Manchester United arrive at Old Trafford after a win-draw-win-win-draw run, but their recent 5-2 triumph over Ipswich shows they can still score. Liverpool, however, are coming off a 2-2 draw with Nottingham Forest, their form marked by a string of draws and a loss, and their away form is weak: they average just one goal scored and concede two per match. The model therefore rates an away win as the clear favourite, giving Liverpool a 65% chance of victory, Manchester United a 17% chance, and a draw a 18% chance. The expected total is 4.1 goals, with the most likely total being 6 + goals at 23%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 8.5% probability. Manchester United are expected to score 1.67 goals and concede 1.44 at home against a team of similar strength, while Liverpool are expected to score 1.0 and concede 2.0 on the road. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 92.1%, Over 2.5 goals at 77.4% with a 4% edge, Over 2.5 cards at 76.2%, and BTTS Yes at 70.5%. Other picks such as Over 19.5 fouls, Over 21.5 fouls, Under 5.5 cards, and Over 23.5 fouls have lower probabilities.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Liverpool, failed to deliver, as the match finished 2-2, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. Manchester United, coming off a win, and Liverpool, coming off a draw, produced a tightly contested game. The model had predicted an away win with a 65% probability, but the result was a stalemate. The model’s selections were mixed: Over 1.5 goals hit at 92.1%, Over 2.5 goals hit at 77.4%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 76.2%, and BTTS Yes hit at 70.5%. Over 19.5 fouls, Over 21.5 fouls, Under 5.5 cards, and Over 23.5 fouls all missed, with probabilities of 91.7%, 83.2%, 78.5%, and 71.0% respectively. The expected total of 4.1 goals and the most likely total of 6+ (23%) were not realised, reflecting the match’s moderate scoring.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manchester United win✗ Miss
16.9%
Avg Implied 19.7% · @ 4.90
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
18.2%
Avg Implied 20.1% · @ 4.80
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liverpool win✗ Miss
64.9%
Avg Implied 60.2% · @ 1.60
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manchester United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.50
1.36
1.36
1.69
1.62
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
2.33
0.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (18)
1.56
1.72
1.67
1.44
1.44
2.00
vs Weaker (9)
1.89
0.78
1.33
0.67
2.17
0.83
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
3.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.63
0.97
3.00
0.82
2.15
1.15
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.33
1.17
1.50
0.75
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (24)
2.96
0.92
3.46
0.85
2.36
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.1%
Under 1.5
7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
77.4%
@ 1.31+4.5%
Under 2.5
22.6%
@ 3.53-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.3%
Under 3.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
70.5%
No
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.5%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
6.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-2 ✓
5.9%
0-3
5.6%
2-3
5.3%
1-4
5.2%
Manchester United goals ↓
Liverpool goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.3%
3.9%
6.2%
5.6%
3.8%
1
1.7%
6.9%
8.5%
7.7%
5.2%
2
1.6%
4.3%
5.9%
5.3%
3.6%
3
0.7%
2.0%
2.7%
2.4%
1.6%
4
0.3%
0.7%
0.9%
0.8%
0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester United goals (down), columns = Liverpool goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Manchester United is 0.58 points worse than Liverpool in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 2.16).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Manchester United is 0.76 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 2.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Manchester United is 0.45 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.08).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Manchester United is 10.8 percentage points worse than Liverpool in terms of average possession (51% vs 61%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manchester United
For 5.6 · Against 10.1 · Total 15.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 7.7 · Total 19.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liverpool
For 8.3 · Against 2.9 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 9.4 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.5
13.1
12.0
4.1
4.1
4.2
20.1
20.1
20.0
vs Stronger (4)
13.0
12.5
13.5
2.8
4.0
1.5
15.8
16.0
15.5
vs Similar (31)
12.2
12.5
11.9
4.1
4.1
4.1
19.7
20.0
19.5
vs Weaker (15)
13.1
14.2
11.9
4.6
4.1
5.1
21.9
21.4
22.4
% over line
74%
75%
73%
58%
58%
58%
34%
38%
31%
% under line
26%
25%
27%
42%
42%
42%
66%
62%
69%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
11.5
10.3
4.0
3.8
4.1
22.1
21.9
22.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
10.1
10.0
10.3
5.9
5.6
6.2
22.4
22.9
21.8
vs Weaker (36)
11.2
12.2
10.3
3.2
3.1
3.4
22.0
21.5
22.4
% over line
62%
77%
46%
50%
50%
50%
52%
54%
50%
% under line
38%
23%
54%
50%
50%
50%
48%
46%
50%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
12.5
Bournemouth
11.7
Tottenham
11.5
Liverpool
10.9
Everton
10.8
Luton
10.7
Fulham
10.4
Sheffield United
10.4
Brentford
10.3
Newcastle
10.3
Wolves
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.2
Chelsea
10.2
Manchester City
10.2
Burnley
10.1
Crystal Palace
10.0
Aston Villa
9.9
West Ham
9.9
Brighton
9.5
Arsenal
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brighton
5.2
Aston Villa
5.1
Chelsea
5.1
Tottenham
4.9
Wolves
4.8
Sheffield United
4.3
Burnley
4.2
Newcastle
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Liverpool
4.1
Bournemouth
3.9
Brentford
3.9
West Ham
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Everton
3.7
Luton
3.7
Fulham
3.6
Arsenal
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.4
Crystal Palace
23.9
Aston Villa
23.8
Wolves
23.7
Luton
23.5
Chelsea
23.5
Brighton
23.4
Newcastle
23.0
Liverpool
22.1
Bournemouth
22.0
Arsenal
21.9
Nottingham Forest
21.8
Burnley
21.7
Fulham
21.6
Everton
21.5
Brentford
21.4
Sheffield United
20.1
Manchester United
20.1
West Ham
20.0
Manchester City
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.8%
Under 9.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.7%
Under 3.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
83.2%
Under 21.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manchester United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.50
0.64
0.94
0.44
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.72
0.56
0.89
0.78
0.56
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
0.22
0.67
0.00
1.17
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.50
1.24
0.53
0.77
0.46
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.67
0.75
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.12
0.46
1.38
0.54
0.82
0.36
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manchester United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.97
0.86
0.71
0.75
1.19
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (18)
0.89
1.00
1.11
0.56
0.67
1.44
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.56
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
0.47
1.76
0.29
1.38
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.50
0.75
0.25
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.83
0.46
2.08
0.31
1.55
0.64
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5
77.4%
1.31
-
-
-
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
BTTS Yes
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rasmus Højlund33%
Bruno Fernandes24%
Marcus Rashford19%
Scott McTominay16%
Hannibal Mejbri14%
Alejandro Garnacho12%
Harry Maguire12%
Kobbie Mainoo12%
Amad Diallo11%
Casemiro7%
Mason Mount6%
Anthony Martial6%
Diogo Dalot5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Christian Eriksen4%
Raphaël Varane4%
Antony3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Omari Forson0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luke Shaw50%
Lisandro Martínez33%
Sofyan Amrabat31%
Casemiro30%
Sergio Reguilón27%
Bruno Fernandes27%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka20%
Harry Maguire19%
Antony18%
Diogo Dalot14%
Hannibal Mejbri14%
Mason Mount12%
Willy Kambwala12%
Kobbie Mainoo12%
André Onana11%
Amad Diallo11%
Alejandro Garnacho10%
Victor Lindelöf9%
Scott McTominay8%
Jonny Evans8%
Raphaël Varane8%
Rasmus Højlund6%
Marcus Rashford5%
Christian Eriksen4%
Jadon Sancho0%
Anthony Martial0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Omari Forson0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Omari Forson25%
Bruno Fernandes24%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka12%
Christian Eriksen12%
Amad Diallo11%
Marcus Rashford11%
Alejandro Garnacho10%
Lisandro Martínez8%
Facundo Pellistri8%
Harry Maguire8%
Casemiro7%
Diogo Dalot7%
Luke Shaw7%
Anthony Martial6%
Rasmus Højlund6%
Scott McTominay5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Jonny Evans4%
Kobbie Mainoo4%
Antony3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Raphaël Varane0%
Mason Mount0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruno Fernandes37%
Alejandro Garnacho26%
Casemiro11%
Amad Diallo11%
Rasmus Højlund11%
Scott McTominay11%
Marcus Rashford11%
Antony9%
Facundo Pellistri8%
Harry Maguire8%
Diogo Dalot2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Christian Eriksen0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Raphaël Varane0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Anthony Martial0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Mason Mount0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Omari Forson0%
Kobbie Mainoo0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah46%
Diogo Jota46%
Darwin Núñez28%
Luis Díaz25%
Cody Gakpo23%
Alexis Mac Allister15%
Bobby Clark14%
Dominik Szoboszlai12%
Jarell Quansah12%
Andrew Robertson11%
Ryan Gravenberch10%
Trent Alexander-Arnold9%
Harvey Elliott7%
Conor Bradley7%
Wataru Endo5%
Virgil van Dijk5%
Curtis Jones3%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Joël Matip0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Luke Chambers0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Ben Doak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jayden Danns33%
Wataru Endo29%
Darwin Núñez22%
Conor Bradley20%
Trent Alexander-Arnold18%
Alexis Mac Allister18%
Ibrahima Konaté17%
Joël Matip15%
Joe Gomez12%
Curtis Jones10%
Jarell Quansah8%
Diogo Jota8%
Andrew Robertson7%
Virgil van Dijk7%
Luis Díaz7%
Harvey Elliott7%
Mohamed Salah5%
Alisson3%
Dominik Szoboszlai2%
Cody Gakpo2%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Luke Chambers0%
James McConnell0%
Bobby Clark0%
Ben Doak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah24%
Darwin Núñez20%
Trent Alexander-Arnold18%
Harvey Elliott18%
Alexis Mac Allister15%
Bobby Clark14%
Cody Gakpo14%
Conor Bradley13%
Diogo Jota12%
Luis Díaz11%
Konstantinos Tsimikas11%
Curtis Jones10%
Andrew Robertson7%
Joe Gomez7%
Dominik Szoboszlai5%
Virgil van Dijk5%
Ryan Gravenberch3%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joël Matip0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Luke Chambers0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Ben Doak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah49%
Darwin Núñez41%
Cody Gakpo23%
Luis Díaz20%
Diogo Jota15%
Dominik Szoboszlai12%
Trent Alexander-Arnold12%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Harvey Elliott9%
Ryan Gravenberch6%
Alexis Mac Allister5%
Curtis Jones3%
Ibrahima Konaté3%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Joël Matip0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Conor Bradley0%
Luke Chambers0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Bobby Clark0%
Ben Doak0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Manchester United's squad is €50m less valuable than Liverpool's (€929m vs €980m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Manchester United's attack is €86m less valuable than Liverpool's (€432m vs €518m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Manchester United's midfield is €36m more valuable than Liverpool's (€236m vs €201m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Manchester United and Liverpool have a similar defence value (both €261m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Chelsea
Newcastle
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United