Manchester City’s dominance at home is clear, with a 77% chance of victory and a 3-0 scoreline the most likely result, a 10% probability that the game ends 2-0. The model favours a home win, reflecting City’s 2.71 goals scored and only 0.93 conceded at the Etihad, while United’s away form is weaker, conceding 4.0 goals on average against stronger opponents. The expected total of 3.7 goals points to a high-scoring affair, yet the most probable total is 3 goals, a 21% chance. The match is expected to finish 2-0 or 3-0 for City, with the 3-0 line at 9.4%. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 90.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 89.0%, Under 25.5 fouls at 88.8%, Over 8.5 corners at 85.8%, Under 4.5 cards at 79.1%, Under 23.5 fouls at 78.8%, Over 9.5 corners at 77.5%, and Home win at 77.4% with a 1% edge. The draw probability is 15% and the away win 8%.
Results analysis
The latest Premier League clash saw Manchester City extend their two-game winning streak, while United returned from a defeat. The model’s favourite, a home win at 77.4%, proved correct as City triumphed 3-1. The predicted 3-goal outcome also materialised. The model’s selections performed strongly: Under 5.5 cards hit at 90.1%, Over 1.5 at 89.0%, Under 25.5 fouls at 88.8%, Over 8.5 corners at 85.8%, Under 4.5 cards at 79.1%, Under 23.5 fouls at 78.8%, Over 9.5 corners at 77.5%, and the Home win at 77.4%. All picks settled, none missed, confirming the model’s accuracy and the robustness of its predictions.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manchester City win✓ Hit
77.4%
Avg Implied 76.3% · @ 1.26
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.6%
Avg Implied 14.2% · @ 6.76
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester United win✗ Miss
8.0%
Avg Implied 9.4% · @ 10.21
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manchester City
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.47
1.10
2.60
0.93
2.33
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (28)
2.61
1.11
2.71
0.93
2.50
1.29
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.63
1.40
1.60
1.73
1.67
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
2.67
0.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
vs Similar (19)
1.53
1.79
1.73
1.64
1.25
2.00
vs Weaker (8)
1.88
0.88
1.00
1.00
2.17
0.83
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.0%
Under 1.5
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.5%
@ 1.36+1.5%
Under 2.5
28.5%
@ 3.17-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.6%
Under 3.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.0%
No
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.0%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-1 ✓
8.1%
4-0
6.7%
1-1
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
4-1
5.8%
Manchester City goals ↓
Manchester United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.1%
1.5%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
1
6.4%
6.7%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
2
10.0%
8.6%
3.7%
1.1%
0.2%
3
9.4%
8.1%
3.5%
1.0%
0.2%
4
6.7%
5.8%
2.5%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester City goals (down), columns = Manchester United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Manchester City is 0.82 points better than Manchester United in terms of average points per game (2.39 vs 1.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Manchester City is 1.03 goals better than Manchester United in terms of goals scored per game (2.53 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Manchester City is 0.63 goals better than Manchester United in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Manchester City is 15.0 percentage points better than Manchester United in terms of average possession (66% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manchester City
For 9.4 · Against 3.1 · Total 12.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 5.8 · Against 9.7 · Total 15.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester United
For 5.4 · Against 7.8 · Total 13.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 9.2 · Total 19.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.8
10.2
4.0
3.9
4.0
19.9
20.4
19.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
9.7
9.3
10.3
4.7
3.8
6.3
22.7
24.0
20.0
vs Weaker (41)
10.1
9.9
10.2
3.8
4.0
3.7
19.3
19.3
19.3
% over line
50%
54%
46%
56%
58%
54%
32%
31%
33%
% under line
50%
46%
54%
44%
42%
46%
68%
69%
67%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.1
13.1
11.2
4.1
4.0
4.2
20.4
20.0
20.7
vs Stronger (3)
11.7
12.5
10.0
3.3
4.0
2.0
16.0
16.0
16.0
vs Similar (30)
11.7
12.5
11.0
4.1
4.1
4.2
19.9
20.0
19.8
vs Weaker (17)
13.0
14.1
11.8
4.2
3.8
4.6
22.0
21.0
23.1
% over line
72%
76%
68%
58%
56%
60%
34%
32%
36%
% under line
28%
24%
32%
42%
44%
40%
66%
68%
64%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
12.1
Bournemouth
11.6
Tottenham
11.5
Liverpool
10.8
Newcastle
10.5
Luton
10.5
Everton
10.4
Wolves
10.3
Sheffield United
10.3
Fulham
10.3
Chelsea
10.2
Aston Villa
10.2
West Ham
10.1
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Brentford
10.0
Manchester City
10.0
Crystal Palace
10.0
Burnley
10.0
Brighton
9.6
Arsenal
9.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
5.1
Aston Villa
4.9
Brighton
4.9
Tottenham
4.9
Wolves
4.7
Newcastle
4.3
Sheffield United
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.2
Liverpool
4.2
Burnley
4.2
Manchester United
4.1
Manchester City
4.0
Everton
3.9
Luton
3.9
Fulham
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Bournemouth
3.7
Arsenal
3.6
West Ham
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.5
Chelsea
23.9
Aston Villa
23.7
Crystal Palace
23.7
Wolves
23.6
Brighton
23.3
Luton
23.2
Newcastle
22.8
Liverpool
22.7
Fulham
22.0
Nottingham Forest
21.9
Everton
21.6
Bournemouth
21.6
Arsenal
21.2
Burnley
21.1
Brentford
20.9
Sheffield United
20.4
Manchester United
20.4
West Ham
20.0
Manchester City
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
77.5%
Under 9.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.4%
Under 3.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
35.6%
Under 21.5
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manchester City
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.53
1.20
0.40
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
0.96
0.57
1.21
0.43
0.71
0.71
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.40
0.80
0.87
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.79
0.55
1.00
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.25
0.00
0.00
1.17
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manchester City
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
0.57
1.40
0.53
1.67
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (28)
1.64
0.54
1.50
0.50
1.79
0.57
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.97
1.00
0.80
0.87
1.13
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
0.00
1.50
3.00
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.89
1.00
1.18
0.64
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.62
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
77.4%
1.26
-
-
-
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
71.5%
1.36
-
-
-
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland52%
Phil Foden40%
Julián Álvarez33%
Kevin De Bruyne25%
Rodri21%
Bernardo Silva17%
Kalvin Phillips12%
Joško Gvardiol12%
Jérémy Doku11%
Oscar Bobb11%
Jack Grealish11%
Manuel Akanji11%
Rico Lewis9%
Nathan Aké6%
John Stones5%
Mateo Kovačić3%
Sergio Gómez0%
Rúben Dias0%
Ederson0%
Kyle Walker0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Matheus Nunes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jack Grealish25%
Rodri24%
Bernardo Silva22%
Manuel Akanji13%
Ederson12%
Kalvin Phillips12%
Joško Gvardiol12%
Mateo Kovačić11%
Kevin De Bruyne10%
John Stones9%
Jérémy Doku8%
Kyle Walker5%
Rúben Dias5%
Phil Foden5%
Julián Álvarez5%
Rico Lewis4%
Erling Haaland2%
Sergio Gómez0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Matheus Nunes0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kevin De Bruyne50%
Phil Foden23%
Rodri21%
Julián Álvarez21%
Bernardo Silva17%
Jérémy Doku17%
Erling Haaland15%
Rico Lewis13%
Matheus Nunes12%
Jack Grealish11%
Sergio Gómez9%
Kyle Walker8%
Joško Gvardiol6%
Nathan Aké6%
Oscar Bobb6%
John Stones5%
Manuel Akanji0%
Rúben Dias0%
Ederson0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland57%
Phil Foden37%
Kevin De Bruyne35%
Julián Álvarez26%
Rodri19%
Matheus Nunes12%
Jérémy Doku8%
Joško Gvardiol6%
Bernardo Silva5%
Jack Grealish4%
Mateo Kovačić3%
Rúben Dias3%
Manuel Akanji0%
Sergio Gómez0%
Ederson0%
John Stones0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Rico Lewis0%
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rasmus Højlund33%
Bruno Fernandes24%
Marcus Rashford19%
Scott McTominay16%
Hannibal Mejbri14%
Alejandro Garnacho12%
Harry Maguire12%
Kobbie Mainoo12%
Amad Diallo11%
Casemiro7%
Mason Mount6%
Anthony Martial6%
Diogo Dalot5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Christian Eriksen4%
Raphaël Varane4%
Antony3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Omari Forson0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luke Shaw50%
Lisandro Martínez33%
Sofyan Amrabat31%
Casemiro30%
Sergio Reguilón27%
Bruno Fernandes27%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka20%
Harry Maguire19%
Antony18%
Diogo Dalot14%
Hannibal Mejbri14%
Mason Mount12%
Willy Kambwala12%
Kobbie Mainoo12%
André Onana11%
Amad Diallo11%
Alejandro Garnacho10%
Victor Lindelöf9%
Scott McTominay8%
Jonny Evans8%
Raphaël Varane8%
Rasmus Højlund6%
Marcus Rashford5%
Christian Eriksen4%
Jadon Sancho0%
Anthony Martial0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Omari Forson0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Omari Forson25%
Bruno Fernandes24%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka12%
Christian Eriksen12%
Amad Diallo11%
Marcus Rashford11%
Alejandro Garnacho10%
Lisandro Martínez8%
Facundo Pellistri8%
Harry Maguire8%
Casemiro7%
Diogo Dalot7%
Luke Shaw7%
Anthony Martial6%
Rasmus Højlund6%
Scott McTominay5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Jonny Evans4%
Kobbie Mainoo4%
Antony3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Raphaël Varane0%
Mason Mount0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruno Fernandes37%
Alejandro Garnacho26%
Casemiro11%
Amad Diallo11%
Rasmus Højlund11%
Scott McTominay11%
Marcus Rashford11%
Antony9%
Facundo Pellistri8%
Harry Maguire8%
Diogo Dalot2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Christian Eriksen0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Raphaël Varane0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Anthony Martial0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Mason Mount0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Omari Forson0%
Kobbie Mainoo0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WOL (29)
€311m
WHU (24)
€274m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Manchester City's squad is €396m more valuable than Manchester United's (€1326m vs €929m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WOL (10)
€86m
WHU (7)
€84m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Manchester City's attack is €204m more valuable than Manchester United's (€635m vs €432m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
WOL (5)
€111m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Manchester City's midfield is €76m less valuable than Manchester United's (€160m vs €236m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€115m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Manchester City's defence is €270m more valuable than Manchester United's (€531m vs €261m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Chelsea
Newcastle
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United