Maribor vs Mura Result & Analysis

Maribor are tipped to lift the trophy at home, a 45% chance of victory versus a 29% draw and 26% for Mura. The match is expected to see 2.5 goals on average, with a 2-goal total the most likely outcome at 27%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 13.7% chance. Maribor, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Mura, away against a stronger opponent, averages 1.0 scored and 1.71 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls 88.8%, Over 2.5 cards 82.2%, Over 8.5 corners 79.9%, Over 21.5 fouls 78.5%, Under 3.5 76.0%, Over 1.5 72.3%, and Under 5.5 cards 70.9%. Maribor’s recent form shows a two-game winning run, while Mura has endured two straight defeats.

Maribor extended a two-game winning run to secure a 3-1 victory over Mura, matching the model’s prediction that the home side would win. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 45% probability and proved correct. The model’s suggested picks fared unevenly: Over 2.5 cards hit at 82.2%, Over 8.5 corners also hit at 79.9%, and Under 5.5 cards hit at 70.9%. Over 1.5 hit at 72.3%, while Over 19.5 fouls, Over 21.5 fouls, and Under 3.5 missed, with probabilities of 88.8%, 78.5%, and 76.0% respectively. The final score of 3-1 confirmed the home win, aligning with the model’s overall assessment.