This opponent (Feirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feirense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.00
1.40
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.29
1.33
2.00
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (23)
0.87
0.91
1.42
0.75
0.27
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Mafra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
55.8%
Under 1.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
27.6%
Under 2.5
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
11.3%
Under 3.5
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
36.5%
No
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0 ✓
17.4%
1-0
15.4%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
11.3%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
5.0%
Mafra goals ↓
Feirense goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
17%
11%
5.0%
1.3%
0.3%
1
15%
14%
5.2%
1.4%
0.3%
2
8.7%
6.9%
2.7%
0.7%
0.1%
3
3.0%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
4
0.8%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mafra goals (down), columns = Feirense goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Tondela
1.88
Alverca
1.85
Vizela
1.82
Benfica B
1.62
Torreense
1.59
União de Leiria
1.53
Chaves
1.50
CF Os Belenenses
1.50
Feirense
1.44
Felgueiras 1932
1.35
Academico Viseu
1.32
Penafiel
1.32
Maritimo
1.26
Leixoes
1.21
FC Porto B
1.03
Portimonense
1.00
Pacos Ferreira
1.00
Oliveirense
0.85
Mafra
0.79
Mafra is 0.65 points worse than Feirense in terms of average points per game (0.79 vs 1.44).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Alverca
1.71
Tondela
1.71
Benfica B
1.56
Vizela
1.47
Torreense
1.44
União de Leiria
1.44
Penafiel
1.32
Academico Viseu
1.26
Felgueiras 1932
1.26
Maritimo
1.24
Chaves
1.18
Portimonense
1.12
Leixoes
1.09
FC Porto B
1.06
Feirense
1.03
Pacos Ferreira
1.03
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Oliveirense
0.88
Mafra
0.85
Mafra is 0.18 goals worse than Feirense in terms of goals scored per game (0.85 vs 1.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vizela
0.88
Chaves
1.00
Alverca
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Tondela
1.03
União de Leiria
1.09
Benfica B
1.12
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.21
Torreense
1.24
Leixoes
1.24
Penafiel
1.38
FC Porto B
1.38
Maritimo
1.41
Pacos Ferreira
1.44
CF Os Belenenses
1.50
Portimonense
1.59
Mafra
1.59
Oliveirense
1.88
Mafra is 0.59 goals worse than Feirense in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Vizela
62%
Felgueiras 1932
57%
Chaves
56%
União de Leiria
55%
Benfica B
53%
Oliveirense
51%
Maritimo
51%
FC Porto B
51%
Leixoes
51%
Mafra
50%
Torreense
50%
Feirense
50%
Academico Viseu
48%
Alverca
48%
Penafiel
47%
Tondela
47%
Portimonense
40%
Pacos Ferreira
39%
Mafra is 0.8 percentage points better than Feirense in terms of average possession (50% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Mafra
For 3.5 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.6 · Against 7.8 · Total 15.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Feirense
For 4.6 · Against 6.7 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 12.9 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mafra
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.2
9.7
3.7
3.2
4.1
23.1
23.9
22.3
vs Stronger (14)
10.6
12.0
8.8
3.2
3.0
3.5
24.8
21.8
29.2
vs Similar (35)
9.8
9.5
10.1
3.9
3.4
4.5
22.5
25.0
20.2
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
55%
59%
50%
62%
56%
68%
66%
67%
65%
% under line
45%
41%
50%
38%
44%
32%
34%
33%
35%
This opponent (Feirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feirense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.1
10.4
4.1
4.2
4.0
24.9
25.6
24.3
vs Stronger (12)
10.8
11.5
10.2
5.0
4.2
5.6
23.4
22.6
24.5
vs Similar (38)
10.7
10.9
10.5
3.9
4.2
3.4
25.6
27.2
24.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
73%
79%
69%
66%
68%
64%
83%
86%
80%
% under line
27%
21%
31%
34%
32%
36%
17%
14%
20%
This opponent (Mafra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oliveirense
11.4
Feirense
11.2
Tondela
11.0
Portimonense
10.9
Torreense
10.7
FC Porto B
10.5
União de Leiria
10.3
Chaves
10.2
Benfica B
10.2
Penafiel
10.1
Mafra
10.1
Academico Viseu
10.0
Vizela
9.9
Pacos Ferreira
9.9
Leixoes
9.7
Maritimo
9.4
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Felgueiras 1932
8.5
Alverca
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Felgueiras 1932
6.9
Maritimo
5.8
Chaves
5.7
Benfica B
5.6
Penafiel
5.5
Oliveirense
5.4
Leixoes
5.3
Pacos Ferreira
5.3
Portimonense
5.3
União de Leiria
5.2
Vizela
5.1
Torreense
5.1
Tondela
5.0
FC Porto B
4.9
Feirense
4.7
Mafra
4.4
Academico Viseu
4.4
CF Os Belenenses
4.1
Alverca
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Pacos Ferreira
28.3
Leixoes
27.8
Maritimo
26.3
Vizela
26.1
Chaves
26.0
Oliveirense
25.8
Feirense
25.1
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Portimonense
25.0
Tondela
24.8
Penafiel
23.9
FC Porto B
23.8
Torreense
23.8
União de Leiria
23.6
Benfica B
23.3
Mafra
23.3
Academico Viseu
22.9
Alverca
11.8
Felgueiras 1932
10.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.8%
Under 9.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.7%
Under 3.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
30.5%
Under 21.5
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Mafra
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.50
0.40
0.53
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.38
0.40
0.60
0.67
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.57
0.40
0.50
0.55
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Feirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feirense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.40
0.73
0.47
0.13
0.33
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.71
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.30
0.67
0.33
0.18
0.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Mafra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mafra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mafra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mafra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feirense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feirense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feirense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Mafra
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.00
0.60
1.07
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.75
0.60
0.60
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.67
1.10
0.60
1.30
0.73
0.91
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Feirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feirense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.60
0.67
0.53
0.20
0.67
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.57
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.25
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.61
0.75
0.42
0.09
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Mafra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mafra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mafra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mafra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feirense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feirense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feirense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Mafra
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rodrigo Matos33%
Pontus Texel25%
Stanley Iheanacho25%
Rodrigo Freitas0%
Bryan Passi0%
Vítor Gonçalves0%
Guilherme0%
Martin Fraisl0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Diogo Capitão0%
Miguel Falé0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Friday Etim0%
Beni Junior0%
Yacouba Maiga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Guilherme40%
Rodrigo Freitas33%
Martin Fraisl25%
Stanley Iheanacho25%
Yacouba Maiga25%
Bryan Passi0%
Vítor Gonçalves0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Diogo Capitão0%
Miguel Falé0%
Rodrigo Matos0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Pontus Texel0%
Friday Etim0%
Beni Junior0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Friday Etim33%
Bryan Passi25%
Vítor Gonçalves25%
Rodrigo Freitas0%
Guilherme0%
Martin Fraisl0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Diogo Capitão0%
Miguel Falé0%
Rodrigo Matos0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Pontus Texel0%
Beni Junior0%
Stanley Iheanacho0%
Yacouba Maiga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rodrigo Matos33%
Friday Etim33%
Stanley Iheanacho25%
Guilherme20%
Rodrigo Freitas0%
Bryan Passi0%
Vítor Gonçalves0%
Martin Fraisl0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Diogo Capitão0%
Miguel Falé0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Pontus Texel0%
Beni Junior0%
Yacouba Maiga0%
Feirense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zé Ricardo33%
Leandro Antunes29%
Stivan Petkov14%
Washington0%
Carlos Rentería0%
Olamide Shodipo0%
Cristian Tassano0%
Bruno Silva0%
Diga0%
Jorge Pereira0%
Cristian Ponde0%
Ruben Alves0%
João Costa0%
Zidane Banjaqui0%
Henrique Jocu0%
Lucas Cañizares0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Filipe Almeida0%
João Castro0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Amine Rehmi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Carlos Rentería33%
Lucas Cañizares33%
Tiago Ribeiro33%
Filipe Almeida33%
Emanuel Fernandes33%
Cristian Tassano17%
Diga14%
Stivan Petkov14%
Jorge Pereira14%
Leandro Antunes14%
Ruben Alves14%
Washington0%
Olamide Shodipo0%
Bruno Silva0%
Cristian Ponde0%
João Costa0%
Zidane Banjaqui0%
Zé Ricardo0%
Henrique Jocu0%
João Castro0%
Amine Rehmi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cristian Ponde33%
Leandro Antunes29%
Zidane Banjaqui25%
Ruben Alves14%
Washington0%
Carlos Rentería0%
Olamide Shodipo0%
Cristian Tassano0%
Bruno Silva0%
Diga0%
Stivan Petkov0%
Jorge Pereira0%
João Costa0%
Zé Ricardo0%
Henrique Jocu0%
Lucas Cañizares0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Filipe Almeida0%
João Castro0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Amine Rehmi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zidane Banjaqui50%
Diga29%
Leandro Antunes14%
Washington0%
Carlos Rentería0%
Olamide Shodipo0%
Cristian Tassano0%
Bruno Silva0%
Stivan Petkov0%
Jorge Pereira0%
Cristian Ponde0%
Ruben Alves0%
João Costa0%
Zé Ricardo0%
Henrique Jocu0%
Lucas Cañizares0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Filipe Almeida0%
João Castro0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Amine Rehmi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Tondela
Alverca
Vizela
Benfica B
Torreense
União de Leiria
Chaves
Felgueiras 1932
Academico Viseu
Penafiel
Maritimo
Leixoes
Pacos Ferreira
FC Porto B
Portimonense
Oliveirense
CF Os Belenenses