Manchester United are tipped to win, with a 48% chance of taking the points, a 26% chance of a draw and a 26% chance of a Brighton victory. The model expects 2.9 goals overall, with the most likely total being two goals at a 25% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.5% chance. United’s home form shows they average 1.11 goals scored and concede 2.0 against teams of similar strength, while Brighton’s away numbers are 1.75 scored and 1.42 conceded versus comparable opposition. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 85.8%, Over 1.5 goals at 79.0%, Over 19.5 fouls at 77.7%, Over 8.5 corners at 73.1% and Over 3.5 cards at 70.7%. The match is set to be a competitive affair, with United’s recent win over Ipswich giving them a slight lift, while Brighton’s recent defeat to Chelsea leaves them eager to bounce back.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Manchester United, failed to deliver as the game ended 1-3 in Brighton’s favour, a shock that extended Brighton’s recent run of victories. The model had picked a home win with a 48% probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 1-3 matched the actual result of an away win. The model’s selections were mixed: Over 2.5 cards at 85.8% hit, Over 1.5 at 79.0% hit, Over 19.5 fouls at 77.7% hit, Over 8.5 corners at 73.1% missed, and Over 3.5 cards at 70.7% hit. The upset underscores the unpredictability of the Premier League.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manchester United win✗ Miss
48.0%
Avg Implied 41.6% · @ 2.31
Edge
+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.40
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton win✓ Hit
25.6%
Avg Implied 30.2% · @ 3.18
Edge
-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manchester United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.47
2.20
1.47
1.33
1.47
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.15
1.80
1.11
2.00
1.18
1.64
vs Weaker (9)
3.11
0.78
3.83
0.67
1.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.40
1.56
1.38
1.64
1.43
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.60
1.67
1.67
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (24)
1.54
1.42
1.33
1.42
1.75
1.42
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.0%
Under 1.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.4%
@ 1.79+1.0%
Under 2.5
45.6%
@ 2.05-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.1%
Under 3.5
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.4%
No
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
Manchester United goals ↓
Brighton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
5.6%
4.0%
1.6%
0.5%
1
8.5%
12%
6.7%
2.6%
0.8%
2
8.1%
9.5%
5.6%
2.2%
0.6%
3
4.5%
5.3%
3.1%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.9%
2.2%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester United goals (down), columns = Brighton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Manchester United is 0.50 points worse than Brighton in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Manchester United is 0.58 goals worse than Brighton in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.74).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Manchester United is 0.13 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.55).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Manchester United is 1.0 percentage points better than Brighton in terms of average possession (54% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manchester United
For 4.7 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brighton
For 4.9 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.2 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.4
11.5
11.4
3.8
3.7
3.8
20.1
19.4
20.8
vs Stronger (2)
13.5
-
13.5
1.5
-
1.5
17.0
-
17.0
vs Similar (32)
11.7
11.4
11.9
3.8
4.2
3.6
20.3
20.1
20.4
vs Weaker (16)
10.6
11.7
8.8
3.9
3.1
5.8
20.3
18.3
23.8
% over line
59%
65%
52%
56%
52%
60%
41%
39%
43%
% under line
41%
35%
48%
44%
48%
40%
59%
61%
57%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.7
10.3
4.3
4.4
4.1
23.0
24.5
21.6
vs Stronger (9)
10.5
8.5
12.5
4.0
3.2
5.0
23.2
23.2
23.2
vs Similar (39)
9.9
10.0
9.8
4.4
5.0
3.9
22.9
24.8
21.0
vs Weaker (2)
11.0
-
11.0
2.0
0.0
4.0
27.0
-
27.0
% over line
65%
59%
71%
66%
68%
64%
70%
86%
54%
% under line
35%
41%
29%
34%
32%
36%
30%
14%
46%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.9
Bournemouth
11.9
Manchester United
11.2
Brentford
11.1
Southampton
11.0
Manchester City
11.0
Liverpool
10.8
Everton
10.8
Newcastle
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Ipswich
10.5
Fulham
10.4
Chelsea
10.2
Crystal Palace
10.2
Aston Villa
10.2
Wolves
10.2
Brighton
10.0
West Ham
9.9
Leicester
9.8
Arsenal
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
5.0
Aston Villa
4.9
Brighton
4.7
Newcastle
4.7
Bournemouth
4.6
Southampton
4.6
Wolves
4.5
Tottenham
4.5
Liverpool
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.4
Manchester United
4.2
Fulham
4.1
Leicester
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Arsenal
4.0
West Ham
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.1
Aston Villa
23.7
Wolves
23.4
Bournemouth
23.3
Newcastle
23.2
Southampton
23.1
Crystal Palace
23.1
Chelsea
23.0
Ipswich
23.0
Brighton
22.9
Arsenal
22.0
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Everton
21.6
Liverpool
21.5
Leicester
21.5
West Ham
21.2
Fulham
20.8
Manchester United
20.3
Brentford
19.7
Manchester City
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
61.5%
Under 9.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.7%
Under 3.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
62.9%
Under 21.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manchester United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
1.00
0.87
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.35
0.75
0.33
1.11
0.36
0.45
vs Weaker (9)
1.56
0.33
2.00
0.50
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.50
0.56
0.79
0.64
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.60
0.00
0.67
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.62
0.58
0.58
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manchester United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.83
1.20
0.60
0.93
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.80
1.05
0.78
0.89
0.82
1.18
vs Weaker (9)
1.56
0.44
1.83
0.17
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.80
1.06
0.81
0.86
0.79
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.00
1.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.79
0.75
0.83
0.92
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruno Fernandes27%
Marcus Rashford22%
Amad Diallo19%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Rasmus Højlund15%
Joshua Zirkzee12%
Christian Eriksen11%
Harry Maguire10%
Casemiro10%
Jonny Evans8%
Mason Mount8%
Antony7%
Lisandro Martínez6%
Diogo Dalot6%
Kobbie Mainoo6%
Matthijs de Ligt5%
Manuel Ugarte4%
Leny Yoro3%
André Onana0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Toby Collyer0%
Patrick Dorgu0%
Chido Obi-Martin0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Harry Amass0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Manuel Ugarte33%
Lisandro Martínez29%
Harry Maguire26%
Tyrell Malacia25%
Leny Yoro21%
Patrick Dorgu20%
Casemiro20%
Kobbie Mainoo19%
Mason Mount19%
Marcus Rashford17%
Jonny Evans17%
Ayden Heaven17%
Bruno Fernandes14%
Amad Diallo14%
Diogo Dalot13%
Chido Obi-Martin12%
Matthijs de Ligt12%
Christian Eriksen11%
Noussair Mazraoui11%
Altay Bayındır10%
Alejandro Garnacho9%
Luke Shaw8%
Toby Collyer8%
Joshua Zirkzee6%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Rasmus Højlund4%
André Onana2%
Antony0%
Harry Amass0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Fernandes25%
Amad Diallo17%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Marcus Rashford13%
Christian Eriksen11%
Manuel Ugarte11%
Diogo Dalot10%
Lisandro Martínez6%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Rasmus Højlund4%
Noussair Mazraoui4%
Leny Yoro3%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Harry Maguire3%
Casemiro2%
André Onana0%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Antony0%
Jonny Evans0%
Mason Mount0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Toby Collyer0%
Patrick Dorgu0%
Chido Obi-Martin0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Harry Amass0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alejandro Garnacho32%
Bruno Fernandes29%
Casemiro15%
Antony14%
Marcus Rashford13%
Chido Obi-Martin12%
Amad Diallo12%
Rasmus Højlund12%
Harry Maguire8%
Patrick Dorgu5%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Diogo Dalot4%
Mason Mount4%
Christian Eriksen3%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Matthijs de Ligt2%
André Onana0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Toby Collyer0%
Leny Yoro0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Harry Amass0%
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danny Welbeck31%
João Pedro30%
Kaoru Mitoma27%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu25%
Georginio Rutter22%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Simon Adingra15%
Tariq Lamptey15%
Jack Hinshelwood13%
Solly March10%
Carlos Baleba10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Julio Enciso6%
Diego Gómez5%
Yasin Ayari5%
Adam Webster5%
Brajan Gruda4%
Mats Wieffer4%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Júlio31%
James Milner25%
Joël Veltman25%
Mats Wieffer21%
Solly March20%
Carlos Baleba20%
Pervis Estupiñán19%
Jack Hinshelwood19%
Lewis Dunk19%
Jan Paul van Hecke18%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Adam Webster15%
Jakub Moder14%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro13%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu12%
Bart Verbruggen12%
Yasin Ayari10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Tariq Lamptey5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Kaoru Mitoma2%
Jason Steele0%
Julio Enciso0%
Simon Adingra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Pedro20%
Brajan Gruda16%
Yankuba Minteh14%
Georginio Rutter12%
Mats Wieffer11%
Solly March10%
Tariq Lamptey10%
Kaoru Mitoma10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Joël Veltman8%
Danny Welbeck8%
Jack Hinshelwood6%
Julio Enciso6%
Simon Adingra6%
Adam Webster5%
Carlos Baleba5%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Bart Verbruggen2%
James Milner0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Diego Gómez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julio Enciso25%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Simon Adingra9%
Pervis Estupiñán8%
Kaoru Mitoma7%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Jack Hinshelwood3%
Yankuba Minteh3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Carlos Baleba2%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Solly March0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Manchester United's squad is €310m more valuable than Brighton's (€929m vs €620m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Manchester United's attack is €242m more valuable than Brighton's (€432m vs €190m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Manchester United's midfield is €56m more valuable than Brighton's (€236m vs €180m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Manchester United's defence is €12m more valuable than Brighton's (€261m vs €249m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Liverpool
Arsenal
Manchester City
Chelsea
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Wolves
Tottenham
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton