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Macva vs Loznica Result & Analysis

Date: 30/04/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 2-1
Macva
Macva
Vs
44%
32%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Loznica
Loznica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Macva win✓ Hit
44.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Loznica win✗ Miss
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MacvaMacva

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D31W20W00D01L10W11D02L21WA·LOZ12/03H·RAD18/03A·IMT22/03H·ŽEL27/03A·FK 01/04H·PRO08/04A·FK 12/04H·JED15/04H·FK 22/04A·RAD26/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.001.000.870.801.13
vs Stronger (2)1.501.502.000.001.003.00
vs Similar (28)0.860.960.930.930.791.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Loznica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LoznicaLoznica

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D01L11D11D05L20W20W11D03L21WH·MAC12/03A·OFK18/03A·RAD22/03H·IMT27/03A·ŽEL01/04H·FK 08/04A·PRO12/04H·FK 15/04A·SLO22/04H·OFK26/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.371.001.330.871.40
vs Stronger (2)0.002.500.000.000.005.00
vs Similar (28)1.001.291.071.430.931.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.0%
Under 1.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
34.7%
Under 2.5
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.9%
Under 3.5
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.8%
No
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
14.2%
0-0
13.7%
2-0
9.6%
0-1
9.1%
2-1 ✓
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.4%
Macva goals ↓
Loznica goals →
01234
014%9.1%4.4%1.2%0.3%
114%14%5.5%1.5%0.3%
29.6%8.1%3.4%1.0%0.2%
34.0%3.4%1.4%0.4%0.1%
41.3%1.1%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Macva goals (down), columns = Loznica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IMT Novi Beograd
2.03
Železničar Pančevo
1.84
Grafičar
1.62
Indjija
1.46
Proleter Novi SAD
1.43
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.43
Jedinstvo Ub
1.43
Sloboda Uzice
1.38
OFK Vršac
1.30
Metalac GM
1.30
Macva
1.30
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.22
Loznica
1.11
FK Trayal
1.08
RFK Novi Sad
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.89
RAD
0.81
Macva is 0.19 points better than Loznica in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Grafičar
1.76
Železničar Pančevo
1.70
IMT Novi Beograd
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
1.43
Indjija
1.24
Jedinstvo Ub
1.22
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.16
Metalac GM
1.14
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Proleter Novi SAD
1.13
Loznica
1.08
OFK Vršac
1.05
RAD
1.00
Macva
1.00
FK Trayal
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.97
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.86
Macva is 0.08 goals worse than Loznica in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.08).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Železničar Pančevo
0.95
Indjija
0.95
IMT Novi Beograd
0.97
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.03
Jedinstvo Ub
1.03
Proleter Novi SAD
1.03
Macva
1.08
Sloboda Uzice
1.11
OFK Vršac
1.14
Metalac GM
1.14
Grafičar
1.24
FK Trayal
1.24
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.35
FK Zlatibor
1.46
Loznica
1.46
RAD
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
2.86
Macva is 0.38 goals better than Loznica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.46).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MacvaMacva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D21W00D00D00D00D00D01L00DA·LOZ12/03H·RAD18/03A·IMT22/03H·ŽEL27/03A·FK 01/04H·PRO08/04A·FK 12/04H·JED15/04H·FK 22/04A·RAD26/04
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.500.270.330.200.67
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (28)0.250.460.290.360.210.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Loznica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LoznicaLoznica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W11D02L00D00D00D00D21WH·MAC12/03A·OFK18/03A·RAD22/03H·IMT27/03A·ŽEL01/04H·FK 08/04A·PRO12/04H·FK 15/04A·SLO22/04H·OFK26/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.570.600.670.330.47
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (28)0.500.540.640.710.360.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Macva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MacvaMacva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W20W00D01L10W11D01L21WA·LOZ12/03H·RAD18/03A·IMT22/03H·ŽEL27/03A·FK 01/04H·PRO08/04A·FK 12/04H·JED15/04H·FK 22/04A·RAD26/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.730.530.600.47
vs Stronger (2)1.500.502.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.610.500.640.570.570.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Loznica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LoznicaLoznica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L00D03L20W20W11D03L00DH·MAC12/03A·OFK18/03A·RAD22/03H·IMT27/03A·ŽEL01/04H·FK 08/04A·PRO12/04H·FK 15/04A·SLO22/04H·OFK26/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.800.400.670.530.93
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.000.000.003.00
vs Similar (28)0.500.750.430.710.570.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Macva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.584.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Macva · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Milan Vidakov50%
Đorđe Đorđić17%
Boško Vraštanović0%
Igor Ristivojević0%
Kristijan Tojčić0%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Luka Pejović0%
Nemanja Stevanović0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Slobodan Sladojević0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir Rakić0%
Darko Terzić0%
Vladimir Ilić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Ristivojević50%
Kristijan Tojčić50%
Sani Abdullahi50%
Milan Vidakov33%
Luka Pejović33%
Slobodan Sladojević33%
Nemanja Stevanović25%
Boško Vraštanović20%
Darko Terzić20%
Vladimir Ilić20%
Vladimir Rakić17%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Đorđe Đorđić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nemanja Stevanović25%
Slobodan Sladojević17%
Boško Vraštanović0%
Igor Ristivojević0%
Kristijan Tojčić0%
Milan Vidakov0%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Luka Pejović0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir Rakić0%
Darko Terzić0%
Đorđe Đorđić0%
Vladimir Ilić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Milan Vidakov33%
Boško Vraštanović0%
Igor Ristivojević0%
Kristijan Tojčić0%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Luka Pejović0%
Nemanja Stevanović0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Slobodan Sladojević0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir Rakić0%
Darko Terzić0%
Đorđe Đorđić0%
Vladimir Ilić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
LOZ (23)
€3m
JU (20)
€3m
Macva and Loznica have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (9)
€7m
INB (8)
€4m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
LOZ (9)
€1m
Macva's attack is €1m more valuable than Loznica's (€2m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INB (3)
€4m
ŽP (4)
€1m
LOZ (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
Macva and Loznica have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (11)
€6m
INB (12)
€4m
GRA (8)
€2m
LOZ (9)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
Macva and Loznica have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
MAC wins
1
Draws
1
LOZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Macva vs Loznica · H/A from MAC
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/23ALoznica Vs MAC0-0
11/09/22HMAC Vs Loznica1-3

MacvaMacva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/23ARAD Vs MAC1-2
22/04/23HMAC Vs FK Zlatibor0-2
15/04/23HMAC Vs Jedinstvo Ub1-1
12/04/23AFK Trayal Vs MAC0-1
08/04/23HMAC Vs Proleter Novi SAD0-1
01/04/23AFK Zlatibor Vs MAC0-0
27/03/23HMAC Vs Železničar Pančevo2-0
22/03/23AIMT Novi Beograd Vs MAC1-3
18/03/23HMAC Vs RAD1-1
12/03/23ALoznica Vs MAC0-0

LoznicaLoznica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/23HLOZ Vs OFK Vršac2-1
22/04/23ASloboda Uzice Vs LOZ3-0
15/04/23HLOZ Vs FK Trayal1-1
12/04/23AProleter Novi SAD Vs LOZ0-2
08/04/23HLOZ Vs FK Zlatibor2-0
01/04/23AŽelezničar Pančevo Vs LOZ5-0
27/03/23HLOZ Vs IMT Novi Beograd1-1
22/03/23ARAD Vs LOZ1-1
18/03/23AOFK Vršac Vs LOZ1-0
12/03/23HLOZ Vs Macva0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Macva
Macva
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLW1.25
HomeDWLDL1.44
AwayDWDWW1.06
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%31%25%
AVG goals2.002.002.00
Over 1.5 %62%62%62%
Over 2.5 %41%38%44%
Over 3.5 %19%25%12%
Scored0.941.060.81
Conceded1.060.941.19
BTTS47%50%44%
Clean Sheet34%38%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Loznica
Loznica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.06
HomeDDWDW1.12
AwayLDLWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%25%25%
AVG goals2.472.442.50
Over 1.5 %66%69%62%
Over 2.5 %41%44%38%
Over 3.5 %28%25%31%
Scored0.941.000.88
Conceded1.531.441.62
BTTS50%62%38%
Clean Sheet25%31%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd3775
59%
2.0
6336+27
2.7
68%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4441.71.0
-
2Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo3768
54%
1.8
6335+28
2.6
65%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
7161.70.9
-
3GrafičarGrafičar3760
46%
1.6
6546+19
3.0
84%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.2
-
4IndjijaIndjija3754
35%
1.5
4635+11
2.2
62%
35%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
5Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub3753
38%
1.4
4538+7
2.2
70%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.0
-
6Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3753
35%
1.4
4338+5
2.2
62%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
7Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3751
30%
1.4
4241+1
2.2
59%
43%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
8Metalac GMMetalac GM3748
32%
1.3
4242+0
2.3
65%
30%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
9OFK VršacOFK Vršac3748
35%
1.3
3942-3
2.2
57%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.11.1
-
10MacvaMacva3748
30%
1.3
3740-3
2.1
65%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.1
-
11Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd3745
35%
1.2
3250-18
2.2
70%
41%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
12Proleter Novi SADProleter Novi SAD3043
40%
1.4
3431+3
2.2
60%
30%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
13LoznicaLoznica3741
27%
1.1
4054-14
2.5
68%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.5
-
14FK TrayalFK Trayal3740
27%
1.1
3746-9
2.2
65%
46%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
15FK ZlatiborFK Zlatibor3733
19%
0.9
3654-18
2.4
70%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16RADRAD3730
14%
0.8
3763-26
2.7
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
17RFK Novi SadRFK Novi Sad77
29%
1.0
1020-10
4.3
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.9
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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