Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem Result & Analysis

The contest between Maccabi Petah Tikva and Beitar Jerusalem is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win at 37%. The expected total goals hover around 2.5, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.1% chance. Maccabi Petah Tikva, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.45 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Beitar Jerusalem, on the road against a similar side, averages 2.1 goals scored and only 0.7 conceded. The probabilities for the match result are 34% home win, 30% draw, and 37% away win. Suggested picks from the model include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.6%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.5%), Under 5.5 (95.8%), Over 19.5 fouls (90.2%), Home under 2.5 goals (87.6%). The model also lists Under 4.5 (89.2%) and Away under 3.5 goals (95.9%) as misses, and Under 4.5 as a miss. All figures are presented as percentages, with no other commentary.

The model’s prediction proved accurate as Beitar Jerusalem secured a 1-4 away win, extending their recent form with a victory after a defeat. The pre-match favourite was the away win, given a 37% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The final score of 1-4 matched the actual result. The model’s selections were largely fulfilled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.6%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.6%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 96.5%, Away under 3.5 goals missed at 95.9%, Under 5.5 hit at 95.8%, Under 4.5 missed at 89.2%, and Home under 2.5 goals hit at 87.6%. The match delivered on the model’s expectations.