Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Macva or Draw
77.0%
Avg Implied -
44%
33%
23%
covers Macva + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Macva or Radnik Surdulica
66.8%
Avg Implied -
44%
33%
23%
covers Macva + Radnik Surdulica
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Radnik Surdulica
56.2%
Avg Implied -
44%
33%
23%
covers Draw + Radnik Surdulica
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Macva over/under 0.5
Over
68.8%
Under
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 1.5
Over
32.4%
Under
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 2.5
Over
11.3%
Under
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 3.5
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 0.5
Over
53.7%
Under
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 1.5
Over
18.0%
Under
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 2.5
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 3.5
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
āļø 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Macva, so a minus line means Macva give that many goals of a start and Radnik Surdulica receive them. At -1, Macva must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Macva win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Macva)
Macva -2
6.4%
Draw -2
13.1%
Radnik Surdulica +2
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Macva)
Macva -1
19.5%
Draw -1
24.3%
Radnik Surdulica +1
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Macva)
Macva +1
77.0%
Draw +1
15.6%
Radnik Surdulica -1
7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Macva)
Macva +2
92.6%
Draw +2
5.7%
Radnik Surdulica -2
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Macva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.40
0.86
0.21
0.31
0.56
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.28
0.92
0.17
0.38
0.38
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnik Surdulica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.43
0.47
0.60
0.40
0.27
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
0.69
0.83
1.00
0.29
0.43
vs Similar (17)
0.35
0.24
0.22
0.33
0.50
0.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Macva over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Macva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.71
0.36
0.31
0.62
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.44
0.36
0.67
0.25
0.23
0.46
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnik Surdulica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.87
0.47
0.47
1.07
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.77
0.50
0.67
0.43
0.86
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.76
1.11
0.33
0.50
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Macva over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 25.5 fouls
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
Macva
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Milan Vidakov50%
ÄorÄe ÄorÄiÄ17%
BoÅ”ko VraÅ”tanoviÄ0%
Igor RistivojeviÄ0%
Kristijan TojÄiÄ0%
Mitar ErgelaŔ0%
Luka PejoviÄ0%
Nemanja StevanoviÄ0%
Nikola LainoviÄ0%
Slobodan SladojeviÄ0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir RakiÄ0%
Darko TerziÄ0%
Vladimir IliÄ0%
Kosta RakoniÄ0%
NikÅ”a DelibaÅ”iÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor RistivojeviÄ50%
Kristijan TojÄiÄ50%
Sani Abdullahi50%
Milan Vidakov33%
Luka PejoviÄ33%
Slobodan SladojeviÄ33%
Nemanja StevanoviÄ25%
BoÅ”ko VraÅ”tanoviÄ20%
Darko TerziÄ20%
Vladimir IliÄ20%
Vladimir RakiÄ17%
Mitar ErgelaŔ0%
Nikola LainoviÄ0%
ÄorÄe ÄorÄiÄ0%
Kosta RakoniÄ0%
NikÅ”a DelibaÅ”iÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nemanja StevanoviÄ25%
Slobodan SladojeviÄ17%
BoÅ”ko VraÅ”tanoviÄ0%
Igor RistivojeviÄ0%
Kristijan TojÄiÄ0%
Milan Vidakov0%
Mitar ErgelaŔ0%
Luka PejoviÄ0%
Nikola LainoviÄ0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir RakiÄ0%
Darko TerziÄ0%
ÄorÄe ÄorÄiÄ0%
Vladimir IliÄ0%
Kosta RakoniÄ0%
NikÅ”a DelibaÅ”iÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Milan Vidakov33%
BoÅ”ko VraÅ”tanoviÄ0%
Igor RistivojeviÄ0%
Kristijan TojÄiÄ0%
Mitar ErgelaŔ0%
Luka PejoviÄ0%
Nemanja StevanoviÄ0%
Nikola LainoviÄ0%
Slobodan SladojeviÄ0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir RakiÄ0%
Darko TerziÄ0%
ÄorÄe ÄorÄiÄ0%
Vladimir IliÄ0%
Kosta RakoniÄ0%
NikÅ”a DelibaÅ”iÄ0%
Radnik Surdulica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luka ZoriÄ25%
VukaÅ”in BogdanoviÄ25%
Darko StojanoviÄ20%
Luka JovanoviÄ20%
Stefan RanÄeloviÄ0%
Martin NovakoviÄ0%
Tom Kljun0%
Sadick Abubakar0%
Emmanuel Quarshie0%
UroÅ” LaziÄ0%
ÄorÄe JovanoviÄ0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
David StojanoviÄ0%
MiloÅ” PopoviÄ0%
Tijan Sohna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Martin NovakoviÄ50%
Sadick Abubakar40%
Ayouba Kosiah33%
Luka ZoriÄ25%
ÄorÄe JovanoviÄ25%
Stefan RanÄeloviÄ20%
Emmanuel Quarshie20%
UroÅ” LaziÄ20%
David StojanoviÄ20%
MiloÅ” PopoviÄ20%
Darko StojanoviÄ20%
Tijan Sohna20%
Tom Kljun0%
VukaÅ”in BogdanoviÄ0%
Luka JovanoviÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ayouba Kosiah33%
David StojanoviÄ20%
Stefan RanÄeloviÄ0%
Luka ZoriÄ0%
Martin NovakoviÄ0%
Tom Kljun0%
Sadick Abubakar0%
VukaÅ”in BogdanoviÄ0%
Emmanuel Quarshie0%
UroÅ” LaziÄ0%
ÄorÄe JovanoviÄ0%
MiloÅ” PopoviÄ0%
Darko StojanoviÄ0%
Tijan Sohna0%
Luka JovanoviÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Darko StojanoviÄ40%
Luka ZoriÄ25%
Martin NovakoviÄ25%
ÄorÄe JovanoviÄ25%
MiloÅ” PopoviÄ20%
Stefan RanÄeloviÄ0%
Tom Kljun0%
Sadick Abubakar0%
VukaÅ”in BogdanoviÄ0%
Emmanuel Quarshie0%
UroÅ” LaziÄ0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
David StojanoviÄ0%
Tijan Sohna0%
Luka JovanoviÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
OB (28)
€18m
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
RN (26)
€11m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
Macva's squad is €4m less valuable than Radnik Surdulica's (€4m vs €9m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
ŽP (9)
€7m
OB (10)
€6m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
INB (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
Macva and Radnik Surdulica have a similar attack value (both €2m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
OB (8)
€4m
INB (3)
€4m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
ŽP (4)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
Macva's midfield is €1m less valuable than Radnik Surdulica's (€1m vs €2m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
OB (10)
€8m
ŽP (11)
€6m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
INB (12)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
ZEM (8)
€1m
Macva's defence is €3m less valuable than Radnik Surdulica's (€2m vs €4m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →