66

10Bet

3.60

Away

10Bet

1.85

Betfair

1.83

Bet365

1.80

Marathonbet

1.74

Handicap +1 (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa)Actual: Draw

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa +1

71.0%

@ 1.23-1.1%

Draw +1

15.8%

@ 5.40-0.6%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth -1

13.2%

@ 7.75+1.8%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.25

Marathonbet

1.21

Draw

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

5.30

Away

Bet365

8.00

Marathonbet

7.50

Handicap +2 (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa)Actual: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa +2

86.8%

@ 1.08-0.8%

Draw +2

8.6%

@ 12.00+0.7%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth -2

4.6%

@ 21.00+0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.08

Draw

Bet365

12.00

Away

Bet365

21.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.77	0.50	0.81	0.50	0.71	0.50
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (30)	0.77	0.50	0.81	0.50	0.71	0.50
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	67% (+39pp vs league)

This opponent (Maccabi Ahi Nazareth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.9

Avg scored

0.3

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.33	0.67	0.33	0.73	0.33	0.60
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (30)	0.33	0.67	0.33	0.73	0.33	0.60
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	53% (+26pp vs league)

This opponent (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

71.1%

@ 1.31+0.7%

Under 0.5

28.9%

@ 3.11-0.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.33

Marathonbet

1.31

1xBet

1.31

10Bet

1.30

Superbet

1.30

Under

William Hil

3.30

Bet365

3.25

Betfair

3.20

10Bet

3.10

Marathonbet

2.97

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

37.6%

@ 2.46+0.1%

Under 1.5

62.4%

@ 1.47-0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.50

Bet365

2.50

Betfair

2.50

1xBet

2.47

Marathonbet

2.47

Under

Bet365

1.50

William Hil

1.50

Betfair

1.50

Pinnacle

1.50

10Bet

1.48

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

17.7%

@ 5.61+1.2%

Under 2.5

82.3%

@ 1.11-1.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

6.00

William Hil

5.80

1xBet

5.50

Bet365

5.50

Superbet

5.25

Under

Bet365

1.12

William Hil

1.12

Betfair

1.11

1xBet

1.10

Superbet

1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

64.8%

@ 1.74+11.7%

Under

35.2%

@ 1.97-11.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.78

Marathonbet

1.74

Pinnacle

1.74

Superbet

1.73

1xBet

1.70

Under

1xBet

2.03

Pinnacle

2.02

Superbet

1.97

Betano

1.93

Marathonbet

1.91

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

27.0%

@ 4.62+7.2%

Under

73.0%

@ 1.14-7.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.85

1xBet

4.40

Under

1xBet

1.16

Marathonbet

1.12

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

8.9%

Under

91.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

27.5%

@ 2.27-13.1%

Under

72.5%

@ 1.55+13.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.30

Superbet

2.30

Betano

2.30

1xBet

2.25

Marathonbet

2.22

Under

Pinnacle

1.58

1xBet

1.57

Betano

1.55

Marathonbet

1.54

Superbet

1.53

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over

Over

4.0%

@ 7.85-7.6%

Under

96.0%

@ 1.03+7.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

7.90

1xBet

7.80

Under

1xBet

1.04

Marathonbet

1.03

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.0%

Under

99.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.2

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.07	0.90	1.00	0.88	1.14	0.93
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (30)	1.07	0.90	1.00	0.88	1.14	0.93
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	40% (+12pp vs league)

This opponent (Maccabi Ahi Nazareth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

1.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.70	0.87	1.00	0.93	0.40	0.80
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (30)	0.70	0.87	1.00	0.93	0.40	0.80
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	53% (+26pp vs league)

This opponent (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under

Over 0.5

82.6%

@ 1.19+5.2%

Under 0.5

17.4%

@ 4.08-5.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.22

William Hil

1.20

Superbet

1.17

1xBet

1.17

Under

1xBet

4.40

William Hil

4.00

Bet365

4.00

Superbet

3.90

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

46.0%

@ 1.90-2.4%

Under 1.5

54.0%

@ 1.78+2.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.00

Superbet

1.95

William Hil

1.91

1xBet

1.88

Marathonbet

1.88

Under

10Bet

1.83

Betano

1.82

Marathonbet

1.80

1xBet

1.80

Superbet

1.76

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

22.4%

@ 3.93-1.1%

Under 2.5

77.6%

@ 1.21+1.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

4.33

William Hil

4.00

Superbet

3.70

1xBet

3.70

Under

1xBet

1.23

William Hil

1.22

Bet365

1.20

Superbet

1.19

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

67.4%

@ 1.50+5.9%

Under

32.6%

@ 2.39-5.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.51

1xBet

1.48

Under

1xBet

2.46

Superbet

2.32

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

31.6%

@ 3.31+4.0%

Under

68.4%

@ 1.26-4.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

3.42

1xBet

3.20

Under

1xBet

1.28

Marathonbet

1.24

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

10.6%

@ 8.90+0.3%

Under

89.4%

@ 1.02-0.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

8.90

Under

1xBet

1.02

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

36.6%

@ 1.90-11.8%

Under

63.4%

@ 1.78+11.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.95

1xBet

1.90

Marathonbet

1.85

Under

1xBet

1.79

Marathonbet

1.79

Superbet

1.77

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

7.3%

@ 5.62-8.9%

Under

92.7%

@ 1.09+8.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.70

Marathonbet

5.55

Under

1xBet

1.09

Marathonbet

1.09

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

1.4%

Under

98.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals	99.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	98.6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 7.5	98.6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	96.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+3.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	96.0%	1.03	1xBet 1.04	Marathonbet 1.03	-	-	-	+7.6%	✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals	95.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.8%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	92.7%	1.09	1xBet 1.09	Marathonbet 1.09	-	-	-	+8.9%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	91.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	90.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.05	Betfair 1.04	-	-	-	+0.5%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	90.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.08	1xBet 1.04	-	-	-	+2.8%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	89.4%	1.02	1xBet 1.02	-	-	-	-	-0.3%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	86.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-0.8%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	84.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.10	1xBet 1.06	Superbet 1.06	Marathonbet 1.05	-	-1.7%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	82.7%	1.20	Betano 1.22	Bet365 1.22	10Bet 1.22	Betfair 1.20	Superbet 1.19	+6.4%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	82.6%	1.19	Bet365 1.22	William Hil 1.20	Superbet 1.17	1xBet 1.17	-	+5.2%	✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals	82.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.17	Superbet 1.14	10Bet 1.14	1xBet 1.13	-	+2.8%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	82.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.12	William Hil 1.12	Betfair 1.11	1xBet 1.10	Superbet 1.08	-1.2%	✗ Miss
Under 4.5	79.7%	1.13	Bet365 1.17	Betfair 1.14	Superbet 1.12	Marathonbet 1.11	1xBet 1.11	-1.4%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	77.6%	1.21	1xBet 1.23	William Hil 1.22	Bet365 1.20	Superbet 1.19	-	+1.1%	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	75.0%	1.27	Bet365 1.30	Marathonbet 1.25	-	-	-	+4.5%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	74.6%	1.25	Bet365 1.28	1xBet 1.27	Superbet 1.24	Marathonbet 1.22	-	+1.4%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	74.5%	1.24	William Hil 1.30	Betano 1.26	Superbet 1.25	Bet365 1.25	10Bet 1.22	+0.6%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	74.4%	1.37	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.37	Superbet 1.36	10Bet 1.35	-	+7.4%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	73.0%	1.14	1xBet 1.16	Marathonbet 1.12	-	-	-	-7.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 0.5 HT goals	72.5%	1.55	Pinnacle 1.58	1xBet 1.57	Betano 1.55	Marathonbet 1.54	Superbet 1.53	+13.1%	✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals	71.1%	1.31	Bet365 1.33	Marathonbet 1.31	1xBet 1.31	10Bet 1.30	Superbet 1.30	+0.7%	✓ Hit
Home or Draw	71.0%	1.22	William Hil 1.25	Betano 1.25	Superbet 1.23	Betfair 1.22	Bet365 1.22	-4.0%	✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap	71.0%	1.23	Bet365 1.25	Marathonbet 1.21	-	-	-	-1.1%	✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ASH (23)

€4m

BY (26)

€3m

MBR (18)

€3m

HRL (19)

€3m

KYS (24)

€3m

MH (22)

€2m

HR (18)

€2m

HA (23)

€2m

KQ (26)

€2m

HKS (22)

€2m

HKS (14)

€2m

IM (21)

€1m

MKJ (18)

€1m

HA (11)

€1m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

MBR (8)

€2m

HRL (8)

€1m

KYS (10)

€1m

ASH (8)

€1m

BY (9)

€1m

MH (8)

€1m

HKS (7)

€1m

HR (6)

€1m

HA (9)

€1m

MKJ (11)

€0m

IM (7)

€0m

KQ (9)

€0m

HKS (4)

€0m

HA (2)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BY (5)

€1m

ASH (6)

€1m

KQ (8)

€1m

MH (4)

€0m

HRL (5)

€0m

HKS (7)

€0m

HR (4)

€0m

KYS (6)

€0m

IM (6)

€0m

MBR (2)

€0m

HA (4)

€0m

MKJ (3)

€0m

HKS (2)

€0m

HA (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ASH (9)

€1m

BY (12)

€1m

MBR (8)

€1m

HR (8)

€1m

HKS (11)

€1m

HRL (6)

€1m

HA (10)

€1m

MH (10)

€1m

HA (9)

€1m

KQ (9)

€1m

KYS (8)

€1m

HKS (5)

€0m

MKJ (4)

€0m

IM (8)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings

MKJ wins

Draws

MAN wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth · H/A from MKJ

Date	H/A	Game	Score
03/03/23	A	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Vs MKJ	0-4
11/11/22	H	MKJ Vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0-2

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
24/08/26	A	Ashdod Vs MKJ	1-0
18/08/26	H	MKJ Vs Kiryat Yam SC	2-6
25/05/26	H	MKJ Vs Hapoel Hadera	6-1
19/05/26	H	MKJ Vs Hapoel Afula	4-1
15/05/26	A	Kafr Qasim Vs MKJ	2-2
08/05/26	A	Ironi Modi'in Vs MKJ	4-1
04/05/26	H	MKJ Vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit	2-0
30/04/26	A	Hapoel Ra'anana Vs MKJ	0-1
24/04/26	H	MKJ Vs Hapoel Acre	0-0
17/04/26	A	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Vs MKJ	1-4

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
24/08/26	H	MAN Vs Hapoel Afula	0-1
18/08/26	A	Hapoel Ra'anana Vs MAN	2-0
12/05/23	A	Kafr Qasim Vs MAN	1-1
05/05/23	H	MAN Vs Agudat Sport Ashdod	3-0
28/04/23	A	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon Vs MAN	4-0
20/04/23	H	MAN Vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion	0-0
14/04/23	H	MAN Vs Hapoel Ramat Gan	1-4
07/04/23	A	Hapoel Afula Vs MAN	1-1
31/03/23	H	MAN Vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit	1-3
17/03/23	H	MAN Vs Bnei Yehuda	2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Israel: Liga Leumit

Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DWWLL	1.36
Home	DWWWL	1.44
Away	WWLDL	1.28

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	40%	32%
AVG goals	3.22	3.32	3.12
Over 1.5 %	74%	80%	68%
Over 2.5 %	54%	48%	60%
Over 3.5 %	42%	36%	48%
Scored	1.66	1.68	1.64
Conceded	1.56	1.64	1.48
BTTS	60%	60%	60%
Clean Sheet	30%	28%	32%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Israel: Liga Leumit

Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWDLL	1.08
Home	LLDWL	1.25
Away	WDLDL	0.89

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	28%	35%	21%
AVG goals	2.44	2.65	2.21
Over 1.5 %	77%	75%	79%
Over 2.5 %	38%	50%	26%
Over 3.5 %	23%	30%	16%
Scored	0.95	1.20	0.68
Conceded	1.49	1.45	1.53
BTTS	28%	30%	26%
Clean Sheet	33%	40%	26%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Bnei Yehuda	3	9	100%	3.0	10	2	+8	4.0	100%	100%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	3.3	0.7	-
2	Hapoel Rishon LeZion	3	9	100%	3.0	6	2	+4	2.7	100%	67%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	0	1	2.0	0.7	-
3	Hapoel Afula	3	9	100%	3.0	6	2	+4	2.7	67%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	2.0	0.7	-
4	Hapoel Ra'anana	3	6	67%	2.0	7	5	+2	4.0	100%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	2.3	1.7	-
5	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	3	6	67%	2.0	6	5	+1	3.7	100%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	0	2.0	1.7	-
6	Ashdod	3	6	67%	2.0	3	3	+0	2.0	67%	33%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	1	1.0	1.0	-
7	Ironi Modi'in	3	4	33%	1.3	5	4	+1	3.0	100%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.7	1.3	-
8	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	3	4	33%	1.3	4	3	+1	2.3	100%	33%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.3	1.0	-
9	Kiryat Yam SC	3	3	33%	1.0	8	6	+2	4.7	67%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	0	1	2.7	2.0	-
10	Kafr Qasim	3	3	33%	1.0	5	4	+1	3.0	100%	67%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	1	1	1.7	1.3	-
11	Maccabi Herzliya	3	3	33%	1.0	4	5	-1	3.0	100%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	1.3	1.7	-
12	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	3	3	33%	1.0	2	4	-2	2.0	67%	33%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.7	1.3	-
13	Hapoel Kfar Saba	3	3	33%	1.0	3	6	-3	3.0	100%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	0	1	1.0	2.0	-
14	Maccabi Bnei Raina	3	3	33%	1.0	3	6	-3	3.0	67%	67%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	2	0	1	1.0	2.0	-
15	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	3	0	0%	0.0	3	9	-6	4.0	67%	67%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.0	3.0	-
16	Hapoel Acre	3	0	0%	0.0	0	9	-9	3.0	100%	67%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	1	0.0	3.0	-

Israel: Liga Leumit 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

← all matches

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature