PythiaFootballBETA
Maccabi Netanya is expected to win this match, with a 43% chance of a home victory, 28% chance of a draw, and 28% chance of an away win. The model's pick is a home win. The average number of goals expected is 2.6. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 with a probability of 13.6%.
Maccabi Netanya has been scoring 1.67 goals on average at home, while conceding the same amount. Hapoel Haifa, on the other hand, has been scoring 0.91 goals on average away from home, and conceding 1.18 goals.
The model suggests selecting Over 1.5 with a probability of 74.3%, and Under 3.5 with a probability of 73.8%. Maccabi Netanya has a 43% chance of winning, a 28% chance of drawing, and a 28% chance of losing.
Maccabi Netanya's recent form, coming off a win, extended their run of competitive results, but ultimately, they were unable to secure a home win against Hapoel Haifa. The final score was a 1-1 draw, a result that defied the pre-match favourite, Maccabi Netanya, who had a 43% chance of winning according to the model. The model's selection, a home win, turned out to be incorrect. The model's suggested picks, however, fared better, with "Over 1.5" and "Under 3.5" goals both hitting, with probabilities of 74.3% and 73.8% respectively.
Maccabi Netanya| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.73 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 1.47 | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 1.56 | 2.67 | 2.25 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| vs Similar (19) | 1.68 | 1.68 | 1.60 | 1.10 | 1.78 | 2.33 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 3.00 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 17% (-11pp vs league) | |||||
Hapoel Haifa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.17 | 1.63 | 1.44 | 1.94 | 0.86 | 1.29 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 1.40 | 2.30 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| vs Similar (17) | 1.00 | 1.24 | 1.22 | 1.33 | 0.75 | 1.12 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-1pp vs league) | |||||
| Hapoel Haifa goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 14% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Maccabi NetanyaHapoel HaifaMaccabi Netanya| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.9 | 9.1 | 8.6 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 25.2 | 26.2 | 24.2 |
| vs Stronger (20) | 8.9 | 9.0 | 8.8 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 5.4 | 25.9 | 26.4 | 25.4 |
| vs Similar (27) | 8.6 | 8.9 | 8.4 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 24.0 | 25.0 | 23.2 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 12.0 | 12.0 | - | 3.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 32.0 | - |
| % over line | 35% | 41% | 29% | 60% | 54% | 67% | 71% | 76% | 65% |
| % under line | 65% | 59% | 71% | 40% | 46% | 33% | 29% | 24% | 35% |
Hapoel Haifa| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.4 | 9.2 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 26.1 | 26.7 | 25.5 |
| vs Stronger (22) | 9.3 | 8.8 | 9.7 | 4.9 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 26.6 | 26.4 | 26.7 |
| vs Similar (25) | 9.5 | 9.6 | 9.4 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 25.6 | 26.9 | 23.0 |
| vs Weaker (3) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 38% | 37% | 40% | 60% | 63% | 57% | 82% | 89% | 73% |
| % under line | 62% | 63% | 60% | 40% | 37% | 43% | 18% | 11% | 27% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 21.5 fouls | 83.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 3.5 cards | 78.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 74.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 73.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 07/12/25 | A | 3-4 | |
| 17/05/25 | A | 1-1 | |
| 14/04/25 | H | 2-2 | |
| 02/02/25 | A | 1-3 | |
| 28/10/24 | H | 0-3 | |
| 02/03/24 | H | 1-2 | |
| 23/12/23 | A | 2-1 |
Maccabi Netanya| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 | A | 4-3 | |
| 04/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 29/04/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 11/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 05/04/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 23/02/26 | H | 2-8 | |
| 14/02/26 | A | 0-4 | |
| 07/02/26 | H | 1-1 |
Hapoel Haifa| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 29/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 2-3 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 05/04/26 | H | 1-4 | |
| 22/02/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 14/02/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 07/02/26 | H | 0-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 36 | 79 | 67% | 2.2 | 79 | 38 | +41 | 3.2 | 78% | 56% | 39% | 10.0 | 58% | 5.8 | 88% | 28.7 | 92% | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 60% |
| 2 |  Beitar Jerusalem | 36 | 76 | 61% | 2.1 | 78 | 40 | +38 | 3.3 | 78% | 64% | 39% | 8.8 | 42% | 6.0 | 85% | 29.1 | 88% | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 57% |
| 3 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv | 35 | 63 | 51% | 1.8 | 72 | 46 | +26 | 3.4 | 83% | 69% | 54% | 9.4 | 44% | 5.6 | 96% | 30.3 | 100% | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 53% |
| 4 |  Hapoel Tel Aviv | 35 | 62 | 51% | 1.8 | 55 | 35 | +20 | 2.6 | 71% | 43% | 29% | 8.5 | 36% | 6.1 | 80% | 29.9 | 92% | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 47% |
| 5 |  Maccabi Haifa | 36 | 55 | 42% | 1.5 | 66 | 47 | +19 | 3.1 | 81% | 61% | 44% | 8.7 | 38% | 5.1 | 80% | 26.7 | 81% | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 54% |
| 6 | Maccabi Netanya | 33 | 48 | 42% | 1.5 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 3.7 | 91% | 67% | 45% | 9.0 | 27% | 6.4 | 91% | 26.0 | 77% | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 50% |
| 7 |  Ironi Tiberias | 33 | 44 | 36% | 1.3 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 3.1 | 85% | 45% | 36% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | - |
| 8 |  Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 33 | 40 | 33% | 1.2 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 3.1 | 82% | 64% | 45% | 8.3 | 32% | 5.0 | 73% | 27.3 | 82% | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 47% |
| 9 |  Hapoel Petah Tikva | 36 | 40 | 25% | 1.1 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 2.9 | 75% | 56% | 44% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | - |
| 10 | Hapoel Haifa | 33 | 34 | 24% | 1.0 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 2.7 | 73% | 42% | 30% | 9.8 | 45% | 5.5 | 91% | 27.0 | 82% | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 43% |
| 11 |  Bnei Sakhnin | 33 | 34 | 24% | 1.0 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 2.3 | 76% | 45% | 18% | 9.3 | 36% | 4.7 | 77% | 25.2 | 64% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 39% |
| 12 |  Hapoel Katamon | 33 | 31 | 21% | 0.9 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 2.1 | 61% | 39% | 18% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | - |
| 13 |  Ashdod | 33 | 28 | 18% | 0.8 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 3.0 | 82% | 58% | 33% | 8.7 | 32% | 5.6 | 77% | 27.8 | 86% | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 46% |
| 14 |  Maccabi Bnei Raina | 33 | 22 | 18% | 0.7 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 2.9 | 76% | 58% | 42% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 2.1 | - |