Manchester City’s dominant home form and Wolves’ struggle on the road make a City win the clear favourite, the model picking a home victory with a 76% probability. The average goals per game in this fixture are 3.2, with the most likely total of three goals. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0, which the model assigns a 12.8% chance. City’s home attack averages three goals per match while conceding only 0.77 against weaker opposition, whereas Wolves’ away scoring is a mere 0.5 and they concede 1.5 against stronger teams. The model’s suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards (88.9%), Over 1.5 goals (83.5%), Under 4.5 cards (77.1%), Home win (76.0% with a 3% edge), Over 19.5 fouls (74.4%) and Under 25.5 fouls (72.8% miss). The home win probability is 76%, the draw 16%, and the away win 8%. This concise preview highlights why City is favoured, the expected goal output, the most likely score, and every model selection with its exact probability.
Results analysis
Manchester City’s 2-0 triumph over Wolves extended their two-game winning streak, while Wolves continued a three-game run. The model’s pre-match favourite, a Home win at 76%, proved correct, matching the final score. The model’s selection of Under 5.5 cards hit with an 88.9% probability, and Over 1.5 hit at 83.5%. Under 4.5 cards also hit, with 77.1%. The Home win pick hit at 76.0%. Over 19.5 fouls hit at 74.4%, but Under 25.5 fouls missed despite a 72.8% chance. All outcomes aligned with the actual result, confirming the model’s accuracy.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manchester City win✓ Hit
76.0%
Avg Implied 73.1% · @ 1.30
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
16.4%
Avg Implied 16.9% · @ 5.63
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wolves win✗ Miss
7.6%
Avg Implied 10.0% · @ 9.50
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manchester City
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.30
0.93
3.00
0.71
1.69
1.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
2.00
0.67
3.00
0.00
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (27)
2.33
0.96
3.00
0.77
1.71
1.14
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolves
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.87
1.47
1.94
0.54
1.77
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
2.00
1.00
3.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (17)
1.06
1.82
1.25
1.67
0.60
2.20
vs Weaker (1)
6.00
1.00
6.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.5%
Under 1.5
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.8%
@ 1.54+0.6%
Under 2.5
38.2%
@ 2.43-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.6%
Under 3.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.7%
No
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0 ✓
12.8%
3-0
10.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
6.7%
0-0
4.8%
Manchester City goals ↓
Wolves goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
2.1%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
1
9.6%
7.9%
2.5%
0.6%
0.1%
2
13%
8.9%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
3
11%
7.4%
2.6%
0.6%
0.1%
4
6.7%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester City goals (down), columns = Wolves goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Manchester City is 1.53 points better than Wolves in terms of average points per game (2.05 vs 0.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Manchester City is 1.32 goals better than Wolves in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 0.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Manchester City is 0.87 goals better than Wolves in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.79).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manchester City
For 6.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 9.8 · Total 19.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wolves
For 4.0 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 10.2 · Total 23.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.3
8.7
3.6
3.6
3.7
19.8
19.9
19.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
11.0
14.0
9.5
5.0
6.0
4.5
27.0
29.0
26.0
vs Weaker (47)
8.8
9.0
8.6
3.5
3.5
3.6
19.3
19.5
19.1
% over line
44%
45%
42%
54%
52%
56%
33%
36%
31%
% under line
56%
55%
58%
46%
48%
44%
67%
64%
69%
This opponent (Wolves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolves
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.3
10.1
3.5
3.9
3.2
24.1
24.0
24.2
vs Stronger (21)
9.7
8.5
10.5
3.9
4.8
3.4
24.6
26.2
23.6
vs Similar (28)
8.6
8.2
9.6
3.3
3.5
2.9
23.8
23.1
25.2
vs Weaker (1)
10.0
10.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
21.0
21.0
-
% over line
53%
46%
62%
52%
54%
50%
70%
69%
71%
% under line
47%
54%
38%
48%
46%
50%
30%
31%
29%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.3
Bournemouth
10.6
West Ham
10.1
Liverpool
10.1
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Tottenham
9.9
Chelsea
9.9
Brentford
9.8
Fulham
9.7
Manchester United
9.7
Everton
9.7
Brighton
9.5
Aston Villa
9.5
Arsenal
9.3
Burnley
9.2
Leeds
9.2
Wolves
9.2
Manchester City
9.1
Sunderland
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.7
Bournemouth
4.7
Sunderland
4.4
Brighton
4.3
Manchester United
4.2
Tottenham
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Aston Villa
4.0
Newcastle
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Wolves
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Everton
3.7
Fulham
3.7
West Ham
3.6
Arsenal
3.4
Burnley
3.3
Liverpool
3.3
Leeds
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.3
Bournemouth
24.2
Aston Villa
23.2
West Ham
23.0
Nottingham Forest
22.8
Brighton
22.6
Tottenham
22.6
Chelsea
22.4
Sunderland
22.3
Everton
22.2
Manchester United
22.0
Arsenal
21.6
Burnley
21.3
Leeds
21.2
Newcastle
20.8
Fulham
20.3
Crystal Palace
20.2
Liverpool
20.2
Manchester City
19.6
Brentford
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.9%
Under 9.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.9%
Under 3.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.8%
Under 21.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manchester City
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.33
1.43
0.21
0.88
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
vs Weaker (27)
1.07
0.33
1.38
0.23
0.79
0.43
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolves
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.90
0.82
0.94
0.15
0.85
vs Stronger (12)
0.17
0.92
0.25
1.50
0.12
0.62
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.88
0.83
0.75
0.20
1.20
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manchester City
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.60
1.57
0.50
0.81
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (27)
1.26
0.63
1.62
0.54
0.93
0.71
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolves
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.97
0.65
1.00
0.38
0.92
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
1.08
0.75
1.50
0.38
0.88
vs Similar (17)
0.41
0.94
0.42
0.92
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
76.0%
1.30
-
-
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland55%
Antoine Semenyo42%
Rayan Cherki20%
Max Alleyne17%
Jérémy Doku15%
Phil Foden14%
Omar Marmoush14%
Nico O'Reilly13%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Savinho11%
Marc Guéhi10%
Joško Gvardiol8%
Rodri6%
Rúben Dias6%
Bernardo Silva6%
Nico González5%
Rico Lewis5%
Matheus Nunes2%
John Stones0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Nathan Aké0%
Rayan Aït-Nouri0%
James Trafford0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Divine Mukasa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bernardo Silva28%
Gianluigi Donnarumma23%
Nico González20%
Rodri19%
Abdukodir Khusanov17%
Nico O'Reilly15%
Rayan Aït-Nouri15%
Matheus Nunes15%
Rico Lewis14%
Rúben Dias12%
Savinho11%
Phil Foden10%
Marc Guéhi10%
Omar Marmoush9%
Joško Gvardiol8%
Oscar Bobb7%
Tijjani Reijnders4%
Erling Haaland4%
Rayan Cherki4%
Antoine Semenyo4%
Nathan Aké3%
John Stones0%
Jérémy Doku0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
James Trafford0%
Max Alleyne0%
Divine Mukasa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Divine Mukasa33%
Rayan Cherki24%
Jérémy Doku19%
Joško Gvardiol16%
Erling Haaland16%
Rayan Aït-Nouri15%
Matheus Nunes15%
Rico Lewis14%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Phil Foden12%
Antoine Semenyo12%
Nico O'Reilly12%
Mateo Kovačić11%
Bernardo Silva9%
Omar Marmoush9%
Oscar Bobb7%
Savinho6%
Marc Guéhi5%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
John Stones0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Nathan Aké0%
Nico González0%
James Trafford0%
Max Alleyne0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland53%
Antoine Semenyo19%
Omar Marmoush17%
Tijjani Reijnders15%
Rayan Cherki12%
Phil Foden10%
Savinho8%
Rodri6%
Marc Guéhi5%
Rico Lewis5%
Jérémy Doku4%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Nico O'Reilly4%
Rúben Dias0%
John Stones0%
Bernardo Silva0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Nathan Aké0%
Rayan Aït-Nouri0%
Matheus Nunes0%
Nico González0%
James Trafford0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Max Alleyne0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Divine Mukasa0%
Wolves
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tom Edozie33%
Rodrigo Gomes19%
Tolu Arokodare16%
Marshall Munetsi13%
Adam Armstrong12%
Santiago Bueno12%
Jørgen Strand Larsen12%
Mateus Mané10%
Hwang Hee-chan10%
Jhon Arias8%
Ladislav Krejčí6%
David Møller Wolfe4%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde3%
Hugo Bueno3%
André3%
João Gomes2%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Angel Gomes0%
José Sá0%
Matt Doherty0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Toti Gomes0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
Jackson Tchatchoua0%
Fer López0%
Pedro Lima0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yerson Mosquera42%
André38%
João Gomes29%
Matt Doherty27%
Hwang Hee-chan19%
Adam Armstrong19%
Santiago Bueno18%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde16%
Ladislav Krejčí16%
Marshall Munetsi13%
Emmanuel Agbadou12%
Toti Gomes9%
José Sá8%
Jackson Tchatchoua8%
Fer López8%
Hugo Bueno8%
Angel Gomes8%
Jørgen Strand Larsen8%
Jhon Arias4%
David Møller Wolfe4%
Rodrigo Gomes4%
Tolu Arokodare3%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Tom Edozie0%
Pedro Lima0%
Mateus Mané0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hwang Hee-chan13%
Adam Armstrong12%
David Møller Wolfe12%
Fer López8%
Jørgen Strand Larsen8%
João Gomes7%
Marshall Munetsi7%
Sam Johnstone6%
Emmanuel Agbadou6%
Jackson Tchatchoua6%
Tolu Arokodare5%
Hugo Bueno5%
Jhon Arias4%
Mateus Mané3%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde3%
Ladislav Krejčí3%
Santiago Bueno3%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Angel Gomes0%
José Sá0%
Matt Doherty0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Toti Gomes0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
André0%
Rodrigo Gomes0%
Tom Edozie0%
Pedro Lima0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tolu Arokodare18%
Mateus Mané13%
Jørgen Strand Larsen12%
Rodrigo Gomes11%
Adam Armstrong6%
Jhon Arias4%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde3%
Hwang Hee-chan3%
Yerson Mosquera3%
Ladislav Krejčí3%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Angel Gomes0%
José Sá0%
Marshall Munetsi0%
Matt Doherty0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Toti Gomes0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Santiago Bueno0%
João Gomes0%
David Møller Wolfe0%
André0%
Hugo Bueno0%
Jackson Tchatchoua0%
Tom Edozie0%
Fer López0%
Pedro Lima0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Manchester City's squad is €1052m more valuable than Wolves's (€1326m vs €273m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Manchester City's attack is €556m more valuable than Wolves's (€635m vs €79m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Manchester City's midfield is €81m more valuable than Wolves's (€160m vs €79m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Manchester City's defence is €415m more valuable than Wolves's (€531m vs €116m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brighton
Brentford
Chelsea
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
West Ham
Burnley