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Malisheva vs Drita Result & Analysis

Date: 31/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 3-2
Malisheva
Malisheva
Vs
43%
30%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Drita
Drita
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Malisheva a 43% win probability against Drita in the Kosovo: Superliga on 2026-05-31, with 30% for the draw and 28% for Drita. The model estimates around 2.4 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (27%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (14.1%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (77%), Over 1.5 (71%).

Results analysis

Malisheva finished 3-2 against Drita (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 43% home win, 30% draw and 28% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (71%). Missed: Under 3.5 (77%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malisheva win✓ Hit
42.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drita win✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MalishevaMalisheva

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W02L12L42W10W31W10W11D41W23LH·LLA22/03A·DRI05/04A·PRI11/04H·BAL19/04A·DUK26/04H·GJI29/04A·PRI02/05A·FER10/05H·DRE17/05A·LLA24/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.271.861.211.501.31
vs Stronger (6)1.332.171.672.671.001.67
vs Similar (17)1.530.881.751.001.330.78
vs Weaker (7)2.291.432.330.332.252.25
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Drita) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DritaDrita

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W21W01L30W10W10W20W02L02LA·GJI22/03H·MAL05/04H·FER12/04A·DRE19/04H·LLA26/04H·PRI29/04A·PRI02/05H·BAL09/05A·DUK17/05H·GJI24/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.971.560.880.931.07
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (6)1.332.502.002.000.673.00
vs Weaker (23)1.300.481.580.421.000.55
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Malisheva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.2%
Under 1.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.0%
Under 2.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.9%
Under 3.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.2%
No
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.0%
Malisheva goals ↓
Drita goals →
01234
010%8.0%5.0%1.8%0.5%
111%14%6.8%2.4%0.6%
28.2%8.8%4.7%1.7%0.4%
33.8%4.0%2.1%0.8%0.2%
41.3%1.4%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Malisheva goals (down), columns = Drita goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.50
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Ferizaj
1.00
Prishtina e Re
0.80
Liria Prizren
0.00
Malisheva is 0.19 points worse than Drita in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.83).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Ferizaj
1.11
Prishtina e Re
1.03
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Liria Prizren
0.00
Malisheva is 0.22 goals better than Drita in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Ferizaj
1.53
Prishtina e Re
1.71
Liria Prizren
2.00
Malisheva is 0.42 goals worse than Drita in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MalishevaMalisheva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D01L00D20W00D01L00D13LH·LLA22/03A·DRI05/04A·PRI11/04H·BAL19/04A·DUK26/04H·GJI29/04A·PRI02/05A·FER10/05H·DRE17/05A·LLA24/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.570.640.430.690.69
vs Stronger (6)0.330.670.000.670.670.67
vs Similar (17)0.650.590.750.500.560.67
vs Weaker (7)1.000.431.000.001.000.75
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Drita) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DritaDrita

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W11D01L10W00D10W10W02L01LA·GJI22/03H·MAL05/04H·FER12/04A·DRE19/04H·LLA26/04H·PRI29/04A·PRI02/05H·BAL09/05A·DUK17/05H·GJI24/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.630.750.560.290.71
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (6)0.501.830.671.670.332.00
vs Weaker (23)0.570.300.830.250.270.36
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Malisheva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Malisheva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.571.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
Malisheva's squad is €3m less valuable than Drita's (€5m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
Malisheva's attack is €1m less valuable than Drita's (€2m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
Malisheva and Drita have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
Malisheva's defence is €1m less valuable than Drita's (€2m vs €3m).

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
MAL wins
3
Draws
4
DRI wins

Head-to-head

Malisheva vs Drita · H/A from MAL
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/26ADrita Vs MAL2-0
21/12/25HMAL Vs Drita1-1
18/10/25ADrita Vs MAL2-1
13/04/25HMAL Vs Drita1-0
07/02/25ADrita Vs MAL2-0
27/10/24HMAL Vs Drita0-0
18/09/24ADrita Vs MAL2-1
25/05/24ADrita Vs MAL1-1

MalishevaMalisheva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26ALlapi Vs MAL3-2
17/05/26HMAL Vs Drenica Skënderaj4-1
10/05/26AFerizaj Vs MAL1-1
02/05/26APrishtina Vs MAL0-1
29/04/26HMAL Vs Gjilani3-1
26/04/26ADukagjini Vs MAL0-1
19/04/26HMAL Vs Ballkani4-2
11/04/26APrishtina e Re Vs MAL2-1
05/04/26ADrita Vs MAL2-0
22/03/26HMAL Vs Llapi2-0

DritaDrita

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26HDRI Vs Gjilani0-2
17/05/26ADukagjini Vs DRI2-0
09/05/26HDRI Vs Ballkani2-0
02/05/26APrishtina e Re Vs DRI0-1
29/04/26HDRI Vs Prishtina1-0
26/04/26HDRI Vs Llapi3-0
19/04/26ADrenica Skënderaj Vs DRI1-0
12/04/26HDRI Vs Ferizaj2-1
05/04/26HDRI Vs Malisheva2-0
22/03/26AGjilani Vs DRI0-1

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Malisheva
Malisheva
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.44
HomeLWWWW1.56
AwayLWWDL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%36%
AVG goals2.842.802.88
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %54%56%52%
Over 3.5 %32%36%28%
Scored1.401.481.32
Conceded1.441.321.56
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Drita
Drita
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.66
HomeWWWWL2.00
AwayLWLWL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%64%36%
AVG goals2.462.562.36
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %42%52%32%
Over 3.5 %20%20%20%
Scored1.301.561.04
Conceded1.161.001.32
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet32%36%28%
Corners8.7010.007.40
Cards4.585.333.83

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DritaDrita3666
56%
1.8
5035+15
2.4
75%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.41.0
-
2MalishevaMalisheva3659
50%
1.6
5850+8
3.0
83%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.4
-
3BallkaniBallkani3658
47%
1.6
6141+20
2.8
81%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.71.1
-
4LlapiLlapi3752
38%
1.4
4850-2
2.6
73%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.4
-
5DukagjiniDukagjini3651
36%
1.4
4236+6
2.2
69%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6GjilaniGjilani3651
39%
1.4
4748-1
2.6
78%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
7Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3550
43%
1.4
4652-6
2.8
66%
49%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.5
-
8PrishtinaPrishtina3649
36%
1.4
5251+1
2.9
78%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.41.4
-
9FerizajFerizaj3636
25%
1.0
4055-15
2.6
78%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
10Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re3528
20%
0.8
3660-24
2.7
74%
46%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
11Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
12Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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