Manchester United are tipped to lift the trophy at Old Trafford, with the model favouring a home win. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a moderately high-scoring affair, and the most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 12.2% chance. United’s home form shows they average 1.82 goals for and 1.73 against against similar opposition, while West Ham, on the road, averages 1.58 goals scored and 2.0 conceded to comparable teams. The match-result probabilities are 50% for a United win, 26% for a draw, and 25% for a West Ham victory. Suggested picks include Over 8.5 corners at 88.4%, Under 5.5 cards at 85.7%, Over 9.5 corners at 81.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 79.6%, Under 25.5 fouls at 76.2%, Under 4.5 cards at 72.4%, Over 10.5 corners at 71.8%, and Over 19.5 fouls at 71.1%. The model’s selections reflect a strong edge for United’s home advantage and a high likelihood of a busy match.
Results analysis
Manchester United’s victory over West Ham extended their winning run, with a 3-0 final score confirming the model’s home-win prediction. The Pythia model had picked a home win with a 50% probability, and it proved correct. The match also delivered on most of the model’s selections: Over 8.5 corners hit at 88.4%, Under 5.5 cards at 85.7%, Over 9.5 corners at 81.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 79.6%, Under 25.5 fouls at 76.2%, Under 4.5 cards at 72.4%, Over 10.5 corners at 71.8%, while Over 19.5 fouls missed at 71.1%. The game’s 3-0 outcome matched the model’s expectation of a home win, and the selections largely came through.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Manchester United win✓ Hit
49.5%
Avg Implied 62.1% · @ 1.55
Edge
-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied 21.4% · @ 4.49
Edge
+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
West Ham win✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied 16.5% · @ 5.82
Edge
+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Manchester United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.63
1.50
1.50
1.57
1.79
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
2.67
0.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
vs Similar (19)
1.47
1.89
1.82
1.73
1.00
2.12
vs Weaker (8)
1.88
0.62
1.33
0.33
2.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.33
1.71
0.86
1.56
1.75
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
1.75
2.00
2.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (23)
1.57
1.35
1.55
0.64
1.58
2.00
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.67
3.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.6%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.4%
@ 1.59-4.8%
Under 2.5
44.6%
@ 2.40+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.0%
Under 3.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.8%
No
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
Manchester United goals ↓
West Ham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
5.3%
3.7%
1.5%
0.4%
1
8.4%
12%
6.5%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.3%
9.6%
5.6%
2.2%
0.6%
3
4.8%
5.6%
3.2%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.1%
2.4%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manchester United goals (down), columns = West Ham goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Manchester United is 0.21 points better than West Ham in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.37).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Manchester United is 0.08 goals worse than West Ham in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.58).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Manchester United is 0.42 goals better than West Ham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.95).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Manchester United is 9.9 percentage points better than West Ham in terms of average possession (51% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manchester United
For 5.4 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 9.7 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
West Ham
For 2.9 · Against 4.6 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 9.9 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.6
12.4
10.8
4.0
4.0
4.0
20.6
20.5
20.7
vs Stronger (5)
10.2
9.3
11.5
4.2
4.7
3.5
19.0
19.0
19.0
vs Similar (29)
11.4
12.5
10.5
4.2
4.3
4.1
20.3
20.4
20.2
vs Weaker (16)
12.5
13.3
11.4
3.6
3.2
4.1
21.7
21.1
22.4
% over line
70%
72%
68%
56%
56%
56%
38%
36%
40%
% under line
30%
28%
32%
44%
44%
44%
62%
64%
60%
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.6
11.0
3.2
3.0
3.5
19.5
18.8
20.3
vs Stronger (7)
11.1
11.2
11.0
2.7
3.5
1.7
18.4
18.0
19.0
vs Similar (38)
10.0
9.3
10.8
3.4
3.0
3.9
19.7
19.3
20.1
vs Weaker (5)
11.4
9.5
12.7
2.4
2.0
2.7
20.0
15.5
23.0
% over line
54%
52%
56%
42%
44%
40%
34%
28%
40%
% under line
46%
48%
44%
58%
56%
60%
66%
72%
60%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
11.6
Bournemouth
11.5
Tottenham
11.2
Newcastle
10.9
Liverpool
10.5
Everton
10.5
Luton
10.5
West Ham
10.3
Fulham
10.2
Wolves
10.2
Sheffield United
10.1
Chelsea
10.1
Aston Villa
10.0
Brentford
10.0
Burnley
9.9
Nottingham Forest
9.9
Crystal Palace
9.8
Arsenal
9.7
Manchester City
9.6
Brighton
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
5.1
Wolves
4.9
Tottenham
4.8
Brighton
4.8
Aston Villa
4.8
Newcastle
4.5
Crystal Palace
4.2
Sheffield United
4.2
Burnley
4.1
Nottingham Forest
4.0
Manchester City
4.0
Manchester United
4.0
Liverpool
4.0
Everton
3.9
Luton
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Fulham
3.6
Bournemouth
3.6
Arsenal
3.5
West Ham
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.1
Chelsea
24.1
Wolves
24.1
Aston Villa
23.9
Crystal Palace
23.9
Brighton
23.3
Luton
23.0
Newcastle
22.9
Liverpool
22.2
Fulham
21.8
Everton
21.8
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Brentford
21.5
Burnley
21.2
Bournemouth
21.0
Sheffield United
20.7
Arsenal
20.6
Manchester United
20.6
Manchester City
20.5
West Ham
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
81.1%
Under 9.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.5%
Under 3.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
54.8%
Under 21.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manchester United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.50
0.81
0.71
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.79
0.64
1.00
0.62
0.50
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.25
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.79
0.21
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.52
0.82
0.18
0.42
0.83
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manchester United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.97
1.00
0.69
0.86
1.29
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
0.00
1.50
3.00
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.84
1.11
1.18
0.73
0.38
1.62
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.38
1.00
0.00
1.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
West Ham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.87
0.93
0.64
1.06
1.06
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
1.00
1.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.96
0.83
0.73
0.45
1.17
1.17
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.67
3.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 8.5 corners
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 10.5 corners
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rasmus Højlund33%
Bruno Fernandes24%
Marcus Rashford19%
Scott McTominay16%
Hannibal Mejbri14%
Alejandro Garnacho12%
Harry Maguire12%
Kobbie Mainoo12%
Amad Diallo11%
Casemiro7%
Mason Mount6%
Anthony Martial6%
Diogo Dalot5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Christian Eriksen4%
Raphaël Varane4%
Antony3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Omari Forson0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luke Shaw50%
Lisandro Martínez33%
Sofyan Amrabat31%
Casemiro30%
Sergio Reguilón27%
Bruno Fernandes27%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka20%
Harry Maguire19%
Antony18%
Diogo Dalot14%
Hannibal Mejbri14%
Mason Mount12%
Willy Kambwala12%
Kobbie Mainoo12%
André Onana11%
Amad Diallo11%
Alejandro Garnacho10%
Victor Lindelöf9%
Scott McTominay8%
Jonny Evans8%
Raphaël Varane8%
Rasmus Højlund6%
Marcus Rashford5%
Christian Eriksen4%
Jadon Sancho0%
Anthony Martial0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Omari Forson0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Omari Forson25%
Bruno Fernandes24%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka12%
Christian Eriksen12%
Amad Diallo11%
Marcus Rashford11%
Alejandro Garnacho10%
Lisandro Martínez8%
Facundo Pellistri8%
Harry Maguire8%
Casemiro7%
Diogo Dalot7%
Luke Shaw7%
Anthony Martial6%
Rasmus Højlund6%
Scott McTominay5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Jonny Evans4%
Kobbie Mainoo4%
Antony3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Raphaël Varane0%
Mason Mount0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruno Fernandes37%
Alejandro Garnacho26%
Casemiro11%
Amad Diallo11%
Rasmus Højlund11%
Scott McTominay11%
Marcus Rashford11%
Antony9%
Facundo Pellistri8%
Harry Maguire8%
Diogo Dalot2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Christian Eriksen0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Raphaël Varane0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Anthony Martial0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Mason Mount0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Omari Forson0%
Kobbie Mainoo0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
West Ham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jarrod Bowen37%
George Earthy25%
Mohammed Kudus24%
Michail Antonio22%
Lucas Paquetá20%
Tomáš Souček19%
James Ward-Prowse15%
Kurt Zouma8%
Maxwel Cornet8%
Nayef Aguerd7%
Aaron Cresswell6%
Edson Álvarez5%
Danny Ings4%
Konstantinos Mavropanos4%
Emerson Palmieri2%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Ben Johnson0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Saïd Benrahma0%
Divin Mubama0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edson Álvarez37%
Thilo Kehrer33%
Lucas Paquetá32%
Emerson Palmieri30%
Michail Antonio25%
Kalvin Phillips20%
Tomáš Souček17%
Mohammed Kudus17%
Vladimír Coufal16%
Angelo Ogbonna14%
Aaron Cresswell12%
Kurt Zouma11%
Jarrod Bowen10%
James Ward-Prowse9%
Nayef Aguerd7%
Konstantinos Mavropanos7%
Ben Johnson6%
Saïd Benrahma6%
Pablo Fornals5%
Danny Ings4%
Alphonse Aréola3%
Maxwel Cornet0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Divin Mubama0%
George Earthy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jarrod Bowen24%
James Ward-Prowse17%
Vladimír Coufal16%
Mohammed Kudus14%
Lucas Paquetá10%
Maxwel Cornet8%
Tomáš Souček6%
Michail Antonio6%
Saïd Benrahma6%
Edson Álvarez5%
Emerson Palmieri5%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Kurt Zouma0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Ben Johnson0%
Danny Ings0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Divin Mubama0%
George Earthy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jarrod Bowen37%
Mohammed Kudus14%
Saïd Benrahma11%
Tomáš Souček9%
Danny Ings8%
Lucas Paquetá8%
Michail Antonio6%
Nayef Aguerd4%
Konstantinos Mavropanos4%
Emerson Palmieri2%
James Ward-Prowse2%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Maxwel Cornet0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Kurt Zouma0%
Edson Álvarez0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Ben Johnson0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Divin Mubama0%
George Earthy0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Manchester United's squad is €655m more valuable than West Ham's (€929m vs €274m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Manchester United's attack is €347m more valuable than West Ham's (€432m vs €84m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Manchester United's midfield is €188m more valuable than West Ham's (€236m vs €48m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Manchester United's defence is €120m more valuable than West Ham's (€261m vs €141m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Chelsea
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United