The encounter between Malmo FF and Djurgardens IF is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. The odds show a 39 % chance for Djurgardens, 35 % for Malmo, and 26 % for a draw, making the match a tight contest. Expected goals hover around 3.1, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 23 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11.8 % probability. Malmo, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.62 goals scored and 2.12 conceded, while Djurgardens, on the road, averages 2.22 scored and 1.22 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.5 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.9 %), Under 6.5 (96.0 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.6 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.6 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.7 %), Home under 3.5 goals (93.3 %), and Away under 3.5 goals (91.9 %). Each pick is listed with its probability, and the edge percentages are noted where provided.
Results analysis
The win extends Djurgardens IF’s recent run, while Malmö FF’s form has dipped after a defeat. The final score was 0-3, an away win that matched the model’s pick and its 39 % probability, confirming the prediction. The model also chose a series of high-probability selections: Under 7.5 (98.5 %) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.9 %) hit, Under 6.5 (96.0 %) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.6 %) hit, Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.6 %) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.7 %) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (93.3 %) hit, and Away under 3.5 goals (91.9 %) hit. All eight selections settled correctly, underscoring the model’s accuracy for this match.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Malmo FF win✗ Miss
34.7%
Avg Implied 35.7% · @ 2.61
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.80
Pinnacle
2.74
Marathonbet
2.65
1xBet
2.65
Dafabet
2.65
Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.50
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.65
Dafabet
3.65
Pinnacle
3.63
Bet365
3.60
Unibet
3.55
Djurgardens IF win✓ Hit
39.5%
Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.47
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.55
Betfair
2.55
SBO
2.52
Dafabet
2.50
10Bet
2.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Malmo FF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.57
1.80
1.60
1.27
1.53
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (15)
1.20
1.93
1.57
2.00
0.88
1.88
vs Weaker (11)
2.27
1.09
2.50
1.33
2.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Djurgardens IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Djurgardens IF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.43
1.13
2.69
1.31
2.14
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
2.35
1.41
3.00
1.44
1.62
1.38
vs Weaker (13)
2.54
0.77
2.29
1.14
2.83
0.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Malmo FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.0%
@ 1.17+2.9%
Under 1.5
17.0%
@ 4.70-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
Superbet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Under
Pinnacle
5.07
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.5%
@ 1.57+1.0%
Under 2.5
39.5%
@ 2.30-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
1.60
Betfair
1.60
Superbet
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Under
10Bet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.38
SBO
2.36
Betano
2.35
Betfair
2.30
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.1%
@ 2.42-0.5%
Under 3.5
61.9%
@ 1.53+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.49
10Bet
2.45
Superbet
2.42
Under
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.54
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.5%
@ 1.47+0.7%
No
36.5%
@ 2.48-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Superbet
1.50
888Sport
1.50
1xBet
1.47
No
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Unibet
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%@ 6.80+5.1%
1-2
8.7%@ 8.86+3.6%
2-1
8.1%@ 9.11+3.1%
2-2
6.5%@ 10.41+2.2%
0-1
6.0%@ 10.61+1.8%
0-2
5.7%@ 13.62+2.4%
1-0
5.5%@ 11.03+1.5%
0-0
5.5%@ 13.62+2.1%
Malmo FF goals ↓
Djurgardens IF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
6.0%
5.7%
3.1%
1.3%
1
5.5%
12%
8.7%
4.7%
1.9%
2
5.0%
8.1%
6.5%
3.5%
1.4%
3
2.5%
4.1%
3.3%
1.8%
0.7%
4
0.9%
1.5%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Malmo FF goals (down), columns = Djurgardens IF goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.78
AIK Stockholm
1.72
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Malmo FF
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.18
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
Malmo FF is 0.25 points worse than Djurgardens IF in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.28
BK Hacken
1.74
Malmo FF
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.41
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
Malmo FF is 0.54 goals worse than Djurgardens IF in terms of goals scored per game (1.74 vs 2.28).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.95
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.06
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.59
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
Malmo FF is 0.52 goals worse than Djurgardens IF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
57%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Malmo FF is 0.8 percentage points worse than Djurgardens IF in terms of average possession (56% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Malmo FF
For 4.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.7 · Against 11.5 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Djurgardens IF
For 7.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 11.5 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Malmo FF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.2
10.3
3.3
3.4
3.2
25.3
25.6
25.0
vs Stronger (4)
10.5
11.5
9.5
2.5
3.0
2.0
22.5
20.0
25.0
vs Similar (27)
9.8
8.9
10.6
3.8
4.1
3.6
26.2
25.6
26.9
vs Weaker (19)
9.7
9.1
10.1
2.7
2.6
2.9
24.5
27.3
22.0
% over line
47%
48%
45%
50%
58%
42%
72%
81%
64%
% under line
53%
52%
55%
50%
42%
58%
28%
19%
36%
This opponent (Djurgardens IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Djurgardens IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.5
10.7
3.9
3.8
4.0
25.2
25.8
24.5
vs Stronger (2)
8.5
7.0
10.0
2.5
3.0
2.0
21.5
18.0
25.0
vs Similar (27)
10.0
9.9
10.2
4.6
5.1
3.9
26.1
28.1
23.8
vs Weaker (21)
11.7
12.0
11.4
3.2
2.2
4.3
24.2
23.0
25.5
% over line
60%
58%
62%
58%
50%
67%
73%
71%
76%
% under line
40%
42%
38%
42%
50%
33%
27%
29%
24%
This opponent (Malmo FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.5
Sirius
11.1
BK Hacken
10.8
IF Brommapojkarna
10.7
Orgryte IS
10.6
Djurgardens IF
10.6
AIK Stockholm
10.4
Gais
10.3
Degerfors IF
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.1
Mjallby AIF
10.1
Vasteras SK FK
10.1
IF Elfsborg
10.0
Halmstad
10.0
Hammarby FF
10.0
Malmo FF
9.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
IFK Goteborg
4.3
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.9
Malmo FF
3.8
Gais
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.7
IF Brommapojkarna
3.7
Hammarby FF
3.6
Halmstad
3.6
Vasteras SK FK
3.6
IF Elfsborg
3.5
Sirius
3.5
Kalmar FF
3.4
Orgryte IS
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Djurgardens IF
25.8
IFK Goteborg
25.7
Malmo FF
25.7
Degerfors IF
25.4
Sirius
25.4
Mjallby AIF
25.3
Gais
25.1
Vasteras SK FK
25.0
BK Hacken
24.7
Hammarby FF
24.6
IF Brommapojkarna
24.3
IF Elfsborg
24.0
AIK Stockholm
23.9
Halmstad
23.7
Kalmar FF
23.5
Orgryte IS
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.7%
@ 1.55-1.7%
Under 9.5
42.3%
@ 2.27+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.55
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.50
Under
Betano
2.40
Pinnacle
2.31
Marathonbet
2.31
Superbet
2.30
1xBet
2.24
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.7%
Under 3.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.4%
Under 21.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Malmo FF or Draw✗ Miss
60.5%
Avg Implied 62.1% · @ 1.50
Edge
-1.6%
35%
26%
39%
covers Malmo FF + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Malmo FF or Djurgardens IF✓ Hit
74.2%
Avg Implied 73.5% · @ 1.27
Edge
+0.7%
35%
26%
39%
covers Malmo FF + Djurgardens IF
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Draw or Djurgardens IF✓ Hit
65.3%
Avg Implied 64.4% · @ 1.45
Edge
+0.9%
35%
26%
39%
covers Draw + Djurgardens IF
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Malmo FF over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
77.9%
@ 1.20+0.8%
Under
22.1%
@ 4.05-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.47
Unibet
4.10
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Malmo FF over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
44.5%
@ 2.05-1.2%
Under
55.5%
@ 1.72+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Superbet
2.07
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
Unibet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Malmo FF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.3%
@ 4.31-2.3%
Under
80.7%
@ 1.19+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.45
Pinnacle
4.40
Under
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Malmo FF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.7%
@ 9.89-2.9%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.05+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
888Sport
11.00
Marathonbet
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Superbet
9.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Djurgardens IF over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.2%
@ 1.19+2.3%
Under
19.8%
@ 4.19-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
888Sport
4.20
Betano
4.20
Djurgardens IF over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
48.1%
@ 1.98+1.0%
Under
51.9%
@ 1.76-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.03
Superbet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Djurgardens IF over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
22.2%
@ 4.09-0.6%
Under
77.8%
@ 1.20+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.25
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
Djurgardens IF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.1%
@ 9.24-2.0%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.04+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
9.20
Marathonbet
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.06
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Malmo FF, so a minus line means Malmo FF give that many goals of a start and Djurgardens IF receive them. At -1, Malmo FF must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Malmo FF win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Malmo FF)Actual: Djurgardens IF
Malmo FF -2
6.5%
@ 9.01-3.2%
Draw -2
10.5%
@ 6.69-2.6%
Djurgardens IF +2
83.0%
@ 1.14+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
9.40
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
6.65
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
6.90
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
5.10
Away
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Malmo FF)Actual: Djurgardens IF
Malmo FF -1
17.0%
@ 4.79-1.7%
Draw -1
17.7%
@ 4.42-2.6%
Djurgardens IF +1
65.3%
@ 1.47+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.50
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.55
Unibet
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Away
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Handicap +1 (Malmo FF)Actual: Djurgardens IF
Malmo FF +1
60.5%
@ 1.50+0.8%
Draw +1
19.0%
@ 4.31-1.7%
Djurgardens IF -1
20.4%
@ 4.58+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.47
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.35
Betfair
4.33
Superbet
4.30
Unibet
4.20
Away
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Superbet
4.40
Handicap +2 (Malmo FF)Actual: Djurgardens IF
Malmo FF +2
79.6%
@ 1.15+1.8%
Draw +2
12.1%
@ 6.92-0.9%
Djurgardens IF -2
8.3%
@ 9.64-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Draw
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.50
Unibet
6.50
Away
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
9.50
Marathonbet
9.00
Unibet
9.00
Superbet
8.70
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Malmo FF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.00
0.93
1.00
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (15)
0.60
1.20
0.57
1.14
0.62
1.25
vs Weaker (11)
1.09
0.73
1.50
1.00
0.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Djurgardens IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Djurgardens IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.60
1.44
0.69
1.00
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.18
0.82
1.44
0.89
0.88
0.75
vs Weaker (13)
1.31
0.31
1.43
0.43
1.17
0.17
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Malmo FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.5%
@ 1.27-0.3%
Under 0.5
27.5%
@ 3.41+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.5%
@ 2.30-2.0%
Under 1.5
61.5%
@ 1.56+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.40
SBO
2.38
Betano
2.37
Pinnacle
2.36
Marathonbet
2.32
Under
10Bet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Betano
1.57
Unibet
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.3%
@ 5.18-4.5%
Under 2.5
86.7%
@ 1.13+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
1xBet
5.15
Marathonbet
5.15
Under
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Malmo FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.4%
@ 1.87-3.2%
Under
53.6%
@ 1.84+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.83
Under
Unibet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.87
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Malmo FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.9%
@ 5.49-3.1%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.12+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.85
Superbet
5.40
Betano
5.20
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
Malmo FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 14.33-4.5%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Djurgardens IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
50.1%
@ 1.84-0.3%
Under
49.9%
@ 1.87+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Pinnacle
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
10Bet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.91
Unibet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Djurgardens IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.4%
@ 5.27-3.3%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.13+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Betano
5.20
Superbet
5.15
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
Djurgardens IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 14.08-2.3%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.01+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Malmo FF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
0.87
0.60
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.73
1.00
0.86
0.25
0.62
vs Weaker (11)
1.18
0.36
1.00
0.33
1.40
0.40
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Djurgardens IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Djurgardens IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.53
1.25
0.62
1.14
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.18
0.59
1.56
0.56
0.75
0.62
vs Weaker (13)
1.23
0.46
0.86
0.71
1.67
0.17
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Malmo FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.5%
@ 1.16+0.0%
Under 0.5
19.5%
@ 4.76-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.85
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.80
Superbet
4.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
47.5%
@ 1.77-5.2%
Under 1.5
52.5%
@ 1.97+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.82
William Hil
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Unibet
1.97
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.7%
@ 3.40-5.6%
Under 2.5
78.3%
@ 1.28+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.50
Superbet
3.50
William Hil
3.50
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.34
Under
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Malmo FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
57.0%
@ 1.62-0.5%
Under
43.0%
@ 2.19+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Under
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.15
Malmo FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.8%
@ 3.92-2.8%
Under
79.2%
@ 1.21+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.05
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.75
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Malmo FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 10.25-4.7%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.03+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.02
Djurgardens IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
54.1%
@ 1.58-4.7%
Under
45.9%
@ 2.26+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.55
Under
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.22
Superbet
2.20
Djurgardens IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
20.9%
@ 3.75-3.8%
Under
79.1%
@ 1.23+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.85
1xBet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Djurgardens IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 9.25-4.8%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.04+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.5%
1.01
-
-
-
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.6%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.7%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.3%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
91.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.06
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.3%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.7%
1.13
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.1%
1.12
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.6%
1.13
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
83.0%
1.14
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.0%
1.17
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
Superbet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.7%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.16
888Sport
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
80.2%
1.19
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
79.6%
1.15
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+1.8%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
79.4%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.2%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
79.1%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
-
+3.8%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.3%
1.28
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
77.9%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+0.8%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
77.8%
1.20
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
+0.6%
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.2%
1.27
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.28
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.5%
1.27
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Malmo FF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Diego García38%
Erik Botheim37%
Pontus Jansson33%
Adrian Skogmar22%
Sead Hakšabanović21%
Taha Ali17%
Kenan Busuladžić13%
Anton Höög11%
Noah Åstrand John10%
Oscar Sjostrand8%
Busanello7%
Andrej Đurić7%
Otto Rosengren6%
Jens Stryger Larsen6%
Robin Olsen0%
Arnór Sigurðsson0%
Johan Dahlin0%
Anders Christiansen0%
Yanis Karabelyov0%
Johan Karlsson0%
Colin Rösler0%
Emmanuel Ekong0%
Daníel Tristan Guðjohnsen0%
Malte Palsson0%
Bleon Kurtulus0%
Jovan Milosavljević0%
Theodor Lundbergh0%
Isaac Assibu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kenan Busuladžić40%
Otto Rosengren35%
Pontus Jansson33%
Andrej Đurić33%
Busanello29%
Bleon Kurtulus25%
Yanis Karabelyov20%
Noah Åstrand John20%
Jens Stryger Larsen17%
Taha Ali17%
Theodor Lundbergh16%
Diego García12%
Malte Palsson12%
Adrian Skogmar11%
Sead Hakšabanović11%
Daníel Tristan Guðjohnsen9%
Robin Olsen8%
Oscar Sjostrand8%
Arnór Sigurðsson0%
Erik Botheim0%
Johan Dahlin0%
Anders Christiansen0%
Johan Karlsson0%
Colin Rösler0%
Emmanuel Ekong0%
Jovan Milosavljević0%
Anton Höög0%
Isaac Assibu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sead Hakšabanović32%
Otto Rosengren18%
Taha Ali17%
Erik Botheim16%
Kenan Busuladžić13%
Jens Stryger Larsen11%
Anton Höög11%
Theodor Lundbergh11%
Colin Rösler10%
Noah Åstrand John10%
Daníel Tristan Guðjohnsen9%
Oscar Sjostrand8%
Robin Olsen0%
Arnór Sigurðsson0%
Johan Dahlin0%
Anders Christiansen0%
Yanis Karabelyov0%
Pontus Jansson0%
Busanello0%
Johan Karlsson0%
Diego García0%
Emmanuel Ekong0%
Andrej Đurić0%
Malte Palsson0%
Adrian Skogmar0%
Bleon Kurtulus0%
Jovan Milosavljević0%
Isaac Assibu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anders Christiansen33%
Erik Botheim21%
Sead Hakšabanović21%
Diego García12%
Otto Rosengren12%
Anton Höög11%
Adrian Skogmar6%
Robin Olsen0%
Arnór Sigurðsson0%
Johan Dahlin0%
Jens Stryger Larsen0%
Yanis Karabelyov0%
Pontus Jansson0%
Busanello0%
Johan Karlsson0%
Colin Rösler0%
Taha Ali0%
Emmanuel Ekong0%
Andrej Đurić0%
Noah Åstrand John0%
Daníel Tristan Guðjohnsen0%
Malte Palsson0%
Kenan Busuladžić0%
Bleon Kurtulus0%
Oscar Sjostrand0%
Jovan Milosavljević0%
Theodor Lundbergh0%
Isaac Assibu0%
Djurgardens IF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mikael Anderson50%
Kristian Stromland Lien44%
Patric Åslund28%
Bo Åsulv Hegland28%
Oskar Fallenius14%
Nino Žugelj14%
Miro Tenho12%
Jeppe Okkels11%
Mikael Marqués10%
Joel Asoro8%
Adam Ståhl7%
Hampus Finndell7%
Piotr Johansson6%
Jacob Rinne0%
Jacob Une Larsson0%
Daniel Stensson0%
Leon Hien0%
Max Larsson0%
Matias Siltanen0%
Peter Langhoff0%
Ahmed Saeed0%
Christos Almyras0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miro Tenho24%
Mikael Marqués20%
Leon Hien20%
Max Larsson20%
Joel Asoro17%
Matias Siltanen17%
Jacob Une Larsson15%
Adam Ståhl14%
Hampus Finndell13%
Peter Langhoff12%
Piotr Johansson6%
Bo Åsulv Hegland6%
Jacob Rinne0%
Jeppe Okkels0%
Mikael Anderson0%
Oskar Fallenius0%
Kristian Stromland Lien0%
Nino Žugelj0%
Patric Åslund0%
Daniel Stensson0%
Ahmed Saeed0%
Christos Almyras0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bo Åsulv Hegland44%
Mikael Anderson25%
Oskar Fallenius21%
Piotr Johansson18%
Kristian Stromland Lien17%
Max Larsson13%
Mikael Marqués10%
Adam Ståhl7%
Hampus Finndell7%
Patric Åslund6%
Matias Siltanen6%
Jacob Rinne0%
Jeppe Okkels0%
Joel Asoro0%
Jacob Une Larsson0%
Miro Tenho0%
Nino Žugelj0%
Daniel Stensson0%
Leon Hien0%
Peter Langhoff0%
Ahmed Saeed0%
Christos Almyras0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kristian Stromland Lien39%
Oskar Fallenius36%
Bo Åsulv Hegland28%
Mikael Anderson25%
Patric Åslund17%
Max Larsson7%
Jeppe Okkels6%
Jacob Rinne0%
Joel Asoro0%
Jacob Une Larsson0%
Hampus Finndell0%
Piotr Johansson0%
Adam Ståhl0%
Miro Tenho0%
Nino Žugelj0%
Daniel Stensson0%
Mikael Marqués0%
Leon Hien0%
Matias Siltanen0%
Peter Langhoff0%
Ahmed Saeed0%
Christos Almyras0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Malmo FF's squad is €8m more valuable than Djurgardens IF's (€35m vs €27m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Malmo FF's attack is €4m more valuable than Djurgardens IF's (€12m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
Malmo FF's midfield is €3m less valuable than Djurgardens IF's (€11m vs €14m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Malmo FF's defence is €6m more valuable than Djurgardens IF's (€12m vs €6m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
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Sirius
Hammarby FF
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
AIK Stockholm
Vasteras SK FK
Gais
IF Brommapojkarna
IFK Goteborg
Mjallby AIF
Kalmar FF
Degerfors IF
Orgryte IS
Halmstad