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Marek vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa Result & Analysis

Date: 13/09/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Marek
Marek
Vs
43%
33%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marek win✗ Miss
42.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
33.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MarekMarek

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W20W03L10W00D00D13L01L12LA·SPA11/05H·NES17/05A·LUD24/05A·LOK30/05H·LUD26/07H·SPO02/08A·SEV09/08H·FRA16/08A·YAN24/08H·FK 01/09← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.971.310.750.711.21
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (29)1.031.001.330.800.711.21
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W20W11D12L12L10W10W00D21W01LA·CSK11/05H·SPA17/05A·NES24/05H·VIH26/07A·DUN02/08H·BEL09/08A·PIR16/08H·CHE23/08A·HEB30/08H·ETA06/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.971.380.810.931.14
vs Stronger (12)1.671.251.861.141.401.40
vs Similar (18)0.830.781.000.560.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Marek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%16%025%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
58.8%
Under 1.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
30.4%
Under 2.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.0%
Under 3.5
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.4%
No
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.8%
1-0
15.3%
1-1 ✓
14.4%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
Marek goals ↓
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa goals →
01234
016%10%4.5%1.2%0.2%
115%14%5.1%1.4%0.3%
29.5%7.5%2.9%0.8%0.2%
33.6%2.8%1.1%0.3%0.1%
41.0%0.8%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Marek goals (down), columns = Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunav Ruse
2.16
Yantra 2019
2.00
Fratria
1.97
Vihren
1.81
CSKA Sofia II
1.72
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.44
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.38
Marek
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.25
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.09
Sportist Svoge
1.06
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
Sevlievo
1.00
FK Minyor Pernik
0.94
Belasitsa
0.59
Marek is 0.25 points better than Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fratria
1.91
Vihren
1.84
CSKA Sofia II
1.78
Dunav Ruse
1.66
Yantra 2019
1.41
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.28
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.22
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.19
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.16
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
FK Minyor Pernik
1.00
Sevlievo
0.91
Sportist Svoge
0.88
Marek
0.84
Belasitsa
0.81
Marek is 0.19 goals worse than Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa in terms of goals scored per game (0.84 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunav Ruse
0.50
Yantra 2019
0.75
Fratria
0.91
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Vihren
1.06
Marek
1.09
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.34
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.34
FK Minyor Pernik
1.41
Spartak Pleven
1.41
Sportist Svoge
1.50
Hebar 1918
1.59
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.62
Sevlievo
1.62
Belasitsa
1.94
Marek is 0.53 goals better than Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.62).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MarekMarek

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W02L00D00D00D01L00D00DA·SPA11/05H·NES17/05A·LUD24/05A·LOK30/05H·LUD26/07H·SPO02/08A·SEV09/08H·FRA16/08A·YAN24/08H·FK 01/09← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.400.440.250.290.57
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (29)0.340.410.400.270.290.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D10W02L02L10W00D00D20W01LA·CSK11/05H·SPA17/05A·NES24/05H·VIH26/07A·DUN02/08H·BEL09/08A·PIR16/08H·CHE23/08A·HEB30/08H·ETA06/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.470.380.500.500.43
vs Stronger (12)0.500.750.430.860.600.60
vs Similar (18)0.390.280.330.220.440.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Marek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Marek over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MarekMarek

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W01L10W00D00D12L01L12LA·SPA11/05H·NES17/05A·LUD24/05A·LOK30/05H·LUD26/07H·SPO02/08A·SEV09/08H·FRA16/08A·YAN24/08H·FK 01/09← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.570.880.500.430.64
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (29)0.690.590.930.530.430.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D20W01L10W10W00D10W00D01L00DA·CSK11/05H·SPA17/05A·NES24/05H·VIH26/07A·DUN02/08H·BEL09/08A·PIR16/08H·CHE23/08A·HEB30/08H·ETA06/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.501.000.310.430.71
vs Stronger (12)1.170.501.430.290.800.80
vs Similar (18)0.440.500.670.330.220.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Marek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Marek over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.587.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (22)
€4m
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
Marek and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
Marek and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Marek and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (11)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
Marek and Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
MAR wins
0
Draws
1
LGO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Marek vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa · H/A from MAR
DateH/AGameScore
29/03/25ALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa Vs MAR4-1
14/09/24HMAR Vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa2-0

MarekMarek

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/25HMAR Vs FK Minyor Pernik1-2
24/08/25AYantra 2019 Vs MAR1-0
16/08/25HMAR Vs Fratria1-3
09/08/25ASevlievo Vs MAR0-0
02/08/25HMAR Vs Sportist Svoge0-0
26/07/25HMAR Vs Ludogorets II1-0
30/05/25ALokomotiv Plovdiv Vs MAR3-0
24/05/25ALudogorets II Vs MAR0-2
17/05/25HMAR Vs Nesebar1-0
11/05/25ASpartak Pleven Vs MAR2-0

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/09/25HLGO Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo0-1
30/08/25AHebar 1918 Vs LGO1-2
23/08/25HLGO Vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas0-0
16/08/25APirin Blagoevgrad Vs LGO0-1
09/08/25HLGO Vs Belasitsa1-0
02/08/25ADunav Ruse Vs LGO2-1
26/07/25HLGO Vs Vihren1-2
24/05/25ANesebar Vs LGO1-1
17/05/25HLGO Vs Spartak Pleven2-0
11/05/25ACSKA Sofia II Vs LGO2-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Marek
Marek
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLL1.56
HomeWWDLL2.04
AwayLWLDL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%60%24%
AVG goals1.982.001.96
Over 1.5 %62%56%68%
Over 2.5 %30%32%28%
Over 3.5 %14%16%12%
Scored1.061.320.80
Conceded0.920.681.16
BTTS38%36%40%
Clean Sheet44%56%32%
Corners3.00-3.00
Cards3.00-3.00
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.37
HomeWLWDL1.74
AwayWDLWW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%52%26%
AVG goals2.132.132.13
Over 1.5 %63%61%65%
Over 2.5 %37%39%35%
Over 3.5 %15%17%13%
Scored1.071.260.87
Conceded1.070.871.26
BTTS35%35%35%
Clean Sheet33%43%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3269
62%
2.2
5316+37
2.2
69%
38%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.70.5
-
2Yantra 2019Yantra 20193264
56%
2.0
4524+21
2.2
56%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.40.8
-
3FratriaFratria3263
56%
2.0
6129+32
2.8
84%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.90.9
-
4VihrenVihren3258
53%
1.8
5934+25
2.9
72%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.81.1
-
5CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II3255
50%
1.7
5732+25
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
6Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas3246
34%
1.4
3832+6
2.2
69%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.0
-
7Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo3244
34%
1.4
3943-4
2.6
66%
44%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Ludogorets IILudogorets II3241
34%
1.3
4143-2
2.6
69%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.3
-
9MarekMarek3241
31%
1.3
2735-8
1.9
59%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.1
-
10Hebar 1918Hebar 19183240
34%
1.2
4151-10
2.9
84%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.31.6
-
11Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad3238
28%
1.2
3841-3
2.5
66%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.3
-
12Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3235
28%
1.1
3745-8
2.6
75%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
13Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3234
28%
1.1
2848-20
2.4
62%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.91.5
-
14Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa3233
25%
1.0
3352-19
2.7
69%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.6
-
15SevlievoSevlievo3232
28%
1.0
2952-23
2.5
69%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
16FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik3230
22%
0.9
3245-13
2.4
72%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
17BelasitsaBelasitsa3219
12%
0.6
2662-36
2.8
72%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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