Manchester City are the clear favourites to win this derby, with the model assigning a 49% chance to an away victory, compared with 25% for a United win and 26% for a draw. The average number of goals expected is 2.9, but the most likely total is two, a 24% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.2% chance. City, playing away against a weaker side, have averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded, while United’s home form data is not provided in the model. The suggested selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 93%, Under 23.5 fouls at 85.4%, Over 1.5 at 79.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 79.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 75.2%, and Under 21.5 fouls at 73.3%. The model’s picks reflect a high confidence in low fouls and cards, with a moderate chance of a 1-1 outcome.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Manchester City, failed to deliver, as the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s pick of an away win incorrect. Manchester United were coming off a defeat, while City were on a two-game winning run, yet neither side managed a goal. The model had given City a 49% chance to win, with a 26% draw probability and a 25% home win chance. The model’s other selections were mixed: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 93%, Under 23.5 fouls hit at 85.4%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 79.5%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 76.6%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 75.2%, while Over 1.5 missed at 79.8% and Under 21.5 fouls missed at 73.3%. The match confirmed the model’s prediction of a low-scoring game, with the most likely scoreline of 1-1 at 12.2% and 1-2 at 9.6% proving inaccurate.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manchester United win✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied 28.3% · @ 3.39
Edge
-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.9%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.67
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester City win✗ Miss
49.4%
Avg Implied 45.5% · @ 2.11
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manchester United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.40
1.93
1.53
1.33
1.27
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.33
1.83
1.60
2.00
1.00
1.62
vs Weaker (11)
2.09
0.73
2.60
0.60
1.67
0.83
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester City
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.60
2.60
1.40
1.53
1.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.86
3.00
1.00
2.50
0.80
3.20
vs Weaker (23)
2.43
1.17
2.85
1.23
1.90
1.10
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.6%
@ 1.65-2.4%
Under 2.5
44.4%
@ 2.27+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.2%
Under 3.5
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.0%
No
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.4%
0-2
8.2%
0-0 ✓
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
Manchester United goals ↓
Manchester City goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
8.4%
8.2%
4.7%
2.1%
1
5.3%
12%
9.6%
5.6%
2.4%
2
3.8%
6.5%
5.7%
3.3%
1.4%
3
1.5%
2.6%
2.2%
1.3%
0.6%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester United goals (down), columns = Manchester City goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Manchester United is 0.76 points worse than Manchester City in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.87).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Manchester United is 0.74 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.89).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Manchester United is 0.26 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.16).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Manchester United is 7.2 percentage points worse than Manchester City in terms of average possession (54% vs 61%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manchester United
For 6.0 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 11.4 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester City
For 4.6 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.8 · Against 8.6 · Total 16.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.9
10.3
3.5
3.8
3.3
20.6
21.0
20.3
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
-
10.0
2.0
-
2.0
19.0
-
19.0
vs Similar (33)
10.5
9.9
11.3
3.9
4.6
3.2
21.1
21.9
20.2
vs Weaker (16)
9.0
9.8
8.4
2.8
2.1
3.7
19.5
18.0
20.6
% over line
55%
59%
50%
52%
54%
50%
50%
55%
45%
% under line
45%
41%
50%
48%
46%
50%
50%
45%
55%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.0
10.7
3.0
3.0
3.1
17.0
17.0
17.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
10.7
10.0
11.2
2.9
2.2
3.3
16.7
16.5
16.8
vs Weaker (40)
10.2
9.9
10.6
3.0
3.1
3.0
17.1
17.2
17.1
% over line
61%
64%
59%
40%
44%
36%
14%
9%
18%
% under line
39%
36%
41%
60%
56%
64%
86%
91%
82%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.3
Bournemouth
11.4
Brentford
10.9
Newcastle
10.9
Everton
10.9
Fulham
10.7
Ipswich
10.7
Nottingham Forest
10.7
Liverpool
10.6
Manchester United
10.6
Southampton
10.5
Manchester City
10.4
Crystal Palace
10.3
Brighton
10.1
Aston Villa
9.9
Wolves
9.8
Leicester
9.8
Chelsea
9.8
West Ham
9.7
Arsenal
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.9
Bournemouth
4.7
Aston Villa
4.7
Brighton
4.5
Wolves
4.5
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Newcastle
4.3
Southampton
4.2
Tottenham
4.2
Arsenal
4.1
Liverpool
4.1
Leicester
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Manchester United
4.0
West Ham
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.8
Ipswich
3.8
Brentford
3.6
Everton
3.5
Manchester City
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.2
Wolves
23.9
Tottenham
23.9
Aston Villa
23.7
Southampton
23.3
Brighton
23.2
Newcastle
22.8
Ipswich
22.7
Crystal Palace
22.5
Chelsea
22.5
West Ham
22.1
Everton
21.7
Leicester
21.6
Nottingham Forest
21.6
Arsenal
21.6
Liverpool
20.9
Fulham
20.7
Manchester United
20.6
Brentford
19.0
Manchester City
17.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.0%
Under 9.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.4%
Under 3.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
26.7%
Under 21.5
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manchester United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.80
0.87
0.13
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.78
0.80
1.00
0.12
0.50
vs Weaker (11)
0.45
0.45
0.80
0.60
0.17
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester City
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
1.33
0.60
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.14
0.86
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.80
vs Weaker (23)
1.13
0.48
1.46
0.54
0.70
0.40
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manchester United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.73
1.13
0.67
1.20
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.83
1.06
0.80
1.00
0.88
1.12
vs Weaker (11)
1.64
0.27
1.80
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester City
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.03
1.27
0.80
1.07
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
2.14
0.50
1.50
0.80
2.40
vs Weaker (23)
1.30
0.70
1.38
0.69
1.20
0.70
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruno Fernandes27%
Marcus Rashford22%
Amad Diallo19%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Rasmus Højlund15%
Joshua Zirkzee12%
Christian Eriksen11%
Harry Maguire10%
Casemiro10%
Jonny Evans8%
Mason Mount8%
Antony7%
Lisandro Martínez6%
Diogo Dalot6%
Kobbie Mainoo6%
Matthijs de Ligt5%
Manuel Ugarte4%
Leny Yoro3%
André Onana0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Toby Collyer0%
Patrick Dorgu0%
Chido Obi-Martin0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Harry Amass0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Manuel Ugarte33%
Lisandro Martínez29%
Harry Maguire26%
Tyrell Malacia25%
Leny Yoro21%
Patrick Dorgu20%
Casemiro20%
Kobbie Mainoo19%
Mason Mount19%
Marcus Rashford17%
Jonny Evans17%
Ayden Heaven17%
Bruno Fernandes14%
Amad Diallo14%
Diogo Dalot13%
Chido Obi-Martin12%
Matthijs de Ligt12%
Christian Eriksen11%
Noussair Mazraoui11%
Altay Bayındır10%
Alejandro Garnacho9%
Luke Shaw8%
Toby Collyer8%
Joshua Zirkzee6%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Rasmus Højlund4%
André Onana2%
Antony0%
Harry Amass0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Fernandes25%
Amad Diallo17%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Marcus Rashford13%
Christian Eriksen11%
Manuel Ugarte11%
Diogo Dalot10%
Lisandro Martínez6%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Rasmus Højlund4%
Noussair Mazraoui4%
Leny Yoro3%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Harry Maguire3%
Casemiro2%
André Onana0%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Antony0%
Jonny Evans0%
Mason Mount0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Toby Collyer0%
Patrick Dorgu0%
Chido Obi-Martin0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Harry Amass0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alejandro Garnacho32%
Bruno Fernandes29%
Casemiro15%
Antony14%
Marcus Rashford13%
Chido Obi-Martin12%
Amad Diallo12%
Rasmus Højlund12%
Harry Maguire8%
Patrick Dorgu5%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Diogo Dalot4%
Mason Mount4%
Christian Eriksen3%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Matthijs de Ligt2%
André Onana0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Toby Collyer0%
Leny Yoro0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Harry Amass0%
Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland51%
Omar Marmoush27%
Nico O’Reilly22%
James McAtee19%
Phil Foden18%
Kevin De Bruyne15%
John Stones15%
Mateo Kovačić15%
Jérémy Doku14%
Nico González12%
Joško Gvardiol12%
Abdukodir Khusanov11%
Matheus Nunes11%
Jack Grealish9%
Bernardo Silva8%
İlkay Gündoğan6%
Rico Lewis5%
Savinho5%
Manuel Akanji0%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
Ederson0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nico González25%
Abdukodir Khusanov22%
Bernardo Silva19%
Rúben Dias18%
Kyle Walker17%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey17%
Matheus Nunes16%
Jack Grealish16%
James McAtee15%
Mateo Kovačić15%
Ederson11%
Nico O’Reilly11%
John Stones10%
Stefan Ortega10%
Rico Lewis10%
Savinho9%
Manuel Akanji8%
Kevin De Bruyne8%
Erling Haaland5%
Phil Foden4%
İlkay Gündoğan4%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Jérémy Doku3%
Rodri0%
Nathan Aké0%
Omar Marmoush0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Vitor Reis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matheus Nunes24%
Jérémy Doku22%
Savinho20%
Kevin De Bruyne18%
Jack Grealish12%
İlkay Gündoğan12%
Rico Lewis12%
Ederson11%
Phil Foden11%
Erling Haaland9%
Bernardo Silva8%
Mateo Kovačić7%
Nico O’Reilly6%
John Stones5%
Omar Marmoush5%
Manuel Akanji3%
Joško Gvardiol2%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
James McAtee0%
Nico González0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland58%
Omar Marmoush36%
Phil Foden20%
Kevin De Bruyne18%
James McAtee12%
Savinho11%
Jérémy Doku11%
İlkay Gündoğan8%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Jack Grealish3%
Manuel Akanji3%
Matheus Nunes3%
Rúben Dias2%
Mateo Kovačić2%
Rico Lewis2%
Bernardo Silva2%
Rodri0%
Ederson0%
John Stones0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Nico González0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Nico O’Reilly0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Manchester United's squad is €396m less valuable than Manchester City's (€929m vs €1326m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Manchester United's attack is €204m less valuable than Manchester City's (€432m vs €635m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Manchester United's midfield is €76m more valuable than Manchester City's (€236m vs €160m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Manchester United's defence is €270m less valuable than Manchester City's (€261m vs €531m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Liverpool
Arsenal
Chelsea
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Wolves
Tottenham
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton