Manchester City’s dominance at home is underscored by the model’s 62% chance of a win, a clear favourite over the 22% draw and 16% away win odds. The Premier League side’s recent 2-game winning streak, capped by a 4-1 victory over Crystal Palace, fuels confidence, while United’s 0-2 loss to Hull shows a fragile start. City’s home form against weaker opponents yields an average of 2.55 goals scored and only one conceded, a stark contrast to United’s away record against stronger teams, which has produced fewer goals and more concessions. The expected total of 3.2 goals points to a lively encounter, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 10.1% probability. The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 88.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 83.4%, Under 5.5 cards at 78.2%, Under 23.5 fouls at 77.7%, Over 2.5 cards at 76.5% (miss), and Over 8.5 corners at 72.0% (miss). The match outcome probabilities remain 62% home win, 22% draw, 16% away win.
Results analysis
The win extends Manchester City’s two-game winning run, as they beat Manchester United 3-0 to secure a home victory. The model’s pre-match favourite, Home win, with a 62% probability, proved correct. The suggested picks delivered a mixed outcome: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 88.1%, Over 1.5 hit at 83.4%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 78.2%, Under 23.5 fouls hit at 77.7%, Over 2.5 cards missed at 76.5%, and Over 8.5 corners missed at 72.0%. The predicted most likely scoreline of 2-0 was close, but the actual 3-0 result exceeded expectations. Overall, the model’s call and most selections performed well, with a few over-ambitious predictions falling short.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manchester City win✓ Hit
62.2%
Avg Implied 57.5% · @ 1.65
Edge
+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.7%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 4.14
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester United win✗ Miss
16.1%
Avg Implied 19.6% · @ 4.83
Edge
-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manchester City
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.20
2.31
1.23
1.65
1.18
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.20
3.40
1.00
2.50
1.33
4.00
vs Weaker (25)
2.08
0.76
2.55
1.00
1.71
0.57
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.27
1.57
1.21
1.38
1.31
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.42
1.47
1.78
1.33
1.10
1.60
vs Weaker (10)
1.70
1.00
1.50
1.25
1.83
0.83
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.4%
Under 1.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.4%
@ 1.53-0.1%
Under 2.5
38.6%
@ 2.44+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.1%
Under 3.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
3-0 ✓
6.9%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
Manchester City goals ↓
Manchester United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.1%
3.4%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
1
8.1%
10%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
2
9.7%
9.9%
5.1%
1.7%
0.4%
3
6.9%
7.1%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
4
3.7%
3.8%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester City goals (down), columns = Manchester United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Manchester City is 0.18 points better than Manchester United in terms of average points per game (2.05 vs 1.87).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Manchester City is 0.21 goals better than Manchester United in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 1.82).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Manchester City is 0.39 goals better than Manchester United in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.32).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Manchester City is 8.6 percentage points better than Manchester United in terms of average possession (60% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manchester City
For 6.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.9 · Against 11.2 · Total 19.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester United
For 4.3 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 13.0 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.3
10.0
3.1
3.2
3.1
17.5
17.7
17.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
11.2
11.5
11.2
2.5
0.0
3.3
16.1
14.0
16.8
vs Weaker (42)
9.3
9.1
9.6
3.2
3.5
3.0
17.8
18.1
17.6
% over line
49%
52%
46%
44%
48%
41%
16%
14%
17%
% under line
51%
48%
54%
56%
52%
59%
84%
86%
83%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
8.7
10.6
3.8
4.1
3.5
22.0
22.7
21.3
vs Stronger (2)
9.0
8.0
10.0
3.5
5.0
2.0
20.5
22.0
19.0
vs Similar (32)
10.0
9.0
11.2
4.2
4.7
3.7
22.9
23.4
22.3
vs Weaker (16)
8.8
7.6
9.6
2.9
2.6
3.2
20.1
20.4
19.9
% over line
51%
48%
55%
54%
58%
50%
58%
61%
55%
% under line
49%
52%
45%
46%
42%
50%
42%
39%
45%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
11.3
Newcastle
11.3
Brentford
10.8
Bournemouth
10.8
Aston Villa
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.4
Liverpool
10.4
Everton
10.1
Fulham
10.1
West Ham
10.0
Crystal Palace
10.0
Manchester City
9.9
Leeds
9.8
Sunderland
9.7
Chelsea
9.7
Manchester United
9.7
Wolves
9.7
Brighton
9.6
Arsenal
9.6
Burnley
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
5.1
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Newcastle
4.4
Aston Villa
4.4
Chelsea
4.4
Brighton
4.4
Sunderland
4.4
Wolves
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.2
Liverpool
4.0
Brentford
3.9
Tottenham
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Burnley
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Arsenal
3.7
Everton
3.6
West Ham
3.5
Leeds
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.5
Wolves
24.4
Tottenham
23.5
Sunderland
23.0
Burnley
23.0
Newcastle
23.0
Brighton
22.9
Aston Villa
22.9
Leeds
22.2
Chelsea
22.1
West Ham
22.0
Manchester United
21.7
Everton
21.5
Fulham
21.5
Nottingham Forest
21.3
Crystal Palace
21.3
Arsenal
21.1
Liverpool
20.6
Brentford
19.0
Manchester City
17.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
60.3%
Under 9.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.1%
Under 3.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
37.0%
Under 21.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manchester City
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
1.23
0.85
0.53
0.35
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.20
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (25)
0.96
0.48
1.36
0.82
0.64
0.21
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.50
0.57
0.44
0.75
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.74
0.67
0.67
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (10)
0.20
0.60
0.25
0.50
0.17
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manchester City
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.63
1.08
0.38
1.12
0.82
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.00
2.40
0.50
1.50
1.33
3.00
vs Weaker (25)
1.12
0.28
1.18
0.18
1.07
0.36
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.60
1.07
0.64
0.94
0.56
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.74
1.11
0.67
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (10)
1.50
0.40
1.25
0.75
1.67
0.17
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland55%
Antoine Semenyo42%
Rayan Cherki20%
Max Alleyne17%
Jérémy Doku15%
Phil Foden14%
Omar Marmoush14%
Nico O'Reilly13%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Savinho11%
Marc Guéhi10%
Joško Gvardiol8%
Rodri6%
Rúben Dias6%
Bernardo Silva6%
Nico González5%
Rico Lewis5%
Matheus Nunes2%
John Stones0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Nathan Aké0%
Rayan Aït-Nouri0%
James Trafford0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Divine Mukasa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bernardo Silva28%
Gianluigi Donnarumma23%
Nico González20%
Rodri19%
Abdukodir Khusanov17%
Nico O'Reilly15%
Rayan Aït-Nouri15%
Matheus Nunes15%
Rico Lewis14%
Rúben Dias12%
Savinho11%
Phil Foden10%
Marc Guéhi10%
Omar Marmoush9%
Joško Gvardiol8%
Oscar Bobb7%
Tijjani Reijnders4%
Erling Haaland4%
Rayan Cherki4%
Antoine Semenyo4%
Nathan Aké3%
John Stones0%
Jérémy Doku0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
James Trafford0%
Max Alleyne0%
Divine Mukasa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Divine Mukasa33%
Rayan Cherki24%
Jérémy Doku19%
Joško Gvardiol16%
Erling Haaland16%
Rayan Aït-Nouri15%
Matheus Nunes15%
Rico Lewis14%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Phil Foden12%
Antoine Semenyo12%
Nico O'Reilly12%
Mateo Kovačić11%
Bernardo Silva9%
Omar Marmoush9%
Oscar Bobb7%
Savinho6%
Marc Guéhi5%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
John Stones0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Nathan Aké0%
Nico González0%
James Trafford0%
Max Alleyne0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland53%
Antoine Semenyo19%
Omar Marmoush17%
Tijjani Reijnders15%
Rayan Cherki12%
Phil Foden10%
Savinho8%
Rodri6%
Marc Guéhi5%
Rico Lewis5%
Jérémy Doku4%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Nico O'Reilly4%
Rúben Dias0%
John Stones0%
Bernardo Silva0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Nathan Aké0%
Rayan Aït-Nouri0%
Matheus Nunes0%
Nico González0%
James Trafford0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Max Alleyne0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Divine Mukasa0%
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Benjamin Šeško34%
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Matheus Cunha29%
Casemiro26%
Bruno Fernandes22%
Patrick Dorgu14%
Mason Mount12%
Harry Maguire8%
Joshua Zirkzee8%
Matthijs de Ligt7%
Amad Diallo6%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Diogo Dalot3%
Luke Shaw3%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Shea Lacey0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Casemiro29%
Shea Lacey25%
Luke Shaw24%
Patrick Dorgu18%
Harry Maguire16%
Joshua Zirkzee15%
Noussair Mazraoui15%
Diogo Dalot14%
Bruno Fernandes14%
Bryan Mbeumo12%
Matheus Cunha11%
Ayden Heaven11%
Kobbie Mainoo10%
Mason Mount8%
Benjamin Šeško6%
Amad Diallo6%
Manuel Ugarte4%
Leny Yoro3%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Senne Lammens0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Fernandes51%
Patrick Dorgu14%
Kobbie Mainoo10%
Amad Diallo9%
Bryan Mbeumo9%
Diogo Dalot8%
Harry Maguire8%
Casemiro6%
Matheus Cunha6%
Ayden Heaven6%
Mason Mount4%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Benjamin Šeško3%
Luke Shaw3%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Shea Lacey0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Matheus Cunha31%
Benjamin Šeško25%
Bruno Fernandes22%
Amad Diallo15%
Casemiro14%
Joshua Zirkzee8%
Patrick Dorgu7%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Diogo Dalot0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Harry Maguire0%
Mason Mount0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Kobbie Mainoo0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Shea Lacey0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Manchester City's squad is €396m more valuable than Manchester United's (€1326m vs €929m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Manchester City's attack is €204m more valuable than Manchester United's (€635m vs €432m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Manchester City's midfield is €76m less valuable than Manchester United's (€160m vs €236m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Manchester City's defence is €270m more valuable than Manchester United's (€531m vs €261m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brighton
Brentford
Chelsea
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
West Ham
Burnley
Wolves