Maccabi Netanya are tipped to win in a tightly contested match that the model predicts will average 2.4 goals. The most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with a 14% chance, while the overall expected total of 2.4 goals sits just below the 2-goal mark. Home side Maccabi Netanya, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, have scored an average of 1.38 goals and conceded 1.54. Hapoel Haifa, on the road and facing a comparable opponent, average 0.89 goals scored and 1.00 conceded. The model’s pick is a home win, with a 44% chance; draws are 29% and away wins 27%. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals (99.6%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Under 6.5 (98.8% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.8% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.4%), Under 5.5 (96.2% with a 6% edge), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.7% with a 6% edge).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Maccabi Netanya win
43.3%
Avg Implied 45.8% · @ 2.00
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.05
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Draw
28.9%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.31
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
3.60
BetVictor
3.50
Betano
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
Hapoel Haifa win
27.9%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.45
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.03
1xBet
3.68
Marathonbet
3.66
10Bet
3.40
Betano
3.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Maccabi Netanya
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.67
1.44
1.44
2.07
1.93
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
1.25
1.67
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.81
1.73
1.38
1.54
2.23
1.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.53
1.69
1.75
1.07
1.29
vs Stronger (8)
1.88
2.12
2.67
2.67
1.40
1.80
vs Similar (22)
1.23
1.32
1.46
1.54
0.89
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.2%
@ 1.21-3.1%
Under 1.5
26.8%
@ 3.90+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.17
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.74
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.5%
@ 1.72-7.9%
Under 2.5
53.5%
@ 2.05+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Under
Bet365
2.08
Pinnacle
2.07
1xBet
2.05
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.0%
@ 2.67-9.7%
Under 3.5
75.0%
@ 1.41+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Pinnacle
2.68
Betano
2.65
Under
Pinnacle
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Both teams to score
Yes
52.1%
@ 1.60-5.6%
No
47.9%
@ 2.18+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.67
Bet365
1.62
BetVictor
1.60
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.58
No
1xBet
2.23
Betano
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%@ 6.21+6.7%
1-0
10.1%@ 8.15+4.7%
0-0
9.2%@ 10.14+4.9%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.80+3.4%
2-0
8.1%@ 10.12+3.8%
0-1
7.5%@ 11.16+3.6%
1-2
6.9%@ 10.78+2.9%
2-2
4.9%@ 11.22+1.0%
Maccabi Netanya goals ↓
Hapoel Haifa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
7.5%
4.8%
1.8%
0.5%
1
10%
14%
6.9%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.1%
9.0%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
3
3.9%
4.3%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.4%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Maccabi Netanya goals (down), columns = Hapoel Haifa goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.25
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Maccabi Netanya is 0.42 points better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of average points per game (1.45 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.20
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Maccabi Netanya is 0.61 goals better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 1.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.62
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Maccabi Netanya is 0.36 goals worse than Hapoel Haifa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.91 vs 1.55).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Maccabi Netanya is 6.4 percentage points better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of average possession (50% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Maccabi Netanya
For 3.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 10.8 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Haifa
For 4.4 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 14.5 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Maccabi Netanya
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.9
8.5
3.4
3.1
3.8
25.6
25.5
25.6
vs Stronger (10)
9.9
10.0
9.7
5.4
4.7
7.0
26.9
26.2
28.0
vs Similar (40)
8.2
8.2
8.1
2.9
2.5
3.3
25.0
25.1
24.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
30%
29%
31%
48%
41%
57%
74%
71%
77%
% under line
70%
71%
69%
52%
59%
43%
26%
29%
23%
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.4
9.9
3.1
3.2
2.9
26.8
27.1
26.6
vs Stronger (12)
8.3
7.3
8.8
4.4
4.0
4.7
27.9
27.0
28.3
vs Similar (38)
9.5
8.7
10.6
2.6
3.0
2.2
26.3
27.1
25.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
36%
29%
43%
50%
50%
50%
86%
93%
79%
% under line
64%
71%
57%
50%
50%
50%
14%
7%
21%
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.2
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
8.9
Hapoel Haifa
8.8
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.7
Hapoel Tel Aviv
8.6
Maccabi Netanya
8.6
Beitar Jerusalem
8.4
Maccabi Haifa
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
6.1
Beitar Jerusalem
5.6
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.4
Hapoel Haifa
5.3
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.1
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.7
Bnei Sakhnin
4.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
29.5
Beitar Jerusalem
29.1
Hapoel Beer Sheva
28.0
Maccabi Haifa
27.3
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.6
Hapoel Haifa
26.1
Maccabi Netanya
25.4
Maccabi Petah Tikva
24.8
Bnei Sakhnin
24.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
35.4%
Under 9.5
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
78.1%
Under 3.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.3%
Under 21.5
13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Maccabi Netanya or Draw
72.1%
Avg Implied 72.7% · @ 1.28
Edge
-0.6%
43%
29%
28%
covers Maccabi Netanya + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
BetVictor
1.30
William Hil
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Maccabi Netanya or Hapoel Haifa
71.1%
Avg Implied 73.1% · @ 1.28
Edge
-2.0%
43%
29%
28%
covers Maccabi Netanya + Hapoel Haifa
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Draw or Hapoel Haifa
56.7%
Avg Implied 54.2% · @ 1.72
Edge
+2.5%
43%
29%
28%
covers Draw + Hapoel Haifa
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5
Over
76.1%
@ 1.18-2.9%
Under
23.9%
@ 4.41+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Betano
4.30
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5
Over
41.8%
@ 1.88-7.7%
Under
58.2%
@ 1.84+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.00
1xBet
1.88
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
10Bet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5
Over
17.4%
@ 3.73-7.5%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.23+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.80
Pinnacle
3.69
Betano
3.65
Under
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Maccabi Netanya over/under 3.5
Over
5.7%
@ 8.38-5.5%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.06+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Betano
7.30
1xBet
6.70
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5
Over
66.8%
@ 1.33-3.0%
Under
33.2%
@ 3.07+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.15
Betano
3.05
10Bet
3.00
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5
Over
30.2%
@ 2.67-4.6%
Under
69.8%
@ 1.43+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.80
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.66
1xBet
2.66
10Bet
2.62
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5
Over
10.0%
@ 6.22-4.8%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.09+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.15
1xBet
6.15
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Hapoel Haifa over/under 3.5
Over
2.6%
@ 14.92-3.8%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
1xBet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Maccabi Netanya, so a minus line means Maccabi Netanya give that many goals of a start and Hapoel Haifa receive them. At -1, Maccabi Netanya must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Maccabi Netanya win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Maccabi Netanya)
Maccabi Netanya -2
8.2%
@ 6.97-4.7%
Draw -2
13.3%
@ 5.70-2.4%
Hapoel Haifa +2
78.5%
@ 1.26+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.85
10Bet
5.25
Away
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Handicap -1 (Maccabi Netanya)
Maccabi Netanya -1
21.5%
@ 3.63-3.1%
Draw -1
21.7%
@ 3.86-1.4%
Hapoel Haifa +1
56.7%
@ 1.71+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.38
Draw
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Away
10Bet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
Betfair
1.67
Handicap +1 (Maccabi Netanya)
Maccabi Netanya +1
72.1%
@ 1.29+2.0%
Draw +1
16.5%
@ 5.32-0.5%
Hapoel Haifa -1
11.4%
@ 6.98-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
10Bet
5.00
Away
10Bet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.95
Handicap +2 (Maccabi Netanya)
Maccabi Netanya +2
88.6%
@ 1.08+3.3%
Draw +2
7.9%
@ 10.00-1.3%
Hapoel Haifa -2
3.4%
@ 17.00-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Maccabi Netanya
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.70
0.94
0.75
0.93
0.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.96
0.65
0.92
0.69
1.00
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.69
0.75
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.12
0.67
1.67
0.60
0.80
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.50
0.69
0.54
0.56
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.8%
@ 1.35-1.3%
Under 0.5
32.2%
@ 3.00+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Under
William Hil
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.10
Betano
2.92
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
29.3%
@ 2.51-7.8%
Under 1.5
70.7%
@ 1.48+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.55
Pinnacle
2.54
William Hil
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
BetVictor
1.47
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.4%
@ 5.96-5.1%
Under 2.5
89.6%
@ 1.10+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.65
Marathonbet
5.65
Under
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5 HT
Over
47.3%
@ 1.79-4.5%
Under
52.7%
@ 1.92+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.84
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.03
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.84
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.2%
@ 5.00-5.3%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.14+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.05
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.70
Under
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.6%
@ 11.38-5.7%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.02+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.6%
@ 2.21-5.1%
Under
63.4%
@ 1.58+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.31
Marathonbet
2.28
Betano
2.22
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.54
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.4%
@ 7.33-4.2%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.06+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Maccabi Netanya
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.97
0.50
0.69
1.14
1.29
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.25
0.67
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.85
1.08
0.46
0.85
1.23
1.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.87
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.71
vs Stronger (8)
1.25
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.80
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.82
0.77
1.00
0.33
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.3%
@ 1.19-2.5%
Under 0.5
24.7%
@ 4.17+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Betano
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.1%
@ 1.89-8.1%
Under 1.5
58.9%
@ 1.83+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.95
Bet365
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Under
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.3%
@ 3.68-8.8%
Under 2.5
83.7%
@ 1.24+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.50
Marathonbet
3.44
1xBet
3.44
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.0%
@ 1.52-7.8%
Under
47.0%
@ 2.36+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Under
1xBet
2.38
10Bet
2.35
Betano
2.35
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.5%
@ 3.44-7.4%
Under
80.5%
@ 1.26+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.35
Under
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.9%
@ 8.67-6.7%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.03+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
10Bet
9.00
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.3%
@ 1.85-4.5%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.84+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.90
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.76
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.1%
@ 5.28-4.4%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.12+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.90
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.25
Betano
4.70
Under
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.09
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.1%
@ 13.38-5.0%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.02+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.6%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.0%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.7%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.8%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.1%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+6.7%
Under 5.5
95.6%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.02
BetVictor
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
+5.6%
Home under 3.5 goals
94.3%
1.06
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.04
-
+5.5%
Over 19.5 fouls
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.6%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
-
+4.2%
Over 2.5 cards
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
90.0%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.07
+4.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.6%
1.10
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
+5.1%
Under 4.5
88.7%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
+7.6%
Home +2 handicap
88.6%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+3.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.9%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.09
-
+4.4%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.8%
1.14
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
-
+5.3%
Over 21.5 fouls
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.7%
1.24
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+8.8%
Home under 2.5 goals
82.6%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Bet365
1.22
+7.5%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.26
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
-
+7.4%
Away +2 handicap
78.5%
1.26
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
-
-
+7.1%
Over 3.5 cards
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
76.1%
1.18
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.16
-2.9%
Under 10.5 corners
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.3%
1.19
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
-2.5%
Under 3.5
75.0%
1.41
Pinnacle
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
+9.7%
Over 1.5
73.2%
1.21
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
-3.1%
Home or Draw
72.1%
1.28
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
BetVictor
1.30
William Hil
1.29
10Bet
1.28
-0.6%
Home +1 handicap
72.1%
1.29
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
-
-
+2.0%
Home or Away
71.1%
1.28
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.28
Betfair
1.25
-2.0%
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.7%
1.48
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
BetVictor
1.47
+7.8%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Maccabi Netanya · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Basam Zaarura40%
Maor Levi30%
Oz Bilu27%
Matheus Davó20%
Bakary Konate20%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa17%
Heriberto Tavares15%
Omri Shamir12%
Wilson Harris8%
Itay Ben Shabat6%
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed6%
Gontie Junior Diomande6%
Rotem Keller5%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Niv Antman0%
Maxim Plakushchenko0%
Yuval Sade0%
Amit Cohen0%
Omer Niron0%
Karm Jaber0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Denis Kulikov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed56%
Omri Shamir50%
Karm Jaber33%
Gontie Junior Diomande33%
Heriberto Tavares25%
Itay Ben Shabat25%
Bakary Konate20%
Wilson Harris17%
Amit Cohen17%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa17%
Rotem Keller15%
Oz Bilu14%
Matheus Davó10%
Denis Kulikov7%
Maxim Plakushchenko6%
Yuval Sade6%
Maor Levi5%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Niv Antman0%
Omer Niron0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Basam Zaarura0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matheus Davó35%
Heriberto Tavares20%
Wylan Cyprien17%
Maor Levi15%
Rotem Keller10%
Karm Jaber10%
Maxim Plakushchenko6%
Amit Cohen6%
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed6%
Oz Bilu5%
Wilson Harris0%
Niv Antman0%
Yuval Sade0%
Omer Niron0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Omri Shamir0%
Itay Ben Shabat0%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa0%
Basam Zaarura0%
Gontie Junior Diomande0%
Bakary Konate0%
Denis Kulikov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oz Bilu27%
Matheus Davó20%
Basam Zaarura13%
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed11%
Gontie Junior Diomande11%
Heriberto Tavares10%
Maor Levi10%
Maxim Plakushchenko6%
Yuval Sade6%
Amit Cohen6%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Wilson Harris0%
Niv Antman0%
Omer Niron0%
Karm Jaber0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Omri Shamir0%
Rotem Keller0%
Itay Ben Shabat0%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa0%
Bakary Konate0%
Denis Kulikov0%
Hapoel Haifa · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alon Turgeman57%
Javon East46%
Ofek Biton20%
Liran Rotman14%
Roei Zikri12%
Rotem Hatuel10%
Anis Forat Ayias8%
Liran Sardal6%
Roy Nawi6%
Naor Sabag5%
Yonatan Ferber5%
Bruno Ramires0%
Larry Angulo0%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Saar Fadida0%
Dor Malul0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Saná Gomes0%
George Diba0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Regis Ndo0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Yaad Gonen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Larry Angulo67%
Roy Nawi47%
Rotem Hatuel35%
Alon Turgeman29%
Dor Malul26%
Bruno Ramires25%
Naor Sabag25%
Saná Gomes25%
Ivan Kričak22%
Oren Biton22%
Saar Fadida20%
Tamir Arbel20%
Liran Sardal18%
Itay Buganim15%
Liran Rotman14%
Yaad Gonen14%
Roei Zikri12%
George Diba11%
Javon East8%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Ofek Biton0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Regis Ndo0%
Yonatan Ferber0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ofek Biton33%
Naor Sabag15%
Yonatan Ferber15%
Javon East8%
Roei Zikri6%
Dor Malul5%
Rotem Hatuel5%
Alon Turgeman0%
Bruno Ramires0%
Larry Angulo0%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Saar Fadida0%
Liran Rotman0%
Liran Sardal0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Saná Gomes0%
George Diba0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Regis Ndo0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Roy Nawi0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Yaad Gonen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alon Turgeman57%
Ofek Biton20%
Rotem Hatuel20%
Liran Rotman14%
Javon East8%
Regis Ndo8%
Roy Nawi6%
Naor Sabag5%
Yonatan Ferber5%
Bruno Ramires0%
Larry Angulo0%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Saar Fadida0%
Roei Zikri0%
Dor Malul0%
Liran Sardal0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Saná Gomes0%
George Diba0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Yaad Gonen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
Maccabi Netanya's squad is €7m more valuable than Hapoel Haifa's (€11m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
Maccabi Netanya's attack is €2m more valuable than Hapoel Haifa's (€3m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
Maccabi Netanya's midfield is €2m more valuable than Hapoel Haifa's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
Maccabi Netanya's defence is €3m more valuable than Hapoel Haifa's (€5m vs €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Maccabi Haifa
Ironi Tiberias
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Hapoel Katamon
Beitar Jerusalem