This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beitar Jerusalem
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.17
1.27
1.13
1.87
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
2.00
1.13
1.67
1.83
2.22
0.67
vs Weaker (13)
1.31
1.23
1.12
0.62
1.60
2.20
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.5%
Under 2.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.2%
Under 3.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.6%
No
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
Maccabi Netanya goals ↓
Beitar Jerusalem goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
6.2%
4.8%
2.0%
0.7%
1
7.8%
13%
7.5%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.1%
9.1%
5.9%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.7%
4.8%
3.1%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.5%
1.9%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Maccabi Netanya goals (down), columns = Beitar Jerusalem goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3.00
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Beitar Jerusalem
2.00
Maccabi Netanya
2.00
Hapoel Hadera
1.80
Ironi Tiberias
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.40
Ashdod
1.20
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
0.80
Hapoel Haifa
0.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00
Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.00
Maccabi Netanya and Beitar Jerusalem are level in average points per game (both 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Netanya
2.80
Beitar Jerusalem
2.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.50
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Ashdod
2.00
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Ironi Tiberias
1.40
Hapoel Hadera
1.40
Hapoel Haifa
1.20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.00
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Maccabi Netanya is 0.20 goals better than Beitar Jerusalem in terms of goals scored per game (2.80 vs 2.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.00
Beitar Jerusalem
1.20
Ironi Tiberias
1.20
Maccabi Netanya
1.20
Maccabi Haifa
1.33
Hapoel Katamon
1.40
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.40
Hapoel Haifa
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Hadera
1.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3.00
Ashdod
3.20
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.00
Maccabi Netanya and Beitar Jerusalem are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Maccabi Netanya or Draw✓ Hit
69.8%
Avg Implied -
43%
27%
30%
covers Maccabi Netanya + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya or Beitar Jerusalem✗ Miss
73.0%
Avg Implied -
43%
27%
30%
covers Maccabi Netanya + Beitar Jerusalem
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Beitar Jerusalem✓ Hit
57.2%
Avg Implied -
43%
27%
30%
covers Draw + Beitar Jerusalem
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.2%
Under
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
46.6%
Under
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.0%
Under
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.5%
Under
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.5%
Under
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.9%
Under
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Maccabi Netanya, so a minus line means Maccabi Netanya give that many goals of a start and Beitar Jerusalem receive them. At -1, Maccabi Netanya must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Maccabi Netanya win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beitar Jerusalem
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.37
0.87
0.53
0.93
0.20
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
1.27
0.33
1.50
0.67
1.11
0.11
vs Weaker (13)
0.62
0.38
0.50
0.38
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Maccabi Netanya
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.40
0.67
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.40
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.56
0.38
0.54
1.08
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beitar Jerusalem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.40
0.60
0.93
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.80
0.17
1.17
1.11
0.56
vs Weaker (13)
0.69
0.85
0.62
0.25
0.80
1.80
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Maccabi Netanya
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Igor Zlatanović33%
Daniel Dapaah21%
Amit Cohen17%
Maxim Plakushchenko14%
Freddy Vargas14%
Bar Cohen12%
Sahar Tagi11%
Heriberto Tavares9%
Itamar Shviro8%
Nikita Stoioanov7%
Mohammed Djetei5%
Yuval Sade4%
Maor Levi4%
Karm Jaber4%
Janio Bikel0%
Harel Shalom0%
Raz Meir0%
Omer Niron0%
Oz Bilu0%
Rotem Keller0%
Loai Halaf0%
Tomer Zarfati0%
Itay Ben Shabat0%
Aviv Kanarik0%
Idan Baranes0%
Dan Lee-Yam0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Karm Jaber38%
Aviv Kanarik36%
Maor Levi35%
Janio Bikel25%
Tomer Zarfati25%
Freddy Vargas23%
Igor Zlatanović22%
Heriberto Tavares22%
Mohammed Djetei19%
Dan Lee-Yam17%
Maxim Plakushchenko14%
Nikita Stoioanov13%
Raz Meir12%
Rotem Keller12%
Itay Ben Shabat12%
Oz Bilu10%
Yuval Sade9%
Daniel Dapaah7%
Bar Cohen6%
Loai Halaf6%
Itamar Shviro0%
Harel Shalom0%
Amit Cohen0%
Omer Niron0%
Sahar Tagi0%
Idan Baranes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maxim Plakushchenko24%
Freddy Vargas18%
Karm Jaber12%
Heriberto Tavares9%
Daniel Dapaah7%
Nikita Stoioanov7%
Bar Cohen6%
Itay Ben Shabat6%
Igor Zlatanović6%
Oz Bilu5%
Yuval Sade4%
Maor Levi4%
Rotem Keller4%
Janio Bikel0%
Mohammed Djetei0%
Itamar Shviro0%
Harel Shalom0%
Amit Cohen0%
Raz Meir0%
Omer Niron0%
Loai Halaf0%
Sahar Tagi0%
Tomer Zarfati0%
Aviv Kanarik0%
Idan Baranes0%
Dan Lee-Yam0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Maxim Plakushchenko29%
Igor Zlatanović22%
Bar Cohen12%
Sahar Tagi11%
Freddy Vargas9%
Heriberto Tavares9%
Daniel Dapaah7%
Oz Bilu5%
Rotem Keller4%
Janio Bikel0%
Mohammed Djetei0%
Itamar Shviro0%
Harel Shalom0%
Yuval Sade0%
Amit Cohen0%
Raz Meir0%
Omer Niron0%
Maor Levi0%
Karm Jaber0%
Loai Halaf0%
Tomer Zarfati0%
Itay Ben Shabat0%
Aviv Kanarik0%
Nikita Stoioanov0%
Idan Baranes0%
Dan Lee-Yam0%
Beitar Jerusalem
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Omer Atzili46%
Mayron George25%
Patrick Twumasi25%
Timothy Muzie24%
Ayi Silva Kangani22%
Yarden Shua17%
Abiezer Jeno15%
Jean Marcelin9%
Adi Menachem Yona8%
Li On Mizrahi7%
Ismaila Soro5%
Gil Cohen4%
Dor Micha4%
Miguel Silva0%
Grigory Morozov0%
Ori Dahan0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Liel Deri0%
Nehoray Dabush0%
Yarin Levi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Grigory Morozov40%
Ismaila Soro37%
Liel Deri33%
Gil Cohen30%
Jean Marcelin27%
Yarden Shua26%
Ori Dahan24%
Yarin Levi17%
Timothy Muzie16%
Zohar Zasano15%
Dor Micha12%
Adi Menachem Yona12%
Mayron George10%
Patrick Twumasi8%
Li On Mizrahi7%
Ayi Silva Kangani4%
Miguel Silva0%
Omer Atzili0%
Abiezer Jeno0%
Nehoray Dabush0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yarden Shua35%
Dor Micha21%
Grigory Morozov20%
Omer Atzili8%
Ori Dahan6%
Zohar Zasano5%
Jean Marcelin5%
Patrick Twumasi4%
Timothy Muzie4%
Adi Menachem Yona4%
Mayron George0%
Miguel Silva0%
Ismaila Soro0%
Gil Cohen0%
Abiezer Jeno0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Ayi Silva Kangani0%
Liel Deri0%
Nehoray Dabush0%
Yarin Levi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Omer Atzili38%
Patrick Twumasi29%
Yarden Shua13%
Mayron George10%
Timothy Muzie8%
Gil Cohen4%
Yarin Levi4%
Adi Menachem Yona4%
Jean Marcelin0%
Miguel Silva0%
Grigory Morozov0%
Dor Micha0%
Ismaila Soro0%
Ori Dahan0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Abiezer Jeno0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Ayi Silva Kangani0%
Liel Deri0%
Nehoray Dabush0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Maccabi Netanya's squad is €6m less valuable than Beitar Jerusalem's (€11m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Maccabi Netanya's attack is €6m less valuable than Beitar Jerusalem's (€3m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HK (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Maccabi Netanya and Beitar Jerusalem have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Maccabi Netanya and Beitar Jerusalem have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Hapoel Haifa
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Bnei Sakhnin
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Ashdod
Ironi Tiberias
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Hadera