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Malisheva vs Drenica Skënderaj Result & Analysis

Date: 17/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 4-1
Malisheva
Malisheva
Vs
45%
29%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Drenica Skënderaj
Drenica Skënderaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malisheva win✓ Hit
45.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj win✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MalishevaMalisheva

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L24L20W02L12L42W10W31W10W11DH·FER14/03A·DRE17/03H·LLA22/03A·DRI05/04A·PRI11/04H·BAL19/04A·DUK26/04H·GJI29/04A·PRI02/05A·FER10/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.271.641.361.561.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.501.211.671.581.330.83
vs Weaker (6)2.001.501.500.002.252.25
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W42W01L22D10W10W32W12L10W21WA·GJI14/03H·MAL17/03A·FER21/03H·PRI05/04A·LLA12/04H·DRI19/04A·PRI25/04H·BAL30/04A·DUK03/05H·GJI09/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.501.801.600.801.40
vs Stronger (11)1.361.452.331.500.201.40
vs Similar (19)1.261.531.441.671.101.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Malisheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.9%
Under 1.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.2%
Under 2.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.7%
Under 3.5
75.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.4%
No
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
Malisheva goals ↓
Drenica Skënderaj goals →
01234
09.3%7.2%4.5%1.6%0.4%
111%14%6.5%2.3%0.6%
28.7%9.1%4.8%1.7%0.4%
34.2%4.5%2.4%0.8%0.2%
41.6%1.6%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Malisheva goals (down), columns = Drenica Skënderaj goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.50
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Ferizaj
1.00
Prishtina e Re
0.80
Liria Prizren
0.00
Malisheva is 0.21 points better than Drenica Skënderaj in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.43).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Ferizaj
1.11
Prishtina e Re
1.03
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Liria Prizren
0.00
Malisheva is 0.30 goals better than Drenica Skënderaj in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Ferizaj
1.53
Prishtina e Re
1.71
Liria Prizren
2.00
Malisheva is 0.10 goals better than Drenica Skënderaj in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.49).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MalishevaMalisheva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D00D01L00D01L00D20W00D01LH·FER14/03A·DRE17/03H·LLA22/03A·DRI05/04A·PRI11/04H·BAL19/04A·DUK26/04H·GJI29/04A·PRI02/05A·FER10/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.530.640.500.690.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.540.540.500.580.580.50
vs Weaker (6)1.170.501.500.001.000.75
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D00D10W00D10W01L01L00D20WA·GJI14/03H·MAL17/03A·FER21/03H·PRI05/04A·LLA12/04H·DRI19/04A·PRI25/04H·BAL30/04A·DUK03/05H·GJI09/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.600.730.600.330.60
vs Stronger (11)0.450.550.670.500.200.60
vs Similar (19)0.580.630.780.670.400.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Malisheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Malisheva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MalishevaMalisheva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L13L20W01L12L41W10W11D10W10WH·FER14/03A·DRE17/03H·LLA22/03A·DRI05/04A·PRI11/04H·BAL19/04A·DUK26/04H·GJI29/04A·PRI02/05A·FER10/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.731.000.860.880.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.960.671.171.000.750.33
vs Weaker (6)0.831.000.000.001.251.50
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W01L12L10W00D31W11D10W01LA·GJI14/03H·MAL17/03A·FER21/03H·PRI05/04A·LLA12/04H·DRI19/04A·PRI25/04H·BAL30/04A·DUK03/05H·GJI09/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.901.071.000.470.80
vs Stronger (11)0.910.911.671.000.000.80
vs Similar (19)0.680.890.671.000.700.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Malisheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Malisheva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.572.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
Malisheva's squad is €4m more valuable than Drenica Skënderaj's (€5m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
DS (5)
€0m
Malisheva's attack is €1m more valuable than Drenica Skënderaj's (€2m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
DS (1)
€0m
Malisheva and Drenica Skënderaj have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
DS (2)
€0m
Malisheva's defence is €2m more valuable than Drenica Skënderaj's (€2m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
MAL wins
1
Draws
2
DS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Malisheva vs Drenica Skënderaj · H/A from MAL
DateH/AGameScore
17/03/26ADrenica Skënderaj Vs MAL4-2
06/12/25HMAL Vs Drenica Skënderaj2-0
28/09/25ADrenica Skënderaj Vs MAL3-4
29/04/23ADrenica Skënderaj Vs MAL1-2
25/02/23HMAL Vs Drenica Skënderaj3-1
23/10/22ADrenica Skënderaj Vs MAL0-0
27/08/22HMAL Vs Drenica Skënderaj1-2

MalishevaMalisheva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26AFerizaj Vs MAL1-1
02/05/26APrishtina Vs MAL0-1
29/04/26HMAL Vs Gjilani3-1
26/04/26ADukagjini Vs MAL0-1
19/04/26HMAL Vs Ballkani4-2
11/04/26APrishtina e Re Vs MAL2-1
05/04/26ADrita Vs MAL2-0
22/03/26HMAL Vs Llapi2-0
17/03/26ADrenica Skënderaj Vs MAL4-2
14/03/26HMAL Vs Ferizaj1-2

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26HDS Vs Gjilani2-1
03/05/26ADukagjini Vs DS0-1
30/04/26HDS Vs Ballkani1-2
25/04/26APrishtina e Re Vs DS2-3
19/04/26HDS Vs Drita1-0
12/04/26ALlapi Vs DS0-1
05/04/26HDS Vs Prishtina2-2
21/03/26AFerizaj Vs DS1-0
17/03/26HDS Vs Malisheva4-2
14/03/26AGjilani Vs DS0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Malisheva
Malisheva
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.44
HomeWLWWW1.56
AwayLLWWD1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%36%
AVG goals2.742.762.72
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %52%56%48%
Over 3.5 %30%36%24%
Scored1.341.441.24
Conceded1.401.321.48
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Drenica Skënderaj
Drenica Skënderaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW0.94
HomeWDWLW1.12
AwayWLWWW0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%31%25%
AVG goals2.702.852.54
Over 1.5 %66%69%62%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %28%31%25%
Scored1.001.310.67
Conceded1.701.541.88
BTTS46%62%29%
Clean Sheet20%19%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DritaDrita3666
56%
1.8
5035+15
2.4
75%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.41.0
-
2MalishevaMalisheva3659
50%
1.6
5850+8
3.0
83%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.4
-
3BallkaniBallkani3658
47%
1.6
6141+20
2.8
81%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.71.1
-
4LlapiLlapi3752
38%
1.4
4850-2
2.6
73%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.4
-
5DukagjiniDukagjini3651
36%
1.4
4236+6
2.2
69%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.21.0
-
6GjilaniGjilani3651
39%
1.4
4748-1
2.6
78%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.3
-
7Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3550
43%
1.4
4652-6
2.8
66%
49%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8PrishtinaPrishtina3649
36%
1.4
5251+1
2.9
78%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.41.4
-
9FerizajFerizaj3636
25%
1.0
4055-15
2.6
78%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
10Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re3528
20%
0.8
3660-24
2.7
74%
46%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
11Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
12Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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