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Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest Result & Analysis

Date: 31/08/2022
Time: 19:30
Final 6-0
Manchester City
Manchester City
Vs
59%
26%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Referee: P Tierney

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manchester City win✓ Hit
59.3%
Avg Implied 88.4% · @ 1.09
Edge
-29.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied 8.1% · @ 11.93
Edge
+18.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest win✗ Miss
14.6%
Avg Implied 3.5% · @ 27.15
Edge
+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W40W50W51W22D32W20W40W33D42WH·WAT23/04A·LEE30/04H·NEW08/05A·WOL11/05A·WES15/05H·AST22/05A·WES07/08H·BOU13/08A·NEW21/08H·CRY27/08
Avg total
4.8
Avg scored
3.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.900.833.401.002.400.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)1.671.001.501.002.001.00
vs Weaker (27)3.040.813.691.002.430.64
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-540W10W10W51W01L11D02L10W11D02LH·WES18/04A·PET23/04A·FUL26/04H·SWA30/04A·BOU03/05A·HUL07/05A·NEW06/08H·WES14/08A·EVE20/08H·TOT28/08← ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.700.732.270.601.130.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.400.872.000.671.001.00
vs Weaker (15)2.000.602.440.561.330.67
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%020%127%221%312%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.0%
Under 1.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.8%
@ 1.24-33.8%
Under 2.5
57.2%
@ 4.06+33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.9%
Under 3.5
78.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.7%
No
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.2%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
Manchester City goals ↓
Nottingham Forest goals →
01234
010%5.5%2.4%0.6%0.1%
114%12%3.9%0.9%0.2%
213%9.2%3.3%0.8%0.1%
37.2%5.1%1.8%0.4%0.1%
43.0%2.1%0.8%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester City goals (down), columns = Nottingham Forest goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Manchester City is 1.34 points better than Nottingham Forest in terms of average points per game (2.34 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Manchester City is 1.47 goals better than Nottingham Forest in terms of goals scored per game (2.47 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Manchester City is 0.92 goals better than Nottingham Forest in terms of goals conceded per game (0.87 vs 1.79).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Manchester City is 28.1 percentage points better than Nottingham Forest in terms of average possession (66% vs 37%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Manchester CityManchester City

For 7.5 · Against 2.8 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

150615511141131942682631147101251413810915H·CRYA·NEWH·BOUA·WESH·ASTA·WESA·WOLH·NEWA·LEEH·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 2.7

🟨 Cards

601224311131132113631141431H·CRYA·NEWH·BOUA·WESH·ASTA·WESA·WOLH·NEWA·LEEH·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.2 · Against 9.2 · Total 16.4

⚠️ Fouls

2201487149948511591026113139722211812161412171616H·CRYA·NEWH·BOUA·WESH·ASTA·WESA·WOLH·NEWA·LEEH·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

For 5.2 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

1606126671114634124585687813121071613118H·TOTA·EVEH·WESA·NEWA·HULA·BOUH·SWAA·FULA·PETH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

70612341322221233237553242365H·TOTA·EVEH·WESA·NEWA·HULA·BOUH·SWAA·FULA·PETH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 9.5 · Total 21.5

⚠️ Fouls

3101113961011149914147119156171410624152123232120213116H·TOTA·EVEH·WESA·NEWA·HULA·BOUH·SWAA·FULA·PETH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester CityManchester City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.910.33.12.83.418.218.018.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (7)10.19.211.34.33.25.719.017.820.7
vs Weaker (43)10.711.210.22.92.63.118.018.018.1
% over line58%67%50%36%29%42%20%21%19%
% under line42%33%50%64%71%58%80%79%81%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.410.34.75.34.223.024.221.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (22)10.410.410.54.85.54.122.622.822.5
vs Weaker (28)9.58.710.24.75.14.323.325.321.3
% over line54%48%60%72%84%60%58%68%48%
% under line46%52%40%28%16%40%42%32%52%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Southampton
11.0
Liverpool
10.9
Aston Villa
10.9
Leicester
10.6
Everton
10.6
Manchester City
10.6
Tottenham
10.6
Brighton
10.5
Manchester United
10.4
Chelsea
10.3
Fulham
10.3
Wolves
10.3
Arsenal
10.1
Bournemouth
10.0
Brentford
10.0
Nottingham Forest
9.9
West Ham
9.8
Crystal Palace
9.8
Newcastle
9.7
Leeds
9.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.7
Leeds
4.3
Aston Villa
4.1
Bournemouth
4.1
Everton
4.0
Brighton
3.9
Newcastle
3.9
Fulham
3.9
Tottenham
3.7
Wolves
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.6
Chelsea
3.6
Manchester United
3.4
Arsenal
3.3
Southampton
3.3
Manchester City
3.1
Brentford
3.0
Liverpool
3.0
Leicester
2.9
West Ham
2.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
24.3
Crystal Palace
23.8
Nottingham Forest
23.0
Leeds
23.0
Bournemouth
21.8
Chelsea
21.6
Tottenham
20.9
Southampton
20.8
Fulham
20.8
Leicester
20.4
Brentford
20.1
Everton
20.1
Newcastle
20.0
Manchester United
20.0
Brighton
19.8
Arsenal
19.4
Wolves
19.3
Manchester City
18.2
Liverpool
18.1
West Ham
16.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.6%
Under 9.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.8%
Under 3.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
23.4%
Under 21.5
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Manchester CityManchester City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W20W31W02L01L10W30W12L02LH·WAT23/04A·LEE30/04H·NEW08/05A·WOL11/05A·WES15/05H·AST22/05A·WES07/08H·BOU13/08A·NEW21/08H·CRY27/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.471.470.471.070.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.670.671.000.500.001.00
vs Weaker (27)1.330.441.540.461.140.43
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W10W11D00D00D00D10W00D01LH·WES18/04A·PET23/04A·FUL26/04H·SWA30/04A·BOU03/05A·HUL07/05A·NEW06/08H·WES14/08A·EVE20/08H·TOT28/08← ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.270.730.330.400.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.330.270.670.500.110.11
vs Weaker (15)0.800.270.780.220.830.33
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Manchester CityManchester City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W30W30W20W20W31W10W10W21W40WH·WAT23/04A·LEE30/04H·NEW08/05A·WOL11/05A·WES15/05H·AST22/05A·WES07/08H·BOU13/08A·NEW21/08H·CRY27/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.371.930.531.330.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)1.000.330.500.502.000.00
vs Weaker (27)1.700.372.150.541.290.21
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D00D40W01L11D02L00D11D01LH·WES18/04A·PET23/04A·FUL26/04H·SWA30/04A·BOU03/05A·HUL07/05A·NEW06/08H·WES14/08A·EVE20/08H·TOT28/08← ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.471.530.270.730.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.070.601.330.170.890.89
vs Weaker (15)1.200.331.670.330.500.33
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls94.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls87.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards86.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 21.5 fouls76.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards73.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland63%
Julián Álvarez27%
Phil Foden25%
Kevin De Bruyne19%
Riyad Mahrez18%
İlkay Gündoğan16%
Bernardo Silva13%
Jack Grealish12%
John Stones10%
João Cancelo9%
Rodri8%
Rico Lewis6%
Nathan Aké3%
Rúben Dias3%
Manuel Akanji2%
Sergio Gómez0%
Ederson0%
Aymeric Laporte0%
Kyle Walker0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Cole Palmer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
João Cancelo17%
Bernardo Silva15%
Rúben Dias13%
Erling Haaland13%
Rodri12%
Jack Grealish12%
Ederson11%
Manuel Akanji10%
Kyle Walker9%
İlkay Gündoğan9%
Nathan Aké9%
Kalvin Phillips7%
John Stones6%
Aymeric Laporte6%
Rico Lewis6%
Cole Palmer6%
Riyad Mahrez5%
Phil Foden5%
Kevin De Bruyne5%
Julián Álvarez2%
Sergio Gómez0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kevin De Bruyne45%
Riyad Mahrez28%
Jack Grealish17%
Erling Haaland15%
Phil Foden15%
İlkay Gündoğan14%
João Cancelo13%
Bernardo Silva13%
Rodri12%
John Stones10%
Sergio Gómez6%
Cole Palmer6%
Manuel Akanji2%
Julián Álvarez2%
Ederson2%
Rúben Dias0%
Aymeric Laporte0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Rico Lewis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland54%
Kevin De Bruyne26%
Jack Grealish15%
Julián Álvarez12%
İlkay Gündoğan11%
Phil Foden10%
Riyad Mahrez8%
Rodri6%
Cole Palmer6%
João Cancelo4%
Rúben Dias3%
Manuel Akanji2%
Bernardo Silva2%
Sergio Gómez0%
Ederson0%
Aymeric Laporte0%
John Stones0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Rico Lewis0%
Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Taiwo Awoniyi30%
Danilo23%
Brennan Johnson16%
Morgan Gibbs-White14%
Chris Wood14%
Emmanuel Dennis11%
Lewis O'Brien8%
Sam Surridge5%
Cheikhou Kouyaté5%
Serge Aurier4%
Orel Mangala4%
Joe Worrall3%
Neco Williams3%
Felipe0%
Keylor Navas0%
Jesse Lingard0%
André Ayew0%
Remo Freuler0%
Gustavo Scarpa0%
Renan Lodi0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Wayne Hennessey0%
Steve Cook0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Dean Henderson0%
Jack Colback0%
Ryan Yates0%
Moussa Niakhaté0%
Scott McKenna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Steve Cook33%
Felipe25%
Renan Lodi25%
Jonjo Shelvey25%
Neco Williams23%
Joe Worrall20%
Scott McKenna20%
Ryan Yates19%
Willy Boly18%
Gustavo Scarpa17%
Emmanuel Dennis16%
Brennan Johnson16%
Lewis O'Brien15%
Remo Freuler14%
Cheikhou Kouyaté14%
Morgan Gibbs-White14%
Keylor Navas12%
Dean Henderson11%
Orel Mangala11%
Harry Toffolo11%
Sam Surridge10%
Serge Aurier8%
André Ayew8%
Danilo8%
Taiwo Awoniyi7%
Moussa Niakhaté7%
Jesse Lingard6%
Wayne Hennessey0%
Chris Wood0%
Jack Colback0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Gibbs-White20%
Danilo15%
Emmanuel Dennis11%
Willy Boly9%
Brennan Johnson8%
Ryan Yates8%
Felipe6%
Taiwo Awoniyi4%
Orel Mangala4%
Renan Lodi4%
Serge Aurier0%
Keylor Navas0%
Jesse Lingard0%
André Ayew0%
Joe Worrall0%
Remo Freuler0%
Cheikhou Kouyaté0%
Gustavo Scarpa0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Wayne Hennessey0%
Steve Cook0%
Sam Surridge0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Chris Wood0%
Dean Henderson0%
Jack Colback0%
Lewis O'Brien0%
Moussa Niakhaté0%
Scott McKenna0%
Neco Williams0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Taiwo Awoniyi11%
Brennan Johnson11%
Morgan Gibbs-White9%
Danilo8%
Moussa Niakhaté7%
Neco Williams6%
Emmanuel Dennis5%
Ryan Yates4%
Renan Lodi4%
Serge Aurier0%
Felipe0%
Keylor Navas0%
Jesse Lingard0%
André Ayew0%
Joe Worrall0%
Remo Freuler0%
Cheikhou Kouyaté0%
Gustavo Scarpa0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Wayne Hennessey0%
Steve Cook0%
Sam Surridge0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Chris Wood0%
Dean Henderson0%
Jack Colback0%
Lewis O'Brien0%
Orel Mangala0%
Scott McKenna0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Manchester City's squad is €775m more valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€1326m vs €551m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Manchester City's attack is €372m more valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€635m vs €263m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Manchester City's midfield is €108m more valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€160m vs €52m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Manchester City's defence is €295m more valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€531m vs €236m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
MC wins
0
Draws
0
NFO wins

Head-to-head

Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest · H/A from MC
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/22HMC Vs Crystal Palace4-2
21/08/22ANewcastle Vs MC3-3
13/08/22HMC Vs Bournemouth4-0
07/08/22AWest Ham Vs MC0-2
22/05/22HMC Vs Aston Villa3-2
15/05/22AWest Ham Vs MC2-2
11/05/22AWolves Vs MC1-5
08/05/22HMC Vs Newcastle5-0
30/04/22ALeeds Vs MC0-4
23/04/22HMC Vs Watford5-1

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/22HNFO Vs Tottenham0-2
20/08/22AEverton Vs NFO1-1
14/08/22HNFO Vs West Ham1-0
06/08/22ANewcastle Vs NFO2-0
07/05/22AHull Vs NFO1-1
03/05/22ABournemouth Vs NFO1-0
30/04/22HNFO Vs Swansea5-1
26/04/22AFulham Vs NFO0-1
23/04/22APeterboro Vs NFO0-1
18/04/22HNFO Vs West Brom4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW2.36
HomeWWWWW2.33
AwayWWDWD2.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %74%75%73%
AVG goals3.463.923.04
Over 1.5 %82%88%77%
Over 2.5 %64%75%54%
Over 3.5 %48%54%42%
Scored2.623.042.23
Conceded0.840.880.81
BTTS44%42%46%
Clean Sheet52%54%50%
Corners10.6010.8810.35
Cards3.082.753.38
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDL1.68
HomeWWWWL1.84
AwayWLDLD1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%56%40%
AVG goals2.402.722.08
Over 1.5 %78%88%68%
Over 2.5 %42%56%28%
Over 3.5 %18%24%12%
Scored1.501.761.24
Conceded0.900.960.84
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet36%40%32%
Corners9.889.4410.32
Cards4.745.284.20

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3889
74%
2.3
9433+61
3.3
82%
66%
42%
8.9
50%
3.3
42%
19.7
29%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3884
68%
2.2
8843+45
3.4
84%
68%
53%
9.6
45%
3.5
39%
21.8
50%
1406
6082905082.31.1
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3875
61%
2.0
5843+15
2.7
71%
50%
24%
10.6
61%
3.4
47%
19.3
26%
929
4322362611.51.1
54%
4NewcastleNewcastle3871
50%
1.9
6833+35
2.7
74%
47%
29%
11.4
76%
3.7
45%
21.7
42%
568
2341242101.80.9
52%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3867
50%
1.8
7547+28
3.2
74%
61%
37%
9.8
45%
3.1
42%
19.7
39%
980
5182012602.01.2
61%
6BrightonBrighton3862
47%
1.6
7253+19
3.3
79%
66%
45%
9.7
55%
4.0
53%
22.4
58%
620
1901802491.91.4
60%
7Aston VillaAston Villa3861
47%
1.6
5146+5
2.6
79%
47%
21%
9.9
55%
4.3
55%
24.1
68%
536
2201601561.31.2
49%
8TottenhamTottenham3860
47%
1.6
7063+7
3.5
84%
61%
47%
10.5
63%
4.1
53%
21.1
39%
920
2502823881.81.7
50%
9BrentfordBrentford3859
39%
1.6
5846+12
2.7
82%
45%
32%
9.9
55%
3.1
45%
20.2
29%
565
2281282091.51.2
43%
10FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
5553+2
2.8
74%
66%
29%
10.2
47%
3.7
47%
21.8
42%
329
178281231.41.4
49%
11Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4049-9
2.3
68%
39%
18%
9.6
37%
4.3
58%
24.6
66%
505
229931821.11.3
46%
12ChelseaChelsea3844
29%
1.2
3847-9
2.2
66%
42%
21%
10.3
55%
3.9
58%
22.7
50%
1407
6142785141.01.2
59%
13WolvesWolves3841
29%
1.1
3158-27
2.3
71%
39%
13%
10.3
50%
4.3
61%
23.1
61%
273
79791160.81.5
-
14West HamWest Ham3840
29%
1.1
4255-13
2.6
76%
39%
26%
10.6
53%
2.6
26%
18.1
21%
274
84481411.11.4
42%
15BournemouthBournemouth3839
29%
1.0
3771-34
2.8
74%
47%
32%
10.9
66%
3.1
34%
20.2
32%
573
2851061821.01.9
41%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3838
24%
1.0
3868-30
2.8
79%
45%
34%
9.7
50%
3.9
61%
22.6
61%
551
263522361.01.8
37%
17EvertonEverton3836
21%
0.9
3457-23
2.4
74%
42%
21%
10.9
61%
4.2
66%
21.0
42%
459
1741621230.91.5
42%
18LeicesterLeicester3834
24%
0.9
5168-17
3.1
79%
63%
34%
9.8
50%
3.2
39%
21.6
58%
69
2013361.31.8
48%
19LeedsLeeds3831
18%
0.8
4878-30
3.3
76%
66%
45%
10.1
55%
4.0
61%
23.1
58%
427
166981631.32.1
48%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3825
16%
0.7
3673-37
2.9
66%
53%
34%
9.6
50%
3.6
42%
21.8
45%
205
7253790.91.9
44%
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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