Manchester United face Chelsea with the model favouring an away win, reflecting the higher 45% probability for a Chelsea victory versus 27% for a United win and 28% for a draw. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a modestly high-scoring encounter, with the most likely total of two goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.2% chance. United’s home form shows they average 1.78 goals scored and 1.33 conceded against similarly strong opposition, while Chelsea’s away record is weaker, with only 0.5 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 82.6%, Over 1.5 goals at 76.2%, Under 3.5 goals at 71.5%, Over 19.5 fouls at 73.1%, Under 25.5 fouls at 74.2% and Under 5.5 cards at 70.4%. The model assigns a 27% chance to a home win, 28% to a draw and 45% to an away win.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Manchester United, riding a win-loss-win-win-draw run, overturned the pre-match favourite Chelsea, who were on a three-game winning streak. The final score was 2-1 in favour of the home side, a result that contradicted the model’s pick of an away win with a 45% probability. The model’s call was therefore wrong. Among the suggested selections, Over 2.5 cards at 82.6% hit, Over 1.5 at 76.2% hit, Under 25.5 fouls at 74.2% missed, Over 19.5 fouls at 73.1% hit, Under 3.5 at 71.5% hit, and Under 5.5 cards at 70.4% missed. The match delivered a 2-1 home victory, defying the odds.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manchester United win✓ Hit
27.1%
Avg Implied 36.0% · @ 2.64
Edge
-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.62
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea win✗ Miss
45.2%
Avg Implied 37.8% · @ 2.51
Edge
+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manchester United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.37
1.57
1.21
1.31
1.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (19)
1.42
1.47
1.78
1.33
1.10
1.60
vs Weaker (9)
1.78
1.11
1.50
1.25
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.00
1.64
0.50
1.69
1.44
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (9)
0.89
1.56
1.67
0.33
0.50
2.17
vs Weaker (20)
2.05
0.65
1.64
0.55
2.56
0.78
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.5%
@ 1.57-9.6%
Under 2.5
49.5%
@ 2.37+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.5%
Under 3.5
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.0%
No
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
8.1%
0-0
8.0%
2-1 ✓
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
Manchester United goals ↓
Chelsea goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
9.2%
8.1%
4.2%
1.6%
1
6.6%
13%
9.3%
4.8%
1.8%
2
4.5%
6.9%
5.3%
2.7%
1.1%
3
1.7%
2.6%
2.0%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.5%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester United goals (down), columns = Chelsea goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Manchester United is 0.50 points better than Chelsea in terms of average points per game (1.87 vs 1.37).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Manchester United is 0.29 goals better than Chelsea in terms of goals scored per game (1.82 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Manchester United is 0.05 goals better than Chelsea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.37).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Manchester United is 5.4 percentage points worse than Chelsea in terms of average possession (52% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manchester United
For 4.3 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 13.0 · Total 22.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chelsea
For 6.0 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 13.0 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
8.7
10.4
3.8
4.2
3.4
21.9
22.7
21.0
vs Stronger (3)
8.0
8.0
8.0
2.3
5.0
1.0
19.0
22.0
17.5
vs Similar (32)
10.0
9.0
11.2
4.2
4.7
3.7
22.9
23.4
22.3
vs Weaker (15)
8.8
7.6
9.6
3.1
3.0
3.2
20.1
20.4
19.9
% over line
50%
48%
52%
54%
60%
48%
57%
61%
52%
% under line
50%
52%
48%
46%
40%
52%
43%
39%
48%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.6
9.5
3.9
3.9
4.0
22.1
22.0
22.2
vs Stronger (1)
8.0
-
8.0
4.0
-
4.0
19.0
-
19.0
vs Similar (16)
9.5
9.3
9.7
5.1
6.4
4.1
25.5
25.6
25.4
vs Weaker (33)
9.6
9.7
9.5
3.4
2.8
3.9
20.8
20.4
21.1
% over line
53%
50%
56%
60%
57%
63%
57%
59%
56%
% under line
47%
50%
44%
40%
43%
37%
43%
41%
44%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.1
Tottenham
11.1
Bournemouth
10.8
Brentford
10.7
Liverpool
10.6
Aston Villa
10.4
Nottingham Forest
10.3
Everton
10.1
Fulham
10.1
West Ham
10.0
Crystal Palace
9.9
Leeds
9.8
Manchester City
9.8
Sunderland
9.7
Wolves
9.7
Chelsea
9.7
Brighton
9.6
Manchester United
9.5
Arsenal
9.3
Burnley
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
5.1
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Newcastle
4.5
Chelsea
4.4
Brighton
4.4
Sunderland
4.4
Aston Villa
4.3
Wolves
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Tottenham
4.0
Liverpool
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Fulham
3.8
Burnley
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Arsenal
3.7
Everton
3.6
West Ham
3.5
Leeds
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.5
Wolves
24.4
Tottenham
23.6
Sunderland
23.0
Newcastle
23.0
Brighton
22.9
Aston Villa
22.8
Burnley
22.8
Leeds
22.2
Chelsea
22.1
West Ham
22.0
Manchester United
21.7
Everton
21.5
Fulham
21.5
Arsenal
21.5
Nottingham Forest
21.3
Crystal Palace
21.2
Liverpool
20.7
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.3%
Under 9.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.7%
Under 3.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
57.2%
Under 21.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manchester United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.50
0.57
0.44
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.74
0.67
0.67
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (9)
0.22
0.67
0.25
0.50
0.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.64
0.36
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
0.65
0.45
0.73
0.45
0.56
0.44
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manchester United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.67
1.07
0.64
0.88
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.74
1.11
0.67
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (9)
1.56
0.44
1.25
0.75
1.80
0.20
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.43
1.00
0.14
1.12
0.69
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.89
1.33
0.33
0.00
1.17
vs Weaker (20)
1.40
0.20
0.91
0.09
2.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Benjamin Šeško34%
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Matheus Cunha29%
Casemiro26%
Bruno Fernandes22%
Patrick Dorgu14%
Mason Mount12%
Harry Maguire8%
Joshua Zirkzee8%
Matthijs de Ligt7%
Amad Diallo6%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Diogo Dalot3%
Luke Shaw3%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Shea Lacey0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Casemiro29%
Shea Lacey25%
Luke Shaw24%
Patrick Dorgu18%
Harry Maguire16%
Joshua Zirkzee15%
Noussair Mazraoui15%
Diogo Dalot14%
Bruno Fernandes14%
Bryan Mbeumo12%
Matheus Cunha11%
Ayden Heaven11%
Kobbie Mainoo10%
Mason Mount8%
Benjamin Šeško6%
Amad Diallo6%
Manuel Ugarte4%
Leny Yoro3%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Senne Lammens0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Fernandes51%
Patrick Dorgu14%
Kobbie Mainoo10%
Amad Diallo9%
Bryan Mbeumo9%
Diogo Dalot8%
Harry Maguire8%
Casemiro6%
Matheus Cunha6%
Ayden Heaven6%
Mason Mount4%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Benjamin Šeško3%
Luke Shaw3%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Shea Lacey0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Matheus Cunha31%
Benjamin Šeško25%
Bruno Fernandes22%
Amad Diallo15%
Casemiro14%
Joshua Zirkzee8%
Patrick Dorgu7%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Diogo Dalot0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Harry Maguire0%
Mason Mount0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Kobbie Mainoo0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Shea Lacey0%
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro35%
Enzo Fernández28%
Cole Palmer27%
Tyrique George27%
Estêvão Willian23%
Pedro Neto15%
Marc Guiu15%
Alejandro Garnacho14%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
Moisés Caicedo10%
Andrey Santos7%
Tosin Adarabioyo7%
Josh Acheampong7%
Trevoh Chalobah7%
Malo Gusto6%
Jorrel Hato6%
Reece James5%
Liam Delap5%
Jamie Gittens4%
Marc Cucurella2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Levi Colwill0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Dário Essugo0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Jesse Derry0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dário Essugo40%
Moisés Caicedo33%
Tyrique George27%
Enzo Fernández26%
Benoît Badiashile25%
Marc Cucurella24%
Wesley Fofana22%
Jorrel Hato20%
Estêvão Willian20%
Andrey Santos19%
Cole Palmer18%
Mamadou Sarr17%
Reece James13%
Liam Delap12%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
João Pedro12%
Pedro Neto12%
Malo Gusto10%
Tosin Adarabioyo10%
Trevoh Chalobah9%
Filip Jørgensen8%
Marc Guiu8%
Alejandro Garnacho7%
Robert Sánchez6%
Roméo Lavia5%
Jamie Gittens4%
Josh Acheampong3%
Levi Colwill0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Jesse Derry0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Facundo Buonanotte25%
Dário Essugo20%
Pedro Neto19%
Reece James15%
Marc Guiu15%
Jamie Gittens15%
Enzo Fernández13%
Malo Gusto10%
João Pedro10%
Andrey Santos10%
Tyrique George9%
Estêvão Willian9%
Marc Cucurella8%
Alejandro Garnacho7%
Cole Palmer6%
Wesley Fofana5%
Jorrel Hato3%
Liam Delap2%
Robert Sánchez2%
Moisés Caicedo2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Tosin Adarabioyo0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Levi Colwill0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Jesse Derry0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alejandro Garnacho19%
João Pedro18%
Cole Palmer18%
Enzo Fernández15%
Liam Delap12%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
Estêvão Willian11%
Pedro Neto8%
Jamie Gittens4%
Reece James3%
Moisés Caicedo2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Tosin Adarabioyo0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Levi Colwill0%
Malo Gusto0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Andrey Santos0%
Dário Essugo0%
Tyrique George0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Marc Guiu0%
Jesse Derry0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Manchester United's squad is €477m less valuable than Chelsea's (€929m vs €1407m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Manchester United's attack is €182m less valuable than Chelsea's (€432m vs €614m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Manchester United's midfield is €42m less valuable than Chelsea's (€236m vs €278m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Manchester United's defence is €253m less valuable than Chelsea's (€261m vs €514m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brighton
Brentford
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
West Ham
Burnley
Wolves