Malisheva and Gjilani face a finely balanced clash, each side holding a 37% chance of victory while a draw sits at 26%. The model favours a home win, and the average goal tally is 3.0, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 23%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.3% probability. Malisheva, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, whereas Gjilani, on the road, averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.8%), Under 6.5 (96.6%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (93.3%), Under 5.5 (91.5%), Away +2 handicap (82.0%), Home +2 handicap (81.6%), and Under 4.5 (81.4%). Malisheva entered the match after a win, while Gjilani remain unbeaten in their last five. The probabilities for a home win, draw, and away win are 37%, 26%, and 37% respectively.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Malisheva win
36.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gjilani win
37.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Malisheva
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.27
1.86
1.21
1.69
1.31
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
4.00
-
-
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (21)
1.52
1.19
1.80
1.50
1.27
0.91
vs Weaker (8)
2.50
1.12
2.00
0.50
3.00
1.75
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gjilani
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.23
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.50
1.23
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Malisheva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
81.3%
Under 1.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57.9%
Under 2.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
35.5%
Under 3.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
61.6%
No
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
0-0
6.1%
0-2
5.6%
Malisheva goals ↓
Gjilani goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
6.3%
5.6%
2.8%
1.1%
1
6.3%
12%
8.4%
4.2%
1.6%
2
5.5%
8.4%
6.3%
3.2%
1.2%
3
2.8%
4.2%
3.2%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.0%
1.6%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Malisheva goals (down), columns = Gjilani goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Feronikeli
1.04
Vushtrria
0.45
Malisheva is 0.22 points better than Gjilani in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.42).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Feronikeli
0.97
Vushtrria
0.42
Malisheva is 0.31 goals better than Gjilani in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.31).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Feronikeli
1.68
Vushtrria
3.89
Malisheva is 0.06 goals worse than Gjilani in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Malisheva or Draw
63.0%
Avg Implied -
37%
26%
37%
covers Malisheva + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Malisheva or Gjilani
73.5%
Avg Implied -
37%
26%
37%
covers Malisheva + Gjilani
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Gjilani
63.5%
Avg Implied -
37%
26%
37%
covers Draw + Gjilani
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Malisheva over/under 0.5
Over
77.7%
Under
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 1.5
Over
44.2%
Under
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 2.5
Over
19.1%
Under
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 3.5
Over
6.5%
Under
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 0.5
Over
77.9%
Under
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5
Over
44.5%
Under
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5
Over
19.4%
Under
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 3.5
Over
6.7%
Under
93.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Malisheva, so a minus line means Malisheva give that many goals of a start and Gjilani receive them. At -1, Malisheva must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Malisheva win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Malisheva)
Malisheva -2
6.9%
Draw -2
11.1%
Gjilani +2
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Malisheva)
Malisheva -1
18.0%
Draw -1
18.5%
Gjilani +1
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Malisheva)
Malisheva +1
63.0%
Draw +1
18.6%
Gjilani -1
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Malisheva)
Malisheva +2
81.6%
Draw +2
11.3%
Gjilani -2
7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Malisheva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.64
0.50
0.75
0.75
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.71
0.50
0.70
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.12
1.00
0.00
1.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gjilani
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.79
0.86
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.67
0.67
0.79
0.86
0.56
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Malisheva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.0%
Under 0.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.4%
Under 1.5
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.4%
Under 2.5
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Malisheva over/under 0.5 HT
Over
55.1%
Under
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.5%
Under
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.9%
Under
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.3%
Under
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Malisheva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.63
1.21
0.71
0.94
0.56
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.95
0.48
1.30
0.80
0.64
0.18
vs Weaker (8)
1.38
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.75
1.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gjilani
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.71
0.64
0.94
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.83
0.57
0.71
0.64
0.94
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Malisheva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.1%
Under 0.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.5%
Under 1.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.1%
Under 2.5
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Malisheva over/under 0.5 2H
Over
58.9%
Under
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.5%
Under
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.2%
Under
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.6%
Under
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.6%
Under
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
FER (14)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
Malisheva and Gjilani have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
FER (7)
€1m
DS (5)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Malisheva and Gjilani have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
FER (2)
€0m
DS (1)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Malisheva and Gjilani have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
DS (2)
€0m
Malisheva and Gjilani have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Kosovo: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Prishtina
Drita
Ballkani
Dukagjini
Drenica Skënderaj
Feronikeli
Vushtrria
Llapi