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Manchester United vs Brighton Prediction & Stats

Date: 16/09/2026
Time: 19:00
Manchester United
Manchester United
Vs
51%
27%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brighton
Brighton
England: League Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Manchester United are the clear favourites, with a 51% chance of victory, a 26% chance of a draw and a 23% chance of Brighton winning. The model predicts an average of 2.8 goals, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 25%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.5% probability.

Home form shows United scoring an average of 2.09 goals and conceding 1.45 against similarly ranked opponents, while Brighton’s away record is 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. United’s recent five matches (LWWDW) ended with a 0-2 loss to Hull, whereas Brighton are on a two-game winning streak, having beaten Tromsø 4-0.

Suggested picks and their odds are: Under 7.5 (99.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.6%), Under 6.5 (97.6%), Under 5.5 (93.6%), Home +2 handicap (91.2%), Away under 2.5 goals (90.6%), Home under 3.5 goals (90.5%), and Under 4.5 (85.0%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manchester United win
50.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton win
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D12L10W21W32W00D32W30W02L52WA·BOU20/03H·LEE13/04A·CHE18/04H·BRE27/04H·LIV03/05A·SUN09/05H·NOT17/05A·BRI24/05A·HUL22/08H·IPS30/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.272.121.381.571.14
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (22)1.951.322.331.501.501.10
vs Weaker (7)1.571.291.331.331.751.25
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D30W13L30W01L03L00D40W40W34LA·TOT18/04H·CHE21/04A·NEW02/05H·WOL09/05A·LEE17/05H·MAN24/05A·TRO20/08H·AST23/08H·TRO27/08A·CHE30/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.131.640.711.121.50
vs Stronger (6)0.671.671.001.000.502.00
vs Similar (22)1.501.091.550.731.451.45
vs Weaker (2)2.000.004.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.9%
Under 1.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.5%
Under 2.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.3%
Under 3.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
54.2%
No
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
Manchester United goals ↓
Brighton goals →
01234
07.6%5.7%3.6%1.3%0.3%
19.8%13%6.1%2.1%0.6%
29.2%9.7%5.1%1.8%0.5%
35.1%5.4%2.9%1.0%0.3%
42.2%2.3%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester United goals (down), columns = Brighton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
3.00
Cardiff
2.40
Millwall
2.33
Arsenal
2.17
Southampton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Doncaster
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Accrington
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Plymouth
2.00
Bradford
2.00
Wigan
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Chelsea
1.80
Newcastle
1.80
Wrexham
1.75
Fulham
1.75
Grimsby
1.75
Swansea
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Crystal Palace
1.67
Bristol City
1.50
Coventry
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Stockport
1.50
Cheltenham
1.50
Tottenham
1.50
Everton
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Preston
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Charlton
1.50
Liverpool
1.50
Mansfield
1.50
Barnsley
1.33
Leeds
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Barnet
1.00
Salford
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Leicester
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Manchester United
1.00
Hull
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Bolton
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Sheffield Weds
0.67
Huddersfield
0.67
Burton
0.50
AFC Wimbledon
0.50
Rotherham
0.50
Stoke
0.50
Derby
0.50
Newport County
0.50
Rochdale
0.48
York
0.36
Sheffield United
0.00
West Ham
0.00
Blackburn
0.00
Blackpool
0.00
Shrewsbury
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Exeter
0.00
QPR
0.00
Oldham
0.00
Notts County
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Crawley Town
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Watford
0.00
Leyton Orient
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Nottingham Forest
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Middlesbrough
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Luton
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Colchester
0.00
Manchester United is 1.00 points worse than Brighton in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Brighton
4.00
Hull
3.00
Bolton
3.00
Wolves
2.67
Manchester City
2.33
Wrexham
2.25
Chelsea
2.20
Cardiff
2.00
West Ham
2.00
Doncaster
2.00
Barnet
2.00
QPR
2.00
Fleetwood Town
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Swansea
2.00
Nottingham Forest
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Plymouth
2.00
Bradford
2.00
Charlton
2.00
Brentford
2.00
Newcastle
1.80
Southampton
1.67
Cambridge
1.67
Accrington
1.67
Lincoln
1.67
Crystal Palace
1.67
Stockport
1.50
Grimsby
1.50
Tottenham
1.50
Preston
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Arsenal
1.50
Reading
1.33
Barnsley
1.33
Millwall
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.33
Fulham
1.25
Wycombe
1.25
Bristol City
1.00
Coventry
1.00
Sheffield United
1.00
Leeds
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Blackburn
1.00
Shrewsbury
1.00
Stevenage
1.00
AFC Wimbledon
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Cheltenham
1.00
Oldham
1.00
Crawley Town
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Watford
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Everton
1.00
Norwich
1.00
Derby
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Swindon
1.00
Huddersfield
1.00
Peterboro
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Liverpool
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Port Vale
0.67
Wigan
0.67
Rochdale
0.56
Burton
0.50
Rotherham
0.50
Oxford
0.50
York
0.42
Blackpool
0.00
Exeter
0.00
Salford
0.00
Notts County
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Leyton Orient
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Stoke
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Walsall
0.00
Middlesbrough
0.00
Luton
0.00
Colchester
0.00
Manchester United is 2.00 goals worse than Brighton in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 4.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Salford
0.00
Walsall
0.00
Manchester City
0.33
Wycombe
0.50
Southampton
0.67
Cambridge
0.67
Port Vale
0.67
Millwall
0.67
Wigan
0.67
Crystal Palace
0.67
Brighton
0.67
Fulham
0.75
Brentford
0.75
Arsenal
0.83
Bristol City
1.00
Coventry
1.00
Leeds
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Blackpool
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Burton
1.00
Stockport
1.00
Rotherham
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Northampton
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Leyton Orient
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Tottenham
1.00
Everton
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Luton
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Cardiff
1.20
Reading
1.33
Accrington
1.33
Newcastle
1.40
AFC Wimbledon
1.50
Cheltenham
1.50
Stoke
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Derby
1.50
Newport County
1.50
Preston
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.67
Bradford
1.67
Huddersfield
1.67
Wrexham
1.75
Swansea
1.75
Chelsea
1.80
Sheffield United
2.00
Blackburn
2.00
Barnet
2.00
Exeter
2.00
Grimsby
2.00
Fleetwood Town
2.00
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Watford
2.00
Bournemouth
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Milton Keynes Dons
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Portsmouth
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Charlton
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
West Ham
3.00
Shrewsbury
3.00
Stevenage
3.00
Barnsley
3.00
QPR
3.00
Oldham
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Nottingham Forest
3.00
Hull
3.00
Oxford
3.00
Crewe
3.00
Bolton
3.00
Rochdale
3.31
Middlesbrough
4.00
York
4.45
Manchester United is 1.33 goals worse than Brighton in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.67).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Leeds
80%
Barnet
77%
Peterboro
72%
Chesterfield
71%
Ipswich
71%
Manchester United
70%
Sunderland
70%
Stoke
66%
Manchester City
66%
Blackburn
65%
Bournemouth
65%
Notts County
64%
Portsmouth
63%
Tranmere
63%
Birmingham
62%
Fulham
62%
Middlesbrough
62%
Hull
61%
Chelsea
60%
Leicester
60%
Liverpool
60%
Stevenage
58%
Oldham
58%
Preston
58%
Brighton
57%
Blackpool
57%
Bristol Rvs
57%
Cardiff
57%
Everton
56%
Coventry
56%
Barnsley
56%
Stockport
55%
West Brom
55%
Nottingham Forest
55%
Tottenham
54%
Arsenal
54%
Aston Villa
54%
Bristol City
54%
Exeter
53%
Newcastle
53%
Bolton
53%
Norwich
52%
Plymouth
52%
Salford
51%
Gillingham
51%
Burnley
51%
Wycombe
50%
Oxford
50%
AFC Wimbledon
50%
Millwall
50%
Doncaster
49%
West Ham
49%
Southampton
49%
Leyton Orient
49%
Swansea
49%
Charlton
48%
Wolves
48%
Lincoln
47%
Reading
46%
Sheffield United
46%
Luton
46%
Wrexham
46%
Derby
45%
Brentford
44%
Grimsby
44%
Shrewsbury
44%
Watford
44%
Crewe
44%
Rotherham
44%
Northampton
43%
Burton
42%
Cheltenham
42%
Wigan
42%
Crystal Palace
42%
Sheffield Weds
40%
Crawley Town
39%
Cambridge
37%
Colchester
37%
Accrington
35%
Fleetwood Town
35%
Milton Keynes Dons
35%
Bradford
33%
Huddersfield
32%
Mansfield
32%
QPR
31%
Port Vale
31%
Newport County
30%
Bromley
30%
Swindon
27%
Walsall
26%
Manchester United is 12.7 percentage points better than Brighton in terms of average possession (70% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Manchester UnitedManchester United

For 6.2 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

150846137687327817114861273131551581514H·IPSA·HULA·BRIH·NOTA·SUNH·LIVH·BREA·CHEH·LEEA·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

601312121322243142324313346465H·IPSA·HULA·BRIH·NOTA·SUNH·LIVH·BREA·CHEH·LEEA·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.7 · Total 20.6

⚠️ Fouls

27071291081111512121211691312121591019191916242315252719H·IPSA·HULA·BRIH·NOTA·SUNH·LIVH·BREA·CHEH·LEEA·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

For 6.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

160747521153877110265571177163158121112A·CHEH·TROH·ASTA·TROH·MANA·LEEH·WOLA·NEWH·CHEA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

6031124211123311134162113624A·CHEH·TROH·ASTA·TROH·MANA·LEEH·WOLA·NEWH·CHEA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 8.6 · Total 21.0

⚠️ Fouls

280126136129197118799111210156141418192126191620222128A·CHEH·TROH·ASTA·TROH·MANA·LEEH·WOLA·NEWH·CHEA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester UnitedManchester United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.49.53.84.23.421.421.121.7
vs Stronger (3)6.57.06.01.72.50.018.521.016.0
vs Similar (35)9.49.49.44.34.73.822.021.622.5
vs Weaker (12)10.110.010.22.92.83.019.918.820.7
% over line49%50%48%58%69%46%47%46%48%
% under line51%50%52%42%31%54%53%54%52%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.210.23.93.74.122.322.022.5
vs Stronger (8)8.28.08.45.06.34.225.026.024.4
vs Similar (38)10.09.610.43.93.44.521.621.421.8
vs Weaker (4)10.87.012.01.81.02.022.519.023.7
% over line58%43%70%58%59%57%54%43%63%
% under line42%57%30%42%41%43%46%57%37%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Crawley Town
11.8
Barnsley
11.7
Swindon
11.4
Sheffield United
11.4
Oxford
11.3
Plymouth
11.2
York
11.2
Southampton
11.1
West Ham
11.1
Newcastle
11.1
Leicester
11.0
Middlesbrough
10.9
Portsmouth
10.8
Millwall
10.8
Cardiff
10.8
Blackburn
10.8
Bournemouth
10.7
Blackpool
10.6
Wigan
10.6
Walsall
10.6
Bolton
10.5
Preston
10.5
Fulham
10.5
Grimsby
10.5
Luton
10.4
Port Vale
10.4
Watford
10.4
Stoke
10.4
Burton
10.4
Fleetwood Town
10.3
Bradford
10.3
Chesterfield
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.3
Hull
10.3
Manchester City
10.3
Norwich
10.2
Birmingham
10.2
Huddersfield
10.2
Liverpool
10.2
Barnet
10.2
Bromley
10.2
Oldham
10.2
AFC Wimbledon
10.1
Northampton
10.1
Wrexham
10.1
Wycombe
10.1
Tottenham
10.1
Exeter
10.1
Derby
10.0
Chelsea
10.0
QPR
10.0
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Tranmere
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Peterboro
9.9
Doncaster
9.9
Brentford
9.9
Stockport
9.8
Cheltenham
9.8
Accrington
9.8
Charlton
9.8
Brighton
9.7
Gillingham
9.7
Newport County
9.7
Mansfield
9.7
Nottingham Forest
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Crewe
9.6
Manchester United
9.6
Salford
9.6
Burnley
9.6
Coventry
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Notts County
9.4
West Brom
9.4
Wolves
9.4
Rotherham
9.4
Everton
9.3
Aston Villa
9.3
Bristol Rvs
9.3
Reading
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
9.2
Lincoln
9.2
Sunderland
9.1
Cambridge
9.0
Rochdale
9.0
Arsenal
9.0
Colchester
9.0
Stevenage
8.9
Crystal Palace
8.7
Shrewsbury
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.8
Bristol Rvs
4.6
Bournemouth
4.5
Tottenham
4.5
Crawley Town
4.5
Notts County
4.4
Chelsea
4.4
Watford
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Ipswich
4.3
Shrewsbury
4.2
Hull
4.2
Colchester
4.2
Peterboro
4.2
Sunderland
4.1
Leyton Orient
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Derby
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Accrington
4.1
Rotherham
4.1
Sheffield United
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Brighton
4.0
Chesterfield
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Newport County
4.0
Oldham
4.0
Norwich
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Gillingham
3.9
Tranmere
3.9
Blackpool
3.9
Wolves
3.9
York
3.9
Fleetwood Town
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Portsmouth
3.8
Southampton
3.8
Doncaster
3.8
Crewe
3.8
Aston Villa
3.8
Grimsby
3.8
West Ham
3.8
Bromley
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Salford
3.8
Mansfield
3.8
Luton
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Walsall
3.7
QPR
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Everton
3.7
Barnet
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Liverpool
3.6
Wycombe
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Burton
3.6
Bolton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Barnsley
3.6
Charlton
3.5
Oxford
3.5
Arsenal
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Exeter
3.5
Port Vale
3.5
Northampton
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Millwall
3.4
Cheltenham
3.4
Preston
3.4
Swindon
3.4
West Brom
3.3
AFC Wimbledon
3.3
Stockport
3.3
Wigan
3.2
Rochdale
3.2
Burnley
3.2
Sheffield Weds
3.1
Cambridge
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Crawley Town
25.1
Crewe
25.1
Colchester
24.9
Notts County
24.8
Salford
24.8
Oldham
24.7
Plymouth
24.5
Bradford
24.4
Huddersfield
24.4
Stevenage
24.4
Barnet
24.1
Luton
23.9
Bristol Rvs
23.9
Ipswich
23.9
Grimsby
23.8
Leyton Orient
23.7
Gillingham
23.6
Aston Villa
23.6
Rotherham
23.5
Rochdale
23.5
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Wolves
23.4
Wigan
23.3
Newport County
23.2
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Bournemouth
23.2
Peterboro
23.2
Milton Keynes Dons
23.1
Blackpool
23.1
Lincoln
23.0
Walsall
23.0
Tottenham
22.9
Derby
22.9
Doncaster
22.8
Fleetwood Town
22.8
Chelsea
22.7
Tranmere
22.7
Reading
22.7
Sunderland
22.7
Shrewsbury
22.6
Burton
22.5
Oxford
22.4
Cambridge
22.4
Swansea
22.3
Mansfield
22.3
Portsmouth
22.2
Leeds
22.1
Cheltenham
22.1
Brighton
22.1
Sheffield Weds
22.1
West Ham
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Leicester
22.0
Exeter
22.0
Chesterfield
22.0
Bromley
21.9
Port Vale
21.9
Southampton
21.9
Bolton
21.9
Northampton
21.9
Accrington
21.8
Newcastle
21.8
Middlesbrough
21.7
Birmingham
21.7
Everton
21.6
Norwich
21.5
Charlton
21.5
Manchester United
21.5
Bristol City
21.4
Sheffield United
21.4
Liverpool
21.4
Coventry
21.4
Wycombe
21.3
Crystal Palace
21.3
Hull
21.1
Manchester City
21.0
Stoke
21.0
Watford
20.9
West Brom
20.9
Stockport
20.8
QPR
20.7
Cardiff
20.6
Blackburn
20.5
Millwall
20.5
Barnsley
20.4
Preston
20.4
Swindon
20.3
Fulham
20.0
Burnley
19.9
Brentford
19.8
Wrexham
19.8
York
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.4%
Under 9.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
48.7%
Under 3.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
48.3%
Under 21.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Manchester United or Draw
77.4%
Avg Implied -
51%
27%
23%
covers Manchester United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester United or Brighton
73.5%
Avg Implied -
51%
27%
23%
covers Manchester United + Brighton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Brighton
49.2%
Avg Implied -
51%
27%
23%
covers Draw + Brighton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Manchester United over/under 0.5
Over
81.4%
Under
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5
Over
50.0%
Under
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5
Over
23.7%
Under
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 3.5
Over
9.0%
Under
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5
Over
65.2%
Under
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5
Over
28.4%
Under
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5
Over
9.1%
Under
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 3.5
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Manchester United, so a minus line means Manchester United give that many goals of a start and Brighton receive them. At -1, Manchester United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Manchester United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Manchester United)
Manchester United -2
12.2%
Draw -2
15.9%
Brighton +2
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Manchester United)
Manchester United -1
28.1%
Draw -1
22.7%
Brighton +1
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Manchester United)
Manchester United +1
77.4%
Draw +1
13.8%
Brighton -1
8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Manchester United)
Manchester United +2
91.2%
Draw +2
6.3%
Brighton -2
2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W20W20W00D10W20W02L11DA·BOU20/03H·LEE13/04A·CHE18/04H·BRE27/04H·LIV03/05A·SUN09/05H·NOT17/05A·BRI24/05A·HUL22/08H·IPS30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.750.500.500.57
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (22)0.730.450.830.500.600.40
vs Weaker (7)0.430.860.670.670.251.00
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W02L20W00D02L00D40W30W13LA·TOT18/04H·CHE21/04A·NEW02/05H·WOL09/05A·LEE17/05H·MAN24/05A·TRO20/08H·AST23/08H·TRO27/08A·CHE30/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.601.000.430.500.75
vs Stronger (6)0.171.000.501.000.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.820.550.910.360.730.73
vs Weaker (2)1.500.003.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D10W00D01L12L00D22D10W00D41WA·BOU20/03H·LEE13/04A·CHE18/04H·BRE27/04H·LIV03/05A·SUN09/05H·NOT17/05A·BRI24/05A·HUL22/08H·IPS30/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.731.380.881.070.57
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (22)1.230.861.501.000.900.70
vs Weaker (7)1.140.430.670.671.500.25
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W11D10W01L01L00D00D10W21WA·TOT18/04H·CHE21/04A·NEW02/05H·WOL09/05A·LEE17/05H·MAN24/05A·TRO20/08H·AST23/08H·TRO27/08A·CHE30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.640.290.620.75
vs Stronger (6)0.500.670.500.000.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.680.550.640.360.730.73
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.3%-------
Under 6.597.8%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.8%-------
Under 5.594.0%-------
Home +2 handicap91.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals91.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals90.9%-------
Under 4.585.8%-------
Under 5.5 cards84.2%-------
Home over 0.5 goals81.4%-------
Under 25.5 fouls81.0%-------
Home or Draw77.4%-------
Home +1 handicap77.4%-------
Over 1.576.9%-------
Home under 2.5 goals76.3%-------
Home or Away73.5%-------
Away +2 handicap71.9%-------
Away under 1.5 goals71.6%-------
Under 3.570.7%-------
Under 4.5 cards70.4%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Manchester United · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Benjamin Šeško34%
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Matheus Cunha29%
Casemiro26%
Bruno Fernandes22%
Patrick Dorgu14%
Mason Mount12%
Harry Maguire8%
Joshua Zirkzee8%
Matthijs de Ligt7%
Amad Diallo6%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Diogo Dalot3%
Luke Shaw3%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Shea Lacey0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Casemiro29%
Shea Lacey25%
Luke Shaw24%
Patrick Dorgu18%
Harry Maguire16%
Joshua Zirkzee15%
Noussair Mazraoui15%
Diogo Dalot14%
Bruno Fernandes14%
Bryan Mbeumo12%
Matheus Cunha11%
Ayden Heaven11%
Kobbie Mainoo10%
Mason Mount8%
Benjamin Šeško6%
Amad Diallo6%
Manuel Ugarte4%
Leny Yoro3%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Senne Lammens0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Fernandes51%
Patrick Dorgu14%
Kobbie Mainoo10%
Amad Diallo9%
Bryan Mbeumo9%
Diogo Dalot8%
Harry Maguire8%
Casemiro6%
Matheus Cunha6%
Ayden Heaven6%
Mason Mount4%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Benjamin Šeško3%
Luke Shaw3%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Shea Lacey0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Matheus Cunha31%
Benjamin Šeško25%
Bruno Fernandes22%
Amad Diallo15%
Casemiro14%
Joshua Zirkzee8%
Patrick Dorgu7%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Diogo Dalot0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Harry Maguire0%
Mason Mount0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Kobbie Mainoo0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Shea Lacey0%
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maxim De Cuyper50%
Pascal Groß25%
Olivier Boscagli25%
Mats Wieffer25%
Charalampos Kostoulas25%
Malick Yalcouyé25%
Lewis Dunk0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Costinha0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Diego Gómez0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewis Dunk33%
Costinha33%
Yasin Ayari33%
Pascal Groß25%
Olivier Boscagli25%
Luka Vušković25%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Maxim De Cuyper0%
Diego Gómez0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Charalampos Kostoulas0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maxim De Cuyper25%
Diego Gómez25%
Charalampos Kostoulas25%
Lewis Dunk0%
Pascal Groß0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Costinha0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Diego Gómez50%
Yasin Ayari33%
Maxim De Cuyper25%
Charalampos Kostoulas25%
Lewis Dunk0%
Pascal Groß0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Costinha0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
ROC (10)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
YOR (8)
€1m
Manchester United's squad is €310m more valuable than Brighton's (€929m vs €620m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
YOR (2)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
Manchester United's attack is €242m more valuable than Brighton's (€432m vs €190m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
YOR (2)
€0m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Manchester United's midfield is €56m more valuable than Brighton's (€236m vs €180m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
ROC (4)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
YOR (4)
€1m
Manchester United's defence is €12m more valuable than Brighton's (€261m vs €249m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
MU wins
0
Draws
5
BHA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Manchester United vs Brighton · H/A from MU
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26ABrighton Vs MU0-3
11/01/26HMU Vs Brighton1-2
25/10/25HMU Vs Brighton4-2
19/01/25HMU Vs Brighton1-3
24/08/24ABrighton Vs MU2-1
19/05/24ABrighton Vs MU0-2
16/09/23HMU Vs Brighton1-3
04/05/23ABrighton Vs MU1-0

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HMU Vs Ipswich5-2
22/08/26AHull Vs MU2-0
24/05/26ABrighton Vs MU0-3
17/05/26HMU Vs Nottingham Forest3-2
09/05/26ASunderland Vs MU0-0
03/05/26HMU Vs Liverpool3-2
27/04/26HMU Vs Brentford2-1
18/04/26AChelsea Vs MU0-1
13/04/26HMU Vs Leeds1-2
20/03/26ABournemouth Vs MU2-2

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AChelsea Vs BHA4-3
27/08/26HBHA Vs Tromso4-0
23/08/26HBHA Vs Aston Villa4-0
20/08/26ATromso Vs BHA0-0
24/05/26HBHA Vs Manchester United0-3
17/05/26ALeeds Vs BHA1-0
09/05/26HBHA Vs Wolves3-0
02/05/26ANewcastle Vs BHA3-1
21/04/26HBHA Vs Chelsea3-0
18/04/26ATottenham Vs BHA2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Manchester United
Manchester United
England: League Cup
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.70
HomeLWWWW2.12
AwayDWDWL1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%67%31%
AVG goals3.163.422.92
Over 1.5 %84%88%81%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %36%38%35%
Scored1.802.121.50
Conceded1.361.291.42
BTTS66%67%65%
Clean Sheet20%21%19%
Corners9.589.429.73
Cards4.104.503.73
Brighton
Brighton
England: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.56
HomeWWLWW1.91
AwayDLLDL1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%55%36%
AVG goals2.902.862.93
Over 1.5 %84%86%82%
Over 2.5 %56%64%50%
Over 3.5 %28%23%32%
Scored1.721.861.61
Conceded1.181.001.32
BTTS50%55%46%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners9.749.0910.25
Cards4.003.734.21

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City26
100%
3.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
3.0
0%
20.0
50%
1326
6351605313.01.0
60%
2ArsenalArsenal26
100%
3.0
40+4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
8.0
50%
3.0
50%
23.0
100%
1406
6082905082.00.0
56%
3HullHull26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
7.5
0%
4.0
50%
19.0
0%
105
2231521.50.0
-
4ChelseaChelsea26
100%
3.0
75+2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
10.5
100%
4.5
100%
18.5
0%
1407
6142785143.52.5
57%
5BrentfordBrentford24
50%
2.0
41+3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.5
100%
3.0
50%
24.5
50%
565
2281282092.00.5
47%
6NewcastleNewcastle24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
12.0
50%
5.5
50%
27.5
100%
568
2341242102.01.0
52%
7EvertonEverton24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
10.5
50%
3.0
50%
22.5
50%
459
1741621231.50.5
44%
8LeedsLeeds24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
427
166981631.00.5
46%
9BrightonBrighton23
50%
1.5
74+3
5.5
100%
100%
100%
9.0
50%
5.0
100%
19.5
0%
620
1901802493.52.0
53%
10Manchester UnitedManchester United23
50%
1.5
54+1
4.5
100%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
3.5
50%
19.0
0%
929
4322362612.52.0
52%
11SunderlandSunderland23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
7.5
0%
2.5
0%
25.5
100%
392
1571101251.01.0
45%
12IpswichIpswich23
50%
1.5
46-2
5.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
3.5
50%
22.5
50%
280
13066852.03.0
-
13LiverpoolLiverpool22
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
8.0
0%
7.0
100%
27.0
100%
980
5182012602.02.0
59%
14Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
4.5
50%
26.0
100%
551
263522361.01.5
46%
15BournemouthBournemouth21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
50%
23.5
100%
573
2851061821.01.5
50%
16FulhamFulham20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
8.5
50%
3.5
50%
22.0
50%
329
178281231.02.0
51%
17CoventryCoventry20
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
9.0
50%
3.5
50%
21.0
50%
237
8552990.02.0
-
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace20
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
50%
50%
6.0
0%
2.0
0%
19.0
0%
505
229931820.53.0
45%
19Aston VillaAston Villa20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
5.0
100%
22.0
50%
536
2201601560.02.5
53%
20TottenhamTottenham20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
100%
50%
0%
13.0
100%
2.5
0%
27.5
100%
920
2502823880.02.5
50%
England: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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