Manchester United are the clear favourites, with the model picking a home win and a 42% chance of victory, a 29% chance of a draw and a 28% chance of Brighton winning. The average number of goals expected is 2.5, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 27%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which the model assigns a 14% probability. United’s home form shows 1.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Brighton’s away form shows 1.18 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 86.5%, Under 25.5 fouls at 80.4%, Under 3.5 at 76.5%, Under 4.5 cards at 73.6% and Over 1.5 at 71.8%. The recent form narrative highlights United’s win streak after a 5-2 victory over Ipswich, whereas Brighton comes off a defeat to Chelsea.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Manchester United, failed to deliver as the match ended 1-2 in favour of Brighton, a result that surprised many. The model had picked a home win with a 42% probability, but that call proved wrong. The final score of 1-2 confirmed Brighton’s away victory. The model’s other selections also performed: Under 5.5 cards hit at 86.5%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 80.4%, Under 3.5 hit at 76.5%, while Under 4.5 cards missed at 73.6%, and Over 1.5 hit at 71.8%. Brighton’s recent form, coming off a defeat, and Manchester United’s recent win set the stage for an unexpected outcome.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manchester United win✗ Miss
42.3%
Avg Implied 54.1% · @ 1.78
Edge
-11.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.4%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.77
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton win✓ Hit
28.3%
Avg Implied 20.4% · @ 4.73
Edge
+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manchester United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.57
1.47
1.20
1.27
1.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
3.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (18)
1.61
1.61
1.75
1.25
1.50
1.90
vs Weaker (10)
1.10
1.20
1.33
1.00
0.75
1.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.30
1.00
1.33
1.27
1.27
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
2.40
0.50
3.00
1.33
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.12
1.12
1.08
1.08
1.18
1.18
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.8%
Under 1.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.7%
@ 1.90-5.8%
Under 2.5
55.3%
@ 1.94+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.5%
Under 3.5
76.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
1-2 ✓
6.9%
0-2
5.0%
Manchester United goals ↓
Brighton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.8%
8.0%
5.0%
1.8%
0.5%
1
10%
14%
6.9%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.1%
8.8%
4.8%
1.7%
0.5%
3
3.7%
4.0%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.3%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester United goals (down), columns = Brighton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Manchester United is 0.34 points better than Brighton in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Manchester United is 0.37 goals worse than Brighton in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.89).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Manchester United is 0.26 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Manchester United is 6.3 percentage points worse than Brighton in terms of average possession (54% vs 60%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manchester United
For 4.9 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 7.8 · Total 17.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brighton
For 4.9 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
9.9
10.9
3.4
2.7
4.0
19.9
18.3
21.5
vs Stronger (3)
10.0
10.0
10.0
2.3
3.0
2.0
22.0
21.0
22.5
vs Similar (29)
10.5
10.2
10.7
3.7
3.1
4.2
20.7
18.1
23.1
vs Weaker (18)
10.3
9.5
11.4
3.1
2.2
4.1
18.4
18.4
18.4
% over line
64%
64%
64%
46%
40%
52%
34%
20%
48%
% under line
36%
36%
36%
54%
60%
48%
66%
80%
52%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.4
11.0
3.7
3.4
4.0
20.0
20.2
19.8
vs Stronger (8)
11.6
11.8
11.5
4.1
4.8
3.5
20.1
20.0
20.2
vs Similar (40)
10.6
10.2
10.9
3.6
3.1
4.0
19.9
20.4
19.4
vs Weaker (2)
9.0
9.0
9.0
4.5
4.0
5.0
21.0
17.0
25.0
% over line
60%
56%
64%
48%
40%
56%
34%
44%
24%
% under line
40%
44%
36%
52%
60%
44%
66%
56%
76%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Southampton
11.3
Aston Villa
10.9
Liverpool
10.7
Brighton
10.7
Manchester City
10.6
Leicester
10.6
Everton
10.5
Tottenham
10.5
Manchester United
10.4
Chelsea
10.3
Fulham
10.2
Leeds
10.1
Arsenal
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Bournemouth
9.9
Wolves
9.9
Nottingham Forest
9.8
Crystal Palace
9.8
Brentford
9.7
Newcastle
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Leeds
4.2
Aston Villa
4.2
Bournemouth
4.2
Newcastle
3.9
Everton
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Tottenham
3.7
Brighton
3.7
Wolves
3.6
Crystal Palace
3.5
Chelsea
3.5
Manchester United
3.4
Arsenal
3.3
Brentford
3.1
Southampton
3.0
Liverpool
3.0
Manchester City
2.9
Leicester
2.9
West Ham
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
24.8
Crystal Palace
24.0
Leeds
23.0
Nottingham Forest
23.0
Bournemouth
22.6
Chelsea
21.4
Tottenham
21.3
Brentford
21.3
Fulham
21.1
Leicester
20.5
Southampton
20.5
Everton
20.2
Newcastle
20.2
Brighton
20.0
Manchester United
19.9
Wolves
19.5
Arsenal
19.5
Liverpool
18.5
Manchester City
18.2
West Ham
16.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.1%
Under 9.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.1%
Under 3.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
49.2%
Under 21.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manchester United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.67
0.67
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.72
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.70
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.40
0.80
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.20
0.00
2.00
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.54
0.46
0.62
0.36
0.45
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manchester United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.83
0.80
0.53
0.80
1.13
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
1.11
0.89
1.25
0.50
1.00
1.20
vs Weaker (10)
0.40
0.70
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.60
0.53
0.80
0.80
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.20
0.50
1.00
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.58
0.62
0.46
0.82
0.73
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcus Rashford45%
Anthony Martial25%
Jadon Sancho19%
Cristiano Ronaldo19%
Bruno Fernandes19%
Antony18%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Casemiro10%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Fred7%
Scott McTominay6%
Diogo Dalot6%
Wout Weghorst4%
Christian Eriksen3%
Lisandro Martínez3%
Luke Shaw2%
Donny van de Beek0%
Raphaël Varane0%
David De Gea0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Harry Maguire0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Anthony Elanga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Facundo Pellistri29%
Scott McTominay26%
Casemiro25%
Luke Shaw25%
Lisandro Martínez24%
Tyrell Malacia23%
Harry Maguire22%
Antony21%
Diogo Dalot19%
Cristiano Ronaldo19%
Bruno Fernandes19%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Fred16%
Wout Weghorst9%
Christian Eriksen8%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka8%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Raphaël Varane7%
Marcus Rashford5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Jadon Sancho0%
Donny van de Beek0%
David De Gea0%
Anthony Martial0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Eriksen28%
Bruno Fernandes21%
Marcus Rashford14%
Cristiano Ronaldo12%
Anthony Martial12%
Casemiro10%
Luke Shaw10%
Jadon Sancho8%
Alejandro Garnacho8%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Fred7%
Antony6%
Diogo Dalot6%
Anthony Elanga5%
Wout Weghorst4%
Donny van de Beek0%
Raphaël Varane0%
David De Gea0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Scott McTominay0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Harry Maguire0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cristiano Ronaldo44%
Marcus Rashford43%
Antony38%
Bruno Fernandes19%
Casemiro15%
Wout Weghorst9%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Fred5%
Anthony Martial4%
Alejandro Garnacho4%
Scott McTominay3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Christian Eriksen0%
Donny van de Beek0%
Raphaël Varane0%
David De Gea0%
Diogo Dalot0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Harry Maguire0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Leandro Trossard31%
Evan Ferguson26%
Alexis Mac Allister26%
Kaoru Mitoma21%
Julio Enciso20%
Pascal Groß19%
Deniz Undav18%
Danny Welbeck16%
Solly March15%
Adam Lallana12%
Facundo Buonanotte8%
Joël Veltman3%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Lewis Dunk3%
Moisés Caicedo3%
Enock Mwepu0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Levi Colwill0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Yasin Ayari0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Moisés Caicedo27%
Jan Paul van Hecke25%
Alexis Mac Allister23%
Joël Veltman19%
Pascal Groß19%
Facundo Buonanotte15%
Pervis Estupiñán11%
Lewis Dunk11%
Jeremy Sarmiento11%
Deniz Undav9%
Robert Sánchez9%
Adam Webster7%
Billy Gilmour7%
Jason Steele7%
Leandro Trossard6%
Solly March6%
Levi Colwill6%
Evan Ferguson5%
Julio Enciso5%
Tariq Lamptey5%
Adam Lallana0%
Enock Mwepu0%
Danny Welbeck0%
Kaoru Mitoma0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pascal Groß22%
Solly March21%
Enock Mwepu17%
Kaoru Mitoma15%
Leandro Trossard12%
Levi Colwill12%
Pervis Estupiñán11%
Jeremy Sarmiento11%
Evan Ferguson11%
Danny Welbeck10%
Facundo Buonanotte8%
Billy Gilmour7%
Jason Steele7%
Adam Lallana6%
Alexis Mac Allister6%
Julio Enciso5%
Joël Veltman3%
Moisés Caicedo3%
Robert Sánchez0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Adam Webster0%
Deniz Undav0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexis Mac Allister31%
Evan Ferguson26%
Julio Enciso25%
Danny Welbeck23%
Solly March18%
Leandro Trossard12%
Kaoru Mitoma12%
Deniz Undav9%
Pascal Groß5%
Adam Webster4%
Adam Lallana0%
Joël Veltman0%
Enock Mwepu0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Levi Colwill0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Manchester United's squad is €310m more valuable than Brighton's (€929m vs €620m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Manchester United's attack is €242m more valuable than Brighton's (€432m vs €190m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Manchester United's midfield is €56m more valuable than Brighton's (€236m vs €180m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Manchester United's defence is €12m more valuable than Brighton's (€261m vs €249m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Newcastle
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Wolves
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Leicester
Leeds
Southampton