This opponent (Loznica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Loznica
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.20
1.64
0.93
0.62
1.44
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
3.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
5.00
vs Similar (28)
1.14
1.07
1.69
0.92
0.67
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.5%
Under 1.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
36.4%
Under 2.5
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.1%
Under 3.5
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.4%
No
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.9%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
12.9%
2-0
11.1%
2-1 ✓
8.5%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
Macva goals ↓
Loznica goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
7.7%
3.4%
0.9%
0.2%
1
15%
14%
4.8%
1.2%
0.2%
2
11%
8.5%
3.3%
0.8%
0.2%
3
5.1%
3.9%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.8%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Macva goals (down), columns = Loznica goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zemun
2.00
Macva
1.89
FK Vozdovac
1.86
Loznica
1.74
Dinamo Jug
1.59
Semendrija 1924
1.51
Borac Cacak
1.38
Grafičar
1.33
OFK Vršac
1.31
Jedinstvo Ub
1.26
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.26
Kabel Novi Sad
1.10
FAP
1.03
Dubočica
0.95
FK Trayal
0.90
Stepojevac Vaga
0.74
Macva is 0.14 points better than Loznica in terms of average points per game (1.89 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Vozdovac
1.71
Zemun
1.57
Semendrija 1924
1.36
Macva
1.34
Jedinstvo Ub
1.31
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.21
Dinamo Jug
1.13
Borac Cacak
1.10
Loznica
1.06
FAP
1.05
Grafičar
1.05
FK Trayal
1.03
OFK Vršac
1.00
Dubočica
1.00
Kabel Novi Sad
0.97
Stepojevac Vaga
0.79
Macva is 0.29 goals better than Loznica in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Loznica
0.74
Macva
0.83
FK Vozdovac
0.83
Dinamo Jug
0.85
Zemun
0.94
Grafičar
0.97
Semendrija 1924
1.00
Borac Cacak
1.03
OFK Vršac
1.03
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.33
Kabel Novi Sad
1.44
FK Trayal
1.44
Jedinstvo Ub
1.49
FAP
1.49
Stepojevac Vaga
1.54
Dubočica
1.54
Macva is 0.09 goals worse than Loznica in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 0.74).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Macva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.40
0.56
0.38
0.29
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.43
0.40
0.56
0.38
0.29
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Loznica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Loznica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.37
0.57
0.29
0.19
0.44
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.36
0.29
0.54
0.23
0.20
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Macva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Macva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.69
0.56
0.50
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.60
0.73
0.69
0.56
0.50
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Loznica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Loznica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.83
1.07
0.64
0.44
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.79
1.15
0.69
0.47
0.87
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Macva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Macva · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Milan Vidakov50%
Đorđe Đorđić17%
Boško Vraštanović0%
Igor Ristivojević0%
Kristijan Tojčić0%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Luka Pejović0%
Nemanja Stevanović0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Slobodan Sladojević0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir Rakić0%
Darko Terzić0%
Vladimir Ilić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Ristivojević50%
Kristijan Tojčić50%
Sani Abdullahi50%
Milan Vidakov33%
Luka Pejović33%
Slobodan Sladojević33%
Nemanja Stevanović25%
Boško Vraštanović20%
Darko Terzić20%
Vladimir Ilić20%
Vladimir Rakić17%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Đorđe Đorđić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nemanja Stevanović25%
Slobodan Sladojević17%
Boško Vraštanović0%
Igor Ristivojević0%
Kristijan Tojčić0%
Milan Vidakov0%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Luka Pejović0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir Rakić0%
Darko Terzić0%
Đorđe Đorđić0%
Vladimir Ilić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Milan Vidakov33%
Boško Vraštanović0%
Igor Ristivojević0%
Kristijan Tojčić0%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Luka Pejović0%
Nemanja Stevanović0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Slobodan Sladojević0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir Rakić0%
Darko Terzić0%
Đorđe Đorđić0%
Vladimir Ilić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
LOZ (23)
€3m
FV (20)
€3m
JU (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
BC (20)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
Macva and Loznica have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
BC (10)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
LOZ (9)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
Macva's attack is €1m more valuable than Loznica's (€2m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEM (5)
€1m
LOZ (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
BC (3)
€0m
DUB (2)
€0m
Macva and Loznica have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRA (8)
€2m
LOZ (9)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
BC (7)
€1m
ZEM (8)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
Macva and Loznica have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Serbia: Prva Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →