PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Manchester United vs Brentford Result & Analysis

Date: 07/10/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Manchester United
Manchester United
Vs
49%
27%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brentford
Brentford
England: Premier League
Referee: A Madley

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manchester United win✓ Hit
48.7%
Avg Implied 58.1% · @ 1.66
Edge
-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 23.0% · @ 4.19
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brentford win✗ Miss
24.1%
Avg Implied 18.8% · @ 5.12
Edge
+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W02L32W13L13L34L10W01L23LH·FUL28/05H·WOL14/08A·TOT19/08H·NOT26/08A·ARS03/09H·BRI16/09A·BAY20/09A·BUR23/09H·CRY30/09H·GAL03/10
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.401.880.940.931.93
vs Stronger (3)2.332.332.001.002.503.00
vs Similar (16)1.121.751.711.430.672.00
vs Weaker (11)1.640.642.000.500.671.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W31W10W22D30W11D22D01L13L11DH·WES14/05A·TOT20/05H·MAN28/05H·TOT13/08A·FUL19/08H·CRY26/08H·BOU02/09A·NEW16/09H·EVE23/09A·NOT01/10
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.031.751.191.210.86
vs Stronger (5)1.400.602.000.501.000.67
vs Similar (25)1.521.121.711.291.270.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.5%
@ 1.67-6.8%
Under 2.5
49.5%
@ 2.24+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.4%
Under 3.5
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-0
9.8%
2-1 ✓
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
Manchester United goals ↓
Brentford goals →
01234
07.9%6.1%3.9%1.4%0.4%
19.8%13%6.3%2.3%0.6%
28.8%9.5%5.1%1.8%0.5%
34.8%5.1%2.8%1.0%0.3%
41.9%2.1%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester United goals (down), columns = Brentford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Manchester United is 0.55 points better than Brentford in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Manchester United is 0.03 goals better than Brentford in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.47).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Manchester United is 0.18 goals better than Brentford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Manchester United is 5.6 percentage points better than Brentford in terms of average possession (51% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Manchester UnitedManchester United

For 6.8 · Against 5.5 · Total 12.3

🚩 Corners

15093104593781312113658754121414109151411159H·GALH·CRYA·BURA·BAYH·BRIA·ARSH·NOTA·TOTH·WOLH·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

90433221112232453123127532459453H·GALH·CRYA·BURA·BAYH·BRIA·ARSH·NOTA·TOTH·WOLH·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 9.5 · Total 20.2

⚠️ Fouls

29013161081268889781311891410141029181816171524172424H·GALH·CRYA·BURA·BAYH·BRIA·ARSH·NOTA·TOTH·WOLH·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrentfordBrentford

For 4.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

1401111438528655363428751251171410971012A·NOTH·EVEA·NEWH·BOUH·CRYA·FULH·TOTH·MANA·TOTH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

8022225312231441114483055421A·NOTH·EVEA·NEWH·BOUH·CRYA·FULH·TOTH·MANA·TOTH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 10.4 · Total 20.0

⚠️ Fouls

250106912128613915121312131289115516212019242525202010A·NOTH·EVEA·NEWH·BOUH·CRYA·FULH·TOTH·MANA·TOTH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester UnitedManchester United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.211.311.13.73.83.519.820.319.2
vs Stronger (4)7.23.011.54.04.53.520.822.519.0
vs Similar (29)11.111.410.84.04.13.819.220.218.2
vs Weaker (17)12.312.811.63.23.33.020.620.121.4
% over line70%69%71%52%54%50%32%35%29%
% under line30%31%29%48%46%50%68%65%71%
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.710.33.23.23.220.120.020.2
vs Stronger (8)9.28.510.03.12.53.818.516.820.2
vs Similar (42)10.19.910.43.23.33.120.420.620.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line56%46%67%48%54%42%30%27%33%
% under line44%54%33%52%46%58%70%73%67%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Manchester United
11.2
Newcastle
11.0
West Ham
10.9
Sheffield United
10.8
Everton
10.7
Luton
10.6
Tottenham
10.6
Bournemouth
10.6
Liverpool
10.3
Fulham
10.1
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Brighton
10.0
Brentford
10.0
Wolves
9.9
Arsenal
9.9
Burnley
9.9
Aston Villa
9.9
Chelsea
9.7
Crystal Palace
9.6
Manchester City
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tottenham
4.7
Chelsea
4.5
Brighton
4.5
Wolves
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.3
Aston Villa
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Sheffield United
4.2
Burnley
4.1
Everton
4.0
Newcastle
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Manchester City
3.9
Luton
3.8
Manchester United
3.7
Arsenal
3.6
Bournemouth
3.6
Liverpool
3.2
Brentford
3.2
West Ham
2.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.7
Aston Villa
23.9
Chelsea
23.6
Brighton
22.9
Luton
22.6
Tottenham
22.5
Nottingham Forest
22.4
Fulham
22.4
Wolves
22.2
Newcastle
22.1
Bournemouth
21.3
Arsenal
21.0
Burnley
20.9
Liverpool
20.7
Everton
20.7
Manchester City
20.4
Sheffield United
20.1
Brentford
20.1
Manchester United
19.8
West Ham
19.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
64.0%
Under 9.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.8%
Under 3.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
49.9%
Under 21.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D12L11D01L02L10W01L11DH·FUL28/05H·WOL14/08A·TOT19/08H·NOT26/08A·ARS03/09H·BRI16/09A·BAY20/09A·BUR23/09H·CRY30/09H·GAL03/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.810.500.430.43
vs Stronger (3)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (16)0.690.500.860.710.560.33
vs Weaker (11)0.730.270.880.250.330.33
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L00D22D10W10W11D00D11D00DH·WES14/05A·TOT20/05H·MAN28/05H·TOT13/08A·FUL19/08H·CRY26/08H·BOU02/09A·NEW16/09H·EVE23/09A·NOT01/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.431.000.380.500.50
vs Stronger (5)0.600.201.000.000.330.33
vs Similar (25)0.800.481.000.430.550.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W02L20W02L12L32W00D00D12LH·FUL28/05H·WOL14/08A·TOT19/08H·NOT26/08A·ARS03/09H·BRI16/09A·BAY20/09A·BUR23/09H·CRY30/09H·GAL03/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.931.060.440.501.50
vs Stronger (3)2.331.332.000.002.502.00
vs Similar (16)0.441.250.860.710.111.67
vs Weaker (11)0.910.361.120.250.330.67
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W10W00D20W01L11D01L02L11DH·WES14/05A·TOT20/05H·MAN28/05H·TOT13/08A·FUL19/08H·CRY26/08H·BOU02/09A·NEW16/09H·EVE23/09A·NOT01/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.600.750.810.710.36
vs Stronger (5)0.800.401.000.500.670.33
vs Similar (25)0.720.640.710.860.730.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards88.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls79.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.576.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards75.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners75.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rasmus Højlund33%
Bruno Fernandes24%
Marcus Rashford19%
Scott McTominay16%
Hannibal Mejbri14%
Alejandro Garnacho12%
Harry Maguire12%
Kobbie Mainoo12%
Amad Diallo11%
Casemiro7%
Mason Mount6%
Anthony Martial6%
Diogo Dalot5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Christian Eriksen4%
Raphaël Varane4%
Antony3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Omari Forson0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luke Shaw50%
Lisandro Martínez33%
Sofyan Amrabat31%
Casemiro30%
Sergio Reguilón27%
Bruno Fernandes27%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka20%
Harry Maguire19%
Antony18%
Diogo Dalot14%
Hannibal Mejbri14%
Mason Mount12%
Willy Kambwala12%
Kobbie Mainoo12%
André Onana11%
Amad Diallo11%
Alejandro Garnacho10%
Victor Lindelöf9%
Scott McTominay8%
Jonny Evans8%
Raphaël Varane8%
Rasmus Højlund6%
Marcus Rashford5%
Christian Eriksen4%
Jadon Sancho0%
Anthony Martial0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Omari Forson0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Omari Forson25%
Bruno Fernandes24%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka12%
Christian Eriksen12%
Amad Diallo11%
Marcus Rashford11%
Alejandro Garnacho10%
Lisandro Martínez8%
Facundo Pellistri8%
Harry Maguire8%
Casemiro7%
Diogo Dalot7%
Luke Shaw7%
Anthony Martial6%
Rasmus Højlund6%
Scott McTominay5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Jonny Evans4%
Kobbie Mainoo4%
Antony3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Raphaël Varane0%
Mason Mount0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruno Fernandes37%
Alejandro Garnacho26%
Casemiro11%
Amad Diallo11%
Rasmus Højlund11%
Scott McTominay11%
Marcus Rashford11%
Antony9%
Facundo Pellistri8%
Harry Maguire8%
Diogo Dalot2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Christian Eriksen0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Raphaël Varane0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Anthony Martial0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Mason Mount0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Omari Forson0%
Kobbie Mainoo0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Brentford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yoane Wissa32%
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Ivan Toney24%
Neal Maupay21%
Kevin Schade18%
Ben Mee12%
Shandon Baptiste10%
Keane Lewis-Potter10%
Mathias Jensen9%
Kristoffer Ajer7%
Zanka7%
Ethan Pinnock7%
Christian Nørgaard6%
Saman Ghoddos5%
Frank Onyeka4%
Nathan Collins3%
Mads Roerslev3%
Vitaly Janelt3%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Rico Henry0%
Joshua Dasilva0%
Mark Flekken0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Michael Olakigbe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aaron Hickey56%
Frank Onyeka31%
Ivan Toney29%
Zanka29%
Neal Maupay28%
Saman Ghoddos26%
Christian Nørgaard26%
Sergio Reguilón25%
Vitaly Janelt21%
Yoane Wissa21%
Rico Henry20%
Kristoffer Ajer18%
Mathias Jensen16%
Shandon Baptiste10%
Nathan Collins9%
Mikkel Damsgaard9%
Mark Flekken8%
Bryan Mbeumo8%
Yehor Yarmoliuk7%
Ben Mee6%
Ethan Pinnock3%
Mads Roerslev3%
Joshua Dasilva0%
Keane Lewis-Potter0%
Kevin Schade0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Michael Olakigbe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rico Henry20%
Bryan Mbeumo20%
Sergio Reguilón19%
Ivan Toney12%
Neal Maupay10%
Shandon Baptiste10%
Mathias Jensen9%
Kevin Schade9%
Yoane Wissa9%
Mikkel Damsgaard9%
Vitaly Janelt8%
Frank Onyeka8%
Mads Roerslev6%
Kristoffer Ajer4%
Keane Lewis-Potter3%
Christian Nørgaard3%
Nathan Collins3%
Mark Flekken3%
Saman Ghoddos0%
Zanka0%
Ben Mee0%
Joshua Dasilva0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Michael Olakigbe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Ivan Toney29%
Yoane Wissa18%
Keane Lewis-Potter13%
Neal Maupay10%
Ben Mee6%
Kristoffer Ajer4%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Saman Ghoddos0%
Zanka0%
Mads Roerslev0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Rico Henry0%
Joshua Dasilva0%
Nathan Collins0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Vitaly Janelt0%
Mark Flekken0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Mathias Jensen0%
Kevin Schade0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Michael Olakigbe0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Manchester United's squad is €364m more valuable than Brentford's (€929m vs €565m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Manchester United's attack is €204m more valuable than Brentford's (€432m vs €228m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Manchester United's midfield is €108m more valuable than Brentford's (€236m vs €128m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Manchester United's defence is €52m more valuable than Brentford's (€261m vs €209m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
MU wins
0
Draws
1
BRE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Manchester United vs Brentford · H/A from MU
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/23HMU Vs Brentford1-0
13/08/22ABrentford Vs MU4-0
02/05/22HMU Vs Brentford3-0
19/01/22ABrentford Vs MU1-3

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/10/23HMU Vs Galatasaray2-3
30/09/23HMU Vs Crystal Palace0-1
23/09/23ABurnley Vs MU0-1
20/09/23ABayern München Vs MU4-3
16/09/23HMU Vs Brighton1-3
03/09/23AArsenal Vs MU3-1
26/08/23HMU Vs Nottingham Forest3-2
19/08/23ATottenham Vs MU2-0
14/08/23HMU Vs Wolves1-0
28/05/23HMU Vs Fulham2-1

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/23ANottingham Forest Vs BRE1-1
23/09/23HBRE Vs Everton1-3
16/09/23ANewcastle Vs BRE1-0
02/09/23HBRE Vs Bournemouth2-2
26/08/23HBRE Vs Crystal Palace1-1
19/08/23AFulham Vs BRE0-3
13/08/23HBRE Vs Tottenham2-2
28/05/23HBRE Vs Manchester City1-0
20/05/23ATottenham Vs BRE1-3
14/05/23HBRE Vs West Ham2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Manchester United
Manchester United
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.90
HomeWWLLL2.35
AwayWLLLW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%73%42%
AVG goals2.722.622.83
Over 1.5 %70%69%71%
Over 2.5 %52%58%46%
Over 3.5 %30%27%33%
Scored1.561.881.21
Conceded1.160.731.62
BTTS44%42%46%
Clean Sheet42%54%29%
Corners11.2011.3111.08
Cards3.703.853.54
Brentford
Brentford
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLD1.46
HomeWDDDL1.69
AwayLWWLD1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%42%29%
AVG goals2.762.812.71
Over 1.5 %82%88%75%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %32%31%33%
Scored1.501.731.25
Conceded1.261.081.46
BTTS54%62%46%
Clean Sheet30%35%25%
Corners9.989.6510.33
Cards3.203.153.25

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3891
74%
2.4
9634+62
3.4
84%
63%
47%
10.9
61%
3.8
50%
18.6
26%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3889
74%
2.3
9129+62
3.2
79%
63%
42%
9.7
50%
3.8
53%
21.0
42%
1406
6082905082.40.8
59%
3LiverpoolLiverpool3882
63%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
92%
66%
47%
11.6
71%
4.3
53%
22.5
53%
980
5182012602.31.1
61%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3868
53%
1.8
7661+15
3.6
87%
71%
58%
10.4
58%
5.0
74%
23.6
66%
536
2201601562.01.6
53%
5TottenhamTottenham3866
53%
1.7
7461+13
3.6
97%
79%
45%
12.4
76%
5.1
74%
25.1
87%
920
2502823881.91.6
62%
6ChelseaChelsea3863
47%
1.7
7763+14
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.4
58%
5.4
95%
23.9
63%
1407
6142785142.01.7
58%
7NewcastleNewcastle3860
47%
1.6
8562+23
3.9
84%
71%
61%
10.2
53%
4.6
63%
22.8
58%
568
2341242102.21.6
52%
8Manchester UnitedManchester United3860
47%
1.6
5758-1
3.0
79%
63%
34%
13.3
79%
4.4
68%
19.7
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
51%
9West HamWest Ham3852
37%
1.4
6074-14
3.5
95%
68%
53%
10.4
53%
3.9
61%
21.0
47%
274
84481411.61.9
41%
10Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3849
34%
1.3
5758-1
3.0
82%
55%
42%
9.9
58%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
505
229931821.51.5
42%
11BrightonBrighton3848
32%
1.3
5562-7
3.1
87%
61%
39%
9.8
55%
5.0
76%
23.0
63%
620
1901802491.41.6
60%
12EvertonEverton3848
34%
1.3
4051-11
2.4
74%
42%
21%
11.1
61%
3.8
45%
21.8
55%
459
1741621231.11.3
40%
13BournemouthBournemouth3848
34%
1.3
5467-13
3.2
89%
71%
42%
11.8
74%
4.3
71%
23.7
63%
573
2851061821.41.8
45%
14FulhamFulham3847
34%
1.2
5561-6
3.1
79%
63%
39%
10.6
50%
3.8
47%
20.2
39%
329
178281231.41.6
50%
15WolvesWolves3846
34%
1.2
5065-15
3.0
84%
63%
29%
10.1
53%
4.9
76%
23.6
68%
273
79791161.31.7
-
16BrentfordBrentford3839
26%
1.0
5665-9
3.2
82%
66%
42%
10.6
63%
4.3
63%
21.5
50%
565
2281282091.51.7
45%
17Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3836
24%
0.9
4967-18
3.1
87%
55%
39%
10.4
63%
4.2
61%
21.3
53%
551
263522361.31.8
40%
18LutonLuton3826
16%
0.7
5285-33
3.6
89%
71%
45%
11.3
71%
3.8
53%
24.0
61%
29
134121.42.2
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3824
13%
0.6
4178-37
3.1
92%
61%
37%
10.9
66%
4.3
66%
20.9
39%
115
708371.12.1
47%
20Sheffield UnitedSheffield United3816
8%
0.4
35104-69
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.9
61%
4.0
50%
19.8
39%
110
2932490.92.7
35%
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches