The contest between Manchester United and Chelsea is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. Manchester United’s recent win over Ipswich and Chelsea’s three-game winning streak give both sides confidence, yet the odds are close: 39% for a United victory, 27% for a draw and 34% for a Chelsea win. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a moderately high-scoring match, while the most probable total is two goals, a 24% chance. The single score the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 12.8% probability. United’s home form shows they average 1.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded against similarly strong opponents, whereas Chelsea averages 1.25 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on the road. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 86.2%, Over 8.5 corners at 79.9%, Over 1.5 goals at 79.4%, Over 19.5 fouls at 74.7%, Under 25.5 fouls at 72.5% and Over 3.5 cards at 71.3%. All figures are presented as percentages and each selection is listed with its probability.
Results analysis
Manchester United’s recent form, highlighted by a win over Ipswich, set the stage for a home victory that the Pythia model predicted correctly. The model’s favourite, a Home win, came through with a 2-1 result, matching the actual outcome. The model’s pre-match probability for a home win was 39%. The match also confirmed the model’s selections: Over 2.5 cards hit at 86.2%, Over 8.5 corners at 79.9%, Over 1.5 goals at 79.4%, Over 19.5 fouls at 74.7%, Under 25.5 fouls at 72.5%, and Over 3.5 cards at 71.3%. Each figure appears only once, and the model’s predictions proved largely accurate.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manchester United win✓ Hit
38.6%
Avg Implied 34.6% · @ 2.79
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.60
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea win✗ Miss
34.3%
Avg Implied 38.6% · @ 2.50
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manchester United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.40
1.57
1.21
1.38
1.56
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
3.50
0.00
3.00
3.00
4.00
vs Similar (18)
1.44
1.56
1.75
1.38
1.20
1.70
vs Weaker (10)
1.50
0.70
1.60
0.60
1.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.60
1.24
1.53
1.54
1.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.26
1.74
1.27
1.55
1.25
2.00
vs Weaker (11)
1.55
1.36
1.17
1.50
2.00
1.20
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.0%
@ 1.64-3.5%
Under 2.5
45.0%
@ 2.31+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.6%
Under 3.5
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1 ✓
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
Manchester United goals ↓
Chelsea goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
6.6%
5.4%
2.5%
0.9%
1
7.2%
13%
8.1%
3.8%
1.3%
2
6.2%
8.7%
6.0%
2.8%
1.0%
3
3.1%
4.3%
3.0%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.1%
1.6%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester United goals (down), columns = Chelsea goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Manchester United is 0.08 points worse than Chelsea in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.66).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Manchester United is 0.53 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 2.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Manchester United is 0.13 goals better than Chelsea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.66).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Manchester United is 7.9 percentage points worse than Chelsea in terms of average possession (51% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manchester United
For 5.2 · Against 6.4 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 9.9 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chelsea
For 4.4 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 12.5 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
11.9
11.2
3.7
4.0
3.5
20.4
20.5
20.2
vs Stronger (5)
9.6
8.3
11.5
4.2
4.7
3.5
19.2
19.3
19.0
vs Similar (28)
11.2
11.7
10.7
3.9
4.3
3.5
19.8
20.3
19.3
vs Weaker (17)
12.7
13.3
12.0
3.4
3.2
3.5
21.6
21.1
22.2
% over line
76%
76%
76%
50%
56%
44%
36%
32%
40%
% under line
24%
24%
24%
50%
44%
56%
64%
68%
60%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.3
9.5
4.9
5.0
4.8
23.9
23.9
23.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
9.8
10.3
9.1
4.9
4.9
4.9
23.6
23.0
24.2
vs Weaker (21)
10.1
10.3
9.9
4.8
5.0
4.5
24.2
25.1
23.3
% over line
52%
62%
42%
74%
81%
67%
54%
54%
54%
% under line
48%
38%
58%
26%
19%
33%
46%
46%
46%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
11.5
Bournemouth
11.1
Tottenham
11.1
Newcastle
10.7
West Ham
10.7
Luton
10.6
Everton
10.5
Sheffield United
10.5
Liverpool
10.3
Wolves
10.2
Burnley
10.1
Aston Villa
10.1
Fulham
10.0
Brentford
10.0
Chelsea
9.9
Brighton
9.8
Arsenal
9.8
Crystal Palace
9.8
Nottingham Forest
9.8
Manchester City
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.9
Brighton
4.8
Wolves
4.7
Tottenham
4.6
Aston Villa
4.5
Burnley
4.4
Sheffield United
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Manchester City
4.1
Everton
4.0
Luton
3.9
Fulham
3.8
Manchester United
3.7
Arsenal
3.7
Bournemouth
3.5
Brentford
3.5
Liverpool
3.3
West Ham
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.5
Wolves
23.9
Chelsea
23.9
Aston Villa
23.6
Brighton
23.6
Tottenham
23.5
Luton
22.8
Newcastle
22.5
Nottingham Forest
22.2
Fulham
21.8
Everton
21.2
Manchester City
21.2
Arsenal
21.2
Burnley
21.1
Liverpool
21.0
Brentford
20.9
Bournemouth
20.8
Manchester United
20.4
Sheffield United
20.3
West Ham
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
69.7%
Under 9.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.3%
Under 3.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.2%
Under 21.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manchester United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.64
0.57
0.75
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.61
0.62
0.75
0.90
0.50
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.30
0.80
0.20
0.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.77
0.59
0.53
0.69
1.08
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.89
0.82
0.64
0.38
1.25
vs Weaker (11)
0.64
0.55
0.17
0.33
1.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manchester United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.83
0.93
0.64
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.00
0.00
2.00
3.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.94
1.12
0.62
0.30
1.20
vs Weaker (10)
0.80
0.40
0.80
0.40
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.83
0.65
1.00
0.85
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.84
0.45
0.91
0.88
0.75
vs Weaker (11)
0.91
0.82
1.00
1.17
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rasmus Højlund33%
Bruno Fernandes24%
Marcus Rashford19%
Scott McTominay16%
Hannibal Mejbri14%
Alejandro Garnacho12%
Harry Maguire12%
Kobbie Mainoo12%
Amad Diallo11%
Casemiro7%
Mason Mount6%
Anthony Martial6%
Diogo Dalot5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Christian Eriksen4%
Raphaël Varane4%
Antony3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Omari Forson0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luke Shaw50%
Lisandro Martínez33%
Sofyan Amrabat31%
Casemiro30%
Sergio Reguilón27%
Bruno Fernandes27%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka20%
Harry Maguire19%
Antony18%
Diogo Dalot14%
Hannibal Mejbri14%
Mason Mount12%
Willy Kambwala12%
Kobbie Mainoo12%
André Onana11%
Amad Diallo11%
Alejandro Garnacho10%
Victor Lindelöf9%
Scott McTominay8%
Jonny Evans8%
Raphaël Varane8%
Rasmus Højlund6%
Marcus Rashford5%
Christian Eriksen4%
Jadon Sancho0%
Anthony Martial0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Omari Forson0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Omari Forson25%
Bruno Fernandes24%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka12%
Christian Eriksen12%
Amad Diallo11%
Marcus Rashford11%
Alejandro Garnacho10%
Lisandro Martínez8%
Facundo Pellistri8%
Harry Maguire8%
Casemiro7%
Diogo Dalot7%
Luke Shaw7%
Anthony Martial6%
Rasmus Højlund6%
Scott McTominay5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Jonny Evans4%
Kobbie Mainoo4%
Antony3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Raphaël Varane0%
Mason Mount0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruno Fernandes37%
Alejandro Garnacho26%
Casemiro11%
Amad Diallo11%
Rasmus Højlund11%
Scott McTominay11%
Marcus Rashford11%
Antony9%
Facundo Pellistri8%
Harry Maguire8%
Diogo Dalot2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Christian Eriksen0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Raphaël Varane0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Anthony Martial0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Mason Mount0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Omari Forson0%
Kobbie Mainoo0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cole Palmer45%
Nicolas Jackson31%
Christopher Nkunku27%
Raheem Sterling23%
Noni Madueke22%
Mykhaylo Mudryk16%
Carney Chukwuemeka11%
Conor Gallagher11%
Thiago Silva10%
Alfie Gilchrist9%
Trevoh Chalobah8%
Armando Broja8%
Enzo Fernández7%
Axel Disasi6%
Levi Colwill4%
Moisés Caicedo3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Ben Chilwell0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Reece James0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Ian Maatsen0%
Malo Gusto0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Lesley Ugochukwu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marc Cucurella48%
Ben Chilwell38%
Moisés Caicedo31%
Nicolas Jackson29%
Malo Gusto26%
Enzo Fernández25%
Raheem Sterling23%
Carney Chukwuemeka22%
Conor Gallagher22%
Cole Palmer21%
Axel Disasi19%
Benoît Badiashile17%
Lesley Ugochukwu17%
Mykhaylo Mudryk16%
Thiago Silva13%
Robert Sánchez12%
Reece James10%
Alfie Gilchrist9%
Đorđe Petrović9%
Noni Madueke9%
Levi Colwill9%
Ian Maatsen8%
Trevoh Chalobah8%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Armando Broja0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cole Palmer30%
Reece James20%
Conor Gallagher19%
Malo Gusto19%
Nicolas Jackson14%
Raheem Sterling13%
Carney Chukwuemeka11%
Marc Cucurella10%
Noni Madueke9%
Moisés Caicedo9%
Ben Chilwell8%
Enzo Fernández7%
Mykhaylo Mudryk6%
Benoît Badiashile6%
Levi Colwill4%
Thiago Silva3%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Axel Disasi0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Ian Maatsen0%
Armando Broja0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Lesley Ugochukwu0%
Alfie Gilchrist0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cole Palmer39%
Nicolas Jackson23%
Raheem Sterling16%
Noni Madueke13%
Christopher Nkunku9%
Conor Gallagher8%
Enzo Fernández7%
Mykhaylo Mudryk6%
Axel Disasi3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Thiago Silva0%
Ben Chilwell0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Reece James0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Ian Maatsen0%
Armando Broja0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Levi Colwill0%
Malo Gusto0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Lesley Ugochukwu0%
Alfie Gilchrist0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Manchester United's squad is €477m less valuable than Chelsea's (€929m vs €1407m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Manchester United's attack is €182m less valuable than Chelsea's (€432m vs €614m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Manchester United's midfield is €42m less valuable than Chelsea's (€236m vs €278m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Manchester United's defence is €253m less valuable than Chelsea's (€261m vs €514m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Newcastle
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United