Manchester City are tipped to win, with a 53% chance of a home victory, a 26% chance of a draw and a 21% chance of a Palace win. The match is expected to see 2.8 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 25%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 12.3% chance. City’s home form shows they average 2.83 goals scored and 1.25 conceded against weaker opposition, while Palace’s away form indicates they average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded against stronger teams. The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls (94.3%), Under 23.5 fouls (87.6%), Under 5.5 cards (83.0%), Over 1.5 (78.0%), Under 21.5 fouls (76.4%), Over 2.5 cards (71.4%) and Over 8.5 corners (70.8%). The final result will be a 5-2 home win for City.
Results analysis
Manchester City’s 5-2 victory over Crystal Palace extended their two-game winning run, confirming the model’s home win pick with a 53% probability. The final score far exceeded the expected total of 2.8 goals, making the match a high-scoring affair. The model’s favourite was correct, and the outcome matched the predicted result. Among the suggested selections, Under 5.5 cards at 83% hit, Over 1.5 at 78% hit, and Over 2.5 cards at 71.4% hit. The remaining picks - Under 25.5 fouls (94.3% miss), Under 23.5 fouls (87.6% miss), Under 21.5 fouls (76.4% miss) and Over 8.5 corners (70.8% miss) - were missed. The game’s goal tally and the accurate home win prediction highlight the model’s strengths.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manchester City win✓ Hit
52.9%
Avg Implied 58.8% · @ 1.63
Edge
-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied 22.6% · @ 4.25
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace win✗ Miss
21.4%
Avg Implied 18.6% · @ 5.16
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manchester City
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.53
2.60
1.40
1.47
1.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.12
2.75
1.67
2.00
0.80
3.20
vs Weaker (22)
2.36
1.09
2.83
1.25
1.80
0.90
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.03
1.40
1.33
1.73
0.73
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
2.40
1.00
2.25
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
1.65
0.83
1.60
1.10
1.69
0.62
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.0%
Under 1.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.1%
@ 1.62-5.8%
Under 2.5
46.9%
@ 2.32+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.8%
Under 3.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.7%
No
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
Manchester City goals ↓
Crystal Palace goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
5.2%
3.3%
1.2%
0.3%
1
9.6%
12%
5.8%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.4%
9.8%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
3
5.5%
5.7%
3.0%
1.0%
0.3%
4
2.4%
2.5%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester City goals (down), columns = Crystal Palace goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Manchester City is 0.47 points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average points per game (1.87 vs 1.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Manchester City is 0.55 goals better than Crystal Palace in terms of goals scored per game (1.89 vs 1.34).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Manchester City is 0.18 goals better than Crystal Palace in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.34).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Manchester City is 18.2 percentage points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average possession (61% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manchester City
For 4.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 9.6 · Total 18.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Crystal Palace
For 3.6 · Against 5.1 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 10.9 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.1
10.6
3.0
2.9
3.2
17.1
16.9
17.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
10.0
9.2
10.6
3.0
2.8
3.1
16.8
16.0
17.4
vs Weaker (38)
10.5
10.4
10.6
3.1
2.9
3.2
17.2
17.1
17.2
% over line
61%
67%
57%
40%
42%
38%
16%
10%
22%
% under line
39%
33%
43%
60%
58%
62%
84%
90%
78%
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.3
10.4
3.3
3.6
3.0
22.4
22.3
22.6
vs Stronger (8)
10.7
10.8
10.5
3.0
3.2
2.7
18.9
18.0
21.0
vs Similar (38)
10.1
9.9
10.4
3.6
3.8
3.4
22.9
23.1
22.7
vs Weaker (4)
14.0
14.0
-
1.2
2.5
0.0
31.0
31.0
-
% over line
60%
50%
70%
50%
56%
44%
55%
45%
65%
% under line
40%
50%
30%
50%
44%
56%
45%
55%
35%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.2
Bournemouth
11.4
Newcastle
10.9
Brentford
10.9
Everton
10.9
Ipswich
10.7
Nottingham Forest
10.7
Fulham
10.6
Liverpool
10.4
Manchester City
10.4
Manchester United
10.3
Crystal Palace
10.3
Southampton
10.2
Brighton
10.1
Leicester
9.9
Aston Villa
9.9
Wolves
9.8
West Ham
9.7
Chelsea
9.7
Arsenal
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.9
Bournemouth
4.7
Aston Villa
4.6
Brighton
4.5
Wolves
4.5
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Newcastle
4.3
Southampton
4.1
Arsenal
4.1
Tottenham
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Fulham
4.0
Liverpool
4.0
West Ham
3.9
Leicester
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.8
Ipswich
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Manchester City
3.6
Everton
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.2
Tottenham
24.1
Wolves
23.9
Aston Villa
23.7
Southampton
23.6
Brighton
23.2
Newcastle
22.8
Ipswich
22.7
Crystal Palace
22.5
Chelsea
22.3
West Ham
22.1
Everton
21.7
Nottingham Forest
21.6
Leicester
21.5
Arsenal
21.4
Liverpool
20.9
Fulham
20.7
Manchester United
20.7
Brentford
19.0
Manchester City
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.8%
Under 9.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.5%
Under 3.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
23.6%
Under 21.5
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manchester City
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.57
1.33
0.60
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.88
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.80
vs Weaker (22)
1.09
0.45
1.50
0.50
0.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.60
0.73
0.67
0.20
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.20
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.35
0.60
0.50
0.62
0.23
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manchester City
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.97
1.27
0.80
1.07
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.88
1.00
1.00
0.80
2.40
vs Weaker (22)
1.27
0.64
1.33
0.75
1.20
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.57
0.80
0.60
1.07
0.53
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.20
0.50
0.75
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
1.04
0.48
1.00
0.60
1.08
0.38
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland51%
Omar Marmoush27%
Nico O’Reilly22%
James McAtee19%
Phil Foden18%
Kevin De Bruyne15%
John Stones15%
Mateo Kovačić15%
Jérémy Doku14%
Nico González12%
Joško Gvardiol12%
Abdukodir Khusanov11%
Matheus Nunes11%
Jack Grealish9%
Bernardo Silva8%
İlkay Gündoğan6%
Rico Lewis5%
Savinho5%
Manuel Akanji0%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
Ederson0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nico González25%
Abdukodir Khusanov22%
Bernardo Silva19%
Rúben Dias18%
Kyle Walker17%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey17%
Matheus Nunes16%
Jack Grealish16%
James McAtee15%
Mateo Kovačić15%
Ederson11%
Nico O’Reilly11%
John Stones10%
Stefan Ortega10%
Rico Lewis10%
Savinho9%
Manuel Akanji8%
Kevin De Bruyne8%
Erling Haaland5%
Phil Foden4%
İlkay Gündoğan4%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Jérémy Doku3%
Rodri0%
Nathan Aké0%
Omar Marmoush0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Vitor Reis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matheus Nunes24%
Jérémy Doku22%
Savinho20%
Kevin De Bruyne18%
Jack Grealish12%
İlkay Gündoğan12%
Rico Lewis12%
Ederson11%
Phil Foden11%
Erling Haaland9%
Bernardo Silva8%
Mateo Kovačić7%
Nico O’Reilly6%
John Stones5%
Omar Marmoush5%
Manuel Akanji3%
Joško Gvardiol2%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
James McAtee0%
Nico González0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland58%
Omar Marmoush36%
Phil Foden20%
Kevin De Bruyne18%
James McAtee12%
Savinho11%
Jérémy Doku11%
İlkay Gündoğan8%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Jack Grealish3%
Manuel Akanji3%
Matheus Nunes3%
Rúben Dias2%
Mateo Kovačić2%
Rico Lewis2%
Bernardo Silva2%
Rodri0%
Ederson0%
John Stones0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Nico González0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Nico O’Reilly0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
Crystal Palace
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eberechi Eze33%
Jean-Philippe Mateta28%
Trevoh Chalobah21%
Ismaïla Sarr17%
Edward Nketiah16%
Matheus França14%
Daniel Muñoz13%
Romain Esse11%
Ben Chilwell9%
Justin Devenny7%
Marc Guéhi7%
Daichi Kamada5%
Chris Richards3%
Maxence Lacroix2%
Jefferson Lerma0%
Cheick Doucouré0%
Will Hughes0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Joel Ward0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Matt Turner0%
Tyrick Mitchell0%
Chadi Riad0%
Adam Wharton0%
Caleb Kporha0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joel Ward33%
Will Hughes29%
Daniel Muñoz28%
Caleb Kporha25%
Jefferson Lerma24%
Marc Guéhi20%
Edward Nketiah16%
Chris Richards16%
Daichi Kamada14%
Maxence Lacroix14%
Dean Henderson11%
Adam Wharton11%
Nathaniel Clyne11%
Ben Chilwell9%
Ismaïla Sarr9%
Cheick Doucouré7%
Trevoh Chalobah7%
Tyrick Mitchell7%
Jean-Philippe Mateta7%
Justin Devenny4%
Eberechi Eze2%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Matt Turner0%
Chadi Riad0%
Matheus França0%
Romain Esse0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eberechi Eze23%
Daniel Muñoz15%
Ismaïla Sarr15%
Tyrick Mitchell13%
Adam Wharton11%
Romain Esse11%
Jean-Philippe Mateta9%
Will Hughes7%
Daichi Kamada7%
Edward Nketiah5%
Nathaniel Clyne5%
Marc Guéhi5%
Justin Devenny4%
Chris Richards3%
Jefferson Lerma2%
Maxence Lacroix2%
Dean Henderson2%
Ben Chilwell0%
Cheick Doucouré0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Joel Ward0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Matt Turner0%
Chadi Riad0%
Matheus França0%
Caleb Kporha0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eberechi Eze28%
Ismaïla Sarr17%
Jean-Philippe Mateta15%
Edward Nketiah11%
Ben Chilwell9%
Maxence Lacroix5%
Daniel Muñoz4%
Justin Devenny4%
Daichi Kamada2%
Jefferson Lerma0%
Cheick Doucouré0%
Will Hughes0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Joel Ward0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Matt Turner0%
Marc Guéhi0%
Chris Richards0%
Tyrick Mitchell0%
Chadi Riad0%
Adam Wharton0%
Matheus França0%
Caleb Kporha0%
Romain Esse0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Manchester City's squad is €821m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€1326m vs €505m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Manchester City's attack is €406m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€635m vs €229m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Manchester City's midfield is €67m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€160m vs €93m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Manchester City's defence is €348m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€531m vs €182m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Liverpool
Arsenal
Chelsea
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Everton
West Ham
Manchester United
Wolves
Tottenham
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton