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Manchester City vs Brighton Result & Analysis

Date: 07/01/2026
Time: 19:30
Final 1-1
Manchester City
Manchester City
Vs
64%
21%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Referee: T Bramall

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manchester City win✗ Miss
63.8%
Avg Implied 63.1% · @ 1.50
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
21.0%
Avg Implied 20.5% · @ 4.62
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton win✗ Miss
15.2%
Avg Implied 16.4% · @ 5.79
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W54W30W21W30W20W30W21W00D11DH·LEE29/11A·FUL02/12H·SUN06/12A·REA10/12A·CRY14/12H·BRE17/12H·WES20/12A·NOT27/12A·SUN01/01H·CHE04/01
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.170.832.430.711.940.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.750.752.000.501.501.00
vs Weaker (26)2.230.852.500.752.000.93
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D21W20W34L11D02L00D12L22D20WA·CRY09/11H·BRE22/11A·NOT30/11H·AST03/12H·WES07/12A·LIV13/12H·SUN20/12A·ARS27/12A·WES30/12H·BUR03/01
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.371.931.292.001.44
vs Stronger (5)1.201.802.501.500.332.00
vs Similar (23)1.781.391.831.251.731.55
vs Weaker (2)6.000.00--6.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.3%
Under 1.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.9%
@ 1.43-2.9%
Under 2.5
37.1%
@ 2.75+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.7%
Under 3.5
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.9%
No
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.8%
1-1 ✓
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
3-0
7.2%
2-2
5.0%
0-0
4.8%
Manchester City goals ↓
Brighton goals →
01234
04.8%3.1%2.0%0.7%0.2%
17.8%9.7%4.5%1.5%0.4%
29.7%9.8%5.0%1.7%0.4%
37.2%7.3%3.7%1.3%0.3%
44.0%4.1%2.1%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester City goals (down), columns = Brighton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Manchester City is 0.66 points better than Brighton in terms of average points per game (2.05 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Manchester City is 0.66 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Manchester City is 0.29 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Manchester City is 7.0 percentage points better than Brighton in terms of average possession (60% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Manchester CityManchester City

For 5.0 · Against 2.9 · Total 7.9

🚩 Corners

11082535565122336527811081066461199H·CHEA·SUNA·NOTH·WESH·BREA·CRYA·REAH·SUNA·FULH·LEE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

60331121112233111416232226215H·CHEA·SUNA·NOTH·WESH·BREA·CRYA·REAH·SUNA·FULH·LEE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 9.6 · Total 20.7

⚠️ Fouls

31012146913516108569171491079171126151826131531191628H·CHEA·SUNA·NOTH·WESH·BREA·CRYA·REAH·SUNA·FULH·LEE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

For 4.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1604455273422106562974848109741611111112H·BURA·WESA·ARSH·SUNA·LIVH·WESH·ASTA·NOTH·BREA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

804533222212222142414854344165H·BURA·WESA·ARSH·SUNA·LIVH·WESH·ASTA·NOTH·BREA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.3

⚠️ Fouls

290717181113711151581281091011109121024292026232019211922H·BURA·WESA·ARSH·SUNA·LIVH·WESH·ASTA·NOTH·BREA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester CityManchester City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.68.73.23.13.319.519.319.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (7)11.111.810.33.43.04.021.920.823.3
vs Weaker (43)8.89.18.43.23.13.219.119.019.1
% over line47%52%42%46%46%46%30%30%29%
% under line53%48%58%54%54%54%70%70%71%
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.29.73.83.44.322.822.623.0
vs Stronger (7)7.16.08.03.93.34.223.426.021.5
vs Similar (41)9.89.710.03.93.44.522.722.123.4
vs Weaker (2)10.0-10.02.0-2.022.5-22.5
% over line57%50%62%58%50%65%57%50%62%
% under line43%50%38%42%50%35%43%50%38%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.5
Bournemouth
10.5
Liverpool
10.1
Tottenham
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Nottingham Forest
9.9
Fulham
9.9
Manchester United
9.8
Brentford
9.8
Everton
9.8
Aston Villa
9.5
Brighton
9.5
Burnley
9.4
Chelsea
9.3
Sunderland
9.3
Leeds
9.3
Arsenal
9.0
Wolves
9.0
Crystal Palace
9.0
Manchester City
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.6
Chelsea
4.5
Sunderland
4.4
Manchester United
4.2
Brighton
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Tottenham
4.0
Aston Villa
4.0
Crystal Palace
3.9
Newcastle
3.8
Wolves
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Fulham
3.6
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.6
Liverpool
3.5
West Ham
3.4
Arsenal
3.3
Burnley
3.3
Leeds
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.3
Bournemouth
24.0
Aston Villa
23.5
Brighton
22.8
Chelsea
22.8
Nottingham Forest
22.7
West Ham
22.5
Tottenham
22.2
Manchester United
21.9
Sunderland
21.7
Burnley
21.6
Everton
21.5
Arsenal
21.4
Leeds
21.3
Newcastle
21.1
Crystal Palace
20.5
Liverpool
20.5
Fulham
20.3
Manchester City
18.9
Brentford
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.0%
Under 9.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.5%
Under 3.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
48.0%
Under 21.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Manchester CityManchester City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W31W20W21W10W10W20W00D00D10WH·LEE29/11A·FUL02/12H·SUN06/12A·REA10/12A·CRY14/12H·BRE17/12H·WES20/12A·NOT27/12A·SUN01/01H·CHE04/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.331.140.361.120.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.500.251.500.001.500.50
vs Weaker (26)1.080.351.080.421.070.29
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W22D00D01L00D01L12L10WA·CRY09/11H·BRE22/11A·NOT30/11H·AST03/12H·WES07/12A·LIV13/12H·SUN20/12A·ARS27/12A·WES30/12H·BUR03/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.790.570.560.75
vs Stronger (5)0.201.000.501.500.000.67
vs Similar (23)0.610.650.830.420.360.91
vs Weaker (2)2.500.00--2.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Manchester CityManchester City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L23L10W00D20W10W10W21W00D01LH·LEE29/11A·FUL02/12H·SUN06/12A·REA10/12A·CRY14/12H·BRE17/12H·WES20/12A·NOT27/12A·SUN01/01H·CHE04/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.501.290.360.810.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.250.500.500.500.000.50
vs Weaker (26)1.150.501.420.330.930.64
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W10W12L11D01L00D11D10W10WA·CRY09/11H·BRE22/11A·NOT30/11H·AST03/12H·WES07/12A·LIV13/12H·SUN20/12A·ARS27/12A·WES30/12H·BUR03/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.701.140.711.440.69
vs Stronger (5)1.000.802.000.000.331.33
vs Similar (23)1.170.741.000.831.360.64
vs Weaker (2)3.500.00--3.500.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls81.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners70.9%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland55%
Antoine Semenyo42%
Rayan Cherki20%
Max Alleyne17%
Jérémy Doku15%
Phil Foden14%
Omar Marmoush14%
Nico O'Reilly13%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Savinho11%
Marc Guéhi10%
Joško Gvardiol8%
Rodri6%
Rúben Dias6%
Bernardo Silva6%
Nico González5%
Rico Lewis5%
Matheus Nunes2%
John Stones0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Nathan Aké0%
Rayan Aït-Nouri0%
James Trafford0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Divine Mukasa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bernardo Silva28%
Gianluigi Donnarumma23%
Nico González20%
Rodri19%
Abdukodir Khusanov17%
Nico O'Reilly15%
Rayan Aït-Nouri15%
Matheus Nunes15%
Rico Lewis14%
Rúben Dias12%
Savinho11%
Phil Foden10%
Marc Guéhi10%
Omar Marmoush9%
Joško Gvardiol8%
Oscar Bobb7%
Tijjani Reijnders4%
Erling Haaland4%
Rayan Cherki4%
Antoine Semenyo4%
Nathan Aké3%
John Stones0%
Jérémy Doku0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
James Trafford0%
Max Alleyne0%
Divine Mukasa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Divine Mukasa33%
Rayan Cherki24%
Jérémy Doku19%
Joško Gvardiol16%
Erling Haaland16%
Rayan Aït-Nouri15%
Matheus Nunes15%
Rico Lewis14%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Phil Foden12%
Antoine Semenyo12%
Nico O'Reilly12%
Mateo Kovačić11%
Bernardo Silva9%
Omar Marmoush9%
Oscar Bobb7%
Savinho6%
Marc Guéhi5%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
John Stones0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Nathan Aké0%
Nico González0%
James Trafford0%
Max Alleyne0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland53%
Antoine Semenyo19%
Omar Marmoush17%
Tijjani Reijnders15%
Rayan Cherki12%
Phil Foden10%
Savinho8%
Rodri6%
Marc Guéhi5%
Rico Lewis5%
Jérémy Doku4%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Nico O'Reilly4%
Rúben Dias0%
John Stones0%
Bernardo Silva0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Nathan Aké0%
Rayan Aït-Nouri0%
Matheus Nunes0%
Nico González0%
James Trafford0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Max Alleyne0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Divine Mukasa0%
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danny Welbeck28%
Matt O'Riley17%
Stefanos Tzimas17%
Harry Howell17%
Diego Gómez16%
Brajan Gruda15%
Jack Hinshelwood13%
Yasin Ayari12%
Kaoru Mitoma11%
Tom Watson10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Yankuba Minteh8%
Charalampos Kostoulas8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Olivier Boscagli6%
Jan Paul van Hecke5%
Pascal Groß5%
James Milner5%
Joël Veltman4%
Mats Wieffer4%
Lewis Dunk3%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu2%
Jason Steele0%
Solly March0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Diego Coppola0%
Carlos Baleba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Diego Coppola33%
Lewis Dunk32%
Mats Wieffer29%
Diego Gómez27%
Jan Paul van Hecke25%
Carlos Baleba20%
Kaoru Mitoma19%
Joël Veltman18%
Olivier Boscagli18%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu17%
Danny Welbeck12%
Charalampos Kostoulas12%
Brajan Gruda10%
Tom Watson10%
Pascal Groß10%
James Milner9%
Stefanos Tzimas8%
Yankuba Minteh8%
Bart Verbruggen8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Georginio Rutter6%
Yasin Ayari3%
Jason Steele0%
Solly March0%
Matt O'Riley0%
Jack Hinshelwood0%
Harry Howell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Diego Coppola22%
Stefanos Tzimas17%
Harry Howell17%
Brajan Gruda15%
Pascal Groß14%
Yankuba Minteh11%
Mats Wieffer11%
Jack Hinshelwood10%
Tom Watson10%
Yasin Ayari9%
Georginio Rutter9%
Jan Paul van Hecke8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Olivier Boscagli6%
Danny Welbeck5%
James Milner5%
Charalampos Kostoulas4%
Kaoru Mitoma4%
Joël Veltman4%
Diego Gómez3%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Solly March0%
Matt O'Riley0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matt O'Riley17%
Danny Welbeck15%
Yasin Ayari12%
Diego Gómez11%
Kaoru Mitoma7%
Jack Hinshelwood7%
Georginio Rutter6%
Brajan Gruda5%
Charalampos Kostoulas4%
Lewis Dunk3%
Jan Paul van Hecke2%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu2%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Jason Steele0%
Pascal Groß0%
Solly March0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Maxim De Cuyper0%
Tom Watson0%
Diego Coppola0%
Stefanos Tzimas0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Yankuba Minteh0%
Harry Howell0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Manchester City's squad is €706m more valuable than Brighton's (€1326m vs €620m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Manchester City's attack is €445m more valuable than Brighton's (€635m vs €190m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Manchester City's midfield is €20m less valuable than Brighton's (€160m vs €180m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Manchester City's defence is €282m more valuable than Brighton's (€531m vs €249m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
MC wins
2
Draws
2
BHA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Manchester City vs Brighton · H/A from MC
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/25ABrighton Vs MC2-1
15/03/25HMC Vs Brighton2-2
09/11/24ABrighton Vs MC2-1
25/04/24ABrighton Vs MC0-4
21/10/23HMC Vs Brighton2-1
24/05/23ABrighton Vs MC1-1
22/10/22HMC Vs Brighton3-1
20/04/22HMC Vs Brighton3-0

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/01/26HMC Vs Chelsea1-1
01/01/26ASunderland Vs MC0-0
27/12/25ANottingham Forest Vs MC1-2
20/12/25HMC Vs West Ham3-0
17/12/25HMC Vs Brentford2-0
14/12/25ACrystal Palace Vs MC0-3
10/12/25AReal Madrid Vs MC1-2
06/12/25HMC Vs Sunderland3-0
02/12/25AFulham Vs MC4-5
29/11/25HMC Vs Leeds3-2

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/01/26HBHA Vs Burnley2-0
30/12/25AWest Ham Vs BHA2-2
27/12/25AArsenal Vs BHA2-1
20/12/25HBHA Vs Sunderland0-0
13/12/25ALiverpool Vs BHA2-0
07/12/25HBHA Vs West Ham1-1
03/12/25HBHA Vs Aston Villa3-4
30/11/25ANottingham Forest Vs BHA0-2
22/11/25HBHA Vs Brentford2-1
09/11/25ACrystal Palace Vs BHA0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD2.12
HomeWWWWD2.33
AwayWWWWD1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%75%58%
AVG goals2.863.332.42
Over 1.5 %82%96%69%
Over 2.5 %54%62%46%
Over 3.5 %30%42%19%
Scored1.982.421.58
Conceded0.880.920.85
BTTS44%46%42%
Clean Sheet44%42%46%
Corners9.119.578.67
Cards3.563.413.70
Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDW1.58
HomeWLDDW1.75
AwayDWLLD1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%46%38%
AVG goals3.162.793.50
Over 1.5 %90%83%96%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %38%25%50%
Scored1.801.582.00
Conceded1.361.211.50
BTTS60%67%54%
Clean Sheet28%25%31%
Corners9.439.189.67
Cards4.173.684.62

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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