Maccabi Netanya are favoured to win, with a 61% chance of a home victory, 23% for a draw and 17% for an away win. The model expects an average of 3.1 goals, but the most likely total is 2, with a 23% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.6% chance. Maccabi Netanya, playing at home against a team of similar strength, average 1.5 goals scored and 1.43 conceded, while Hapoel Ramat Gan, on the road against a similar opponent, average 1.5 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.1%), Under 6.5 (96.3%), Home +2 handicap (93.9%), Under 5.5 (90.9%), Home over 0.5 goals (87.3%) and Home under 3.5 goals (84.6%). The only miss is Away under 2.5 goals at 91.8%.
Results analysis
Maccabi Netanya finished 2-3 against Hapoel Ramat Gan (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 61% home win, 23% draw and 17% away win. Picks that landed: Under 7.5 (99%), Away under 3.5 goals (98%), Under 6.5 (96%), Home +2 handicap (94%), Under 5.5 (91%), Home over 0.5 goals (87%), Home under 3.5 goals (85%). Missed: Away under 2.5 goals (92%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Maccabi Netanya win✗ Miss
60.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ramat Gan win✓ Hit
16.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Maccabi Netanya
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.70
1.62
1.38
2.00
2.07
vs Stronger (4)
2.00
1.50
2.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.77
1.73
1.50
1.43
2.08
2.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Ramat Gan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.10
1.50
1.06
1.57
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.56
1.04
1.60
1.07
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.67
0.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.1%
Under 1.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.2%
Under 2.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.8%
Under 3.5
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.4%
No
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.9%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.8%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
Maccabi Netanya goals ↓
Hapoel Ramat Gan goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
3.7%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
1
8.6%
11%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
2
9.9%
10.0%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
3
6.8%
6.8%
3.4%
1.2%
0.3%
4
3.5%
3.5%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Maccabi Netanya goals (down), columns = Hapoel Ramat Gan goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3.00
Beitar Jerusalem
3.00
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2.00
Maccabi Netanya
2.00
Hapoel Katamon
1.80
Hapoel Haifa
1.80
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.32
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.20
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.20
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.16
Bnei Sakhnin
1.00
Ironi Tiberias
0.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00
Maccabi Haifa
0.00
Maccabi Netanya is 0.84 points better than Hapoel Ramat Gan in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.16).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Beitar Jerusalem
3.00
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.00
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.67
Hapoel Katamon
1.60
Maccabi Netanya
1.60
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.26
Bnei Sakhnin
1.20
Ironi Tiberias
1.20
Hapoel Haifa
1.20
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00
Maccabi Haifa
0.00
Maccabi Netanya is 0.49 goals better than Hapoel Ramat Gan in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beitar Jerusalem
0.33
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
1.20
Maccabi Netanya
1.40
Ironi Tiberias
1.40
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.56
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.77
Hapoel Haifa
1.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.00
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Maccabi Netanya is 0.37 goals better than Hapoel Ramat Gan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.77).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Maccabi Netanya or Draw✗ Miss
83.3%
Avg Implied -
61%
23%
17%
covers Maccabi Netanya + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya or Hapoel Ramat Gan✓ Hit
77.4%
Avg Implied -
61%
23%
17%
covers Maccabi Netanya + Hapoel Ramat Gan
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Hapoel Ramat Gan✓ Hit
39.3%
Avg Implied -
61%
23%
17%
covers Draw + Hapoel Ramat Gan
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.3%
Under
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
61.0%
Under
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
34.0%
Under
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
15.4%
Under
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.5%
Under
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
26.7%
Under
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Maccabi Netanya, so a minus line means Maccabi Netanya give that many goals of a start and Hapoel Ramat Gan receive them. At -1, Maccabi Netanya must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Maccabi Netanya win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Maccabi Netanya)Actual: Hapoel Ramat Gan
Maccabi Netanya -2
19.3%
Draw -2
18.7%
Hapoel Ramat Gan +2
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Maccabi Netanya)Actual: Hapoel Ramat Gan
This opponent (Hapoel Ramat Gan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.56
0.50
0.64
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.44
0.60
0.53
0.58
0.33
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Maccabi Netanya
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.00
0.69
0.69
1.07
1.36
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.81
1.08
0.64
0.79
1.00
1.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Ramat Gan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
0.94
0.56
0.93
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.96
0.59
1.00
0.53
0.92
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.33
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Maccabi Netanya · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Basam Zaarura40%
Maor Levi30%
Oz Bilu27%
Matheus Davó20%
Bakary Konate20%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa17%
Heriberto Tavares15%
Omri Shamir12%
Wilson Harris8%
Itay Ben Shabat6%
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed6%
Gontie Junior Diomande6%
Rotem Keller5%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Niv Antman0%
Maxim Plakushchenko0%
Yuval Sade0%
Amit Cohen0%
Omer Niron0%
Karm Jaber0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Denis Kulikov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed56%
Omri Shamir50%
Karm Jaber33%
Gontie Junior Diomande33%
Heriberto Tavares25%
Itay Ben Shabat25%
Bakary Konate20%
Wilson Harris17%
Amit Cohen17%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa17%
Rotem Keller15%
Oz Bilu14%
Matheus Davó10%
Denis Kulikov7%
Maxim Plakushchenko6%
Yuval Sade6%
Maor Levi5%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Niv Antman0%
Omer Niron0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Basam Zaarura0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matheus Davó35%
Heriberto Tavares20%
Wylan Cyprien17%
Maor Levi15%
Rotem Keller10%
Karm Jaber10%
Maxim Plakushchenko6%
Amit Cohen6%
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed6%
Oz Bilu5%
Wilson Harris0%
Niv Antman0%
Yuval Sade0%
Omer Niron0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Omri Shamir0%
Itay Ben Shabat0%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa0%
Basam Zaarura0%
Gontie Junior Diomande0%
Bakary Konate0%
Denis Kulikov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oz Bilu27%
Matheus Davó20%
Basam Zaarura13%
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed11%
Gontie Junior Diomande11%
Heriberto Tavares10%
Maor Levi10%
Maxim Plakushchenko6%
Yuval Sade6%
Amit Cohen6%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Wilson Harris0%
Niv Antman0%
Omer Niron0%
Karm Jaber0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Omri Shamir0%
Rotem Keller0%
Itay Ben Shabat0%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa0%
Bakary Konate0%
Denis Kulikov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
Maccabi Netanya's squad is €6m more valuable than Hapoel Ramat Gan's (€11m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
Maccabi Netanya's attack is €1m more valuable than Hapoel Ramat Gan's (€3m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
Maccabi Netanya's midfield is €2m more valuable than Hapoel Ramat Gan's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
Maccabi Netanya's defence is €3m more valuable than Hapoel Ramat Gan's (€5m vs €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
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Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Maccabi Haifa
Ironi Tiberias
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Katamon