Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Result & Analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv are the clear favourites, with a 47% chance of victory, 30% for a draw and 23% for a Hapoel Beer Sheva win. The model predicts an average of 2.3 goals, most likely a 2-goal match, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 14%. Maccabi’s home form shows they average 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded against similar opponents, while Hapoel Beer Sheva’s away record is 1.5 goals scored and 0.83 conceded to comparable teams. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 91.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 90.0%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 82.2%, Under 3.5 at 80.5%, Over 3.5 cards at 77.8%, and Under 10.5 corners at 73.5%. Each pick is listed with its probability, and those marked hit indicate a successful outcome.

The match saw Maccabi Tel Aviv extend their recent winning run, finishing with a 1-0 victory over Hapoel Beer Sheva. The model had picked a home win with a 47% probability, and the outcome matched that prediction. The most likely scoreline, 1-1, was not realized, but the 1-0 result still confirmed the home advantage. The model’s selections performed strongly: Over 2.5 cards hit at 90%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.7%, Under 3.5 at 80.5%, Over 3.5 cards at 77.8%, and Under 10.5 corners at 73.5%. Each hit reflected the match’s tight, low-scoring nature and the defensive solidity shown by both sides.