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Maribor vs Mura Prediction & Stats

Date: 06/09/2026
Time: 15:30
Maribor
Maribor
Vs
80%
14%
7%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Maribor’s dominance at home is clear, with an 80% chance of victory and a 14% draw probability, while Mura’s away odds are only 7%. The model picks a Maribor win, driven by the home side’s 2.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded against weaker opponents, versus Mura’s 0.6 scored and 2.8 conceded on the road. The expected total of 3.7 goals points to a high-scoring affair, with the most likely scoreline 2-0 at 10.7%. Maribor’s recent 2-game winning streak and a 3-2 win over Nafta add momentum, whereas Mura’s 2-straight defeats and a 0-2 loss to Bravo hint at struggles. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.2% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.8% with a 7% edge), Home +2 handicap (98.1% with a 7% edge), Under 7.5 (96.6%), Away under 2.5 goals (95.6% with a 6% edge), Away under 1.5 HT goals (94.7% with a 5% edge), and Home over 0.5 goals (94.4% with a 10% edge).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maribor win
79.9%
Avg Implied 65.3% · @ 1.40
Edge
+14.6%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.50
Pinnacle
1.42
Betano
1.42
Dafabet
1.41
Unibet
1.40
Draw
13.6%
Avg Implied 21.0% · @ 4.35
Edge
-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Pinnacle
4.47
10Bet
4.45
Superbet
4.45
Mura win
6.6%
Avg Implied 13.8% · @ 6.61
Edge
-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
7.60
10Bet
7.30
Marathonbet
7.00
William Hil
7.00
Dafabet
6.80

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MariborMaribor

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L30W00D30W11D20W11D31W32WA·RAD03/05A·MUR17/05H·ALU23/05A·ALU19/07H·BRI25/07A·CEL01/08H·KOP09/08A·OLI15/08H·BRA23/08A·NAF30/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.002.500.711.001.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.471.112.330.890.701.30
vs Weaker (11)2.090.822.800.401.501.17
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W21W23L22D10W25L13L21W01L02LA·PRI10/05H·MAR17/05A·RAD22/05A·CEL17/07H·OLI25/07A·NAF01/08H·RAD10/08A·BRI16/08H·KOP22/08A·BRA29/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.801.071.291.252.25
vs Stronger (14)0.791.640.891.000.602.80
vs Similar (16)1.501.941.401.801.552.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.7%
@ 1.18+10.3%
Under 1.5
11.3%
@ 4.27-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
Under
Pinnacle
4.49
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70.9%
@ 1.61+13.1%
Under 2.5
29.1%
@ 2.20-13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.65
BetVictor
1.65
Betfair
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Under
Betfair
2.30
Pinnacle
2.24
Unibet
2.23
1xBet
2.21
Betano
2.20
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
49.9%
@ 2.51+13.1%
Under 3.5
50.1%
@ 1.46-13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.75
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.52
Betano
2.50
Under
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Both teams to score
Yes
51.6%
@ 1.78-0.0%
No
48.4%
@ 1.90+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
No
BetVictor
2.00
William Hil
1.95
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.89

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.7%@ 6.66+4.1%
3-0
10.3%@ 9.06+5.4%
2-1
8.3%@ 7.41+2.3%
3-1
8.0%@ 10.16+3.7%
4-0
7.5%@ 15.81+4.7%
1-0
6.8%@ 6.91+0.4%
1-1
6.3%@ 7.85+0.7%
4-1
5.8%@ 17.75+3.3%
Maribor goals ↓
Mura goals →
01234
03.1%1.4%0.8%0.2%0.0%
16.8%6.3%2.2%0.6%0.1%
211%8.3%3.2%0.8%0.2%
310%8.0%3.1%0.8%0.2%
47.5%5.8%2.2%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Maribor goals (down), columns = Mura goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maribor
2.14
Celje
1.83
Koper
1.71
Bravo
1.57
Aluminij
1.14
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.14
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.14
Nafta
1.00
Mura
1.00
Radomlje
0.83
Maribor is 1.14 points better than Mura in terms of average points per game (2.14 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Maribor
1.86
Nafta
1.71
Celje
1.67
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.57
Radomlje
1.17
Bravo
1.14
Aluminij
1.14
Mura
1.14
Koper
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.43
Maribor is 0.71 goals better than Mura in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.71
Koper
0.71
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.71
Bravo
1.14
Aluminij
1.14
Celje
1.33
Radomlje
1.67
Nafta
1.71
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.71
Mura
2.00
Maribor is 1.29 goals better than Mura in terms of goals conceded per game (0.71 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MariborMaribor

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MuraMura

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MariborMaribor

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (31)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (19)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Mura) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (23)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (27)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Aluminij
10.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Bravo
9.6
Celje
9.4
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.0
Celje
4.9
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
27.0
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.2
Celje
25.0
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Mura
24.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.3%
@ 2.04+7.9%
Under 9.5
46.7%
@ 1.69-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.07
Marathonbet
2.01
Under
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.0%
Under 3.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
70.8%
Under 21.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Maribor or Draw
93.4%
Avg Implied 85.7% · @ 1.07
Edge
+7.7%
80%
14%
7%
covers Maribor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.14
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Maribor or Mura
86.4%
Avg Implied 80.0% · @ 1.15
Edge
+6.5%
80%
14%
7%
covers Maribor + Mura
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Draw or Mura
20.1%
Avg Implied 34.3% · @ 2.67
Edge
-14.2%
80%
14%
7%
covers Draw + Mura
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.90
Betano
2.82
William Hil
2.80
1xBet
2.76
Betfair
2.75

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Maribor over/under 0.5
Over
94.5%
@ 1.08+8.7%
Under
5.5%
@ 6.53-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Under
1xBet
7.20
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Betano
6.20
Maribor over/under 1.5
Over
78.4%
@ 1.46+15.2%
Under
21.6%
@ 2.51-15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.55
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.62
1xBet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.51
Maribor over/under 2.5
Over
55.2%
@ 2.47+17.8%
Under
44.8%
@ 1.48-17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.75
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.48
1xBet
2.45
Under
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Superbet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Maribor over/under 3.5
Over
32.9%
@ 4.61+12.8%
Under
67.1%
@ 1.16-12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.80
Betano
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Mura over/under 0.5
Over
54.0%
@ 1.61-3.2%
Under
46.0%
@ 2.15+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Superbet
1.63
Under
BetVictor
2.30
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.19
Unibet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Mura over/under 1.5
Over
18.3%
@ 4.02-4.7%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.20+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Pinnacle
4.01
Betfair
4.00
Under
Betano
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Mura over/under 2.5
Over
4.4%
@ 9.66-5.2%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.03+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
9.30
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Mura over/under 3.5
Over
0.8%
@ 14.75-5.6%
Under
99.2%
@ 1.01+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Maribor, so a minus line means Maribor give that many goals of a start and Mura receive them. At -1, Maribor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Maribor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Maribor)
Maribor -2
39.8%
@ 3.50+14.8%
Draw -2
21.3%
@ 4.04-0.2%
Mura +2
39.0%
@ 1.62-14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.65
Bet365
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Unibet
3.15
Draw
Marathonbet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.45
Away
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.62
Unibet
1.54
Handicap -1 (Maribor)
Maribor -1
61.0%
@ 2.04+18.4%
Draw -1
18.8%
@ 3.52-5.9%
Mura +1
20.1%
@ 2.67-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Unibet
1.94
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
3.10
Away
10Bet
2.90
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.68
Bet365
2.60
Unibet
2.40
Handicap +1 (Maribor)
Maribor +1
93.4%
@ 1.08+10.6%
Draw +1
4.6%
@ 8.00-6.5%
Mura -1
1.9%
@ 15.00-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Away
Bet365
15.00
Handicap +2 (Maribor)
Maribor +2
98.1%
@ 1.02+4.9%
Draw +2
1.5%
@ 21.00-3.0%
Mura -2
0.4%
@ 41.00-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Draw
Bet365
21.00
Away
Bet365
41.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MariborMaribor

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L10W00D10W10W10W01L01L21WA·RAD03/05A·MUR17/05H·ALU23/05A·ALU19/07H·BRI25/07A·CEL01/08H·KOP09/08A·OLI15/08H·BRA23/08A·NAF30/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.401.290.140.620.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.630.421.000.110.300.70
vs Weaker (11)1.450.361.800.201.170.50
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W12L10W10W12L01L10W00D01LA·PRI10/05H·MAR17/05A·RAD22/05A·CEL17/07H·OLI25/07A·NAF01/08H·RAD10/08A·BRI16/08H·KOP22/08A·BRA29/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.930.500.790.561.06
vs Stronger (14)0.500.930.560.670.401.40
vs Similar (16)0.560.940.401.000.640.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.2%
@ 1.29+4.8%
Under 0.5
23.8%
@ 3.22-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.34
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Under
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Pinnacle
3.28
Superbet
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
43.4%
@ 2.33+3.9%
Under 1.5
56.6%
@ 1.53-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.43
Betano
2.42
Betfair
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.36
Under
William Hil
1.55
Superbet
1.55
Unibet
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.4%
@ 5.12-0.6%
Under 2.5
82.6%
@ 1.12+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.10
Betano
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.12
William Hil
1.12

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Maribor over/under 0.5 HT
Over
67.9%
@ 1.51+6.9%
Under
32.1%
@ 2.37-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.59
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.49
Under
Pinnacle
2.51
1xBet
2.44
Superbet
2.42
10Bet
2.40
Betano
2.30
Maribor over/under 1.5 HT
Over
28.7%
@ 3.43+1.8%
Under
71.3%
@ 1.26-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.56
Betano
3.45
10Bet
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Under
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.23
Maribor over/under 2.5 HT
Over
8.7%
@ 8.40-2.3%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.04+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Mura over/under 0.5 HT
Over
30.7%
@ 2.88-1.2%
Under
69.3%
@ 1.35+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.10
Marathonbet
2.93
10Bet
2.85
Betano
2.82
1xBet
2.80
Under
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Mura over/under 1.5 HT
Over
5.4%
@ 9.67-4.2%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.03+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
10Bet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Mura over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MariborMaribor

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D20W00D20W01L10W10W30W11DA·RAD03/05A·MUR17/05H·ALU23/05A·ALU19/07H·BRI25/07A·CEL01/08H·KOP09/08A·OLI15/08H·BRA23/08A·NAF30/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.601.210.570.380.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.840.681.330.780.400.60
vs Weaker (11)0.640.451.000.200.330.67
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MuraMura

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D11D12L00D13L12L11D01L01LA·PRI10/05H·MAR17/05A·RAD22/05A·CEL17/07H·OLI25/07A·NAF01/08H·RAD10/08A·BRI16/08H·KOP22/08A·BRA29/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.870.570.500.691.19
vs Stronger (14)0.290.710.330.330.201.40
vs Similar (16)0.941.001.000.800.911.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
86.4%
@ 1.17+7.3%
Under 0.5
13.6%
@ 4.43-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.90
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.35
William Hil
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
51.9%
@ 1.82+1.2%
Under 1.5
48.1%
@ 1.88-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
Superbet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Under
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.90
10Bet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Superbet
1.87
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
27.6%
@ 3.55+1.6%
Under 2.5
72.4%
@ 1.25-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.50
Superbet
3.40
Betano
3.30
Under
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Maribor over/under 0.5 2H
Over
77.9%
@ 1.33+8.4%
Under
22.1%
@ 3.03-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Under
10Bet
3.10
1xBet
3.00
Betano
3.00
Maribor over/under 1.5 2H
Over
41.3%
@ 2.54+5.1%
Under
58.7%
@ 1.44-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.57
1xBet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.54
Betano
2.50
Under
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.43
Superbet
1.41
Maribor over/under 2.5 2H
Over
17.2%
@ 5.80+1.3%
Under
82.8%
@ 1.10-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.10
10Bet
6.00
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Mura over/under 0.5 2H
Over
36.0%
@ 2.36-3.1%
Under
64.0%
@ 1.51+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.38
1xBet
2.36
Superbet
2.35
Betano
2.30
Under
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.52
Superbet
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Mura over/under 1.5 2H
Over
7.1%
@ 8.30-4.1%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.04+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.30
1xBet
8.70
10Bet
8.50
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Mura over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.2%
@ 18.62-4.0%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 3.5 goals99.2%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+5.6%
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.1%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.8%1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
---+4.0%
Home +2 handicap98.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+4.9%
Under 7.596.6%-------
Away under 2.5 goals95.6%1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-+5.2%
Away under 1.5 HT goals94.6%1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
--+4.2%
Home over 0.5 goals94.5%1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
+8.7%
Home or Draw93.4%1.07
BetVictor
1.14
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
+7.7%
Home +1 handicap93.4%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+10.6%
Away under 1.5 2H goals92.9%1.04
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
-+4.1%
Under 6.592.1%1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
--+0.9%
Home under 2.5 HT goals91.3%1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
--+2.3%
Over 1.588.7%1.18
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
+10.3%
Home or Away86.4%1.15
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
+6.5%
Over 0.5 2H goals86.4%1.17
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
+7.3%
Over 19.5 fouls83.6%-------
Under 5.583.5%1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
BetVictor
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-5.3%
Home under 2.5 2H goals82.8%1.10
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
---1.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals82.6%1.12
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
+0.6%
Away under 1.5 goals81.7%1.20
Betano
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
+4.7%
Home win79.9%1.40
BetVictor
1.50
Pinnacle
1.42
Betano
1.42
Dafabet
1.41
Unibet
1.40
+14.6%
Home over 1.5 goals78.4%1.46
BetVictor
1.55
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
+15.2%
Over 2.5 cards77.9%-------
Home over 0.5 2H goals77.9%1.33
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
--+8.4%
Under 5.5 cards76.5%-------
Over 0.5 HT goals76.2%1.29
BetVictor
1.34
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
+4.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals72.4%1.25
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
-1.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals71.3%1.26
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.23
--1.8%
Over 2.570.9%1.61
Bet365
1.65
BetVictor
1.65
Betfair
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.62
+13.1%
Over 21.5 fouls70.8%-------
Under 11.5 corners70.5%1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
-----4.2%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
Maribor's squad is €5m more valuable than Mura's (€10m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
Maribor's attack is €3m more valuable than Mura's (€5m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
Maribor and Mura have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Maribor and Mura have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
MAR wins
1
Draws
1
MUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Maribor vs Mura · H/A from MAR
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26AMura Vs MAR2-1
14/03/26HMAR Vs Mura3-0
29/11/25AMura Vs MAR0-1
13/09/25HMAR Vs Mura1-0
21/04/25AMura Vs MAR1-2
22/02/25HMAR Vs Mura2-0
26/10/24AMura Vs MAR1-1
11/08/24HMAR Vs Mura2-1

MariborMaribor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ANafta Vs MAR2-3
23/08/26HMAR Vs Bravo3-1
15/08/26AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs MAR1-1
09/08/26HMAR Vs Koper2-0
01/08/26ACelje Vs MAR1-1
25/07/26HMAR Vs Brinje-Grosuplje3-0
19/07/26AAluminij Vs MAR0-0
23/05/26HMAR Vs Aluminij3-0
17/05/26AMura Vs MAR2-1
03/05/26ARadomlje Vs MAR2-1

MuraMura

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26ABravo Vs MUR2-0
22/08/26HMUR Vs Koper0-1
16/08/26ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs MUR1-2
10/08/26HMUR Vs Radomlje1-3
01/08/26ANafta Vs MUR5-2
25/07/26HMUR Vs Olimpija Ljubljana1-0
17/07/26ACelje Vs MUR2-2
22/05/26ARadomlje Vs MUR3-2
17/05/26HMUR Vs Maribor2-1
10/05/26APrimorje Vs MUR0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Maribor
Maribor
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.68
HomeWWWWW2.04
AwayLDDDW1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%58%35%
AVG goals2.783.252.35
Over 1.5 %82%92%73%
Over 2.5 %52%62%42%
Over 3.5 %28%42%15%
Scored1.702.331.12
Conceded1.080.921.23
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet32%46%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL0.80
HomeLWWLL1.12
AwayLDLWL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%29%12%
AVG goals2.762.383.12
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %26%21%31%
Scored1.001.040.96
Conceded1.761.332.15
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet14%21%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MariborMaribor715
57%
2.1
135+8
2.6
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.90.7
-
2KoperKoper712
43%
1.7
75+2
1.7
57%
14%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.00.7
-
3CeljeCelje611
50%
1.8
108+2
3.0
83%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
7161.71.3
-
4BravoBravo711
43%
1.6
88+0
2.3
86%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.1
-
5AluminijAluminij78
29%
1.1
88+0
2.3
57%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.11.1
-
6Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje78
29%
1.1
1112-1
3.3
100%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.7
-
7Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana78
29%
1.1
35-2
1.1
29%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6150.40.7
-
8NaftaNafta77
29%
1.0
1212+0
3.4
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.7
-
9MuraMura77
29%
1.0
814-6
3.1
71%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.12.0
-
10RadomljeRadomlje65
17%
0.8
710-3
2.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.7
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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