Manchester City are the clear favourites, with a 50% chance of victory, a 26% chance of a draw and a 24% chance of a United win. The model predicts a 2.9-goal encounter, most likely yielding a 1-1 draw. City’s away form is strong against weaker teams, scoring an average of 2.17 goals and conceding only 0.83, while United’s home record shows a modest 1.5-goal average. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 88.8%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.5%, Over 1.5 goals at 79.5%, Under 25.5 fouls at 75.9%, Over 3.5 cards at 75.7%, Under 10.5 corners at 73.3% and Over 19.5 fouls at 71.4%. The match is set for a high-scoring, card-laden affair, with City poised to secure the win.
Results analysis
The 0-3 away win extends Manchester City’s two-game winning run and confirms the model’s favourite, the away win, which it predicted with a 50% probability. The final score of 0-3 was exactly the result the model expected, and the pre-match favourite was correct. The model’s selections performed largely well: Over 2.5 cards hit at 88.8%, Over 1.5 hit at 79.5%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 75.9%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 75.7%, while Under 11.5 corners, Under 10.5 corners and Over 19.5 fouls all missed, with probabilities of 82.5%, 73.3% and 71.4% respectively. The most likely score of 1-1, 1-2 or 0-1 did not materialise, but the overall prediction of an away victory proved accurate.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manchester United win✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied 17.6% · @ 5.48
Edge
+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied 22.7% · @ 4.25
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester City win✓ Hit
50.2%
Avg Implied 59.6% · @ 1.62
Edge
-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manchester United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.37
1.75
0.94
0.93
1.86
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
4.00
-
-
3.00
4.00
vs Similar (18)
1.17
1.61
1.67
1.22
0.67
2.00
vs Weaker (11)
1.55
0.73
1.86
0.57
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester City
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.43
0.67
3.00
0.47
1.87
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
2.25
0.62
3.20
0.40
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
2.50
0.68
2.90
0.50
2.17
0.83
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.1%
@ 1.68-1.9%
Under 2.5
44.9%
@ 2.23+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.4%
No
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
6.7%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
Manchester United goals ↓
Manchester City goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
8.6%
8.4%
4.9%
2.1%
1
5.3%
12%
9.7%
5.6%
2.4%
2
3.7%
6.4%
5.6%
3.2%
1.4%
3
1.4%
2.4%
2.1%
1.2%
0.5%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester United goals (down), columns = Manchester City goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Manchester United is 0.82 points worse than Manchester City in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 2.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Manchester United is 1.03 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 2.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Manchester United is 0.63 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 0.89).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Manchester United is 15.0 percentage points worse than Manchester City in terms of average possession (51% vs 66%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manchester United
For 6.5 · Against 5.8 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.1 · Total 20.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester City
For 6.5 · Against 2.9 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.6 · Against 11.5 · Total 19.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.3
11.2
3.7
3.9
3.6
20.0
20.5
19.4
vs Stronger (4)
7.2
3.0
11.5
4.0
4.5
3.5
20.8
22.5
19.0
vs Similar (31)
11.2
11.6
10.8
3.9
4.1
3.8
19.3
20.2
18.2
vs Weaker (15)
12.4
12.7
12.0
3.2
3.3
3.0
21.4
20.6
22.7
% over line
72%
70%
74%
54%
56%
52%
36%
37%
35%
% under line
28%
30%
26%
46%
44%
48%
64%
63%
65%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.2
8.7
3.9
4.2
3.7
20.6
21.1
20.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
8.7
8.2
9.2
4.7
3.8
5.6
22.7
24.8
20.6
vs Weaker (40)
8.9
9.4
8.5
3.8
4.3
3.3
20.0
20.2
19.9
% over line
46%
50%
42%
56%
58%
54%
36%
42%
31%
% under line
54%
50%
58%
44%
42%
46%
64%
58%
69%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
11.3
Newcastle
11.1
West Ham
11.0
Bournemouth
11.0
Everton
10.9
Tottenham
10.7
Sheffield United
10.5
Luton
10.5
Wolves
10.2
Fulham
10.1
Burnley
10.1
Liverpool
10.1
Arsenal
10.0
Nottingham Forest
9.9
Brentford
9.8
Aston Villa
9.8
Chelsea
9.8
Brighton
9.7
Crystal Palace
9.7
Manchester City
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.6
Wolves
4.6
Brighton
4.5
Tottenham
4.4
Crystal Palace
4.3
Aston Villa
4.3
Burnley
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.1
Newcastle
4.1
Sheffield United
4.1
Manchester City
4.0
Everton
4.0
Fulham
3.8
Luton
3.8
Arsenal
3.7
Manchester United
3.7
Brentford
3.5
Bournemouth
3.4
Liverpool
3.2
West Ham
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.5
Aston Villa
24.1
Chelsea
23.4
Wolves
23.0
Brighton
23.0
Tottenham
22.8
Luton
22.7
Newcastle
22.5
Nottingham Forest
22.2
Fulham
21.8
Bournemouth
21.1
Burnley
21.0
Arsenal
20.9
Everton
20.9
Liverpool
20.7
Brentford
20.6
Manchester City
20.6
Sheffield United
20.3
Manchester United
20.0
West Ham
19.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
38.3%
Under 9.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.7%
Under 3.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
55.1%
Under 21.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manchester United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.50
0.67
0.67
0.56
0.33
vs Weaker (11)
0.73
0.36
0.86
0.29
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester City
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.27
1.47
0.20
0.60
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.25
1.20
0.20
0.00
0.33
vs Weaker (22)
1.14
0.27
1.60
0.20
0.75
0.33
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manchester United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.87
1.00
0.44
0.43
1.36
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
2.00
-
-
3.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.56
1.11
1.00
0.56
0.11
1.67
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.36
1.00
0.29
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester City
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.40
1.53
0.27
1.27
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.50
0.38
2.00
0.20
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (22)
1.36
0.41
1.30
0.30
1.42
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rasmus Højlund33%
Bruno Fernandes24%
Marcus Rashford19%
Scott McTominay16%
Hannibal Mejbri14%
Alejandro Garnacho12%
Harry Maguire12%
Kobbie Mainoo12%
Amad Diallo11%
Casemiro7%
Mason Mount6%
Anthony Martial6%
Diogo Dalot5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Christian Eriksen4%
Raphaël Varane4%
Antony3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Omari Forson0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luke Shaw50%
Lisandro Martínez33%
Sofyan Amrabat31%
Casemiro30%
Sergio Reguilón27%
Bruno Fernandes27%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka20%
Harry Maguire19%
Antony18%
Diogo Dalot14%
Hannibal Mejbri14%
Mason Mount12%
Willy Kambwala12%
Kobbie Mainoo12%
André Onana11%
Amad Diallo11%
Alejandro Garnacho10%
Victor Lindelöf9%
Scott McTominay8%
Jonny Evans8%
Raphaël Varane8%
Rasmus Højlund6%
Marcus Rashford5%
Christian Eriksen4%
Jadon Sancho0%
Anthony Martial0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Omari Forson0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Omari Forson25%
Bruno Fernandes24%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka12%
Christian Eriksen12%
Amad Diallo11%
Marcus Rashford11%
Alejandro Garnacho10%
Lisandro Martínez8%
Facundo Pellistri8%
Harry Maguire8%
Casemiro7%
Diogo Dalot7%
Luke Shaw7%
Anthony Martial6%
Rasmus Højlund6%
Scott McTominay5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Jonny Evans4%
Kobbie Mainoo4%
Antony3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Raphaël Varane0%
Mason Mount0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruno Fernandes37%
Alejandro Garnacho26%
Casemiro11%
Amad Diallo11%
Rasmus Højlund11%
Scott McTominay11%
Marcus Rashford11%
Antony9%
Facundo Pellistri8%
Harry Maguire8%
Diogo Dalot2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Christian Eriksen0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Raphaël Varane0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Anthony Martial0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Mason Mount0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Omari Forson0%
Kobbie Mainoo0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland52%
Phil Foden40%
Julián Álvarez33%
Kevin De Bruyne25%
Rodri21%
Bernardo Silva17%
Kalvin Phillips12%
Joško Gvardiol12%
Jérémy Doku11%
Oscar Bobb11%
Jack Grealish11%
Manuel Akanji11%
Rico Lewis9%
Nathan Aké6%
John Stones5%
Mateo Kovačić3%
Sergio Gómez0%
Rúben Dias0%
Ederson0%
Kyle Walker0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Matheus Nunes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jack Grealish25%
Rodri24%
Bernardo Silva22%
Manuel Akanji13%
Ederson12%
Kalvin Phillips12%
Joško Gvardiol12%
Mateo Kovačić11%
Kevin De Bruyne10%
John Stones9%
Jérémy Doku8%
Kyle Walker5%
Rúben Dias5%
Phil Foden5%
Julián Álvarez5%
Rico Lewis4%
Erling Haaland2%
Sergio Gómez0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Matheus Nunes0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kevin De Bruyne50%
Phil Foden23%
Rodri21%
Julián Álvarez21%
Bernardo Silva17%
Jérémy Doku17%
Erling Haaland15%
Rico Lewis13%
Matheus Nunes12%
Jack Grealish11%
Sergio Gómez9%
Kyle Walker8%
Joško Gvardiol6%
Nathan Aké6%
Oscar Bobb6%
John Stones5%
Manuel Akanji0%
Rúben Dias0%
Ederson0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland57%
Phil Foden37%
Kevin De Bruyne35%
Julián Álvarez26%
Rodri19%
Matheus Nunes12%
Jérémy Doku8%
Joško Gvardiol6%
Bernardo Silva5%
Jack Grealish4%
Mateo Kovačić3%
Rúben Dias3%
Manuel Akanji0%
Sergio Gómez0%
Ederson0%
John Stones0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Rico Lewis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Manchester United's squad is €396m less valuable than Manchester City's (€929m vs €1326m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Manchester United's attack is €204m less valuable than Manchester City's (€432m vs €635m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Manchester United's midfield is €76m more valuable than Manchester City's (€236m vs €160m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Manchester United's defence is €270m less valuable than Manchester City's (€261m vs €531m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Chelsea
Newcastle
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United