Maribor vs Radomlje Result & Analysis

Maribor’s recent 2-game winning streak fuels the model’s confidence that a home victory is most likely, with a 51% chance of winning, a 28% chance of a draw and a 21% chance of Radomlje pulling off an upset. The average goal count sits at 2.4, so a modest 2-goal total is expected, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 13.4% probability. Maribor’s home form shows 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded against weaker opposition, while Radomlje, playing away against stronger opponents, averages only 0.5 scored and 2.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 90.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 84.0%, Over 21.5 fouls at 80.9%, Under 3.5 at 78.1% (miss) and Over 1.5 at 70.1% (hit). The match is set to be a Maribor win with a 2-goal total and a 1-1 scoreline.

Maribor’s 3-1 victory over Radomlje extended their two-game winning run, cementing the model’s pre-match favourite as correct. The prediction of a home win, given a 51% probability, proved accurate. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals, at 78.1%, missed as the match produced four goals, while its choice of Over 1.5 goals, at 70.1%, hit, reflecting the high-scoring nature of the game. The most likely 2-goal total, with a 27% chance, was surpassed, yet the scoreline still aligned with the model’s overall assessment of Maribor’s strong home form and Radomlje’s weaker away performance.