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Marek vs Nesebar Result & Analysis

Date: 02/09/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Marek
Marek
Vs
52%
29%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nesebar
Nesebar
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Marek’s home advantage and recent draw-to-win swing make a home win the model’s pick, with a 51% chance, a 29% draw and a 20% chance of a Nesebar victory. The expected total goals hover at 2.3, so the most likely total is two goals, a 28% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for Marek, with a 13.6% chance. Marek’s home form shows 1.58 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opposition, while Nesebar’s away form is 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.0%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.8%), Under 5.5 (97.0%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.9%) and Away under 2.5 goals (95.0%). All probabilities are expressed as percentages.

Results analysis

Marek’s victory over Nesebar, a 1-0 win that extends their recent win, confirmed the Pythia model’s prediction that the home side would triumph. The model had given the home win a 52% probability, and the outcome matched that call. The final score of 1-0 also matched the most likely 1-0 result, which had a 13.7% chance. Every suggested pick from the model hit: Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.0%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.8%), Under 5.5 (97.0%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.7%), and Away under 2.5 goals (95.1%). The model’s selections performed flawlessly in this match.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marek win✓ Hit
51.9%
Avg Implied 54.4% · @ 1.65
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Dafabet
1.68
Superbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.35
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.50
Unibet
3.45
Superbet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Dafabet
3.40
Nesebar win✗ Miss
19.3%
Avg Implied 18.8% · @ 4.78
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
5.30
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.84
BetVictor
4.80
Dafabet
4.80

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MarekMarek

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D30W11D10W10W12L01L01L42W00DA·PIR02/05H·CHE11/05A·HEB15/05H·ETA23/05A·FRA25/07A·SPA01/08A·ETA07/08A·MON16/08H·DOB23/08A·SPO29/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.071.580.750.561.28
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.971.071.580.750.561.28
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Nesebar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NesebarNesebar

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-720W02L01L11D15L13L20W10W70W11DA·BOT08/05H·ETA11/05A·MAR17/05H·LOK24/05H·ETA25/07A·MON04/08H·DOB10/08A·SPO16/08H·PIR23/08H·YAN29/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.431.401.330.731.53
vs Stronger (7)1.431.431.750.751.002.33
vs Similar (23)0.961.431.271.550.671.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Marek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.1%
@ 1.32-0.5%
Under 1.5
31.9%
@ 2.89+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Under
Unibet
3.05
Betfair
3.00
1xBet
2.83
Marathonbet
2.83
Pinnacle
2.81
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.3%
@ 2.09-3.7%
Under 2.5
59.7%
@ 1.64+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Superbet
2.12
Pinnacle
2.11
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Under
Unibet
1.68
Bet365
1.65
Betfair
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.0%
@ 3.69-4.6%
Under 3.5
80.0%
@ 1.20+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.74
Marathonbet
3.74
Superbet
3.60
Unibet
3.35
Under
Unibet
1.23
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.2%
@ 2.00-1.7%
No
55.8%
@ 1.70+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
BetVictor
2.05
Superbet
2.05
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.99
No
William Hil
1.75
Betfair
1.73
1xBet
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.68

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
13.7%@ 5.38+6.7%
1-1
13.3%@ 6.11+7.1%
0-0
11.3%@ 7.70+6.4%
2-0
11.1%@ 6.56+5.3%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.61+4.0%
0-1
7.0%@ 10.08+3.2%
3-0
5.5%@ 11.43+2.2%
1-2
4.9%@ 13.71+2.2%
Marek goals ↓
Nesebar goals →
01234
011%7.0%3.3%0.9%0.2%
114%13%4.9%1.3%0.3%
211%9.0%3.7%1.0%0.2%
35.5%4.5%1.8%0.5%0.1%
42.0%1.7%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Marek goals (down), columns = Nesebar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vihren
2.14
CSKA Sofia II
2.00
Fratria
2.00
Yantra 2019
1.86
Montana
1.57
Beroe
1.57
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.57
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.57
Marek
1.43
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.43
Nesebar
1.43
Rilski Sportist
1.29
Ludogorets II
1.14
Hebar 1918
1.14
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Sportist Svoge
0.86
Dobrudzha
0.71
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.00
Marek and Nesebar are level in average points per game (both 1.43).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
CSKA Sofia II
2.14
Vihren
2.14
Nesebar
1.86
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.86
Montana
1.71
Hebar 1918
1.71
Beroe
1.29
Fratria
1.29
Yantra 2019
1.29
Marek
1.00
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.00
Dobrudzha
1.00
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Ludogorets II
0.71
Sportist Svoge
0.57
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.43
Marek is 0.86 goals worse than Nesebar in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fratria
0.57
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0.57
Marek
0.86
Beroe
0.86
Sportist Svoge
0.86
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Yantra 2019
1.00
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Vihren
1.00
Montana
1.14
Ludogorets II
1.14
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.29
Dobrudzha
1.43
Nesebar
1.43
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.57
Hebar 1918
1.86
Spartak Pleven
2.00
Pirin Blagoevgrad
3.43
Marek is 0.57 goals better than Nesebar in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.43).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Marek or Draw✓ Hit
80.7%
Avg Implied 81.3% · @ 1.12
Edge
-0.6%
52%
29%
19%
covers Marek + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Marek or Nesebar✓ Hit
71.2%
Avg Implied 73.4% · @ 1.24
Edge
-2.2%
52%
29%
19%
covers Marek + Nesebar
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Draw or Nesebar✗ Miss
48.1%
Avg Implied 45.3% · @ 2.01
Edge
+2.8%
52%
29%
19%
covers Draw + Nesebar
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Unibet
2.08
Bet365
2.00
William Hil
2.00

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Marek over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.4%
@ 1.16-1.2%
Under
22.6%
@ 4.25+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.25
Marek over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.7%
@ 1.94-3.8%
Under
56.3%
@ 1.75+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Marek over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.7%
@ 3.92-4.4%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.18+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.92
1xBet
3.92
Under
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marek over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 9.10-3.7%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.02+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.02
Nesebar over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
55.6%
@ 1.64-0.1%
Under
44.4%
@ 2.06+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Under
Pinnacle
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
1xBet
2.06
Nesebar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
19.6%
@ 4.30-1.7%
Under
80.4%
@ 1.16+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Nesebar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 10.00-4.3%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.02+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.02
Nesebar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Marek, so a minus line means Marek give that many goals of a start and Nesebar receive them. At -1, Marek must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Marek win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Marek)Actual: Nesebar
Marek -2
10.9%
@ 6.15-3.4%
Draw -2
16.3%
@ 4.95-1.5%
Nesebar +2
72.8%
@ 1.30+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.15
Draw
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
Marathonbet
1.30
Handicap -1 (Marek)Actual: Draw
Marek -1
27.2%
@ 2.97-2.6%
Draw -1
24.7%
@ 3.28-2.3%
Nesebar +1
48.1%
@ 2.06+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.97
10Bet
2.95
Draw
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
10Bet
3.25
Away
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
1.97
Handicap +1 (Marek)Actual: Marek
Marek +1
80.7%
@ 1.11+9.4%
Draw +1
13.0%
@ 4.45-4.8%
Nesebar -1
6.3%
@ 7.20-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Marathonbet
7.20
Handicap +2 (Marek)Actual: Marek
Marek +2
93.7%
Draw +2
4.9%
Nesebar -2
1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MarekMarek

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W10W10W01L00D00D21W00DA·PIR02/05H·CHE11/05A·HEB15/05H·ETA23/05A·FRA25/07A·SPA01/08A·ETA07/08A·MON16/08H·DOB23/08A·SPO29/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.600.750.500.330.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.500.600.750.500.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Nesebar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NesebarNesebar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L00D01L13L11D20W00D20W10WA·BOT08/05H·ETA11/05A·MAR17/05H·LOK24/05H·ETA25/07A·MON04/08H·DOB10/08A·SPO16/08H·PIR23/08H·YAN29/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.600.530.330.67
vs Stronger (7)0.710.431.000.250.330.67
vs Similar (23)0.390.650.450.640.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Marek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
64.2%
@ 1.42+0.1%
Under 0.5
35.8%
@ 2.53-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
Betfair
1.40
Under
Betfair
2.75
William Hil
2.62
10Bet
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.3%
@ 3.04+0.2%
Under 1.5
69.7%
@ 1.31-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.20
1xBet
3.04
Marathonbet
3.04
Pinnacle
3.01
William Hil
2.90
Under
William Hil
1.33
Pinnacle
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.6%
@ 7.93-2.1%
Under 2.5
90.4%
@ 1.05+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
William Hil
8.00
1xBet
7.80
Under
William Hil
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.04

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Marek over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
45.5%
@ 1.81-5.2%
Under
54.5%
@ 1.86+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.82
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Marek over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.3%
@ 5.00-6.0%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.12+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.30
1xBet
4.70
Under
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
Marek over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 10.00-6.0%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.02
Nesebar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.3%
@ 2.88+4.6%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.33-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.87
Under
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Nesebar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.0%
@ 10.00-3.3%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.02+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.02
Nesebar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MarekMarek

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W01L00D00D11D01L01L21W00DA·PIR02/05H·CHE11/05A·HEB15/05H·ETA23/05A·FRA25/07A·SPA01/08A·ETA07/08A·MON16/08H·DOB23/08A·SPO29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.470.830.250.220.61
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.470.470.830.250.220.61
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Nesebar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NesebarNesebar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D01L01L10W02L02L00D10W50W01LA·BOT08/05H·ETA11/05A·MAR17/05H·LOK24/05H·ETA25/07A·MON04/08H·DOB10/08A·SPO16/08H·PIR23/08H·YAN29/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.800.800.400.87
vs Stronger (7)0.711.000.750.500.671.67
vs Similar (23)0.570.780.820.910.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Marek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
77.0%
@ 1.26+4.5%
Under 0.5
23.0%
@ 3.34-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Under
1xBet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.28
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.4%
@ 2.28+2.1%
Under 1.5
57.6%
@ 1.54-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.28
1xBet
2.28
Under
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.54
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.5%
@ 5.10-0.5%
Under 2.5
82.5%
@ 1.12+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.10
Under
1xBet
1.12

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Marek over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
56.3%
@ 1.58-1.3%
Under
43.7%
@ 2.15+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.55
Under
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.09
Marek over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.9%
@ 3.66-3.9%
Under
79.1%
@ 1.21+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.66
1xBet
3.66
Under
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Marek over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nesebar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
39.2%
@ 2.39+1.1%
Under
60.8%
@ 1.47-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.39
Marathonbet
2.39
Under
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Nesebar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 9.00+0.4%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.01-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.00
1xBet
9.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Nesebar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals99.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.597.0%1.01
Betfair
1.01
1xBet
1.01
---+2.3%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.7%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+6.0%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals95.1%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+4.3%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals94.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals94.0%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+3.3%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap93.7%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals93.6%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+3.7%✓ Hit
Under 4.591.7%1.04
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
--+3.7%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals90.4%1.05
William Hil
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.04
--+2.1%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals89.5%1.01
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
----0.4%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals87.7%1.12
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
---+6.0%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals82.5%1.12
1xBet
1.12
----+0.5%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals81.3%1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
---+4.4%✓ Hit
Home or Draw80.7%1.12
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
-0.6%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap80.7%1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
----+9.4%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals80.4%1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
---+1.7%✓ Hit
Under 3.580.0%1.20
Unibet
1.23
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
+4.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals79.1%1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
---+3.9%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals77.4%1.16
1xBet
1.16
-----1.2%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals77.0%1.26
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
---+4.5%✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap72.8%1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
----+5.0%✓ Hit
Home or Away71.2%1.24
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
-2.2%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
BER (13)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
BER (5)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
DOB (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
BER (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
BER (6)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
MAR wins
0
Draws
0
NES wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Marek vs Nesebar · H/A from MAR
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/25HMAR Vs Nesebar1-0
23/11/24ANesebar Vs MAR0-2

MarekMarek

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26ASportist Svoge Vs MAR0-0
23/08/26HMAR Vs Dobrudzha4-2
16/08/26AMontana Vs MAR1-0
07/08/26AEtar Veliko Tarnovo Vs MAR1-0
01/08/26ASpartak Pleven Vs MAR2-1
25/07/26AFratria Vs MAR0-1
23/05/26HMAR Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo1-0
15/05/26AHebar 1918 Vs MAR1-1
11/05/26HMAR Vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas3-0
02/05/26APirin Blagoevgrad Vs MAR0-0

NesebarNesebar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HNES Vs Yantra 20191-1
23/08/26HNES Vs Pirin Blagoevgrad7-0
16/08/26ASportist Svoge Vs NES0-1
10/08/26HNES Vs Dobrudzha2-0
04/08/26AMontana Vs NES3-1
25/07/26HNES Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo1-5
24/05/25HNES Vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1-1
17/05/25AMarek Vs NES1-0
11/05/25HNES Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo0-2
08/05/25ABotev Plovdiv II Vs NES0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Marek
Marek
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD1.36
HomeWWWWW1.91
AwayWLLLD0.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%55%21%
AVG goals1.901.951.86
Over 1.5 %54%55%54%
Over 2.5 %30%32%29%
Over 3.5 %14%14%14%
Scored0.861.270.54
Conceded1.040.681.32
BTTS34%41%29%
Clean Sheet46%55%39%
Corners3.00-3.00
Cards3.00-3.00
Nesebar
Nesebar
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD0.86
HomeDLWWD1.09
AwayLWLLW0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%26%10%
AVG goals2.572.872.24
Over 1.5 %73%87%57%
Over 2.5 %41%52%29%
Over 3.5 %25%26%24%
Scored0.931.260.57
Conceded1.641.611.67
BTTS43%57%29%
Clean Sheet25%22%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VihrenVihren715
57%
2.1
157+8
3.1
100%
43%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.11.0
-
2CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II714
57%
2.0
157+8
3.1
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.11.0
-
3FratriaFratria714
57%
2.0
94+5
1.9
57%
14%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.30.6
-
4Yantra 2019Yantra 2019713
57%
1.9
97+2
2.3
71%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.0
-
5MontanaMontana711
43%
1.6
128+4
2.9
71%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.1
-
6BeroeBeroe711
43%
1.6
96+3
2.1
71%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.30.9
-
7Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas711
43%
1.6
74+3
1.6
43%
14%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.00.6
-
8Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo711
43%
1.6
1311+2
3.4
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.91.6
-
9NesebarNesebar710
43%
1.4
1310+3
3.3
71%
43%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.4
-
10MarekMarek710
43%
1.4
76+1
1.9
29%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.00.9
-
11Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa710
43%
1.4
79-2
2.3
86%
43%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.3
-
12Rilski SportistRilski Sportist79
29%
1.3
77+0
2.0
57%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
13Hebar 1918Hebar 191878
29%
1.1
1213-1
3.6
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.71.9
-
14Ludogorets IILudogorets II78
29%
1.1
58-3
1.9
71%
14%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.71.1
-
15Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven77
29%
1.0
714-7
3.0
86%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.02.0
-
16Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge76
14%
0.9
46-2
1.4
29%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.60.9
-
17DobrudzhaDobrudzha75
14%
0.7
710-3
2.4
57%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.4
-
18Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad70
0%
0.0
324-21
3.9
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.43.4
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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