This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ashdod
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.63
1.33
1.60
1.53
1.67
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
2.83
1.00
2.67
1.33
3.00
vs Similar (24)
1.50
1.33
1.42
1.33
1.58
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.6%
Under 2.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.3%
Under 3.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.6%
No
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 â
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.4%
Maccabi Netanya goals ↓
Ashdod goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
4.6%
2.9%
1.0%
0.3%
1
9.2%
12%
5.4%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.6%
9.9%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
3
6.0%
6.2%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.8%
2.9%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Maccabi Netanya goals (down), columns = Ashdod goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3.00
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Beitar Jerusalem
2.00
Maccabi Netanya
2.00
Ironi Tiberias
1.60
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.47
Bnei Sakhnin
1.40
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.31
Ashdod
1.20
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
0.80
Hapoel Haifa
0.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00
Maccabi Netanya is 0.80 points better than Ashdod in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.20).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Netanya
2.80
Beitar Jerusalem
2.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.50
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Ashdod
2.00
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.75
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.56
Ironi Tiberias
1.40
Hapoel Haifa
1.20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Maccabi Netanya is 0.80 goals better than Ashdod in terms of goals scored per game (2.80 vs 2.00).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.00
Ironi Tiberias
1.20
Beitar Jerusalem
1.20
Maccabi Netanya
1.20
Maccabi Haifa
1.33
Hapoel Katamon
1.40
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.40
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.58
Hapoel Haifa
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.78
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3.00
Ashdod
3.20
Maccabi Netanya is 2.00 goals better than Ashdod in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 3.20).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Maccabi Netanya or Drawâ Hit
80.6%
Avg Implied -
56%
24%
19%
covers Maccabi Netanya + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya or Ashdodâ Miss
75.5%
Avg Implied -
56%
24%
19%
covers Maccabi Netanya + Ashdod
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ashdodâ Hit
43.9%
Avg Implied -
56%
24%
19%
covers Draw + Ashdod
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.7%
Under
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
56.0%
Under
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.0%
Under
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.2%
Under
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
64.4%
Under
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
27.6%
Under
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.6%
Under
91.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âïļ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Maccabi Netanya, so a minus line means Maccabi Netanya give that many goals of a start and Ashdod receive them. At -1, Maccabi Netanya must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Maccabi Netanya win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ashdod
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.60
0.80
1.07
0.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.83
0.67
1.67
0.67
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.88
0.75
0.58
0.58
1.17
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Maccabi Netanya
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.80
1.00
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.30
0.25
2.00
0.17
0.83
vs Similar (20)
0.95
0.50
1.00
0.64
0.89
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ashdod
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.87
0.73
0.80
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
2.00
0.33
1.00
0.67
3.00
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.58
0.83
0.75
0.42
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 6.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home +2 handicap
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home +1 handicap
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home or Away
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Maccabi Netanya
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Basam Zaarura40%
Maor Levi30%
Oz Bilu27%
Matheus DavÃģ20%
Bakary Konate20%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa17%
Heriberto Tavares15%
Omri Shamir12%
Wilson Harris8%
Itay Ben Shabat6%
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed6%
Gontie Junior Diomande6%
Rotem Keller5%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Niv Antman0%
Maxim Plakushchenko0%
Yuval Sade0%
Amit Cohen0%
Omer Niron0%
Karm Jaber0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Denis Kulikov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed56%
Omri Shamir50%
Karm Jaber33%
Gontie Junior Diomande33%
Heriberto Tavares25%
Itay Ben Shabat25%
Bakary Konate20%
Wilson Harris17%
Amit Cohen17%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa17%
Rotem Keller15%
Oz Bilu14%
Matheus DavÃģ10%
Denis Kulikov7%
Maxim Plakushchenko6%
Yuval Sade6%
Maor Levi5%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Niv Antman0%
Omer Niron0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Basam Zaarura0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matheus DavÃģ35%
Heriberto Tavares20%
Wylan Cyprien17%
Maor Levi15%
Rotem Keller10%
Karm Jaber10%
Maxim Plakushchenko6%
Amit Cohen6%
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed6%
Oz Bilu5%
Wilson Harris0%
Niv Antman0%
Yuval Sade0%
Omer Niron0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Omri Shamir0%
Itay Ben Shabat0%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa0%
Basam Zaarura0%
Gontie Junior Diomande0%
Bakary Konate0%
Denis Kulikov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oz Bilu27%
Matheus DavÃģ20%
Basam Zaarura13%
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed11%
Gontie Junior Diomande11%
Heriberto Tavares10%
Maor Levi10%
Maxim Plakushchenko6%
Yuval Sade6%
Amit Cohen6%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Wilson Harris0%
Niv Antman0%
Omer Niron0%
Karm Jaber0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Omri Shamir0%
Rotem Keller0%
Itay Ben Shabat0%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa0%
Bakary Konate0%
Denis Kulikov0%
Ashdod
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jean Batoum31%
Eugene Ansah29%
Nehoray Dabush29%
Karim Kimvuidi25%
Eylon Almog20%
Hayford Boahen20%
Arial Mendy17%
Avishai Cohen17%
Ibrahim Diakite14%
Ilay Hajaj12%
Ori Azo11%
Ilay Tamam7%
Mohamad Amer7%
Roy Gordana6%
Nir Bitton0%
Timothy Awany0%
Lenny Nangis0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Or Dasa0%
Raz Meir0%
Tom Ben-Zaken0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Shalev Harush0%
Adir Levi0%
Noam Muche0%
Liav Farada0%
Ben Hadadi0%
Maor Yashilirmak0%
Victor Ochayi0%
Asaf Arania0%
Elia Gethon0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Reem Tal0%
Amitay Yamin0%
Amit Danziger0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Avishai Cohen67%
Raz Meir67%
Adir Levi50%
Ori Azo44%
Eugene Ansah33%
Amit Danziger33%
Roy Gordana29%
Victor Ochayi29%
Mohamad Amer27%
Timothy Awany25%
Tom Ben-Zaken25%
Ilay Tamam20%
Shalev Harush20%
Amitay Yamin20%
Karim Kimvuidi19%
Nir Bitton17%
Arial Mendy17%
Lenny Nangis17%
Elia Gethon17%
Emmanuel Agyei17%
Nehoray Dabush14%
Ibrahim Diakite14%
Ilay Hajaj12%
Noam Muche12%
Maor Yashilirmak12%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Eylon Almog0%
Or Dasa0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Liav Farada0%
Ben Hadadi0%
Asaf Arania0%
Jean Batoum0%
Reem Tal0%
Hayford Boahen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tom Ben-Zaken25%
Adir Levi25%
Eugene Ansah24%
Ilay Tamam20%
Roy Gordana18%
Nir Bitton17%
Lenny Nangis17%
Jean Batoum15%
Karim Kimvuidi12%
Ori Azo11%
Noam Muche6%
Maor Yashilirmak6%
Timothy Awany0%
Arial Mendy0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Eylon Almog0%
Avishai Cohen0%
Or Dasa0%
Raz Meir0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Shalev Harush0%
Ilay Hajaj0%
Liav Farada0%
Ben Hadadi0%
Nehoray Dabush0%
Victor Ochayi0%
Asaf Arania0%
Mohamad Amer0%
Elia Gethon0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Ibrahim Diakite0%
Reem Tal0%
Amitay Yamin0%
Amit Danziger0%
Hayford Boahen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eugene Ansah33%
Hayford Boahen20%
Avishai Cohen17%
Jean Batoum15%
Mohamad Amer7%
Roy Gordana6%
Noam Muche6%
Nir Bitton0%
Timothy Awany0%
Arial Mendy0%
Lenny Nangis0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Eylon Almog0%
Or Dasa0%
Raz Meir0%
Tom Ben-Zaken0%
Karim Kimvuidi0%
Ilay Tamam0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Shalev Harush0%
Adir Levi0%
Ilay Hajaj0%
Liav Farada0%
Ben Hadadi0%
Maor Yashilirmak0%
Nehoray Dabush0%
Victor Ochayi0%
Asaf Arania0%
Elia Gethon0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Ori Azo0%
Ibrahim Diakite0%
Reem Tal0%
Amitay Yamin0%
Amit Danziger0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Maccabi Netanya's squad is €8m more valuable than Ashdod's (€11m vs €4m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Maccabi Netanya's attack is €2m more valuable than Ashdod's (€3m vs €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Maccabi Netanya's midfield is €2m more valuable than Ashdod's (€3m vs €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Maccabi Netanya's defence is €4m more valuable than Ashdod's (€5m vs €1m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
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Hapoel Beer Sheva
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Ironi Tiberias
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Bnei Raina