Manchester City’s dominance at home is clear: the model gives them a 72% chance of victory, a 20% chance of a draw and only 8% for a Palace win, making a home win the clear favourite. Their average of 2.5 goals scored and just 0.67 conceded against weaker opponents explains the high probability, while Palace’s away form - only 0.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded against stronger teams - underscores their vulnerability. The expected total is 2.6 goals, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0, with a 15.3% chance, reflecting City’s strong attack and Palace’s defensive frailties. The model’s suggested picks include a 98.9% chance of under 5.5 cards, 96.3% for under 4.5 cards, 89.0% for under 3.5 cards, 86.0% for under 25.5 fouls, 74.7% for under 23.5 fouls, 74.6% for over 1.5 goals, 73.0% for under 3.5 goals, and 72.9% for under 2.5 cards. All probabilities are expressed as percentages.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Manchester City, failed to deliver as the model predicted a home win with a 72% probability, but the final score was 0-2, an away victory for Crystal Palace. The upset came after City’s recent two-game winning run, yet Palace had just endured two straight defeats. The model’s call was wrong. The suggested picks varied: Under 5.5 cards (98.9%) missed, Under 4.5 cards (96.3%) missed, Under 3.5 cards (89.0%) missed, Under 25.5 fouls (86.0%) hit, Under 23.5 fouls (74.7%) hit, Over 1.5 (74.6%) hit, Under 3.5 (73.0%) hit, and Under 2.5 cards (72.9%) missed. The match confirmed the model’s predictions for the foul and card totals but not the outcome.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manchester City win✗ Miss
71.6%
Avg Implied 84.1% · @ 1.14
Edge
-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.2%
Avg Implied 11.1% · @ 8.64
Edge
+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace win✓ Hit
8.2%
Avg Implied 4.8% · @ 19.87
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manchester City
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.47
0.77
2.57
0.71
2.38
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
2.33
0.83
3.00
1.00
2.00
0.75
vs Weaker (24)
2.50
0.75
2.50
0.67
2.50
0.83
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.70
1.07
1.40
0.93
2.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
2.56
0.67
3.00
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (20)
1.25
1.40
1.18
1.09
1.33
1.78
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.8%
@ 1.44-17.2%
Under 2.5
51.2%
@ 2.80+17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.0%
Under 3.5
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.6%
No
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
15.3%
1-0
14.0%
3-0
10.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.1%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
5.4%
Manchester City goals ↓
Crystal Palace goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
3.3%
1.2%
0.2%
0.0%
1
14%
9.3%
2.4%
0.5%
0.1%
2
15%
8.7%
2.5%
0.5%
0.1%
3
11%
6.0%
1.7%
0.3%
0.0%
4
5.4%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester City goals (down), columns = Crystal Palace goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.45
Liverpool
2.42
Chelsea
1.95
Tottenham
1.87
Arsenal
1.82
Manchester United
1.53
West Ham
1.47
Leicester
1.37
Brighton
1.34
Wolves
1.34
Newcastle
1.29
Crystal Palace
1.26
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.18
Southampton
1.05
Everton
1.03
Leeds
1.00
Burnley
0.92
Watford
0.61
Norwich
0.58
Manchester City is 1.18 points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average points per game (2.45 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.61
Liverpool
2.47
Chelsea
2.00
Tottenham
1.82
Leicester
1.63
Arsenal
1.61
West Ham
1.58
Manchester United
1.50
Aston Villa
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.32
Brentford
1.26
Newcastle
1.16
Southampton
1.13
Everton
1.13
Brighton
1.11
Leeds
1.11
Wolves
1.00
Watford
0.89
Burnley
0.89
Norwich
0.61
Manchester City is 1.29 goals better than Crystal Palace in terms of goals scored per game (2.61 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Liverpool
0.68
Manchester City
0.68
Chelsea
0.87
Tottenham
1.05
Wolves
1.13
Brighton
1.16
Crystal Palace
1.21
Arsenal
1.26
West Ham
1.34
Burnley
1.39
Aston Villa
1.42
Brentford
1.47
Manchester United
1.50
Leicester
1.55
Newcastle
1.63
Everton
1.74
Southampton
1.76
Watford
2.03
Leeds
2.08
Norwich
2.21
Manchester City is 0.53 goals better than Crystal Palace in terms of goals conceded per game (0.68 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
68%
Liverpool
63%
Chelsea
62%
Brighton
55%
Arsenal
53%
Manchester United
52%
Tottenham
52%
Leeds
52%
Leicester
52%
Crystal Palace
51%
West Ham
48%
Southampton
47%
Aston Villa
46%
Brentford
44%
Norwich
43%
Watford
41%
Newcastle
40%
Burnley
40%
Everton
39%
Manchester City is 16.9 percentage points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average possession (68% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manchester City
For 8.3 · Against 3.5 · Total 11.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 8.8 · Total 17.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Crystal Palace
For 3.6 · Against 6.2 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.3 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (47)
9.9
10.3
9.5
3.0
2.6
3.3
19.3
18.5
20.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
8.9
9.2
8.6
4.1
3.8
4.4
21.7
22.2
21.2
vs Weaker (38)
10.1
10.5
9.7
2.7
2.3
3.1
18.8
17.7
19.9
% over line
57%
65%
50%
40%
39%
42%
26%
22%
29%
% under line
43%
35%
50%
60%
61%
58%
74%
78%
71%
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (47)
9.9
9.0
10.8
2.9
3.0
2.7
22.3
22.4
22.2
vs Stronger (11)
10.9
9.5
11.7
1.9
1.8
2.0
19.9
17.0
21.6
vs Similar (34)
9.7
9.1
10.5
3.1
3.3
2.8
22.7
23.1
22.3
vs Weaker (2)
7.5
5.0
10.0
4.5
4.0
5.0
28.5
31.0
26.0
% over line
53%
46%
61%
38%
46%
30%
53%
54%
52%
% under line
47%
54%
39%
62%
54%
70%
47%
46%
48%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Leeds
11.4
Burnley
10.8
Aston Villa
10.6
Chelsea
10.6
Everton
10.5
Leicester
10.5
Liverpool
10.4
Brighton
10.3
Watford
10.2
Wolves
10.2
Arsenal
10.1
Norwich
10.1
Newcastle
10.1
Tottenham
10.0
Southampton
10.0
Manchester City
9.9
Crystal Palace
9.9
West Ham
9.7
Manchester United
9.7
Brentford
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
3.9
Tottenham
3.6
Newcastle
3.5
Manchester United
3.4
Watford
3.4
Everton
3.4
Wolves
3.4
Norwich
3.3
Arsenal
3.3
Leeds
3.3
Leicester
3.2
Brentford
3.2
Southampton
3.1
Brighton
3.1
Manchester City
3.0
Chelsea
2.9
Crystal Palace
2.9
Liverpool
2.7
West Ham
2.7
Burnley
2.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
26.2
Brentford
25.1
Watford
25.0
Norwich
24.1
Tottenham
23.8
Southampton
22.7
Leeds
22.5
Crystal Palace
22.3
Manchester United
21.8
Leicester
21.8
Wolves
21.6
Chelsea
21.4
Newcastle
21.1
Brighton
20.5
Everton
20.3
Burnley
20.0
Arsenal
19.7
Liverpool
19.5
Manchester City
19.3
West Ham
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.1%
Under 9.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
11.0%
Under 3.5
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
40.6%
Under 21.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manchester City
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.27
1.14
0.29
1.00
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.83
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.25
0.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.12
0.33
1.00
0.33
1.25
0.33
Clean sheet %
77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.77
0.27
0.80
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (9)
0.00
1.11
0.00
1.33
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.65
0.27
0.73
0.78
0.56
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manchester City
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.50
1.43
0.43
1.38
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.50
0.83
1.00
1.00
1.75
0.75
vs Weaker (24)
1.38
0.42
1.50
0.33
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.93
0.80
0.60
0.47
1.27
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
1.44
0.67
1.67
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.75
0.91
0.36
0.56
1.22
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5 cards
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home win
71.6%
1.14
-
-
-
-
-
-12.5%
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manchester City · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland55%
Antoine Semenyo42%
Rayan Cherki20%
Max Alleyne17%
Jérémy Doku15%
Phil Foden14%
Omar Marmoush14%
Nico O'Reilly13%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Savinho11%
Marc Guéhi10%
Joško Gvardiol8%
Rodri6%
Rúben Dias6%
Bernardo Silva6%
Nico González5%
Rico Lewis5%
Matheus Nunes2%
John Stones0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Nathan Aké0%
Rayan Aït-Nouri0%
James Trafford0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Divine Mukasa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bernardo Silva28%
Gianluigi Donnarumma23%
Nico González20%
Rodri19%
Abdukodir Khusanov17%
Nico O'Reilly15%
Rayan Aït-Nouri15%
Matheus Nunes15%
Rico Lewis14%
Rúben Dias12%
Savinho11%
Phil Foden10%
Marc Guéhi10%
Omar Marmoush9%
Joško Gvardiol8%
Oscar Bobb7%
Tijjani Reijnders4%
Erling Haaland4%
Rayan Cherki4%
Antoine Semenyo4%
Nathan Aké3%
John Stones0%
Jérémy Doku0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
James Trafford0%
Max Alleyne0%
Divine Mukasa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Divine Mukasa33%
Rayan Cherki24%
Jérémy Doku19%
Joško Gvardiol16%
Erling Haaland16%
Rayan Aït-Nouri15%
Matheus Nunes15%
Rico Lewis14%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Phil Foden12%
Antoine Semenyo12%
Nico O'Reilly12%
Mateo Kovačić11%
Bernardo Silva9%
Omar Marmoush9%
Oscar Bobb7%
Savinho6%
Marc Guéhi5%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
John Stones0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Nathan Aké0%
Nico González0%
James Trafford0%
Max Alleyne0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland53%
Antoine Semenyo19%
Omar Marmoush17%
Tijjani Reijnders15%
Rayan Cherki12%
Phil Foden10%
Savinho8%
Rodri6%
Marc Guéhi5%
Rico Lewis5%
Jérémy Doku4%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Nico O'Reilly4%
Rúben Dias0%
John Stones0%
Bernardo Silva0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Nathan Aké0%
Rayan Aït-Nouri0%
Matheus Nunes0%
Nico González0%
James Trafford0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Max Alleyne0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Divine Mukasa0%
Crystal Palace · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ismaïla Sarr36%
Jean-Philippe Mateta24%
Edward Nketiah21%
Evann Guessand14%
Jørgen Strand Larsen14%
Daniel Muñoz11%
Yéremy Pino10%
Marc Guéhi9%
Christantus Uche9%
Justin Devenny6%
Maxence Lacroix6%
Tyrick Mitchell6%
Chris Richards4%
Daichi Kamada2%
Adam Wharton2%
Jefferson Lerma0%
Will Hughes0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Walter Benítez0%
Borna Sosa0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Chadi Riad0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Romain Esse0%
Jaydee Canvot0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chadi Riad33%
Borna Sosa29%
Jørgen Strand Larsen23%
Marc Guéhi22%
Will Hughes19%
Jaydee Canvot17%
Edward Nketiah16%
Yéremy Pino16%
Daniel Muñoz16%
Brennan Johnson15%
Adam Wharton15%
Jefferson Lerma15%
Romain Esse12%
Chris Richards12%
Maxence Lacroix11%
Tyrick Mitchell11%
Dean Henderson10%
Ismaïla Sarr9%
Daichi Kamada9%
Jean-Philippe Mateta8%
Nathaniel Clyne7%
Walter Benítez0%
Evann Guessand0%
Justin Devenny0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Christantus Uche0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adam Wharton10%
Marc Guéhi9%
Daichi Kamada9%
Daniel Muñoz9%
Jefferson Lerma9%
Chadi Riad8%
Yéremy Pino8%
Brennan Johnson8%
Tyrick Mitchell7%
Nathaniel Clyne7%
Evann Guessand7%
Jean-Philippe Mateta6%
Maxence Lacroix6%
Edward Nketiah5%
Jørgen Strand Larsen5%
Justin Devenny3%
Ismaïla Sarr2%
Will Hughes2%
Dean Henderson0%
Walter Benítez0%
Borna Sosa0%
Chris Richards0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Romain Esse0%
Christantus Uche0%
Jaydee Canvot0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jean-Philippe Mateta18%
Ismaïla Sarr16%
Christantus Uche9%
Evann Guessand7%
Borna Sosa6%
Yéremy Pino6%
Edward Nketiah5%
Jørgen Strand Larsen5%
Chris Richards4%
Brennan Johnson4%
Adam Wharton4%
Justin Devenny3%
Daniel Muñoz2%
Jefferson Lerma2%
Will Hughes2%
Maxence Lacroix2%
Daichi Kamada0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Walter Benítez0%
Marc Guéhi0%
Tyrick Mitchell0%
Chadi Riad0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Romain Esse0%
Jaydee Canvot0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
BUR (28)
€115m
NOR (34)
€107m
WAT (22)
€88m
LEI (22)
€69m
Manchester City's squad is €821m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€1326m vs €505m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
NOR (10)
€46m
WAT (6)
€28m
LEI (7)
€20m
Manchester City's attack is €406m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€635m vs €229m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
LEI (4)
€13m
BUR (3)
€8m
Manchester City's midfield is €67m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€160m vs €93m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
NOR (13)
€29m
WAT (10)
€22m
Manchester City's defence is €348m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€531m vs €182m).
England: Premier League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Liverpool
Chelsea
Tottenham
Arsenal
Manchester United
West Ham
Leicester
Brighton
Wolves
Newcastle
Brentford
Aston Villa
Southampton
Everton
Leeds
Burnley
Watford
Norwich