Manchester City’s dominance at home is reflected in the model’s 84% chance of a win, making the home victory the clear favourite. The club’s average of 3.62 goals scored and only 0.85 conceded against weaker opponents explains the high probability, while Crystal Palace’s away form - just one goal scored and one conceded against stronger teams - shows a defensive frailty that the model expects to be exploited. The expected total of 3.4 goals aligns with the most likely total of three, and the single scoreline the model deems most probable is 2-0, with a 14% chance. The match outcome probabilities are 84% for a home win, 12% for a draw, and 4% for an away win. Suggested selections include Home win at 84.4% (edge 4%), Under 25.5 fouls at 93.5%, Under 23.5 fouls at 86.2%, Over 1.5 goals at 85.5%, Under 5.5 cards at 80.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 73.8%, and Under 21.5 fouls at 74.4%. The model’s predictions mirror the recent form: City’s two-game winning streak and Palace’s recent defeats, underscoring the expectation that City will secure a decisive victory.
Results analysis
The model’s forecast proved spot on, with Manchester City’s win extending their two-game winning run at home. The pre-match favourite was a Home win, given an 84.4% probability, and the result matched the actual 4-2 victory. The most likely scoreline of 3-0 at 13.3% was missed, yet the 4-0 scenario at 9.5% came through, giving a 4-2 finish. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 93.5%, Under 23.5 fouls hit at 86.2%, Over 1.5 hit at 85.5%, Home win hit at 84.4%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 80.9%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 73.8%, while Under 21.5 fouls missed at 74.4%. The model’s selections largely came in, confirming its predictive strength.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manchester City win✓ Hit
84.4%
Avg Implied 80.7% · @ 1.20
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
11.8%
Avg Implied 12.9% · @ 7.51
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace win✗ Miss
3.8%
Avg Implied 6.4% · @ 15.24
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manchester City
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
3.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.87
0.77
3.33
0.87
2.40
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.67
1.00
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (27)
3.00
0.74
3.62
0.85
2.43
0.64
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.20
1.40
1.07
1.20
1.33
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.17
0.80
1.20
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.32
1.27
1.78
1.11
1.00
1.38
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
4.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.5%
Under 1.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.5%
@ 1.48+1.2%
Under 2.5
34.5%
@ 2.66-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.6%
Under 3.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.7%
No
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
14.0%
3-0
13.3%
4-0
9.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
1-1
5.6%
5-0
5.4%
Manchester City goals ↓
Crystal Palace goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.9%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
1
9.3%
5.6%
1.3%
0.2%
0.0%
2
14%
7.3%
1.9%
0.3%
0.0%
3
13%
6.9%
1.8%
0.3%
0.0%
4
9.5%
4.9%
1.3%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester City goals (down), columns = Crystal Palace goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Manchester City is 1.16 points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average points per game (2.34 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Manchester City is 1.42 goals better than Crystal Palace in terms of goals scored per game (2.47 vs 1.05).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Manchester City is 0.42 goals better than Crystal Palace in terms of goals conceded per game (0.87 vs 1.29).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Manchester City is 19.9 percentage points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average possession (66% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manchester City
For 7.6 · Against 3.1 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.0 · Against 9.1 · Total 16.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Crystal Palace
For 4.8 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 13.0 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
11.0
10.2
3.0
2.7
3.3
18.3
17.8
18.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
10.1
9.2
11.3
4.3
3.2
5.7
19.0
17.8
20.7
vs Weaker (43)
10.7
11.4
10.0
2.8
2.6
3.0
18.2
17.8
18.5
% over line
58%
70%
48%
36%
30%
41%
20%
17%
22%
% under line
42%
30%
52%
64%
70%
59%
80%
83%
78%
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.2
10.4
3.6
3.8
3.3
23.8
24.8
22.8
vs Stronger (14)
8.8
7.8
10.2
3.4
3.0
3.8
20.6
21.0
20.0
vs Similar (34)
10.1
9.8
10.4
3.6
4.2
3.2
25.1
26.5
23.8
vs Weaker (2)
11.5
13.0
10.0
3.5
4.0
3.0
25.0
29.0
21.0
% over line
48%
48%
48%
50%
56%
44%
70%
80%
60%
% under line
52%
52%
52%
50%
44%
56%
30%
20%
40%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Southampton
11.2
Aston Villa
10.9
Liverpool
10.8
Brighton
10.7
Tottenham
10.6
Everton
10.6
Manchester City
10.6
Manchester United
10.5
Leicester
10.4
Chelsea
10.3
Fulham
10.2
Wolves
10.0
Bournemouth
10.0
Arsenal
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Nottingham Forest
9.9
Brentford
9.8
Crystal Palace
9.8
Leeds
9.8
Newcastle
9.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Leeds
4.2
Aston Villa
4.2
Bournemouth
4.1
Newcastle
4.0
Brighton
3.9
Everton
3.9
Fulham
3.9
Wolves
3.7
Tottenham
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.6
Chelsea
3.5
Manchester United
3.5
Arsenal
3.2
Southampton
3.2
Liverpool
3.0
Manchester City
3.0
Brentford
3.0
Leicester
2.9
West Ham
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
24.5
Crystal Palace
23.8
Leeds
23.1
Nottingham Forest
23.0
Bournemouth
22.2
Chelsea
21.5
Fulham
20.9
Tottenham
20.9
Southampton
20.9
Brentford
20.6
Leicester
20.6
Newcastle
20.1
Everton
20.1
Manchester United
20.0
Brighton
19.8
Arsenal
19.4
Wolves
19.2
Manchester City
18.3
Liverpool
18.2
West Ham
16.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.8%
Under 9.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.6%
Under 3.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
25.6%
Under 21.5
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manchester City
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.40
1.53
0.33
1.07
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (27)
1.37
0.37
1.62
0.31
1.14
0.43
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.73
0.67
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.50
0.40
0.60
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.73
0.89
0.78
0.54
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manchester City
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
0.37
1.80
0.53
1.33
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
vs Weaker (27)
1.63
0.37
2.00
0.54
1.29
0.21
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.67
0.40
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.67
0.40
0.60
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.55
0.89
0.33
0.46
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
84.4%
1.20
-
-
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland63%
Julián Álvarez27%
Phil Foden25%
Kevin De Bruyne19%
Riyad Mahrez18%
İlkay Gündoğan16%
Bernardo Silva13%
Jack Grealish12%
John Stones10%
João Cancelo9%
Rodri8%
Rico Lewis6%
Nathan Aké3%
Rúben Dias3%
Manuel Akanji2%
Sergio Gómez0%
Ederson0%
Aymeric Laporte0%
Kyle Walker0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Cole Palmer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
João Cancelo17%
Bernardo Silva15%
Rúben Dias13%
Erling Haaland13%
Rodri12%
Jack Grealish12%
Ederson11%
Manuel Akanji10%
Kyle Walker9%
İlkay Gündoğan9%
Nathan Aké9%
Kalvin Phillips7%
John Stones6%
Aymeric Laporte6%
Rico Lewis6%
Cole Palmer6%
Riyad Mahrez5%
Phil Foden5%
Kevin De Bruyne5%
Julián Álvarez2%
Sergio Gómez0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kevin De Bruyne45%
Riyad Mahrez28%
Jack Grealish17%
Erling Haaland15%
Phil Foden15%
İlkay Gündoğan14%
João Cancelo13%
Bernardo Silva13%
Rodri12%
John Stones10%
Sergio Gómez6%
Cole Palmer6%
Manuel Akanji2%
Julián Álvarez2%
Ederson2%
Rúben Dias0%
Aymeric Laporte0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Rico Lewis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland54%
Kevin De Bruyne26%
Jack Grealish15%
Julián Álvarez12%
İlkay Gündoğan11%
Phil Foden10%
Riyad Mahrez8%
Rodri6%
Cole Palmer6%
João Cancelo4%
Rúben Dias3%
Manuel Akanji2%
Bernardo Silva2%
Sergio Gómez0%
Ederson0%
Aymeric Laporte0%
John Stones0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Rico Lewis0%
Crystal Palace
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Wilfried Zaha22%
Eberechi Eze21%
James Tomkins17%
Odsonne Édouard14%
Jeffrey Schlupp9%
Jordan Ayew8%
Jean-Philippe Mateta7%
Michael Olise5%
Will Hughes4%
Joel Ward4%
Joachim Andersen3%
Marc Guéhi3%
Albert Sambi Lokonga0%
Cheick Doucouré0%
Vicente Guaita0%
James McArthur0%
Luka Milivojević0%
Jaïro Riedewald0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Chris Richards0%
Naouirou Ahamada0%
Tyrick Mitchell0%
Malcolm Ebiowei0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Tomkins33%
Cheick Doucouré29%
Joachim Andersen25%
Albert Sambi Lokonga22%
Marc Guéhi22%
Joel Ward21%
Jeffrey Schlupp21%
Wilfried Zaha19%
Will Hughes15%
Tyrick Mitchell14%
Nathaniel Clyne14%
Jordan Ayew13%
Naouirou Ahamada12%
Luka Milivojević11%
Sam Johnstone11%
Jean-Philippe Mateta10%
Odsonne Édouard9%
Eberechi Eze8%
Michael Olise5%
Vicente Guaita4%
James McArthur0%
Jaïro Riedewald0%
Chris Richards0%
Malcolm Ebiowei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Olise22%
Eberechi Eze11%
Cheick Doucouré9%
Jordan Ayew8%
Wilfried Zaha7%
Odsonne Édouard6%
Tyrick Mitchell6%
Will Hughes4%
Jeffrey Schlupp3%
Albert Sambi Lokonga0%
Joachim Andersen0%
Vicente Guaita0%
James Tomkins0%
Joel Ward0%
James McArthur0%
Luka Milivojević0%
Jaïro Riedewald0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Jean-Philippe Mateta0%
Marc Guéhi0%
Chris Richards0%
Naouirou Ahamada0%
Malcolm Ebiowei0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Wilfried Zaha22%
Eberechi Eze21%
Cheick Doucouré6%
Michael Olise5%
Jordan Ayew5%
Jean-Philippe Mateta3%
Joachim Andersen3%
Jeffrey Schlupp3%
Odsonne Édouard0%
Albert Sambi Lokonga0%
Will Hughes0%
Vicente Guaita0%
James Tomkins0%
Joel Ward0%
James McArthur0%
Luka Milivojević0%
Jaïro Riedewald0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Marc Guéhi0%
Chris Richards0%
Naouirou Ahamada0%
Tyrick Mitchell0%
Malcolm Ebiowei0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Manchester City's squad is €821m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€1326m vs €505m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Manchester City's attack is €406m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€635m vs €229m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Manchester City's midfield is €67m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€160m vs €93m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Manchester City's defence is €348m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€531m vs €182m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester United
Newcastle
Liverpool
Brighton
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Brentford
Fulham
Chelsea
Wolves
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Leicester
Leeds
Southampton