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Manchester City vs Aston Villa Result & Analysis

Date: 22/04/2025
Time: 20:00
Final 2-1
Manchester City
Manchester City
Vs
54%
24%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Referee: C Pawson

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manchester City win✓ Hit
53.6%
Avg Implied 50.4% · @ 1.91
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.92
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa win✗ Miss
22.0%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.84
Edge
-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L10W31W01L22D21W20W00D52W20WH·LIV23/02A·TOT26/02H·PLY01/03A·NOT08/03H·BRI15/03A·BOU30/03H·LEI02/04A·MAN06/04H·CRY12/04A·EVE19/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.171.372.931.141.501.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.122.751.672.000.803.20
vs Weaker (22)2.550.863.270.911.820.82
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W10W30W30W30W21W13L30W32W41WA·CLU04/03A·BRE08/03H·CLU12/03A·PRE30/03A·BRI02/04H·NOT05/04A·PAR09/04A·SOU12/04H·PAR15/04H·NEW19/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.232.191.061.571.43
vs Stronger (4)2.002.002.501.501.502.50
vs Similar (19)1.951.372.271.181.501.62
vs Weaker (7)1.710.431.670.331.750.50
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.0%
Under 1.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.0%
@ 1.59-1.1%
Under 2.5
41.0%
@ 2.39+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.6%
Under 3.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1 ✓
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
6.0%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.7%
Manchester City goals ↓
Aston Villa goals →
01234
05.7%4.4%3.2%1.2%0.4%
17.9%11%6.0%2.3%0.7%
28.5%9.8%5.7%2.2%0.6%
35.4%6.2%3.6%1.4%0.4%
42.5%3.0%1.7%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester City goals (down), columns = Aston Villa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Manchester City is 0.13 points better than Aston Villa in terms of average points per game (1.87 vs 1.74).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Manchester City is 0.37 goals better than Aston Villa in terms of goals scored per game (1.89 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Manchester City is 0.18 goals better than Aston Villa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.34).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Manchester City is 11.0 percentage points better than Aston Villa in terms of average possession (61% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Manchester CityManchester City

For 4.2 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

120521435545233875577475859511121211A·EVEH·CRYA·MANH·LEIH·BRIA·NOTA·TOTH·LIVA·REAH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.7 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

704232314252332114555753031A·EVEH·CRYA·MANH·LEIH·BRIA·NOTA·TOTH·LIVA·REAH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 10.7 · Total 19.2

⚠️ Fouls

27067101691311810107915123109951313262219201627131818A·EVEH·CRYA·MANH·LEIH·BRIA·NOTA·TOTH·LIVA·REAH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 4.8 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

160775514219444315613831410161084411411H·NEWH·PARA·SOUA·PARH·NOTA·BRIH·CLUA·BREA·CLUA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

40131131223122213134141442444H·NEWH·PARA·SOUA·PARH·NOTA·BRIH·CLUA·BREA·CRYH·CHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.6 · Against 11.1 · Total 19.7

⚠️ Fouls

29091215341189715111678510108101921181517222715151829H·NEWH·PARA·SOUA·PARH·NOTA·BRIH·CLUA·BREA·CLUA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester CityManchester City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.29.910.53.13.03.117.017.316.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (12)10.09.210.63.02.83.116.816.017.4
vs Weaker (38)10.310.110.53.13.03.117.117.616.5
% over line59%64%55%42%44%40%16%14%18%
% under line41%36%45%58%56%60%84%86%82%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.310.13.73.83.723.422.724.1
vs Stronger (6)9.59.010.53.74.03.021.220.522.5
vs Similar (31)10.110.69.63.73.73.722.922.523.4
vs Weaker (13)10.810.411.23.84.03.726.025.027.0
% over line57%48%67%64%67%61%61%57%67%
% under line43%52%33%36%33%39%39%43%33%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
11.8
Bournemouth
11.5
Brentford
11.1
Everton
10.8
Ipswich
10.8
Newcastle
10.8
Fulham
10.8
Liverpool
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.6
Brighton
10.2
Southampton
10.2
Manchester City
10.2
Manchester United
10.1
Crystal Palace
10.1
Aston Villa
10.0
Leicester
10.0
Chelsea
9.9
West Ham
9.8
Wolves
9.8
Arsenal
9.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.8
Chelsea
4.7
Brighton
4.6
Wolves
4.5
Aston Villa
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Newcastle
4.2
Southampton
4.2
Manchester United
4.1
Tottenham
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.1
Arsenal
4.1
Liverpool
4.0
Leicester
4.0
Fulham
4.0
West Ham
3.8
Ipswich
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Everton
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.2
Wolves
24.1
Tottenham
23.9
Southampton
23.6
Aston Villa
23.2
Brighton
23.0
Newcastle
22.7
Ipswich
22.6
Crystal Palace
22.5
West Ham
22.0
Chelsea
21.9
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Leicester
21.5
Arsenal
21.4
Everton
21.4
Manchester United
21.0
Liverpool
20.9
Fulham
20.7
Brentford
18.7
Manchester City
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.5%
Under 9.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.5%
Under 3.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
49.0%
Under 21.5
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Manchester CityManchester City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W11D00D21W01L20W00D22D00DH·LIV23/02A·TOT26/02H·PLY01/03A·NOT08/03H·BRI15/03A·BOU30/03H·LEI02/04A·MAN06/04H·CRY12/04A·EVE19/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.571.500.640.380.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.250.880.671.000.000.80
vs Weaker (22)1.140.451.730.550.550.36
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D00D00D20W11D00D12L11DA·CLU04/03A·BRE08/03H·CLU12/03A·PRE30/03A·BRI02/04H·NOT05/04A·PAR09/04A·SOU12/04H·PAR15/04H·NEW19/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.810.560.210.57
vs Stronger (4)0.751.001.001.000.501.00
vs Similar (19)0.630.630.910.640.250.62
vs Weaker (7)0.140.140.330.000.000.25
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Manchester CityManchester City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D20W01L01L20W00D00D30W20WH·LIV23/02A·TOT26/02H·PLY01/03A·NOT08/03H·BRI15/03A·BOU30/03H·LEI02/04A·MAN06/04H·CRY12/04A·EVE19/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.801.430.501.121.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.881.881.001.000.802.40
vs Weaker (22)1.410.411.550.361.270.45
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W30W30W30W01L02L30W20W30WA·CLU04/03A·BRE08/03H·CLU12/03A·PRE30/03A·BRI02/04H·NOT05/04A·PAR09/04A·SOU12/04H·PAR15/04H·NEW19/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.671.380.501.360.86
vs Stronger (4)1.251.001.500.501.001.50
vs Similar (19)1.320.741.360.551.251.00
vs Weaker (7)1.570.291.330.331.750.25
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls80.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners73.8%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland51%
Omar Marmoush27%
Nico O’Reilly22%
James McAtee19%
Phil Foden18%
Kevin De Bruyne15%
John Stones15%
Mateo Kovačić15%
Jérémy Doku14%
Nico González12%
Joško Gvardiol12%
Abdukodir Khusanov11%
Matheus Nunes11%
Jack Grealish9%
Bernardo Silva8%
İlkay Gündoğan6%
Rico Lewis5%
Savinho5%
Manuel Akanji0%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
Ederson0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nico González25%
Abdukodir Khusanov22%
Bernardo Silva19%
Rúben Dias18%
Kyle Walker17%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey17%
Matheus Nunes16%
Jack Grealish16%
James McAtee15%
Mateo Kovačić15%
Ederson11%
Nico O’Reilly11%
John Stones10%
Stefan Ortega10%
Rico Lewis10%
Savinho9%
Manuel Akanji8%
Kevin De Bruyne8%
Erling Haaland5%
Phil Foden4%
İlkay Gündoğan4%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Jérémy Doku3%
Rodri0%
Nathan Aké0%
Omar Marmoush0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Vitor Reis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matheus Nunes24%
Jérémy Doku22%
Savinho20%
Kevin De Bruyne18%
Jack Grealish12%
İlkay Gündoğan12%
Rico Lewis12%
Ederson11%
Phil Foden11%
Erling Haaland9%
Bernardo Silva8%
Mateo Kovačić7%
Nico O’Reilly6%
John Stones5%
Omar Marmoush5%
Manuel Akanji3%
Joško Gvardiol2%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
James McAtee0%
Nico González0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland58%
Omar Marmoush36%
Phil Foden20%
Kevin De Bruyne18%
James McAtee12%
Savinho11%
Jérémy Doku11%
İlkay Gündoğan8%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Jack Grealish3%
Manuel Akanji3%
Matheus Nunes3%
Rúben Dias2%
Mateo Kovačić2%
Rico Lewis2%
Bernardo Silva2%
Rodri0%
Ederson0%
John Stones0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Nico González0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Nico O’Reilly0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jhon Durán41%
Ollie Watkins30%
Marco Asensio24%
Morgan Rogers22%
Donyell Malen18%
Marcus Rashford18%
Amadou Onana15%
Ross Barkley14%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey9%
John McGinn8%
Ezri Konsa6%
Leon Bailey5%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Matty Cash3%
Boubacar Kamara2%
Robin Olsen0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Diego Carlos29%
Morgan Rogers22%
Matty Cash21%
Axel Disasi20%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace20%
Jhon Durán17%
John McGinn16%
Tyrone Mings14%
Ross Barkley14%
Lucas Digne13%
Lamare Bogarde12%
Boubacar Kamara12%
Amadou Onana12%
Leon Bailey11%
Marco Asensio10%
Youri Tielemans9%
Emiliano Martínez9%
Pau Torres9%
Jacob Ramsey7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Ollie Watkins4%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Marcus Rashford0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ollie Watkins24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans19%
John McGinn12%
Lucas Digne11%
Leon Bailey11%
Jacob Ramsey9%
Pau Torres6%
Marco Asensio5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Ross Barkley3%
Matty Cash3%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Jhon Durán0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jhon Durán28%
Marco Asensio24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Ollie Watkins19%
Morgan Rogers17%
Donyell Malen12%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey4%
Leon Bailey3%
Ian Maatsen2%
John McGinn2%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Ross Barkley0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Manchester City's squad is €790m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€1326m vs €536m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Manchester City's attack is €416m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€635m vs €220m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Manchester City and Aston Villa have a similar midfield value (both €160m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Manchester City's defence is €374m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€531m vs €156m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
MC wins
1
Draws
2
AVL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Manchester City vs Aston Villa · H/A from MC
DateH/AGameScore
21/12/24AAston Villa Vs MC2-1
03/04/24HMC Vs Aston Villa4-1
06/12/23AAston Villa Vs MC1-0
12/02/23HMC Vs Aston Villa3-1
03/09/22AAston Villa Vs MC1-1
22/05/22HMC Vs Aston Villa3-2
01/12/21AAston Villa Vs MC1-2
21/04/21AAston Villa Vs MC1-2

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/25AEverton Vs MC0-2
12/04/25HMC Vs Crystal Palace5-2
06/04/25AManchester United Vs MC0-0
02/04/25HMC Vs Leicester2-0
30/03/25ABournemouth Vs MC1-2
15/03/25HMC Vs Brighton2-2
08/03/25ANottingham Forest Vs MC1-0
01/03/25HMC Vs Plymouth3-1
26/02/25ATottenham Vs MC0-1
23/02/25HMC Vs Liverpool0-2

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/25HAVL Vs Newcastle4-1
15/04/25HAVL Vs Paris Saint Germain3-2
12/04/25ASouthampton Vs AVL0-3
09/04/25AParis Saint Germain Vs AVL3-1
05/04/25HAVL Vs Nottingham Forest2-1
02/04/25ABrighton Vs AVL0-3
30/03/25APreston Vs AVL0-3
12/03/25HAVL Vs Club Brugge KV3-0
08/03/25ABrentford Vs AVL0-1
04/03/25AClub Brugge KV Vs AVL1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.74
HomeLWDWW2.12
AwayWLWDW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%64%40%
AVG goals3.503.883.12
Over 1.5 %90%92%88%
Over 2.5 %72%80%64%
Over 3.5 %50%64%36%
Scored2.122.641.60
Conceded1.381.241.52
BTTS62%64%60%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Corners10.239.9110.55
Cards3.733.753.71
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 9 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.88
HomeWWWWW2.19
AwayWWWLW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%63%48%
AVG goals2.982.933.04
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %68%63%74%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.721.891.52
Conceded1.261.041.52
BTTS60%70%48%
Clean Sheet26%26%26%
Corners10.2010.3010.10
Cards4.454.684.20

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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