Liverpool’s away form, with 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded against similar opposition, eclipses Manchester United’s home record of 1.88 scored and 0.88 conceded, making the Reds the clear favourite. The model assigns a 66% chance to an away win, a 12% chance to a home win and a 22% chance of a draw, and picks the away win as the most likely result. The expected total of 2.7 goals translates to an average of 2.7, with the single most probable scoreline 0-2 for Liverpool at 13%. Manchester United’s home form shows a modest scoring rate, while Liverpool’s away attack is more potent, explaining the model’s bias. Suggested picks include Under 11.5 corners at 86.5%, Under 5.5 cards at 86.4%, Under 25.5 fouls at 84.4%, Under 10.5 corners at 78.4%, Over 1.5 at 76.0%, Under 4.5 cards at 73.4%, Under 23.5 fouls at 72.5%, and Under 3.5 at 71.5%. The model’s selections reflect a low-corner, low-card, low-foul match, with Liverpool’s away advantage driving the predicted outcome.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Liverpool, failed to deliver, as Manchester United clinched a 2-1 home win, extending their recent run of LWWDW. The model had tipped an away win with a 66% probability, but the pick was wrong. The final score of 2-1 confirmed the home side’s triumph. Among the model’s selections, Under 5.5 cards (86.4%) and Under 25.5 fouls (84.4%) hit, as did Under 4.5 cards (73.4%), Under 23.5 fouls (72.5%) and Under 3.5 (71.5%). Under 11.5 corners (86.5%) and Under 10.5 corners (78.4%) missed, while Over 1.5 (76.0%) also hit. The prediction model’s overall accuracy was therefore mixed.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manchester United win✓ Hit
12.0%
Avg Implied 21.1% · @ 4.59
Edge
-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied 22.1% · @ 4.37
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liverpool win✗ Miss
65.5%
Avg Implied 56.8% · @ 1.70
Edge
+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manchester United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.60
1.53
1.00
1.07
2.20
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
3.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (18)
1.50
1.67
1.88
0.88
1.20
2.30
vs Weaker (10)
1.10
1.20
1.33
1.00
0.75
1.50
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.27
0.70
2.67
0.33
1.87
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
2.22
0.89
2.50
0.25
2.00
1.40
vs Weaker (21)
2.29
0.62
2.73
0.36
1.80
0.90
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.0%
Under 1.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.5%
@ 1.50-12.9%
Under 2.5
49.5%
@ 2.60+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.5%
Under 3.5
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.5%
No
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
13.0%
0-1
12.3%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.5%
0-0
7.7%
1-3
6.2%
0-4
4.2%
Manchester United goals ↓
Liverpool goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
12%
13%
8.5%
4.2%
1
4.0%
11%
9.5%
6.2%
3.1%
2
1.8%
3.5%
3.5%
2.3%
1.1%
3
0.4%
0.9%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester United goals (down), columns = Liverpool goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Manchester United is 0.21 points better than Liverpool in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 1.76).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Manchester United is 0.45 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Manchester United is 0.11 goals better than Liverpool in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Manchester United is 7.3 percentage points worse than Liverpool in terms of average possession (54% vs 61%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manchester United
For 4.7 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.0 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 8.3 · Total 18.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liverpool
For 6.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 7.6 · Total 16.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
9.8
11.0
3.5
2.8
4.2
20.0
18.3
21.7
vs Stronger (2)
11.0
10.0
12.0
2.0
3.0
1.0
22.5
21.0
24.0
vs Similar (30)
10.4
10.1
10.7
3.8
3.2
4.4
20.7
18.1
23.3
vs Weaker (18)
10.3
9.5
11.4
3.1
2.2
4.1
18.4
18.4
18.4
% over line
64%
62%
67%
50%
42%
58%
34%
19%
50%
% under line
36%
38%
33%
50%
58%
42%
66%
81%
50%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.9
10.3
3.0
3.1
2.9
18.4
17.3
19.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
9.3
11.1
7.8
3.9
4.0
3.8
20.1
20.1
20.1
vs Weaker (35)
11.1
10.8
11.5
2.7
2.8
2.6
17.7
16.2
19.1
% over line
62%
62%
62%
36%
38%
35%
26%
17%
35%
% under line
38%
38%
38%
64%
62%
65%
74%
83%
65%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Southampton
11.2
Aston Villa
10.9
Brighton
10.7
Tottenham
10.6
Liverpool
10.6
Everton
10.6
Manchester City
10.6
Leicester
10.4
Manchester United
10.4
Chelsea
10.3
Fulham
10.2
Wolves
10.0
Bournemouth
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Arsenal
10.0
Nottingham Forest
9.9
Brentford
9.8
Crystal Palace
9.8
Leeds
9.8
Newcastle
9.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Leeds
4.2
Aston Villa
4.2
Bournemouth
4.1
Newcastle
4.0
Brighton
3.9
Everton
3.9
Fulham
3.9
Wolves
3.7
Tottenham
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.6
Chelsea
3.5
Manchester United
3.5
Arsenal
3.2
Southampton
3.2
Liverpool
3.0
Manchester City
3.0
Brentford
3.0
Leicester
2.9
West Ham
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
24.5
Crystal Palace
23.8
Leeds
23.1
Nottingham Forest
23.0
Bournemouth
22.2
Chelsea
21.5
Fulham
20.9
Tottenham
20.9
Southampton
20.9
Brentford
20.6
Leicester
20.6
Newcastle
20.1
Everton
20.1
Manchester United
20.0
Brighton
19.8
Arsenal
19.4
Wolves
19.2
Liverpool
18.4
Manchester City
18.3
West Ham
16.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
32.2%
Under 9.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.3%
Under 3.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
43.2%
Under 21.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manchester United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.67
0.53
0.40
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.44
0.83
0.50
0.50
0.40
1.10
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.43
1.07
0.20
0.93
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.67
0.75
0.00
1.00
1.20
vs Weaker (21)
1.05
0.33
1.18
0.27
0.90
0.40
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manchester United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.80
0.87
0.47
0.67
1.13
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
1.06
0.83
1.38
0.38
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (10)
0.40
0.70
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.27
1.60
0.13
0.93
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.33
0.22
1.75
0.25
1.00
0.20
vs Weaker (21)
1.24
0.29
1.55
0.09
0.90
0.50
Clean sheet %
77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 11.5 corners
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcus Rashford45%
Anthony Martial25%
Jadon Sancho19%
Cristiano Ronaldo19%
Bruno Fernandes19%
Antony18%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Casemiro10%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Fred7%
Scott McTominay6%
Diogo Dalot6%
Wout Weghorst4%
Christian Eriksen3%
Lisandro Martínez3%
Luke Shaw2%
Donny van de Beek0%
Raphaël Varane0%
David De Gea0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Harry Maguire0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Anthony Elanga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Facundo Pellistri29%
Scott McTominay26%
Casemiro25%
Luke Shaw25%
Lisandro Martínez24%
Tyrell Malacia23%
Harry Maguire22%
Antony21%
Diogo Dalot19%
Cristiano Ronaldo19%
Bruno Fernandes19%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Fred16%
Wout Weghorst9%
Christian Eriksen8%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka8%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Raphaël Varane7%
Marcus Rashford5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Jadon Sancho0%
Donny van de Beek0%
David De Gea0%
Anthony Martial0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Eriksen28%
Bruno Fernandes21%
Marcus Rashford14%
Cristiano Ronaldo12%
Anthony Martial12%
Casemiro10%
Luke Shaw10%
Jadon Sancho8%
Alejandro Garnacho8%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Fred7%
Antony6%
Diogo Dalot6%
Anthony Elanga5%
Wout Weghorst4%
Donny van de Beek0%
Raphaël Varane0%
David De Gea0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Scott McTominay0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Harry Maguire0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cristiano Ronaldo44%
Marcus Rashford43%
Antony38%
Bruno Fernandes19%
Casemiro15%
Wout Weghorst9%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Fred5%
Anthony Martial4%
Alejandro Garnacho4%
Scott McTominay3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Christian Eriksen0%
Donny van de Beek0%
Raphaël Varane0%
David De Gea0%
Diogo Dalot0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Harry Maguire0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah48%
Roberto Firmino30%
Darwin Núñez30%
Cody Gakpo26%
Luis Díaz20%
Diogo Jota14%
Fabio Carvalho12%
Joël Matip11%
Curtis Jones10%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain10%
Virgil van Dijk8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Trent Alexander-Arnold7%
Stefan Bajčetić7%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Jordan Henderson0%
Naby Keïta0%
James Milner0%
Fabinho0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ibrahima Konaté29%
Fabinho25%
Joël Matip22%
Trent Alexander-Arnold16%
Joe Gomez15%
Konstantinos Tsimikas15%
Stefan Bajčetić13%
Naby Keïta12%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Curtis Jones10%
Luis Díaz10%
Thiago Alcântara9%
Andrew Robertson8%
James Milner8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Diogo Jota7%
Darwin Núñez5%
Jordan Henderson5%
Mohamed Salah4%
Alisson2%
Cody Gakpo0%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain0%
Roberto Firmino0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrew Robertson23%
Mohamed Salah22%
Diogo Jota21%
Konstantinos Tsimikas19%
Trent Alexander-Arnold18%
Luis Díaz10%
Roberto Firmino9%
Cody Gakpo9%
Darwin Núñez8%
Jordan Henderson8%
Curtis Jones5%
Harvey Elliott5%
Fabinho5%
Joe Gomez4%
James Milner3%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson2%
Joël Matip0%
Naby Keïta0%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Stefan Bajčetić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah50%
Darwin Núñez41%
Luis Díaz20%
Roberto Firmino18%
Diogo Jota18%
Joël Matip11%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain10%
Cody Gakpo9%
Virgil van Dijk8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Fabio Carvalho6%
Jordan Henderson3%
Trent Alexander-Arnold2%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Curtis Jones0%
Naby Keïta0%
James Milner0%
Fabinho0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Stefan Bajčetić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Manchester United's squad is €50m less valuable than Liverpool's (€929m vs €980m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Manchester United's attack is €86m less valuable than Liverpool's (€432m vs €518m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Manchester United's midfield is €36m more valuable than Liverpool's (€236m vs €201m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Manchester United and Liverpool have a similar defence value (both €261m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Newcastle
Brighton
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Wolves
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Leicester
Leeds
Southampton