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Manchester City vs Arsenal Result & Analysis

Date: 19/04/2026
Time: 16:30
Final 2-1
Manchester City
Manchester City
Vs
41%
29%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arsenal
Arsenal
England: Premier League
Referee: A Taylor

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manchester City win✓ Hit
41.4%
Avg Implied 51.3% · @ 1.84
Edge
-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.59
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arsenal win✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied 22.4% · @ 4.22
Edge
+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W22D31W03L11D12L20W40W30WH·NEW21/02A·LEE28/02H·NOT04/03A·NEW07/03A·REA11/03A·WES14/03H·REA17/03A·ARS22/03H·LIV04/04A·CHE12/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.170.802.730.601.601.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.881.002.001.001.801.00
vs Weaker (22)2.270.732.920.501.501.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W11D20W20W02L12L10W12L00DA·BRI04/03A·MAN07/03A·BAY11/03H·EVE14/03H·BAY17/03H·MAN22/03A·SOU04/04A·SPO07/04H·BOU11/04H·SPO15/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.930.901.800.872.070.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.331.000.831.002.331.00
vs Weaker (21)2.190.862.440.782.000.92
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.7%
@ 1.90-2.8%
Under 2.5
53.3%
@ 1.86+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.1%
Under 3.5
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.6%
No
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.1%
2-1 ✓
8.8%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.2%
Manchester City goals ↓
Arsenal goals →
01234
09.1%7.8%5.2%2.0%0.6%
19.7%14%7.2%2.8%0.8%
27.7%8.8%5.0%1.9%0.6%
33.6%4.1%2.3%0.9%0.3%
41.2%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester City goals (down), columns = Arsenal goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Manchester City is 0.18 points worse than Arsenal in terms of average points per game (2.05 vs 2.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Manchester City is 0.16 goals better than Arsenal in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 1.87).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Manchester City is 0.21 goals worse than Arsenal in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 0.71).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Manchester City is 4.7 percentage points better than Arsenal in terms of average possession (60% vs 56%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Manchester CityManchester City

For 7.6 · Against 3.1 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

160124423396151101936135551666151611127810A·CHEH·LIVA·ARSH·REAA·WESA·REAA·NEWH·NOTA·LEEH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

7013331322222243254644422437A·CHEH·LIVA·ARSH·REAA·WESA·REAA·NEWH·NOTA·LEEH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.4

⚠️ Fouls

2801410151010126751413111612106810121324252213192428161825A·CHEH·LIVA·ARSH·REAA·WESA·REAA·NEWH·NOTA·LEEH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArsenalArsenal

For 6.6 · Against 3.5 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

18083101439433108833284341111713618115127H·SPOH·BOUA·SPOA·SOUH·MANH·BAYH·EVEA·BAYA·MANA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

701131123113424141413410765H·SPOH·BOUA·SPOA·SOUH·MANH·BAYH·EVEA·BAYA·MANA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 11.8 · Total 21.3

⚠️ Fouls

300711121810111191210481112109616121418302120221223192226H·SPOH·BOUA·SPOA·SOUH·MANH·BAYH·EVEA·BAYA·MANA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester CityManchester City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.89.23.73.53.920.820.121.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (10)10.611.210.24.85.54.324.423.225.2
vs Weaker (40)9.29.68.93.53.13.819.919.520.4
% over line50%52%48%56%52%60%46%44%48%
% under line50%48%52%44%48%40%54%56%52%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.29.53.32.83.722.022.621.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (13)9.28.99.83.83.25.223.222.724.5
vs Weaker (37)9.49.39.43.12.63.421.622.620.9
% over line48%48%48%44%44%44%56%60%52%
% under line52%52%52%56%56%56%44%40%48%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.4
West Ham
10.7
Fulham
10.6
Liverpool
10.4
Bournemouth
10.4
Nottingham Forest
10.2
Tottenham
9.9
Chelsea
9.8
Brentford
9.7
Manchester United
9.7
Manchester City
9.5
Everton
9.5
Brighton
9.4
Aston Villa
9.4
Leeds
9.4
Burnley
9.4
Arsenal
9.3
Wolves
9.1
Sunderland
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.7
Bournemouth
4.6
Tottenham
4.3
Brighton
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Sunderland
4.2
Newcastle
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.0
Aston Villa
4.0
Manchester City
3.8
Wolves
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Nottingham Forest
3.7
West Ham
3.6
Everton
3.6
Fulham
3.5
Liverpool
3.5
Arsenal
3.3
Leeds
3.3
Burnley
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
23.9
Aston Villa
23.8
Bournemouth
23.7
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Chelsea
22.6
Tottenham
22.6
West Ham
22.5
Brighton
22.4
Sunderland
22.4
Leeds
22.2
Arsenal
22.0
Everton
21.9
Manchester United
21.8
Newcastle
21.4
Crystal Palace
21.2
Manchester City
20.8
Liverpool
20.7
Burnley
20.7
Brentford
19.9
Fulham
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.9%
Under 9.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.0%
Under 3.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
54.9%
Under 21.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Manchester CityManchester City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W10W11D03L11D11D00D20W00DH·NEW21/02A·LEE28/02H·NOT04/03A·NEW07/03A·REA11/03A·WES14/03H·REA17/03A·ARS22/03H·LIV04/04A·CHE12/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.331.870.130.530.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.750.621.330.330.400.80
vs Weaker (22)1.360.232.000.080.600.40
Clean sheet %77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W10W00D00D10W00D01L00D11D00DA·BRI04/03A·MAN07/03A·BAY11/03H·EVE14/03H·BAY17/03H·MAN22/03A·SOU04/04A·SPO07/04H·BOU11/04H·SPO15/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.300.870.270.870.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.560.330.330.331.000.33
vs Weaker (21)1.000.291.220.220.830.33
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Manchester CityManchester City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D12L20W00D00D01L20W20W30WH·NEW21/02A·LEE28/02H·NOT04/03A·NEW07/03A·REA11/03A·WES14/03H·REA17/03A·ARS22/03H·LIV04/04A·CHE12/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.470.870.471.070.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.120.380.670.671.400.20
vs Weaker (22)0.910.500.920.420.900.60
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D11D20W10W02L11D10W01L00DA·BRI04/03A·MAN07/03A·BAY11/03H·EVE14/03H·BAY17/03H·MAN22/03A·SOU04/04A·SPO07/04H·BOU11/04H·SPO15/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.600.930.601.200.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.780.670.500.671.330.67
vs Weaker (21)1.190.571.220.561.170.58
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards77.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls76.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls71.2%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland55%
Antoine Semenyo42%
Rayan Cherki20%
Max Alleyne17%
Jérémy Doku15%
Phil Foden14%
Omar Marmoush14%
Nico O'Reilly13%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Savinho11%
Marc Guéhi10%
Joško Gvardiol8%
Rodri6%
Rúben Dias6%
Bernardo Silva6%
Nico González5%
Rico Lewis5%
Matheus Nunes2%
John Stones0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Nathan Aké0%
Rayan Aït-Nouri0%
James Trafford0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Divine Mukasa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bernardo Silva28%
Gianluigi Donnarumma23%
Nico González20%
Rodri19%
Abdukodir Khusanov17%
Nico O'Reilly15%
Rayan Aït-Nouri15%
Matheus Nunes15%
Rico Lewis14%
Rúben Dias12%
Savinho11%
Phil Foden10%
Marc Guéhi10%
Omar Marmoush9%
Joško Gvardiol8%
Oscar Bobb7%
Tijjani Reijnders4%
Erling Haaland4%
Rayan Cherki4%
Antoine Semenyo4%
Nathan Aké3%
John Stones0%
Jérémy Doku0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
James Trafford0%
Max Alleyne0%
Divine Mukasa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Divine Mukasa33%
Rayan Cherki24%
Jérémy Doku19%
Joško Gvardiol16%
Erling Haaland16%
Rayan Aït-Nouri15%
Matheus Nunes15%
Rico Lewis14%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Phil Foden12%
Antoine Semenyo12%
Nico O'Reilly12%
Mateo Kovačić11%
Bernardo Silva9%
Omar Marmoush9%
Oscar Bobb7%
Savinho6%
Marc Guéhi5%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
John Stones0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Nathan Aké0%
Nico González0%
James Trafford0%
Max Alleyne0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland53%
Antoine Semenyo19%
Omar Marmoush17%
Tijjani Reijnders15%
Rayan Cherki12%
Phil Foden10%
Savinho8%
Rodri6%
Marc Guéhi5%
Rico Lewis5%
Jérémy Doku4%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Nico O'Reilly4%
Rúben Dias0%
John Stones0%
Bernardo Silva0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Nathan Aké0%
Rayan Aït-Nouri0%
Matheus Nunes0%
Nico González0%
James Trafford0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Max Alleyne0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Divine Mukasa0%
Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Gyökeres30%
Kai Havertz26%
Bukayo Saka22%
Gabriel Jesus19%
Gabriel Martinelli17%
Leandro Trossard16%
Mikel Merino15%
Noni Madueke14%
Eberechi Eze14%
Martín Zubimendi9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Gabriel Magalhães8%
Max Dowman8%
Declan Rice7%
Jurriën Timber7%
Ben White3%
Martin Ødegaard3%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Piero Hincapié3%
William Saliba2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Marli Salmon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kepa Arrizabalaga36%
Riccardo Calafiori19%
Martín Zubimendi14%
Cristhian Mosquera14%
Jurriën Timber14%
Myles Lewis-Skelly14%
Declan Rice13%
Mikel Merino12%
Gabriel Jesus11%
Viktor Gyökeres11%
Ben White10%
Gabriel Magalhães10%
Christian Nørgaard10%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Kai Havertz9%
Piero Hincapié8%
Bukayo Saka6%
Leandro Trossard6%
William Saliba6%
Eberechi Eze4%
Noni Madueke2%
David Raya2%
Martin Ødegaard0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Max Dowman0%
Marli Salmon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kai Havertz22%
Leandro Trossard20%
Martin Ødegaard19%
Declan Rice15%
Bukayo Saka14%
Jurriën Timber14%
Gabriel Martinelli13%
Myles Lewis-Skelly11%
Gabriel Magalhães10%
Christian Nørgaard10%
Mikel Merino9%
Eberechi Eze8%
Ben White7%
Viktor Gyökeres6%
Riccardo Calafiori6%
Piero Hincapié5%
Noni Madueke5%
Gabriel Jesus4%
Martín Zubimendi4%
William Saliba2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Max Dowman0%
Marli Salmon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Gyökeres24%
Bukayo Saka18%
Leandro Trossard16%
Eberechi Eze16%
Max Dowman15%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Mikel Merino12%
Noni Madueke10%
Kai Havertz9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Gabriel Martinelli8%
Martin Ødegaard6%
Jurriën Timber5%
Declan Rice4%
Martín Zubimendi4%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Gabriel Magalhães2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
William Saliba0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Piero Hincapié0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Marli Salmon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Manchester City's squad is €81m less valuable than Arsenal's (€1326m vs €1406m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Manchester City's attack is €27m more valuable than Arsenal's (€635m vs €608m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Manchester City's midfield is €130m less valuable than Arsenal's (€160m vs €290m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Manchester City's defence is €22m more valuable than Arsenal's (€531m vs €508m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
MC wins
3
Draws
2
ARS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Manchester City vs Arsenal · H/A from MC
DateH/AGameScore
22/03/26AArsenal Vs MC0-2
21/09/25AArsenal Vs MC1-1
02/02/25AArsenal Vs MC5-1
22/09/24HMC Vs Arsenal2-2
31/03/24HMC Vs Arsenal0-0
08/10/23AArsenal Vs MC1-0
26/04/23HMC Vs Arsenal4-1
15/02/23AArsenal Vs MC1-3

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/26AChelsea Vs MC0-3
04/04/26HMC Vs Liverpool4-0
22/03/26AArsenal Vs MC0-2
17/03/26HMC Vs Real Madrid1-2
14/03/26AWest Ham Vs MC1-1
11/03/26AReal Madrid Vs MC3-0
07/03/26ANewcastle Vs MC1-3
04/03/26HMC Vs Nottingham Forest2-2
28/02/26ALeeds Vs MC0-1
21/02/26HMC Vs Newcastle2-1

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/26HARS Vs Sporting CP0-0
11/04/26HARS Vs Bournemouth1-2
07/04/26ASporting CP Vs ARS0-1
04/04/26ASouthampton Vs ARS2-1
22/03/26HARS Vs Manchester City0-2
17/03/26HARS Vs Bayer Leverkusen2-0
14/03/26HARS Vs Everton2-0
11/03/26ABayer Leverkusen Vs ARS1-1
07/03/26AMansfield Vs ARS1-2
04/03/26ABrighton Vs ARS0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW2.14
HomeWWDLW2.40
AwayWLDWW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%76%56%
AVG goals3.083.362.80
Over 1.5 %92%100%84%
Over 2.5 %58%60%56%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored2.162.641.68
Conceded0.920.721.12
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet42%48%36%
Corners9.529.849.20
Cards3.803.524.08
Arsenal
Arsenal
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD2.30
HomeWWLLD2.32
AwayWWDLW2.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%72%68%
AVG goals2.742.682.80
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %52%48%56%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored2.002.002.00
Conceded0.740.680.80
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet48%52%44%
Corners9.329.169.48
Cards3.332.843.83

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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