PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa Result & Analysis

Date: 13/05/2026
Time: 17:30
Final 3-0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Vs
54%
24%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Haifa
Israel: Ligat Ha'al
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Odd / Even7 Home & Away Over/Under8 Handicap9 Top picks for this game10 Squad value11 Games History12 Overall Statistics13 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Maccabi Tel Aviv a 54% win probability against Maccabi Haifa in the Israel: Ligat Ha'al on 2026-05-13, with 24% for the draw and 22% for Maccabi Haifa. The model estimates around 3.1 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (23%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (11.2%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 21.5 fouls (90%), Over 1.5 (82%), Over 3.5 cards (79%).

Results analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv finished 3-0 against Maccabi Haifa (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 54% home win, 24% draw and 22% away win. Picks that landed: Over 21.5 fouls (90%), Over 1.5 (82%), Over 3.5 cards (79%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv win✓ Hit
54.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa win✗ Miss
21.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D32W41W13L10W31W10W24L40W11DA·BEI16/02H·ASH21/02A·HAP05/04H·HAP12/04H·HAP19/04A·MAC25/04H·HAP28/04A·BEI02/05H·HAP05/05A·HAP09/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.701.731.801.601.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.782.440.673.000.832.17
vs Weaker (21)2.051.382.001.502.111.22
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi HaifaMaccabi Haifa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W01L02L41W03L13L04L21W01L30WH·BNE15/02H·HAP21/02A·HAP06/04H·IRO12/04A·BEI19/04H·MAC25/04A·HAP29/04A·HAP02/05H·HAP06/05H·BEI09/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.332.201.271.271.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.001.171.251.500.500.50
vs Weaker (24)1.921.382.551.181.381.54
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.5%
Under 1.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.8%
Under 2.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.4%
Under 3.5
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.9%
No
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.5%
Maccabi Tel Aviv goals ↓
Maccabi Haifa goals →
01234
05.5%4.3%3.1%1.2%0.4%
17.7%11%6.0%2.3%0.7%
28.4%9.8%5.7%2.2%0.7%
35.4%6.3%3.7%1.4%0.4%
42.6%3.0%1.8%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Maccabi Tel Aviv goals (down), columns = Maccabi Haifa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Ashdod
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.67
Maccabi Tel Aviv is 0.27 points better than Maccabi Haifa in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Ashdod
1.15
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.79
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Maccabi Tel Aviv is 0.22 goals better than Maccabi Haifa in terms of goals scored per game (2.06 vs 1.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Ashdod
1.88
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Maccabi Bnei Raina
2.09
Maccabi Tel Aviv is 0.01 goals worse than Maccabi Haifa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.31).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Ashdod
46%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Maccabi Tel Aviv is 0.8 percentage points worse than Maccabi Haifa in terms of average possession (53% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv

For 4.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

16051149462641023133247116131084124668A·HAPA·BEIH·HAPA·MACH·HAPH·HAPA·HAPH·ASHA·BEIA·IRO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.6

🟨 Cards

80316143425332332322314776856544A·HAPA·BEIH·HAPA·MACH·HAPH·HAPA·HAPH·ASHA·BEIA·IRO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 13.6 · Total 28.1

⚠️ Fouls

35018171316111118101322141515711142112111235292228352922253323A·HAPA·BEIH·HAPA·MACH·HAPH·HAPA·HAPH·ASHA·BEIA·IRO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Maccabi HaifaMaccabi Haifa

For 4.8 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.1

🚩 Corners

1605135162313310691564768184616101111H·BEIH·HAPA·HAPH·MACA·BEIH·IROA·HAPH·BNEA·MACH·MAC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

9023311124111351254135426246294H·BEIH·HAPA·HAPH·MACA·BEIH·IROA·HAPH·BNEA·MACH·MAC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.8

⚠️ Fouls

30012131611161210187141317137991415121025272828213020182922H·BEIH·HAPA·HAPH·MACA·BEIH·IROA·HAPH·BNEA·MACH·MAC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.98.29.63.93.84.029.729.430.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (19)9.28.49.94.24.73.828.527.629.2
vs Weaker (31)8.78.19.33.73.44.130.830.930.8
% over line39%39%39%64%64%64%97%94%100%
% under line61%61%61%36%36%36%3%6%0%
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi HaifaMaccabi Haifa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.78.58.93.43.33.527.327.826.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (13)9.49.79.04.24.73.729.629.330.0
vs Weaker (37)8.37.98.83.12.83.426.327.025.5
% over line39%33%47%50%58%42%85%89%80%
% under line61%67%53%50%42%58%15%11%20%
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.5
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9.2
Hapoel Haifa
9.1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
9.0
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
8.9
Ashdod
8.8
Beitar Jerusalem
8.7
Maccabi Netanya
8.6
Maccabi Haifa
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
6.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.6
Hapoel Haifa
5.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.5
Beitar Jerusalem
5.4
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.0
Ashdod
5.0
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.9
Bnei Sakhnin
4.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
28.0
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.7
Beitar Jerusalem
27.6
Maccabi Haifa
27.2
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
27.0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.0
Hapoel Haifa
25.9
Ashdod
25.2
Maccabi Netanya
25.1
Bnei Sakhnin
24.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
36.0%
Under 9.5
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.6%
Under 3.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.6%
Under 21.5
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 21.5 fouls89.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.582.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards78.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (38)
€46m
MH (46)
€30m
HBS (33)
€25m
BJ (39)
€20m
HTA (39)
€17m
MN (36)
€12m
HK (34)
€11m
HPT (36)
€9m
IKS (31)
€8m
ASH (42)
€8m
HH (40)
€7m
MBR (35)
€6m
IT (29)
€5m
BS (39)
€5m
Maccabi Tel Aviv's squad is €16m more valuable than Maccabi Haifa's (€46m vs €30m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BJ (0)
€0m
BS (0)
€0m
HBS (0)
€0m
HH (0)
€0m
HK (0)
€0m
HTA (0)
€0m
IKS (0)
€0m
IT (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MN (0)
€0m
MTA (0)
€0m
HPT (0)
€0m
ASH (0)
€0m
MBR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BJ (0)
€0m
BS (0)
€0m
HBS (0)
€0m
HH (0)
€0m
HK (0)
€0m
HTA (0)
€0m
IKS (0)
€0m
IT (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MN (0)
€0m
MTA (0)
€0m
HPT (0)
€0m
ASH (0)
€0m
MBR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BJ (0)
€0m
BS (0)
€0m
HBS (0)
€0m
HH (0)
€0m
HK (0)
€0m
HTA (0)
€0m
IKS (0)
€0m
IT (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MN (0)
€0m
MTA (0)
€0m
HPT (0)
€0m
ASH (0)
€0m
MBR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa · H/A from MTA
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26AMaccabi Haifa Vs MTA1-3
18/01/26AMaccabi Haifa Vs MTA4-1
05/10/25HMTA Vs Maccabi Haifa1-1
19/05/25AMaccabi Haifa Vs MTA0-3
14/04/25HMTA Vs Maccabi Haifa1-1
27/01/25AMaccabi Haifa Vs MTA1-1
19/10/24HMTA Vs Maccabi Haifa2-0
11/05/24AMaccabi Haifa Vs MTA0-1

Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26AHapoel Tel Aviv Vs MTA1-1
05/05/26HMTA Vs Hapoel Petah Tikva4-0
02/05/26ABeitar Jerusalem Vs MTA4-2
28/04/26HMTA Vs Hapoel Beer Sheva1-0
25/04/26AMaccabi Haifa Vs MTA1-3
19/04/26HMTA Vs Hapoel Tel Aviv1-0
12/04/26HMTA Vs Hapoel Beer Sheva1-3
05/04/26AHapoel Haifa Vs MTA1-4
21/02/26HMTA Vs Ashdod3-2
16/02/26ABeitar Jerusalem Vs MTA0-0

Maccabi HaifaMaccabi Haifa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26HMH Vs Beitar Jerusalem3-0
06/05/26HMH Vs Hapoel Beer Sheva0-1
02/05/26AHapoel Petah Tikva Vs MH1-2
29/04/26AHapoel Tel Aviv Vs MH4-0
25/04/26HMH Vs Maccabi Tel Aviv1-3
19/04/26ABeitar Jerusalem Vs MH3-0
12/04/26HMH Vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona4-1
06/04/26AHapoel Tel Aviv Vs MH2-0
21/02/26HMH Vs Hapoel Petah Tikva0-1
15/02/26HMH Vs Bnei Sakhnin4-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Israel: Ligat Ha'al
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD1.66
HomeWLWWW1.72
AwayDWWLD1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%44%
AVG goals3.243.403.08
Over 1.5 %80%84%76%
Over 2.5 %64%72%56%
Over 3.5 %50%52%48%
Scored1.861.841.88
Conceded1.381.561.20
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners8.928.229.61
Cards5.135.055.21
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Haifa
Israel: Ligat Ha'al
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.48
HomeLWLLW1.50
AwayDLLLW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%46%33%
AVG goals3.123.462.75
Over 1.5 %80%81%79%
Over 2.5 %60%73%46%
Over 3.5 %40%46%33%
Scored1.661.921.38
Conceded1.461.541.38
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet30%27%33%
Corners8.678.508.87
Cards5.184.835.60

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva3679
67%
2.2
7938+41
3.2
78%
56%
39%
10.0
58%
5.8
88%
28.7
92%
25
0002.21.1
60%
2Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem3676
61%
2.1
7840+38
3.3
78%
64%
39%
8.8
42%
6.0
85%
29.1
88%
20
0002.21.1
57%
3Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv3563
51%
1.8
7246+26
3.4
83%
69%
54%
9.4
44%
5.6
96%
30.3
100%
46
0002.11.3
53%
4Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv3562
51%
1.8
5535+20
2.6
71%
43%
29%
8.5
36%
6.1
80%
29.9
92%
17
0001.61.0
47%
5Maccabi HaifaMaccabi Haifa3655
42%
1.5
6647+19
3.1
81%
61%
44%
8.7
38%
5.1
80%
26.7
81%
30
0001.81.3
54%
6Maccabi NetanyaMaccabi Netanya3348
42%
1.5
5963-4
3.7
91%
67%
45%
9.0
27%
6.4
91%
26.0
77%
12
0001.81.9
50%
7Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias3344
36%
1.3
4556-11
3.1
85%
45%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.41.7
-
8Ironi Kiryat ShmonaIroni Kiryat Shmona3340
33%
1.2
5053-3
3.1
82%
64%
45%
8.3
32%
5.0
73%
27.3
82%
8
0001.51.6
47%
9Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Petah Tikva3640
25%
1.1
4857-9
2.9
75%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0001.31.6
-
10Hapoel HaifaHapoel Haifa3334
24%
1.0
3951-12
2.7
73%
42%
30%
9.8
45%
5.5
91%
27.0
82%
7
0001.21.5
43%
11Bnei SakhninBnei Sakhnin3334
24%
1.0
2849-21
2.3
76%
45%
18%
9.3
36%
4.7
77%
25.2
64%
5
0000.81.5
39%
12Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon3331
21%
0.9
2643-17
2.1
61%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
0000.81.3
-
13AshdodAshdod3328
18%
0.8
3862-24
3.0
82%
58%
33%
8.7
32%
5.6
77%
27.8
86%
8
0001.21.9
46%
14Maccabi Bnei RainaMaccabi Bnei Raina3322
18%
0.7
2669-43
2.9
76%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
0000.82.1
-
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →

← all matches