PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Manchester United vs Leeds Result & Analysis

Date: 08/02/2023
Time: 20:00
Final 2-2
Manchester United
Manchester United
Vs
63%
23%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Leeds
Leeds
England: Premier League
Referee: S Hooper
Match preview & prediction

Manchester United’s recent 5-2 win over Ipswich fuels the model’s confidence that they will finish the match as the clear favourite, reflected in a 63% home-win probability. The Premier League side’s home form shows they average 1.82 goals scored and only 0.55 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Leeds, on the road, averages 1.17 scored and 1.83 conceded, a weaker defensive record that the model weighs heavily. The predicted outcome is a home win, with an expected total of 2.8 goals and a 25% chance that the match will finish with exactly two goals. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0 for United, carrying a 11.7% probability. The draw probability sits at 23% and the away win at 14%. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards (85.9%), Under 25.5 fouls (81.4%), Over 1.5 goals (78.5%), Over 8.5 corners (76.7%) and Under 4.5 cards (72.7%).

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Manchester United, fell short of the expected win, as the game finished 2-2 and ended in a draw. The model had picked a home win with a 63% probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 2-2 matched the most likely outcome of 2-0, 1-1, or 1-0, each with roughly a 10% chance, and the 25% chance for the most likely total of two goals was also reflected in the result. Manchester United were coming off a win, while Leeds had drawn their previous match. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 5.5 cards hit at 85.9%, Under 25.5 fouls at 81.4%, Over 1.5 at 78.5%, Over 8.5 corners at 76.7%, and Under 4.5 cards at 72.7%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manchester United win✗ Miss
63.5%
Avg Implied 63.4% · @ 1.52
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.6%
Avg Implied 21.3% · @ 4.53
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Leeds win✗ Miss
13.9%
Avg Implied 15.3% · @ 6.31
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W13L21W30W10W30W21W11D23L21WA·REA03/11A·AST06/11A·FUL13/11H·NOT27/12A·WOL31/12H·BOU03/01H·MAN14/01A·CRY18/01A·ARS22/01H·CRY04/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.131.860.501.311.69
vs Stronger (2)2.503.502.001.003.006.00
vs Similar (19)1.371.211.820.550.752.12
vs Weaker (9)1.780.442.000.001.710.57
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeedsLeeds

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L21W43W34L13L00D22D12L00D01LH·FUL23/10A·LIV29/10H·BOU05/11A·TOT12/11H·MAN28/12A·NEW31/12H·WES04/01A·AST13/01H·BRE22/01A·NOT05/02
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.631.271.601.331.67
vs Stronger (7)1.002.000.802.201.501.50
vs Similar (22)1.321.591.501.301.171.83
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.0%
@ 1.69-2.6%
Under 2.5
46.0%
@ 2.20+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.7%
Under 3.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.1%
No
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.8%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
2-2 ✓
4.1%
Manchester United goals ↓
Leeds goals →
01234
06.8%3.9%2.1%0.6%0.1%
111%11%4.1%1.2%0.2%
212%9.8%4.1%1.2%0.2%
37.8%6.5%2.7%0.8%0.2%
43.9%3.3%1.4%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester United goals (down), columns = Leeds goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Manchester United is 1.16 points better than Leeds in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 0.82).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Manchester United is 0.26 goals better than Leeds in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Manchester United is 0.92 goals better than Leeds in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 2.05).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Manchester United is 6.4 percentage points better than Leeds in terms of average possession (54% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Manchester UnitedManchester United

For 4.3 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

18055412331265579931053251016631112181387H·CRYA·ARSA·CRYH·MANH·BOUA·WOLH·NOTA·FULA·ASTA·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

602221213331311133324333344265H·CRYA·ARSA·CRYH·MANH·BOUA·WOLH·NOTA·FULA·ASTA·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 7.3 · Total 18.6

⚠️ Fouls

2209998109155137111113410912611518171920202217191816H·CRYA·ARSA·CRYH·MANH·BOUA·WOLH·NOTA·FULA·ASTA·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LeedsLeeds

For 5.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

190223118139352913351436251191281116199A·NOTH·BREA·ASTH·WESA·NEWH·MANA·TOTH·BOUA·LIVH·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

8024222231533321221116444863412A·NOTH·BREA·ASTH·WESA·NEWH·MANA·TOTH·BOUA·LIVH·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

320141510188121118191311147816103912829282029322515261220A·NOTH·BREA·ASTH·WESA·NEWH·MANA·TOTH·BOUA·LIVH·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester UnitedManchester United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.19.73.43.03.719.017.820.0
vs Stronger (3)7.03.09.02.33.02.018.720.018.0
vs Similar (29)10.110.69.63.93.54.419.418.620.2
vs Weaker (18)10.010.19.92.72.23.118.316.120.1
% over line52%58%46%48%50%46%26%21%31%
% under line48%42%54%52%50%54%74%79%69%
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeedsLeeds

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.49.24.44.54.223.524.222.8
vs Stronger (11)8.67.89.63.43.23.620.822.518.8
vs Similar (38)9.49.98.94.74.94.524.324.724.0
vs Weaker (1)11.0-11.02.0-2.020.0-20.0
% over line40%40%40%66%64%68%58%60%56%
% under line60%60%60%34%36%32%42%40%44%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Southampton
10.7
Fulham
10.6
Brighton
10.5
Aston Villa
10.5
Leicester
10.4
Brentford
10.4
Everton
10.4
Liverpool
10.3
Tottenham
10.2
Bournemouth
10.2
Newcastle
10.1
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Wolves
9.9
Manchester United
9.9
West Ham
9.9
Chelsea
9.8
Arsenal
9.8
Manchester City
9.7
Crystal Palace
9.6
Leeds
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.7
Leeds
4.4
Everton
4.2
Aston Villa
4.1
Tottenham
4.0
Newcastle
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Brighton
3.9
Bournemouth
3.9
Arsenal
3.8
Wolves
3.8
Chelsea
3.8
Manchester United
3.4
Southampton
3.2
Manchester City
3.1
Brentford
3.0
West Ham
2.9
Leicester
2.8
Liverpool
2.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.7
Nottingham Forest
23.7
Aston Villa
23.7
Leeds
23.5
Chelsea
22.6
Bournemouth
21.4
Newcastle
21.2
Fulham
21.0
Everton
20.9
Brighton
20.8
Arsenal
20.6
Tottenham
20.5
Leicester
20.4
Southampton
20.4
Wolves
19.6
Brentford
19.2
Manchester United
19.0
Manchester City
17.8
Liverpool
17.7
West Ham
17.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
65.8%
Under 9.5
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.1%
Under 3.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
47.8%
Under 21.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L10W20W00D10W00D10W11D10WA·REA03/11A·AST06/11A·FUL13/11H·NOT27/12A·WOL31/12H·BOU03/01H·MAN14/01A·CRY18/01A·ARS22/01H·CRY04/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.640.140.620.94
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.000.000.004.00
vs Similar (19)0.630.580.730.180.501.12
vs Weaker (9)0.780.220.500.000.860.29
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeedsLeeds

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D12L21W01L00D11D01L00D01LH·FUL23/10A·LIV29/10H·BOU05/11A·TOT12/11H·MAN28/12A·NEW31/12H·WES04/01A·AST13/01H·BRE22/01A·NOT05/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.800.530.730.400.87
vs Stronger (7)0.431.000.400.800.501.50
vs Similar (22)0.450.770.600.700.330.83
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L11D10W10W20W21W01L12L11DA·REA03/11A·AST06/11A·FUL13/11H·NOT27/12A·WOL31/12H·BOU03/01H·MAN14/01A·CRY18/01A·ARS22/01H·CRY04/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.571.210.360.690.75
vs Stronger (2)2.501.502.001.003.002.00
vs Similar (19)0.740.631.090.360.251.00
vs Weaker (9)1.000.221.500.000.860.29
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeedsLeeds

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W31W13L12L00D11D11D00D00DH·FUL23/10A·LIV29/10H·BOU05/11A·TOT12/11H·MAN28/12A·NEW31/12H·WES04/01A·AST13/01H·BRE22/01A·NOT05/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.830.730.870.930.80
vs Stronger (7)0.571.000.401.401.000.00
vs Similar (22)0.860.820.900.600.831.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls81.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners76.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards72.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcus Rashford45%
Anthony Martial25%
Jadon Sancho19%
Cristiano Ronaldo19%
Bruno Fernandes19%
Antony18%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Casemiro10%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Fred7%
Scott McTominay6%
Diogo Dalot6%
Wout Weghorst4%
Christian Eriksen3%
Lisandro Martínez3%
Luke Shaw2%
Donny van de Beek0%
Raphaël Varane0%
David De Gea0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Harry Maguire0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Anthony Elanga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Facundo Pellistri29%
Scott McTominay26%
Casemiro25%
Luke Shaw25%
Lisandro Martínez24%
Tyrell Malacia23%
Harry Maguire22%
Antony21%
Diogo Dalot19%
Cristiano Ronaldo19%
Bruno Fernandes19%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Fred16%
Wout Weghorst9%
Christian Eriksen8%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka8%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Raphaël Varane7%
Marcus Rashford5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Jadon Sancho0%
Donny van de Beek0%
David De Gea0%
Anthony Martial0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Eriksen28%
Bruno Fernandes21%
Marcus Rashford14%
Cristiano Ronaldo12%
Anthony Martial12%
Casemiro10%
Luke Shaw10%
Jadon Sancho8%
Alejandro Garnacho8%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Fred7%
Antony6%
Diogo Dalot6%
Anthony Elanga5%
Wout Weghorst4%
Donny van de Beek0%
Raphaël Varane0%
David De Gea0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Scott McTominay0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Harry Maguire0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cristiano Ronaldo44%
Marcus Rashford43%
Antony38%
Bruno Fernandes19%
Casemiro15%
Wout Weghorst9%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Fred5%
Anthony Martial4%
Alejandro Garnacho4%
Scott McTominay3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Christian Eriksen0%
Donny van de Beek0%
Raphaël Varane0%
David De Gea0%
Diogo Dalot0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Harry Maguire0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Leeds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rodrigo35%
Luis Sinisterra26%
Patrick Bamford14%
Crysencio Summerville14%
Jack Harrison14%
Rasmus Kristensen12%
Wilfried Gnonto8%
Luke Ayling7%
Pascal Struijk7%
Liam Cooper6%
Sam Greenwood6%
Junior Firpo5%
Marc Roca3%
Brenden Aaronson3%
Weston McKennie0%
Tyler Adams0%
Joel Robles0%
Maximilian Wöber0%
Mateusz Klich0%
Adam Forshaw0%
Daniel James0%
Joe Gelhardt0%
Illan Meslier0%
Robin Koch0%
Diego Llorente0%
Georginio Rutter0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Weston McKennie37%
Junior Firpo32%
Wilfried Gnonto29%
Liam Cooper28%
Joel Robles25%
Marc Roca22%
Tyler Adams21%
Robin Koch19%
Rodrigo19%
Maximilian Wöber19%
Pascal Struijk17%
Rasmus Kristensen15%
Mateusz Klich14%
Crysencio Summerville14%
Diego Llorente12%
Patrick Bamford11%
Luis Sinisterra11%
Luke Ayling10%
Illan Meslier9%
Joe Gelhardt7%
Jack Harrison6%
Brenden Aaronson6%
Sam Greenwood6%
Adam Forshaw0%
Daniel James0%
Georginio Rutter0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jack Harrison19%
Wilfried Gnonto17%
Joe Gelhardt13%
Sam Greenwood11%
Georginio Rutter9%
Brenden Aaronson8%
Patrick Bamford7%
Crysencio Summerville7%
Marc Roca6%
Weston McKennie5%
Junior Firpo5%
Rasmus Kristensen4%
Luke Ayling3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Rodrigo3%
Tyler Adams0%
Joel Robles0%
Maximilian Wöber0%
Mateusz Klich0%
Liam Cooper0%
Adam Forshaw0%
Daniel James0%
Illan Meslier0%
Robin Koch0%
Luis Sinisterra0%
Diego Llorente0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luis Sinisterra21%
Rodrigo19%
Marc Roca9%
Patrick Bamford7%
Liam Cooper6%
Wilfried Gnonto4%
Rasmus Kristensen4%
Crysencio Summerville4%
Jack Harrison3%
Robin Koch3%
Weston McKennie0%
Tyler Adams0%
Joel Robles0%
Junior Firpo0%
Maximilian Wöber0%
Mateusz Klich0%
Luke Ayling0%
Adam Forshaw0%
Daniel James0%
Joe Gelhardt0%
Illan Meslier0%
Diego Llorente0%
Brenden Aaronson0%
Pascal Struijk0%
Georginio Rutter0%
Sam Greenwood0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Manchester United's squad is €502m more valuable than Leeds's (€929m vs €427m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Manchester United's attack is €266m more valuable than Leeds's (€432m vs €166m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Manchester United's midfield is €138m more valuable than Leeds's (€236m vs €98m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Manchester United's defence is €98m more valuable than Leeds's (€261m vs €163m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
MU wins
1
Draws
0
LEE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Manchester United vs Leeds · H/A from MU
DateH/AGameScore
20/02/22ALeeds Vs MU2-4
14/08/21HMU Vs Leeds5-1
25/04/21ALeeds Vs MU0-0
20/12/20HMU Vs Leeds6-2

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/23HMU Vs Crystal Palace2-1
22/01/23AArsenal Vs MU3-2
18/01/23ACrystal Palace Vs MU1-1
14/01/23HMU Vs Manchester City2-1
03/01/23HMU Vs Bournemouth3-0
31/12/22AWolves Vs MU0-1
27/12/22HMU Vs Nottingham Forest3-0
13/11/22AFulham Vs MU1-2
06/11/22AAston Villa Vs MU3-1
03/11/22AReal Sociedad Vs MU0-1

LeedsLeeds

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/02/23ANottingham Forest Vs LEE1-0
22/01/23HLEE Vs Brentford0-0
13/01/23AAston Villa Vs LEE2-1
04/01/23HLEE Vs West Ham2-2
31/12/22ANewcastle Vs LEE0-0
28/12/22HLEE Vs Manchester City1-3
12/11/22ATottenham Vs LEE4-3
05/11/22HLEE Vs Bournemouth4-3
29/10/22ALiverpool Vs LEE1-2
23/10/22HLEE Vs Fulham2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Manchester United
Manchester United
England: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.82
HomeWWWWW2.21
AwayLWWDL1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%67%42%
AVG goals2.762.383.12
Over 1.5 %72%71%73%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %32%17%46%
Scored1.521.711.35
Conceded1.240.671.77
BTTS52%46%58%
Clean Sheet34%46%23%
Corners9.9010.129.69
Cards3.403.043.73
Leeds
Leeds
England: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDL1.00
HomeLWLDD1.08
AwayWLDLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%24%24%
AVG goals3.183.003.36
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %66%60%72%
Over 3.5 %38%40%36%
Scored1.221.201.24
Conceded1.961.802.12
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet16%16%16%
Corners9.309.449.16
Cards4.384.524.24

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3889
74%
2.3
9433+61
3.3
82%
66%
42%
8.9
50%
3.3
42%
19.7
29%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3884
68%
2.2
8843+45
3.4
84%
68%
53%
9.6
45%
3.5
39%
21.8
50%
1406
6082905082.31.1
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3875
61%
2.0
5843+15
2.7
71%
50%
24%
10.6
61%
3.4
47%
19.3
26%
929
4322362611.51.1
54%
4NewcastleNewcastle3871
50%
1.9
6833+35
2.7
74%
47%
29%
11.4
76%
3.7
45%
21.7
42%
568
2341242101.80.9
52%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3867
50%
1.8
7547+28
3.2
74%
61%
37%
9.8
45%
3.1
42%
19.7
39%
980
5182012602.01.2
61%
6BrightonBrighton3862
47%
1.6
7253+19
3.3
79%
66%
45%
9.7
55%
4.0
53%
22.4
58%
620
1901802491.91.4
60%
7Aston VillaAston Villa3861
47%
1.6
5146+5
2.6
79%
47%
21%
9.9
55%
4.3
55%
24.1
68%
536
2201601561.31.2
49%
8TottenhamTottenham3860
47%
1.6
7063+7
3.5
84%
61%
47%
10.5
63%
4.1
53%
21.1
39%
920
2502823881.81.7
50%
9BrentfordBrentford3859
39%
1.6
5846+12
2.7
82%
45%
32%
9.9
55%
3.1
45%
20.2
29%
565
2281282091.51.2
43%
10FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
5553+2
2.8
74%
66%
29%
10.2
47%
3.7
47%
21.8
42%
329
178281231.41.4
49%
11Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4049-9
2.3
68%
39%
18%
9.6
37%
4.3
58%
24.6
66%
505
229931821.11.3
46%
12ChelseaChelsea3844
29%
1.2
3847-9
2.2
66%
42%
21%
10.3
55%
3.9
58%
22.7
50%
1407
6142785141.01.2
59%
13WolvesWolves3841
29%
1.1
3158-27
2.3
71%
39%
13%
10.3
50%
4.3
61%
23.1
61%
273
79791160.81.5
-
14West HamWest Ham3840
29%
1.1
4255-13
2.6
76%
39%
26%
10.6
53%
2.6
26%
18.1
21%
274
84481411.11.4
42%
15BournemouthBournemouth3839
29%
1.0
3771-34
2.8
74%
47%
32%
10.9
66%
3.1
34%
20.2
32%
573
2851061821.01.9
41%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3838
24%
1.0
3868-30
2.8
79%
45%
34%
9.7
50%
3.9
61%
22.6
61%
551
263522361.01.8
37%
17EvertonEverton3836
21%
0.9
3457-23
2.4
74%
42%
21%
10.9
61%
4.2
66%
21.0
42%
459
1741621230.91.5
42%
18LeicesterLeicester3834
24%
0.9
5168-17
3.1
79%
63%
34%
9.8
50%
3.2
39%
21.6
58%
69
2013361.31.8
48%
19LeedsLeeds3831
18%
0.8
4878-30
3.3
76%
66%
45%
10.1
55%
4.0
61%
23.1
58%
427
166981631.32.1
48%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3825
16%
0.7
3673-37
2.9
66%
53%
34%
9.6
50%
3.6
42%
21.8
45%
205
7253790.91.9
44%
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches