Manchester City’s away form is a bright spot, scoring an average of 2.23 goals and conceding only 0.62 against weaker opposition, while United’s recent run of LWWDW and a 0-2 loss to Hull suggest a fragile defence. The model therefore favours an away win, with a 43% chance of City triumphing, a 32% chance of United winning, and a 25% chance of a draw. The expected total of 3.3 goals points to a high-scoring affair, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.2% probability. The model’s selections include an 85.7% chance of under 25.5 fouls, 84.7% for over 1.5 goals, 81.1% for under 11.5 corners, 79.5% for over 2.5 cards, 74.6% for under 5.5 cards, 74.3% for under 23.5 fouls and 71.6% for under 10.5 corners. These picks reflect the expected attacking output and disciplined play from both sides.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, an away win, fell short as Manchester United edged Manchester City 2-1, a result that surprised the Pythia model. The model had given the away side a 43% chance of triumph, but the home side’s recent form - just a single defeat in five games - proved decisive. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 25.5 fouls at 85.7%, Over 1.5 at 84.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 81.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 79.5%, Under 5.5 cards at 74.6%, Under 23.5 fouls at 74.3%, and Under 10.5 corners at 71.6%. The final score of 2-1 matched the model’s most likely 1-2 outcome, yet the predicted winner was wrong.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manchester United win✓ Hit
32.3%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.98
Edge
+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.92
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester City win✗ Miss
42.7%
Avg Implied 51.1% · @ 1.89
Edge
-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manchester United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.27
1.86
0.57
1.19
1.88
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
6.00
-
-
3.00
6.00
vs Similar (19)
1.21
1.37
1.73
0.55
0.50
2.50
vs Weaker (10)
1.90
0.60
2.33
0.67
1.71
0.57
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester City
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.87
0.80
3.56
0.94
2.07
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (29)
2.97
0.79
3.56
0.94
2.23
0.62
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.3%
@ 1.68+6.3%
Under 2.5
36.7%
@ 2.22-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.1%
Under 3.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.4%
No
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-1 ✓
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
1-3
5.2%
0-0
4.8%
Manchester United goals ↓
Manchester City goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
5.7%
5.9%
3.4%
1.5%
1
4.8%
11%
8.9%
5.2%
2.3%
2
4.4%
7.6%
6.7%
3.9%
1.7%
3
2.2%
3.8%
3.4%
2.0%
0.9%
4
0.8%
1.4%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester United goals (down), columns = Manchester City goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Manchester United is 0.37 points worse than Manchester City in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 2.34).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Manchester United is 0.95 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 2.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Manchester United is 0.26 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 0.87).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Manchester United is 11.6 percentage points worse than Manchester City in terms of average possession (54% vs 66%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manchester United
For 5.5 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 7.6 · Total 18.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester City
For 6.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 9.1 · Total 18.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.7
10.0
3.5
3.0
3.9
19.1
18.1
20.1
vs Stronger (2)
9.0
-
9.0
2.0
-
2.0
18.0
-
18.0
vs Similar (29)
10.5
10.9
10.0
4.0
3.3
4.8
20.0
19.1
21.1
vs Weaker (19)
10.1
10.1
10.1
2.8
2.2
3.2
18.0
16.1
19.4
% over line
56%
62%
50%
52%
50%
54%
30%
25%
35%
% under line
44%
38%
50%
48%
50%
46%
70%
75%
65%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.3
9.7
2.9
2.8
2.9
17.1
17.1
17.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
8.7
5.0
10.5
5.0
5.0
5.0
18.3
20.0
17.5
vs Weaker (47)
10.1
10.6
9.6
2.7
2.8
2.7
17.0
17.0
17.0
% over line
54%
62%
46%
36%
31%
42%
12%
15%
8%
% under line
46%
38%
54%
64%
69%
58%
88%
85%
92%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Southampton
10.8
Brentford
10.7
Brighton
10.7
Aston Villa
10.7
Fulham
10.6
Liverpool
10.4
Everton
10.4
Tottenham
10.3
Manchester United
10.3
Bournemouth
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.2
Leicester
10.1
Manchester City
10.0
Wolves
9.9
West Ham
9.9
Newcastle
9.8
Chelsea
9.8
Arsenal
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Crystal Palace
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.7
Leeds
4.3
Everton
4.3
Aston Villa
4.2
Newcastle
4.1
Brighton
4.0
Bournemouth
4.0
Tottenham
4.0
Crystal Palace
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Fulham
3.9
Chelsea
3.8
Arsenal
3.7
Manchester United
3.5
Southampton
3.3
Brentford
3.0
West Ham
3.0
Manchester City
2.9
Leicester
2.9
Liverpool
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.6
Aston Villa
23.8
Nottingham Forest
23.7
Leeds
23.5
Chelsea
22.6
Bournemouth
21.5
Newcastle
21.1
Everton
20.6
Brighton
20.6
Leicester
20.6
Fulham
20.6
Southampton
20.5
Arsenal
20.5
Tottenham
20.1
Wolves
20.0
Brentford
19.4
Manchester United
19.1
Liverpool
17.9
West Ham
17.5
Manchester City
17.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
40.2%
Under 9.5
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
61.2%
Under 3.5
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
41.0%
Under 21.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manchester United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.71
0.21
0.56
1.12
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
4.00
-
-
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.74
0.64
0.18
0.38
1.50
vs Weaker (10)
0.90
0.30
1.00
0.33
0.86
0.29
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester City
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.40
1.56
0.44
0.71
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (29)
1.21
0.41
1.56
0.44
0.77
0.38
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manchester United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.57
1.14
0.36
0.62
0.75
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
2.00
-
-
3.00
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.63
1.09
0.36
0.12
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
0.30
1.33
0.33
0.86
0.29
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester City
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
0.40
2.00
0.50
1.36
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (29)
1.76
0.38
2.00
0.50
1.46
0.23
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcus Rashford45%
Anthony Martial25%
Jadon Sancho19%
Cristiano Ronaldo19%
Bruno Fernandes19%
Antony18%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Casemiro10%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Fred7%
Scott McTominay6%
Diogo Dalot6%
Wout Weghorst4%
Christian Eriksen3%
Lisandro Martínez3%
Luke Shaw2%
Donny van de Beek0%
Raphaël Varane0%
David De Gea0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Harry Maguire0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Anthony Elanga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Facundo Pellistri29%
Scott McTominay26%
Casemiro25%
Luke Shaw25%
Lisandro Martínez24%
Tyrell Malacia23%
Harry Maguire22%
Antony21%
Diogo Dalot19%
Cristiano Ronaldo19%
Bruno Fernandes19%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Fred16%
Wout Weghorst9%
Christian Eriksen8%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka8%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Raphaël Varane7%
Marcus Rashford5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Jadon Sancho0%
Donny van de Beek0%
David De Gea0%
Anthony Martial0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Eriksen28%
Bruno Fernandes21%
Marcus Rashford14%
Cristiano Ronaldo12%
Anthony Martial12%
Casemiro10%
Luke Shaw10%
Jadon Sancho8%
Alejandro Garnacho8%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Fred7%
Antony6%
Diogo Dalot6%
Anthony Elanga5%
Wout Weghorst4%
Donny van de Beek0%
Raphaël Varane0%
David De Gea0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Scott McTominay0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Harry Maguire0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cristiano Ronaldo44%
Marcus Rashford43%
Antony38%
Bruno Fernandes19%
Casemiro15%
Wout Weghorst9%
Marcel Sabitzer7%
Fred5%
Anthony Martial4%
Alejandro Garnacho4%
Scott McTominay3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Christian Eriksen0%
Donny van de Beek0%
Raphaël Varane0%
David De Gea0%
Diogo Dalot0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Harry Maguire0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland63%
Julián Álvarez27%
Phil Foden25%
Kevin De Bruyne19%
Riyad Mahrez18%
İlkay Gündoğan16%
Bernardo Silva13%
Jack Grealish12%
John Stones10%
João Cancelo9%
Rodri8%
Rico Lewis6%
Nathan Aké3%
Rúben Dias3%
Manuel Akanji2%
Sergio Gómez0%
Ederson0%
Aymeric Laporte0%
Kyle Walker0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Cole Palmer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
João Cancelo17%
Bernardo Silva15%
Rúben Dias13%
Erling Haaland13%
Rodri12%
Jack Grealish12%
Ederson11%
Manuel Akanji10%
Kyle Walker9%
İlkay Gündoğan9%
Nathan Aké9%
Kalvin Phillips7%
John Stones6%
Aymeric Laporte6%
Rico Lewis6%
Cole Palmer6%
Riyad Mahrez5%
Phil Foden5%
Kevin De Bruyne5%
Julián Álvarez2%
Sergio Gómez0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kevin De Bruyne45%
Riyad Mahrez28%
Jack Grealish17%
Erling Haaland15%
Phil Foden15%
İlkay Gündoğan14%
João Cancelo13%
Bernardo Silva13%
Rodri12%
John Stones10%
Sergio Gómez6%
Cole Palmer6%
Manuel Akanji2%
Julián Álvarez2%
Ederson2%
Rúben Dias0%
Aymeric Laporte0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Rico Lewis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland54%
Kevin De Bruyne26%
Jack Grealish15%
Julián Álvarez12%
İlkay Gündoğan11%
Phil Foden10%
Riyad Mahrez8%
Rodri6%
Cole Palmer6%
João Cancelo4%
Rúben Dias3%
Manuel Akanji2%
Bernardo Silva2%
Sergio Gómez0%
Ederson0%
Aymeric Laporte0%
John Stones0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Rico Lewis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Manchester United's squad is €396m less valuable than Manchester City's (€929m vs €1326m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Manchester United's attack is €204m less valuable than Manchester City's (€432m vs €635m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Manchester United's midfield is €76m more valuable than Manchester City's (€236m vs €160m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Manchester United's defence is €270m less valuable than Manchester City's (€261m vs €531m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Newcastle
Liverpool
Brighton
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Wolves
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Leicester
Leeds
Southampton