Manchester City’s dominance at home, coupled with Crystal Palace’s struggle on the road, makes a home win the clear favourite. The model assigns a 75% chance to a City victory, 17% to a draw and 8% to a Palace win, and the pick is a home win. The expected total of 3.2 goals points to a high-scoring affair, with the most likely scoreline 2-0 for City at 12.5%. City’s home form shows an average of 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against weaker opponents, while Palace’s away form is weaker still, conceding 4.0 goals on average against stronger teams. The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 90.4%, Under 5.5 cards at 88.4%, Over 1.5 at 83.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 81.7%, Under 23.5 fouls at 81.3%, Under 4.5 cards at 76.5%, Home win at 75.1% (miss), and Under 10.5 corners at 72.3%. The match’s recent form notes City on a two-game winning run after a 4-1 win over Palace, while Palace, after two straight defeats, lost 1-4 to City.
Results analysis
The 2-2 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, Manchester City, who had been on a two-game winning run at home. The model had tipped a home win with a 75.1% probability, but the result was a draw, so the call was wrong. The match finished 2-2, a draw that matched the model’s 17% draw probability. Every suggested selection was settled: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 90.4%, Under 5.5 cards at 88.4%, Over 1.5 at 83.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 81.7%, Under 23.5 fouls at 81.3%, Under 4.5 cards at 76.5%, Home win missed at 75.1%, and Under 10.5 corners hit at 72.3%. The game delivered a surprise outcome, with neither side securing the predicted win.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manchester City win✗ Miss
75.1%
Avg Implied 81.7% · @ 1.18
Edge
-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
16.8%
Avg Implied 13.1% · @ 7.38
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace win✗ Miss
8.1%
Avg Implied 5.3% · @ 18.26
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manchester City
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.30
0.97
2.64
0.79
2.00
1.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.71
1.00
1.75
0.25
1.67
2.00
vs Weaker (23)
2.48
0.96
3.00
1.00
2.08
0.92
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.37
1.14
1.29
1.12
1.44
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
2.00
0.33
1.33
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (25)
1.24
1.24
1.36
1.27
1.14
1.21
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.1%
@ 1.70+5.6%
Under 2.5
37.9%
@ 2.21-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.9%
Under 3.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.0%
No
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.5%
3-0
10.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
6.4%
0-0
4.8%
Manchester City goals ↓
Crystal Palace goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
2.2%
1.1%
0.3%
0.0%
1
9.3%
8.0%
2.6%
0.6%
0.1%
2
12%
9.0%
3.3%
0.8%
0.1%
3
10%
7.5%
2.7%
0.7%
0.1%
4
6.4%
4.6%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester City goals (down), columns = Crystal Palace goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Manchester City is 1.11 points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average points per game (2.39 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Manchester City is 1.03 goals better than Crystal Palace in terms of goals scored per game (2.53 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Manchester City is 0.63 goals better than Crystal Palace in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Manchester City is 23.4 percentage points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average possession (66% vs 42%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manchester City
For 6.3 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 13.7 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Crystal Palace
For 5.3 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 13.3 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.9
8.8
4.0
4.0
4.0
21.4
21.7
21.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
8.7
9.0
8.2
4.8
3.6
6.4
23.2
23.6
22.6
vs Weaker (38)
9.6
10.3
9.0
3.8
4.2
3.4
20.8
20.9
20.8
% over line
48%
58%
38%
56%
54%
58%
42%
42%
42%
% under line
52%
42%
62%
44%
46%
42%
58%
58%
58%
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.8
10.1
4.4
4.2
4.6
24.7
25.0
24.4
vs Stronger (7)
10.0
8.6
13.5
5.0
5.4
4.0
25.7
27.0
22.5
vs Similar (42)
10.0
10.2
9.9
4.2
3.9
4.5
24.4
24.4
24.4
vs Weaker (1)
9.0
-
9.0
7.0
-
7.0
27.0
-
27.0
% over line
48%
48%
48%
64%
60%
68%
68%
72%
64%
% under line
52%
52%
52%
36%
40%
32%
32%
28%
36%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
11.4
Bournemouth
11.3
Tottenham
11.2
Newcastle
10.6
West Ham
10.5
Sheffield United
10.5
Luton
10.5
Everton
10.4
Liverpool
10.3
Chelsea
10.1
Wolves
10.0
Crystal Palace
10.0
Fulham
10.0
Burnley
9.9
Brentford
9.9
Aston Villa
9.8
Nottingham Forest
9.7
Brighton
9.7
Arsenal
9.5
Manchester City
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
5.0
Brighton
4.8
Wolves
4.7
Tottenham
4.7
Aston Villa
4.6
Newcastle
4.4
Sheffield United
4.4
Burnley
4.4
Crystal Palace
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.1
Manchester City
4.0
Everton
4.0
Luton
3.9
Arsenal
3.8
Manchester United
3.8
Fulham
3.7
Bournemouth
3.6
Liverpool
3.5
Brentford
3.5
West Ham
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.7
Chelsea
24.1
Wolves
23.9
Tottenham
23.6
Aston Villa
23.6
Brighton
23.3
Luton
22.8
Newcastle
22.8
Nottingham Forest
22.3
Fulham
21.7
Everton
21.6
Liverpool
21.5
Manchester City
21.4
Arsenal
21.3
Brentford
21.1
Burnley
21.1
Bournemouth
21.1
Sheffield United
20.4
Manchester United
20.4
West Ham
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.4%
Under 9.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.7%
Under 3.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
32.4%
Under 21.5
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manchester City
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.40
1.43
0.36
0.62
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.86
0.43
1.00
0.00
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.04
0.39
1.60
0.50
0.62
0.31
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.60
0.36
0.36
0.25
0.81
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.36
0.64
0.45
0.45
0.29
0.79
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manchester City
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.57
1.21
0.43
1.38
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.86
0.57
0.75
0.25
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.43
0.57
1.40
0.50
1.46
0.62
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.79
0.93
0.88
0.62
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.50
0.33
1.33
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.88
0.60
0.91
0.82
0.86
0.43
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
75.1%
1.18
-
-
-
-
-
-6.6%
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland52%
Phil Foden40%
Julián Álvarez33%
Kevin De Bruyne25%
Rodri21%
Bernardo Silva17%
Kalvin Phillips12%
Joško Gvardiol12%
Jérémy Doku11%
Oscar Bobb11%
Jack Grealish11%
Manuel Akanji11%
Rico Lewis9%
Nathan Aké6%
John Stones5%
Mateo Kovačić3%
Sergio Gómez0%
Rúben Dias0%
Ederson0%
Kyle Walker0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Matheus Nunes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jack Grealish25%
Rodri24%
Bernardo Silva22%
Manuel Akanji13%
Ederson12%
Kalvin Phillips12%
Joško Gvardiol12%
Mateo Kovačić11%
Kevin De Bruyne10%
John Stones9%
Jérémy Doku8%
Kyle Walker5%
Rúben Dias5%
Phil Foden5%
Julián Álvarez5%
Rico Lewis4%
Erling Haaland2%
Sergio Gómez0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Matheus Nunes0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kevin De Bruyne50%
Phil Foden23%
Rodri21%
Julián Álvarez21%
Bernardo Silva17%
Jérémy Doku17%
Erling Haaland15%
Rico Lewis13%
Matheus Nunes12%
Jack Grealish11%
Sergio Gómez9%
Kyle Walker8%
Joško Gvardiol6%
Nathan Aké6%
Oscar Bobb6%
John Stones5%
Manuel Akanji0%
Rúben Dias0%
Ederson0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland57%
Phil Foden37%
Kevin De Bruyne35%
Julián Álvarez26%
Rodri19%
Matheus Nunes12%
Jérémy Doku8%
Joško Gvardiol6%
Bernardo Silva5%
Jack Grealish4%
Mateo Kovačić3%
Rúben Dias3%
Manuel Akanji0%
Sergio Gómez0%
Ederson0%
John Stones0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Rico Lewis0%
Crystal Palace
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michael Olise42%
Jean-Philippe Mateta34%
Eberechi Eze33%
Odsonne Édouard20%
Jordan Ayew11%
Jeffrey Schlupp7%
Tyrick Mitchell5%
Joachim Andersen5%
Chris Richards4%
Jefferson Lerma4%
Cheick Doucouré0%
Daniel Muñoz0%
Will Hughes0%
James Tomkins0%
Joel Ward0%
Jaïro Riedewald0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Marc Guéhi0%
Naouirou Ahamada0%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi0%
Adam Wharton0%
David Ozoh0%
Matheus França0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jefferson Lerma29%
Daniel Muñoz25%
Jordan Ayew23%
Will Hughes20%
Joachim Andersen18%
Cheick Doucouré18%
Tyrick Mitchell16%
Joel Ward15%
Naouirou Ahamada15%
Odsonne Édouard13%
Adam Wharton12%
Chris Richards12%
Dean Henderson11%
Eberechi Eze11%
David Ozoh11%
Matheus França10%
Jean-Philippe Mateta9%
Marc Guéhi8%
Sam Johnstone5%
Jeffrey Schlupp3%
James Tomkins0%
Jaïro Riedewald0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Michael Olise0%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Olise26%
Jordan Ayew20%
Daniel Muñoz19%
Adam Wharton19%
Eberechi Eze15%
Jean-Philippe Mateta11%
Matheus França10%
Tyrick Mitchell8%
Joachim Andersen8%
Jeffrey Schlupp7%
Marc Guéhi4%
Joel Ward4%
Chris Richards4%
Jefferson Lerma4%
Will Hughes3%
Odsonne Édouard0%
Cheick Doucouré0%
James Tomkins0%
Jaïro Riedewald0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Naouirou Ahamada0%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi0%
David Ozoh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michael Olise37%
Eberechi Eze30%
Jean-Philippe Mateta14%
Jefferson Lerma11%
Odsonne Édouard10%
Jordan Ayew9%
Joachim Andersen0%
Cheick Doucouré0%
Daniel Muñoz0%
Will Hughes0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
James Tomkins0%
Joel Ward0%
Jaïro Riedewald0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Marc Guéhi0%
Chris Richards0%
Naouirou Ahamada0%
Tyrick Mitchell0%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi0%
Adam Wharton0%
David Ozoh0%
Matheus França0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Manchester City's squad is €821m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€1326m vs €505m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Manchester City's attack is €406m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€635m vs €229m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Manchester City's midfield is €67m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€160m vs €93m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Manchester City's defence is €348m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€531m vs €182m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Chelsea
Newcastle
Manchester United
West Ham
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United