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Manchester City vs Brighton Result & Analysis

Date: 15/03/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
Manchester City
Manchester City
Vs
58%
23%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Referee: S Hooper

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manchester City win✗ Miss
58.3%
Avg Implied 53.0% · @ 1.81
Edge
+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.7%
Avg Implied 23.8% · @ 4.03
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton win✗ Miss
18.9%
Avg Implied 23.1% · @ 4.15
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W15L21W23L40W13L02L10W31W01LH·CLU29/01A·ARS02/02A·LEY08/02H·REA11/02H·NEW15/02A·REA19/02H·LIV23/02A·TOT26/02H·PLY01/03A·NOT08/03
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.772.691.461.412.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.112.891.672.000.833.33
vs Weaker (21)2.331.293.001.301.731.27
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-720W31W01L07L21W30W40W21W11D21WA·IPS16/01A·MAN19/01H·EVE25/01A·NOT01/02H·CHE08/02H·CHE14/02A·SOU22/02H·BOU25/02A·NEW02/03H·FUL08/03
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.501.621.311.861.71
vs Stronger (4)1.501.751.671.671.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.771.461.621.231.921.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.8%
Under 1.5
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.9%
@ 1.50-1.9%
Under 2.5
38.1%
@ 2.65+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.7%
Under 3.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.9%
No
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.1%
2-2 ✓
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
Manchester City goals ↓
Brighton goals →
01234
05.0%3.6%2.6%1.0%0.3%
17.5%10%5.3%2.0%0.6%
28.8%9.9%5.5%2.1%0.6%
36.1%6.8%3.8%1.4%0.4%
43.2%3.5%2.0%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester City goals (down), columns = Brighton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Manchester City is 0.26 points better than Brighton in terms of average points per game (1.87 vs 1.61).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Manchester City is 0.16 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals scored per game (1.89 vs 1.74).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Manchester City is 0.39 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.55).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Manchester City is 8.2 percentage points better than Brighton in terms of average possession (61% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Manchester CityManchester City

For 4.5 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

1702338755774652551246115111212111176617A·NOTA·TOTH·LIVA·REAH·NEWH·REAA·ARSH·CLUH·CHEA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.2

🟨 Cards

502332112321115303125210A·NOTA·TOTH·LIVA·REAH·NEWA·ARSH·CHEA·PARA·IPSA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.3 · Against 8.6 · Total 15.9

⚠️ Fouls

270791512310995139676236810101627131818151351420A·NOTA·TOTH·LIVA·REAH·NEWH·REAA·ARSH·CLUH·CHEA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

For 4.3 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

150371965296491249125312101011111010610715H·FULH·BOUA·SOUH·CHEA·NOTH·EVEA·MANA·IPSH·ARSA·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

702212123134332223322323476455H·FULH·BOUA·SOUH·CHEA·NOTH·EVEA·MANA·IPSH·ARSA·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 24.0

⚠️ Fouls

31061212141211121513881112131413171414918262327211925273123H·FULH·BOUA·SOUH·CHEA·NOTH·EVEA·MANA·IPSH·ARSA·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester CityManchester City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.710.52.92.83.017.017.216.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (13)10.710.810.63.23.23.117.517.717.4
vs Weaker (37)10.610.610.52.82.73.016.817.116.5
% over line62%71%54%38%42%35%16%14%17%
% under line38%29%46%62%58%65%84%86%83%
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.210.54.04.03.923.024.221.9
vs Stronger (8)10.48.513.04.03.25.323.723.224.3
vs Similar (41)10.410.610.14.04.53.722.924.421.5
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line70%68%73%56%54%58%66%77%55%
% under line30%32%27%44%46%42%34%23%45%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.3
Bournemouth
11.6
Brentford
11.2
Everton
10.8
Newcastle
10.8
Southampton
10.8
Nottingham Forest
10.7
Fulham
10.7
Manchester United
10.7
Ipswich
10.7
Liverpool
10.6
Manchester City
10.5
Crystal Palace
10.3
Brighton
10.2
Wolves
10.2
Aston Villa
10.1
Leicester
9.8
Chelsea
9.8
West Ham
9.7
Arsenal
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.7
Chelsea
4.7
Aston Villa
4.7
Wolves
4.6
Brighton
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.4
Southampton
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Tottenham
4.2
Fulham
4.1
Liverpool
4.0
Arsenal
4.0
Manchester United
4.0
Leicester
3.9
West Ham
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.9
Brentford
3.8
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.1
Tottenham
23.8
Aston Villa
23.8
Wolves
23.6
Southampton
22.9
Brighton
22.9
Newcastle
22.7
Ipswich
22.5
Crystal Palace
22.4
Chelsea
22.3
Nottingham Forest
21.9
West Ham
21.8
Arsenal
21.8
Leicester
21.7
Everton
21.5
Liverpool
20.9
Fulham
20.8
Manchester United
20.8
Brentford
19.0
Manchester City
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.9%
Under 9.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.0%
Under 3.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
20.6%
Under 21.5
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Manchester CityManchester City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L01L10W30W02L02L10W11D00DH·CLU29/01A·ARS02/02A·LEY08/02H·REA11/02H·NEW15/02A·REA19/02H·LIV23/02A·TOT26/02H·PLY01/03A·NOT08/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.631.230.620.530.65
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.330.890.671.000.170.83
vs Weaker (21)1.050.521.400.500.730.55
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D01L03L11D20W10W10W11D11DA·IPS16/01A·MAN19/01H·EVE25/01A·NOT01/02H·CHE08/02H·CHE14/02A·SOU22/02H·BOU25/02A·NEW02/03H·FUL08/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.730.690.690.860.79
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.000.671.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.850.770.850.690.850.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Manchester CityManchester City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W14L20W13L10W11D00D00D20W01LH·CLU29/01A·ARS02/02A·LEY08/02H·REA11/02H·NEW15/02A·REA19/02H·LIV23/02A·TOT26/02H·PLY01/03A·NOT08/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.131.460.850.881.35
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.782.001.001.000.672.50
vs Weaker (21)1.290.761.600.801.000.73
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W20W00D04L10W10W30W11D00D10WA·IPS16/01A·MAN19/01H·EVE25/01A·NOT01/02H·CHE08/02H·CHE14/02A·SOU22/02H·BOU25/02A·NEW02/03H·FUL08/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.770.940.621.000.93
vs Stronger (4)1.251.251.671.000.002.00
vs Similar (26)0.920.690.770.541.080.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls95.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls89.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards85.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.583.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls79.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards71.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners70.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland51%
Omar Marmoush27%
Nico O’Reilly22%
James McAtee19%
Phil Foden18%
Kevin De Bruyne15%
John Stones15%
Mateo Kovačić15%
Jérémy Doku14%
Nico González12%
Joško Gvardiol12%
Abdukodir Khusanov11%
Matheus Nunes11%
Jack Grealish9%
Bernardo Silva8%
İlkay Gündoğan6%
Rico Lewis5%
Savinho5%
Manuel Akanji0%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
Ederson0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nico González25%
Abdukodir Khusanov22%
Bernardo Silva19%
Rúben Dias18%
Kyle Walker17%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey17%
Matheus Nunes16%
Jack Grealish16%
James McAtee15%
Mateo Kovačić15%
Ederson11%
Nico O’Reilly11%
John Stones10%
Stefan Ortega10%
Rico Lewis10%
Savinho9%
Manuel Akanji8%
Kevin De Bruyne8%
Erling Haaland5%
Phil Foden4%
İlkay Gündoğan4%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Jérémy Doku3%
Rodri0%
Nathan Aké0%
Omar Marmoush0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Vitor Reis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matheus Nunes24%
Jérémy Doku22%
Savinho20%
Kevin De Bruyne18%
Jack Grealish12%
İlkay Gündoğan12%
Rico Lewis12%
Ederson11%
Phil Foden11%
Erling Haaland9%
Bernardo Silva8%
Mateo Kovačić7%
Nico O’Reilly6%
John Stones5%
Omar Marmoush5%
Manuel Akanji3%
Joško Gvardiol2%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
James McAtee0%
Nico González0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland58%
Omar Marmoush36%
Phil Foden20%
Kevin De Bruyne18%
James McAtee12%
Savinho11%
Jérémy Doku11%
İlkay Gündoğan8%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Jack Grealish3%
Manuel Akanji3%
Matheus Nunes3%
Rúben Dias2%
Mateo Kovačić2%
Rico Lewis2%
Bernardo Silva2%
Rodri0%
Ederson0%
John Stones0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Nico González0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Nico O’Reilly0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danny Welbeck31%
João Pedro30%
Kaoru Mitoma27%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu25%
Georginio Rutter22%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Simon Adingra15%
Tariq Lamptey15%
Jack Hinshelwood13%
Solly March10%
Carlos Baleba10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Julio Enciso6%
Diego Gómez5%
Yasin Ayari5%
Adam Webster5%
Brajan Gruda4%
Mats Wieffer4%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Júlio31%
James Milner25%
Joël Veltman25%
Mats Wieffer21%
Solly March20%
Carlos Baleba20%
Pervis Estupiñán19%
Jack Hinshelwood19%
Lewis Dunk19%
Jan Paul van Hecke18%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Adam Webster15%
Jakub Moder14%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro13%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu12%
Bart Verbruggen12%
Yasin Ayari10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Tariq Lamptey5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Kaoru Mitoma2%
Jason Steele0%
Julio Enciso0%
Simon Adingra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Pedro20%
Brajan Gruda16%
Yankuba Minteh14%
Georginio Rutter12%
Mats Wieffer11%
Solly March10%
Tariq Lamptey10%
Kaoru Mitoma10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Joël Veltman8%
Danny Welbeck8%
Jack Hinshelwood6%
Julio Enciso6%
Simon Adingra6%
Adam Webster5%
Carlos Baleba5%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Bart Verbruggen2%
James Milner0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Diego Gómez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julio Enciso25%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Simon Adingra9%
Pervis Estupiñán8%
Kaoru Mitoma7%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Jack Hinshelwood3%
Yankuba Minteh3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Carlos Baleba2%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Solly March0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Manchester City's squad is €706m more valuable than Brighton's (€1326m vs €620m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Manchester City's attack is €445m more valuable than Brighton's (€635m vs €190m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Manchester City's midfield is €20m less valuable than Brighton's (€160m vs €180m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Manchester City's defence is €282m more valuable than Brighton's (€531m vs €249m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
MC wins
1
Draws
2
BHA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Manchester City vs Brighton · H/A from MC
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/24ABrighton Vs MC2-1
25/04/24ABrighton Vs MC0-4
21/10/23HMC Vs Brighton2-1
24/05/23ABrighton Vs MC1-1
22/10/22HMC Vs Brighton3-1
20/04/22HMC Vs Brighton3-0
23/10/21ABrighton Vs MC1-4
18/05/21ABrighton Vs MC3-2

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/25ANottingham Forest Vs MC1-0
01/03/25HMC Vs Plymouth3-1
26/02/25ATottenham Vs MC0-1
23/02/25HMC Vs Liverpool0-2
19/02/25AReal Madrid Vs MC3-1
15/02/25HMC Vs Newcastle4-0
11/02/25HMC Vs Real Madrid2-3
08/02/25ALeyton Orient Vs MC1-2
02/02/25AArsenal Vs MC5-1
29/01/25HMC Vs Club Brugge KV3-1

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/25HBHA Vs Fulham2-1
02/03/25ANewcastle Vs BHA1-1
25/02/25HBHA Vs Bournemouth2-1
22/02/25ASouthampton Vs BHA0-4
14/02/25HBHA Vs Chelsea3-0
08/02/25HBHA Vs Chelsea2-1
01/02/25ANottingham Forest Vs BHA7-0
25/01/25HBHA Vs Everton0-1
19/01/25AManchester United Vs BHA1-3
16/01/25AIpswich Vs BHA0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.78
HomeWLWLW2.08
AwayLWLWL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%62%46%
AVG goals3.543.833.27
Over 1.5 %92%92%92%
Over 2.5 %72%79%65%
Over 3.5 %52%62%42%
Scored2.222.621.85
Conceded1.321.211.42
BTTS60%67%54%
Clean Sheet30%25%35%
Corners10.6010.6710.54
Cards3.483.533.43
Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.50
HomeLWWWW1.65
AwayWWLWD1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%46%33%
AVG goals2.962.733.21
Over 1.5 %84%77%92%
Over 2.5 %64%62%67%
Over 3.5 %36%31%42%
Scored1.501.421.58
Conceded1.461.311.62
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet28%27%29%
Corners10.3610.2310.50
Cards4.504.774.23

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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