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Maribor vs Bravo Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2026
Time: 18:15
Final 3-1
Maribor
Maribor
Vs
59%
23%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bravo
Bravo
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Maribor host Bravo in a high-scoring Slovenia: 1. SNL match, with an expected total of 3.2 goals. The home side has been unbeaten in their last 5 matches, drawing with Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 in their most recent outing. Maribor's home form is impressive, scoring an average of 2.62 goals and conceding just 0.62 per match against weaker opponents. In contrast, Bravo's away form is less impressive, scoring 1.4 goals and conceding 1.0 against stronger opponents. The model predicts Maribor to win, with a 60% chance of victory, a 23% chance of a draw, and an 18% chance of a Bravo win. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 10.5% chance. The model's selection is a Home win, and it also suggests Over 1.5 goals, with an 83.2% chance of success, and Over 21.5 fouls, with a 71.0% chance. Maribor has a 60% chance of winning, a 23% chance of a draw, and an 18% chance of a loss.

Results analysis

Maribor extended their unbeaten run with a 3-1 win over Bravo, matching the model’s predicted outcome. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 59 % probability and the model was correct. The model’s selections performed impressively: Under 7.5 hit at 98.8 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.7 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.0 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.4 %, Under 6.5 hit at 96.7 %, Home +2 handicap hit at 93.3 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 92.9 %, while Home under 2.5 2H goals missed at 92.7 %. The final score of 3-1 confirmed the model’s accurate assessment of Maribor’s strong home form and Bravo’s weaker away performance.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maribor win✓ Hit
58.6%
Avg Implied 55.6% · @ 1.64
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.70
Betano
1.70
Dafabet
1.68
10Bet
1.68
Superbet
1.67
Draw✗ Miss
23.5%
Avg Implied 23.7% · @ 3.85
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Dafabet
3.95
Unibet
3.95
William Hil
3.90
Bravo win✗ Miss
18.0%
Avg Implied 20.7% · @ 4.40
Edge
-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.88
1xBet
4.76
Unibet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
Dafabet
4.50

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MariborMaribor

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W03L12L12L30W00D30W11D20W11DH·PRI18/04A·BRA26/04A·RAD03/05A·MUR17/05H·ALU23/05A·ALU19/07H·BRI25/07A·CEL01/08H·KOP09/08A·OLI15/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.072.460.690.941.35
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.401.252.250.880.831.50
vs Weaker (10)2.000.702.800.401.201.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BravoBravo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W32W21W21W20W03L13L21W11D00DH·MAR26/04A·CEL02/05H·RAD09/05H·OLI23/05A·OLI18/07H·NAF26/07A·SHK30/07A·RAD02/08H·BRI09/08A·KOP16/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.401.501.361.501.44
vs Stronger (3)1.330.671.000.001.501.00
vs Similar (27)1.521.481.541.461.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.9%
@ 1.15+0.5%
Under 1.5
19.1%
@ 4.71-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Under
Pinnacle
5.20
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.4%
@ 1.52-3.2%
Under 2.5
42.6%
@ 2.34+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.48
Betfair
2.40
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Superbet
2.35
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.0%
@ 2.31-5.2%
Under 3.5
65.0%
@ 1.55+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.45
888Sport
2.40
10Bet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.33
Unibet
2.33
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.9%
@ 1.55-3.6%
No
44.1%
@ 2.28+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
888Sport
1.62
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
William Hil
1.55
No
BetVictor
2.40
Betano
2.35
Superbet
2.32
1xBet
2.32
Betfair
2.30

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%@ 7.48+5.2%
2-1
10.0%@ 7.47+4.0%
2-0
9.8%@ 8.81+4.7%
1-0
8.9%@ 8.69+3.8%
3-1 ✓
6.5%@ 10.81+2.4%
3-0
6.4%@ 12.85+3.0%
0-0
6.0%@ 14.32+2.9%
1-2
5.1%@ 13.08+1.7%
Maribor goals ↓
Bravo goals →
01234
06.0%4.1%2.6%0.9%0.2%
18.9%11%5.1%1.7%0.4%
29.8%10.0%5.1%1.7%0.4%
36.4%6.5%3.3%1.1%0.3%
43.2%3.2%1.6%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Maribor goals (down), columns = Bravo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maribor
2.14
Celje
1.83
Koper
1.71
Bravo
1.57
Aluminij
1.14
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.14
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.14
Nafta
1.00
Mura
1.00
Radomlje
0.83
Maribor is 0.57 points better than Bravo in terms of average points per game (2.14 vs 1.57).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Maribor
1.86
Nafta
1.71
Celje
1.67
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.57
Radomlje
1.17
Bravo
1.14
Aluminij
1.14
Mura
1.14
Koper
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.43
Maribor is 0.71 goals better than Bravo in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.71
Koper
0.71
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.71
Bravo
1.14
Aluminij
1.14
Celje
1.33
Radomlje
1.67
Nafta
1.71
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.71
Mura
2.00
Maribor is 0.43 goals better than Bravo in terms of goals conceded per game (0.71 vs 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MariborMaribor

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

BravoBravo

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MariborMaribor

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (30)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (20)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BravoBravo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (46)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Aluminij
10.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Bravo
9.6
Celje
9.2
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.0
Celje
4.8
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
27.0
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.2
Celje
25.0
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Mura
24.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.2%
@ 1.79-0.7%
Under 9.5
48.8%
@ 1.93+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Pinnacle
1.80
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.78
Under
Bet365
1.98
Pinnacle
1.96
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.91
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.2%
Under 3.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
71.0%
Under 21.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Maribor or Draw✓ Hit
82.0%
Avg Implied 79.1% · @ 1.16
Edge
+2.9%
59%
23%
18%
covers Maribor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Maribor or Bravo✓ Hit
76.5%
Avg Implied 77.1% · @ 1.19
Edge
-0.6%
59%
23%
18%
covers Maribor + Bravo
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Draw or Bravo✗ Miss
41.4%
Avg Implied 43.7% · @ 2.10
Edge
-2.3%
59%
23%
18%
covers Draw + Bravo
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
2.15
Bet365
2.15
888Sport
2.15
Betano
2.12
BetVictor
2.10

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Maribor over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.1%
@ 1.10+1.8%
Under
13.9%
@ 5.87-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
888Sport
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Under
Bet365
6.50
BetVictor
6.00
1xBet
6.00
888Sport
5.75
10Bet
5.75
Maribor over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
58.6%
@ 1.55-1.3%
Under
41.4%
@ 2.31+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.60
888Sport
1.60
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
BetVictor
1.55
Under
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.44
Marathonbet
2.31
BetVictor
2.30
1xBet
2.30
Maribor over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
31.6%
@ 2.69-2.9%
Under
68.4%
@ 1.41+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.88
10Bet
2.80
BetVictor
2.75
Betano
2.72
Pinnacle
2.70
Under
1xBet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Maribor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
13.8%
@ 5.12-4.4%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.14+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
6.00
Betano
5.20
1xBet
4.80
Bet365
4.50
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
888Sport
1.11
Bravo over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.8%
@ 1.38-3.1%
Under
36.2%
@ 2.79+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.37
Under
Betano
2.95
Pinnacle
2.93
BetVictor
2.90
10Bet
2.85
888Sport
2.80
Bravo over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
27.0%
@ 2.82-5.8%
Under
73.0%
@ 1.38+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.02
Bet365
3.00
1xBet
2.84
Marathonbet
2.84
10Bet
2.80
Under
Betano
1.44
BetVictor
1.40
Superbet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.37
Bravo over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.3%
@ 6.65-5.5%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.07+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
888Sport
7.00
Under
Betano
1.11
888Sport
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Bravo over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 15.33-4.2%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Bet365
12.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Maribor, so a minus line means Maribor give that many goals of a start and Bravo receive them. At -1, Maribor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Maribor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Maribor)Actual: Draw
Maribor -2
17.5%
@ 4.47-2.0%
Draw -2
18.2%
@ 4.54-1.0%
Bravo +2
64.3%
@ 1.43+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
4.55
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
3.75
Draw
Marathonbet
4.95
Bet365
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
3.70
Away
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.41
Unibet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Handicap -1 (Maribor)Actual: Maribor
Maribor -1
35.7%
@ 2.51+1.1%
Draw -1
22.8%
@ 3.62-1.2%
Bravo +1
41.4%
@ 2.10+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.75
Betfair
2.70
Marathonbet
2.52
Bet365
2.40
Unibet
2.20
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.55
Unibet
3.05
Away
Bet365
2.15
Unibet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
Handicap +1 (Maribor)Actual: Maribor
Maribor +1
82.0%
@ 1.12+7.4%
Draw +1
11.3%
@ 5.60-3.6%
Bravo -1
6.7%
@ 7.97-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Bet365
9.50
Marathonbet
6.45
Handicap +2 (Maribor)Actual: Maribor
Maribor +2
93.3%
@ 1.04+3.6%
Draw +2
4.8%
@ 15.00-1.4%
Bravo -2
1.8%
@ 23.00-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
23.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MariborMaribor

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L11D01L10W00D10W10W10W01LH·PRI18/04A·BRA26/04A·RAD03/05A·MUR17/05H·ALU23/05A·ALU19/07H·BRI25/07A·CEL01/08H·KOP09/08A·OLI15/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.401.380.080.590.65
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.700.451.120.000.420.75
vs Weaker (10)1.400.301.800.201.000.40
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BravoBravo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W01L01L10W01L11D10W01L00DH·MAR26/04A·CEL02/05H·RAD09/05H·OLI23/05A·OLI18/07H·NAF26/07A·SHK30/07A·RAD02/08H·BRI09/08A·KOP16/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.730.570.640.690.81
vs Stronger (3)1.330.001.000.001.500.00
vs Similar (27)0.560.810.540.690.570.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.4%
@ 1.25+0.7%
Under 0.5
25.6%
@ 3.51-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
1xBet
3.90
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.60
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.1%
@ 2.22-3.6%
Under 1.5
61.9%
@ 1.59+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.31
Betano
2.30
Betfair
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24
1xBet
2.24
Under
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.2%
@ 4.67-5.5%
Under 2.5
85.8%
@ 1.15+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Betano
4.65
1xBet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Betfair
1.14

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Maribor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
56.6%
@ 1.56-2.9%
Under
43.4%
@ 2.30+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.41
1xBet
2.35
Superbet
2.30
10Bet
2.25
Betano
2.18
Maribor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
19.4%
@ 3.72-5.3%
Under
80.6%
@ 1.23+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.84
10Bet
3.80
Betano
3.75
1xBet
3.50
Under
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
Maribor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 9.18-3.0%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.03+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Bravo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
36.5%
@ 2.30-3.8%
Under
63.5%
@ 1.55+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.47
Marathonbet
2.34
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.53
Bravo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.8%
@ 7.62-4.3%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.05+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.60
1xBet
7.80
10Bet
7.50
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
Bravo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MariborMaribor

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L11D20W00D20W01L10W10WH·PRI18/04A·BRA26/04A·RAD03/05A·MUR17/05H·ALU23/05A·ALU19/07H·BRI25/07A·CEL01/08H·KOP09/08A·OLI15/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.671.080.620.350.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.700.801.120.880.420.75
vs Weaker (10)0.600.401.000.200.200.60
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BravoBravo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L20W20W10W02L02L11D10W00DH·MAR26/04A·CEL02/05H·RAD09/05H·OLI23/05A·OLI18/07H·NAF26/07A·SHK30/07A·RAD02/08H·BRI09/08A·KOP16/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.670.930.710.810.62
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.960.671.000.770.930.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.6%
@ 1.14-0.7%
Under 0.5
19.4%
@ 4.95+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Under
1xBet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Betano
4.70
William Hil
4.60
Superbet
4.45
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
49.8%
@ 1.73-3.7%
Under 1.5
50.2%
@ 1.99+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.80
Superbet
1.76
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Under
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
1.95
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
21.5%
@ 3.24-7.0%
Under 2.5
78.5%
@ 1.29+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Betano
3.00
Under
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Maribor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
61.8%
@ 1.37-5.3%
Under
38.2%
@ 2.80+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.80
Superbet
2.70
Maribor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
28.7%
@ 2.67-5.8%
Under
71.3%
@ 1.40+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.70
Marathonbet
2.67
1xBet
2.65
Under
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Maribor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
7.3%
@ 6.20-7.6%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.08+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Bravo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.6%
@ 1.90-6.0%
Under
57.4%
@ 1.80+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.91
Betano
1.83
Under
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.78
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
Bravo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.5%
@ 5.47-4.3%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.11+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.90
1xBet
5.70
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Bravo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 9.75-6.8%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.02+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.8%1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
---+5.1%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals98.0%1.01
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
--+4.2%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.4%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+6.8%✓ Hit
Under 6.596.7%1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.03
--+6.3%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap93.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+3.6%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals92.9%1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
--+3.0%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals92.7%1.08
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.07
---+7.6%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.2%1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
-+4.3%✓ Hit
Under 5.591.7%1.06
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
888Sport
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
+4.8%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals91.7%1.07
Betano
1.11
888Sport
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
+5.5%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals87.5%1.11
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
--+4.3%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals86.2%1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
888Sport
1.11
-+4.4%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals86.1%1.10
Betano
1.12
888Sport
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
+1.8%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals85.8%1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+5.5%✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls83.7%--------
Home or Draw82.0%1.16
Betano
1.23
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Betfair
1.17
+2.9%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap82.0%1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
---+7.4%✓ Hit
Under 4.581.7%1.20
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
888Sport
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+5.0%✓ Hit
Over 1.580.9%1.15
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
+0.5%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals80.6%1.23
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
-+5.3%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals80.6%1.14
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
-0.7%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals78.5%1.29
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
+7.0%✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards78.0%--------
Home or Away76.5%1.19
Betano
1.23
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
-0.6%✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.4%--------
Over 0.5 HT goals74.4%1.25
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+0.7%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals73.0%1.38
Betano
1.44
BetVictor
1.40
Superbet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.37
+5.8%✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.3%1.29
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
---+2.4%-
Home under 1.5 2H goals71.3%1.40
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
--+5.8%✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls71.0%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
Maribor's squad is €5m more valuable than Bravo's (€10m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
Maribor's attack is €4m more valuable than Bravo's (€5m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
Maribor and Bravo have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Maribor's defence is €1m more valuable than Bravo's (€3m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
MAR wins
3
Draws
2
BRA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Maribor vs Bravo · H/A from MAR
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26ABravo Vs MAR3-0
22/02/26HMAR Vs Bravo2-0
01/11/25ABravo Vs MAR2-3
16/08/25HMAR Vs Bravo3-3
13/04/25ABravo Vs MAR1-1
15/02/25HMAR Vs Bravo2-3
20/10/24ABravo Vs MAR0-1
04/08/24HMAR Vs Bravo1-1

MariborMaribor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs MAR1-1
09/08/26HMAR Vs Koper2-0
01/08/26ACelje Vs MAR1-1
25/07/26HMAR Vs Brinje-Grosuplje3-0
19/07/26AAluminij Vs MAR0-0
23/05/26HMAR Vs Aluminij3-0
17/05/26AMura Vs MAR2-1
03/05/26ARadomlje Vs MAR2-1
26/04/26ABravo Vs MAR3-0
18/04/26HMAR Vs Primorje2-0

BravoBravo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26AKoper Vs BRA0-0
09/08/26HBRA Vs Brinje-Grosuplje1-1
02/08/26ARadomlje Vs BRA1-2
30/07/26AShkendija Vs BRA3-1
26/07/26HBRA Vs Nafta0-3
18/07/26AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs BRA0-2
23/05/26HBRA Vs Olimpija Ljubljana2-1
09/05/26HBRA Vs Radomlje2-1
02/05/26ACelje Vs BRA2-3
26/04/26HBRA Vs Maribor3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Maribor
Maribor
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWD1.58
HomeWWWWW2.00
AwayLLDDD1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%57%30%
AVG goals2.663.222.19
Over 1.5 %80%91%70%
Over 2.5 %48%61%37%
Over 3.5 %24%39%11%
Scored1.602.301.00
Conceded1.060.911.19
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet32%48%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Bravo
Bravo
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDD1.60
HomeWWWLD1.62
AwayWWLWD1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%46%46%
AVG goals3.002.883.12
Over 1.5 %84%92%77%
Over 2.5 %64%62%65%
Over 3.5 %30%21%38%
Scored1.561.501.62
Conceded1.441.381.50
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MariborMaribor715
57%
2.1
135+8
2.6
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.90.7
-
2KoperKoper712
43%
1.7
75+2
1.7
57%
14%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.00.7
-
3CeljeCelje611
50%
1.8
108+2
3.0
83%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
7161.71.3
-
4BravoBravo711
43%
1.6
88+0
2.3
86%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.1
-
5AluminijAluminij78
29%
1.1
88+0
2.3
57%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.11.1
-
6Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje78
29%
1.1
1112-1
3.3
100%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.7
-
7Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana78
29%
1.1
35-2
1.1
29%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6150.40.7
-
8NaftaNafta77
29%
1.0
1212+0
3.4
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.7
-
9MuraMura77
29%
1.0
814-6
3.1
71%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.12.0
-
10RadomljeRadomlje65
17%
0.8
710-3
2.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.7
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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