Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Result & Analysis

Defensive solidity will shape this encounter, with Maccabi Tel Aviv averaging only 0.33 goals conceded at home while Hapoel Beer Sheva has allowed 1.33 on the road. The model favours a home win, assigning 40% to Maccabi, 33% to a draw and 28% to Hapoel. The expected total is 2.1 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome that carries a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.7% chance.

Maccabi’s home form shows 1.67 goals scored per match against similar opposition, whereas Hapoel’s away form is 0.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. The suggested selections include Over 2.5 cards at 90.1%, Under 3.5 goals at 84.4%, Under 11.5 corners at 81.7% (miss), Over 19.5 fouls at 79.2%, Over 3.5 cards at 77.9% (miss) and Under 10.5 corners at 72.3% (miss). Maccabi’s recent draw and Hapoel’s recent win hint at a tightly contested match, but the defensive numbers and probabilities point to a modest, low-scoring home victory.

Maccabi Tel Aviv’s 3-0 triumph over Hapoel Beer Sheva extended their recent run, with the win coming after a draw in their last outing. The model had tipped a home win with a 40% probability, and the prediction proved correct. The expected total of 2.1 goals fell short of the 3-goal reality, but the match still delivered a clear result. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 2.5 cards hit at 90.1%, Under 3.5 cards hit at 84.4%, while Under 11.5 corners missed at 81.7%, Over 3.5 cards missed at 77.9%, and Under 10.5 corners missed at 72.3%. Overall, the day was a mixed bag for the selections, with the favourite’s call standing out.