Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Haifa Result & Analysis

The clash between Maccabi Netanya and Hapoel Haifa is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win. The probabilities are 36% for a Netanya victory, 30% for a draw and 34% for Haifa triumph. The average goal expectation sits at 2.4, and the most likely total is two goals, a 27% chance. The single score that the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 14.3% likelihood.

Netanya, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded. Haifa, on the road, averages 1.14 goals scored but concedes 1.57 against comparable teams. The recent form adds nuance: Netanya comes off a win and a 4-1 victory over Beitar Jerusalem, while Haifa follows a draw and a 0-0 stalemate with Hapoel Tel Aviv.

The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 88.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 84.8%, Under 3.5 at 77.7% (hit), Over 21.5 fouls at 77.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.0%, and Over 1.5 at 70.6% (miss). These probabilities are presented independently of the match-result odds.

Maccabi Netanya’s win over Hapoel Haifa extended their recent winning streak, finishing the match 1-0. The model had named a home win as the favourite with a 36% probability, and this call proved correct. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 was off, but the 1-0 result still fell within the model’s expected range. The Under 3.5 selection, with a 77.7% probability, hit, while the Over 1.5, at 70.6%, missed. Overall, the model’s predictions were largely accurate, correctly identifying the outcome and the correct total-goals range, though the over-goal selection did not materialise.